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Catcher 2026 Fantasy Rankings

Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images

Changelog

  • 12/15/2025 – First Release
  • 1/8/2026 – Dalton Rushing and Sean Murphy updates
  • 1/26/2026 – J.T Realmuto and Victor Caratini signings.
  • 2/2/2026 – Projections and ADP update.
  • 2/10/2026 – ADP Update.
  • 2/18/2026 – ADP Update
  • 2/25/2026 – ADP and Projections Update
  • 3/3/2026 – ADP and Projections Update
  • 3/19/2026 – Kyle Teel injury and Harry Ford demotion update

Ranking Methodology

  • Updated ADP data from NFBC Draft Champions to NFBC Online Championships.
  • $ Values are based on standard 5×5 12-team league using the FanGraphs Depth Charts and these Auction Calculator settings. They default to a player’s most valuable position, so if the first base list includes a catcher, it will show that player’s value at catcher.
  • ADP and $ Values are updated as of the last update date on this post.
  • 5-game eligibility was used for these lists to cast the widest net.

Catcher Overview

The catcher position is about as deep as it’s been after an influx of young talent to the position over the last few seasons. The additions of young studs to the crop of older, aging veterans give the position some beef, but also add to it’s volatility as we have seen with a number of the players who entered the Majors over previous seasons have shown us.

The biggest issue with the position is dependent on the format you are drafting for. In shallower one catcher leagues, it’s often best to wait as long as possible unless a player you covet drops. In deeper two catcher formats, the back end the pool offers negative value giving you more reasons to draft one or both of your catchers early. Knowing how your format and league values the position is crucial to your draft strategy.

Today’s Discussion

With the injury to Kyle Teel and demotion of Harry Ford, they move down the ranks as we head into the final drafts of the season.

The Franchise

The top guy at the position stands alone
The Franchise
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 Cal Raleigh SEA C/DH 18 $30

Cal Raleigh is coming off of an historic season where he hit the most home runs ever by a catcher and was the #2 player on the player rater. There is no where to go but down but even with regression, he should be the first catcher off the board. He is a great bet for power and counting categories, but the contact skills gives him an average floor is much lower than what we saw in 2025.

Cornerstone Backstops

A ton of high upside talent and Sal Perez!
Cornerstone Backstops
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
2 William Contreras MIL C/DH 55 $22
3 Shea Langeliers OAK C 55 $21
4 Ben Rice NYY C/1B/DH 54 $19
5 Hunter Goodman COL C/DH 64 $23
6 Drake Baldwin ATL C 81 $19
7 Agustin Ramirez MIA C 84 $13
8 Salvador Perez KC C/1B/DH 92 $19

A year after his breakout season, William Contreras took a step back, hitting just .260/.355/.399 with 17 home runs and six stolen bases. Some of that regression was likely injury related as he played through a finger fracture that is now been fixed through surgery. He should rebound now that he is healthy and return to being an elite option.

Shea Langeliers has made massive gains in each of the last two seasons in contact skills going from 78% to 83% to 85% while not sacrificing power or his approach. Hitting in Sacramento is a dream location for him and the A’s should continue to improve.

You can make the argument that Ben Rice should be the #2 catcher in fantasy since he isn’t actually catching this season. While the Yankees have brought back Paul Goldschmidt, I don’t see that hurting Rice long term this season as the Yankees are full of guys that get hurt. His combination of power and contact skills along with the home park could make for a massive season.

Hunter Goodman has elite power but the approach and swing and miss can be a problem for him. Hitting in Colorado will help because of the BABIP inflation and the lack of competition for the role, but the batting average downside is real and he will regress there in 2026.

Drake Baldwin is coming off of winning Rookie of the Year in the National League and there is more upside in the bat. He showcased his great approach and contact skills, but with a launch angle tweak, he could have a massive breakout. His bat speed, average exit velocity, and hard hit percentage were all in the top 85 percentile so if he could elevate some, he could push his homers in the mid twenties which would be some nice upside for a high floor catcher.

Agustin Ramirez showed a better hit tool than expected and the power was as advertised. We can’t sleep on the speed, either, as he went a very solid 16-for-19 on the basepaths. He is not a very good catcher defensively and likely will lose eligibility there at some point, but that is a problem for future seasons. He will get extra PAs at DH which will allow him to rack up plate appearances, but the Marlins supporting cast is meager which will hurt the runs and RBIs.

Being the old man of the group isn’t a bad thing. Salvador Perez is about as consistent as can be. He has back-to-back healthy season with at least 27 home runs and 100 RBIs. The ceiling may not be as high as the rest of the tier, but you don’t get much safer than Sal.

Last Year’s Favorites

Last year’s draft favorites that could jump up a tier!
Last Year’s Favorites
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
9 Yainer Diaz HOU C/1B/DH 111 $14
10 Will Smith LAD C ▲1 98 $13
11 Ivan Herrera STL C/DH ▼1 171 $22
12 Adley Rutschman BAL C/DH 151 $13

When Yainer Diaz hit 23 home runs in just 377 plate appearances in 2023, people thought a full season breakout was coming, but in the last two seasons he has shown that power output was likely an outlier. He still has a high floor because of his fantastic contact ability, but the ceiling dropping a bit is why he is no longer in higher tiers.

Will Smith is about as safe as they come. You can can bank on high teens/low 20s home runs with a good average and great counting stats hitting in the top half of the Dodgers lineup. He actually had the second best barrel rate and hard hit percentages of his career, but it didn’t translate into more power. The downside is that he will never accumulate like other catchers because Ohtani blocks off the designated hitter spot.

Ivan Herrera won’t even be catcher eligