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Welcome To the Bigs, Matt Shaw

Matt Shaw throws a baseball from third base.
Credit: Darren Yamashita-Imagn Images

Three nights before the first game of the 2025 MLB season in Tokyo, the Cubs played the Angels in a Spring Breakout game in Arizona. Those in attendance got to see Angels top pitching prospect Caden Dana struggle to make it out of the first inning, Cubs outfield hopeful Kevin Alcántara slug a home run, and 21-year-old catcher Moises Ballesteros leg out a double. Matt Shaw was not there.

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Starting Pitcher 2025 Fantasy Rankings

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Welcome to the Starting Pitcher Rankings for 2025!

JUMP TO FULL RANKING LIST

We are live more than a month earlier than last year which helps those diehards drafting through the winter while the living, breathing document aspect of them allows us to keep these relevant all the way through draft season in March. The Hot Stove is positively blazing which has brought about several updates before even going live. Chief among them being a pair of premium lefties joining the AL East.

The updates will come regularly as I fill in the profiles over the coming weeks while also reacting to the news as it happens. We still have an ace who needs to be signed, plenty of trade rumors already in play, and the inevitable out of nowhere trades that we will get at some point this offseason. Feel free to leave comments about guys who don’t yet have a profile, but just know that one is coming. I intend to write up all 200 before we reach Spring Training.

First update is finally here in early-January and they will be much more frequent now that we’re out of the holiday season!

My body decided to get a nastyyyy flu at quite literally the worst time of the year. I’m finally starting to feel a bit better today so those more frequent updates I promised last time will actually start coming through consistently.

OK, I reworked the ranking quite a bit instead of just going 1-200+ within each tier. A lot of y’all had been asking for that after the first release, so there you go. I still have lots of profiles coming so stay tuned for those!

Profiles will continue to flow as we approach March. As I dive deeper on pitchers, rankings will continue to shift. I obviously don’t want to be making sweeping changes to the them in mid-and-late March so y’all can have confidence in them as your drafts come up so I expect the massive swings to slow down after the next couple of updates. I’ve been battle-testing my rankings with multiple drafts recently and that’s been a key driver behind a lot of movement. I had my TARF draft last Sunday (board can be found here, I’m team 4) which is part of the EARTH set of drafts as well as the LABR mixed draft (board) this past Tuesday and both were eye-opening in terms of where I sit with a lot of pitchers.

More rankings movement, more profiles and unfortunately more injuries. We’re at that time of the year when the injuries will start rolling in with way more frequency than any of us want.

Mid-March, we are in the thick of it now! Good bit of movement again today as things really start to develop with Main Events starting over at the NFBC. We’ll be through the Top 100 profiles w/the next update, but if you have questions about anyone without a profile yet, please don’t hesitate to drop a comment.

Another big update here on March 20th because the injuries just won’t stop! Last massive draft weekend before the season starts and then one more draft weekend for those who go right after the season gets going. I’ve battle tested these rankings in several drafts so I made some big moves based on guys I kept passing over at their current ranking and others I’ve been zipping up my board.

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Top-200 Hitters 2025 Fantasy Rankings

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Quick update with a few injury-related moves.

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Outfield 2025 Fantasy Rankings

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The outfield pool thins out every season and it seems to happen quickly this season. Here is how I would approach them when creating a draft plan. 

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Pitcher Playing Time Changes: March 19, 2025

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Below are the latest playing time changes for pitchers since Monday, with the Patrick Corbin signing further reshuffling projected starts for the Rangers.

SP Projected GS Changes, 3/17 to 3/19
Player Team Old GS New GS GS Change Reason
Patrick Corbin TEX FA 16 3 Will help cover starts, especially in the first half
Stephen Kolek SDP 8 11 3 Darvish injury opens up more starts
Adrian Houser TEX 5 2 -3 Corbin signings eats into PT
Yu Darvish SDP 29 26 -3 Elbow inflammation, hard to see him ready for Opening Day
Jack Leiter TEX 23 19 -4 Corbin signings eats into PT; maybe some RP innings later on?
Cody Bradford TEX 8 3 -5 Corbin signings eats into PT; could relieve when healthy

 

RP Projected IP Changes, 3/17 to 3/19
Player Team Old IP New IP IP Change Reason
Richard Lovelady TOR 26 55 29 Contract selected; not guaranteed to make roster but he’s out of options os he’s got a good shot
Anderson Pilar ATL 8 35 27 Perdomo trade, Farmer reassignment makes bullpen spot more plausible for the R5 pick
Luis Garcia LAD 16 33 17 Contract selected for Tokyo Series, would be odd to DFA him before Opening Day
Nick Hernandez HOU 44 28 -16 Optioned to minors after bad Spring Training
Blake Walston ARI 32 0 -32 Tommy John surgery

Jeff Zimmerman’s 2025 BOLD Predictions

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It’s time to go out on limb and make a few BOLD predictions. All of the ranks will be determined by using our auction calculator. All ADP mentioned is from 11 NFBC Main Event drafts. Read the rest of this entry »


Position Player Playing Time Changes: March 18, 2025

Kareem Elgazzar / The Enquirer / USA TODAY NETWORK

Below are the latest playing time changes for position players since last Friday. The highlight here is a couple Reds developments opening more playing time for Christian Encarnacion-Strand:

Position Player Projected PA Changes, 3/14 to 3/18
Name Team Positions Old PA New PA PA Change Reason
Jose Barrero STL SS, 2B, CF 21 105 84 Saggese/Helman optioned; Opening Day spot appears likely
Christian Encarnacion-Strand CIN DH, 1B 364 441 77 Benson optioning, Stephenson injury opens up more PA
Gavin Sheets SDP 1B, DH 56 126 70 Swing change is working wonders, but still battling a slew of hitters for DH/1B time
Masataka Yoshida BOS DH, LF 329 259 -70 Could start on IL as he’s still not throwing in games, Devers could eat up DH time
Will Benson CIN LF, RF, CF 175 98 -77 Optioned to minors, team already has Fraley, Friedl, maybe Lux as LHH OF
Tyler Stephenson CIN DH, 1B, C 525 434 -91 Even the most minor of oblique strains is multiple weeks
Jace Jung DET 3B 350 245 -105 Optioned to minors, unknown when he’ll work his way back up
Jesús Sánchez MIA LF, RF, CF 539 406 -133 Strained oblique could keep him out through April; will he face LHP when he’s back?

Pitcher Playing Time Changes: March 17, 2025

Tim Heitman-Imagn Images

Below are the latest playing time changes for pitchers since Thursday, with the big development being the Rangers scrambling to fill their rotation after injuries to Jon Gray and Cody Bradford.

SP Projected GS Changes, 3/13 to 3/17
Name Team Old GS New GS GS Change Reason
AJ Smith-Shawver ATL 8 13 5 Great Spring Training could accelerate return to majors if Holmes or Anderson struggle
Jack Leiter TEX 19 23 4 Jon Gray injury; new pitch mix is working for Leiter but beware of walks
Landen Roupp SFG 11 15 4 13 Ks in minor league game buttresses strong push for SP5
Michael McGreevy STL 5 8 3 Just two runs allowed in 11.2 IP, could force team into six-man rotation or early switch to McG
Adrian Houser TEX 2 5 3 Increased velocity + Gray injury makes him clear SP6, maybe even SP5
Chase Dollander COL 16 19 3 Gomber injury may hasten MLB debut, stuff looks great; don’t worry too much about his Spring ERA!
Kyle Harrison SFG 19 16 -3 Velocity is finally ticking back up but running out of time to seize SP5
Jon Gray TEX 26 19 -7 Broken wrist on comebacker, will be out months

 

RP Projected IP Changes, 3/13 to 3/17
Name Team Old IP New IP IP Change Reason
Omar Cruz SDP 22 38 16 Optioned to AAA; started last year but best lane to MLB time is relieving
Doug Nikhazy CLE 56 27 -29 Looked to be in strong position for Opening Day bullpen but then was optioned; being outpitched by Allard
Evan Reifert WSN 50 13 -37 Horrendous Spring (30.8% BB%) makes R5 pick highly unlikely to make team; would be returned to Rays

Position Player Playing Time Changes: March 14, 2025

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Below are the latest playing time changes (in plate appearances) for position players since Wednesday. Kristian Campbell might be an even bigger factor this year than we thought!

Position Player Projected PA Changes, 3/12 to 3/14
Name Team Positions Old PA New PA PA Change Reason
Victor Scott II STL CF 294 434 140 Having a fabulous camp, earning himself starting CF over Siani
Drew Avans ATH RF 14 84 70 Quietly solid camp; might be better to give Esteury regular time in AAA
Kristian Campbell BOS 2B, LF, DH 238 308 70 Turning heads after a slow start; Devers DHing more would open up 2B time. Might not be Opening Day, but soon!
Masataka Yoshida BOS DH, LF 399 329 -70 Devers DHing more would take away playing time; still hasn’t played OF this Spring
Michael Siani STL CF, RF, LF 259 175 -84 Nightmarish camp that’s the opposite of Scott’s; can be optioned but still has value off bench for defense
Jeff McNeil NYM DH, 3B, 1B, 2B, LF 518 427 -91 Oblique strain; unlikely to be back in MLB until late April at best
Joey Gallo CHW LF, 1B, RF, DH 168 63 -105 Striking out over 50% of the time in Spring Training; Jankowski MiLB deal pushes him off projected roster

Mining the News (3/13/25)

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• Keith Law reviews several players on why they will break out this season.

American League

Angels

José Suarez lost 20 pounds before camp this year.

LHP José Suarez
2024 stats: 6.02 ERA, 52 1/3 IP, 56 K, 27 BB
Spring Training stats: 2.57 ERA, 7 IP, 9 K, 1 BB

Suarez has undoubtedly struggled the last two seasons, but he pitched better down the stretch last year after he was designated for assignment in mid-June, which served as a wakeup call. He also came into camp 20 pounds lighter this spring and has looked sharp on the mound, including striking out six in three innings against the Mariners on Thursday night.

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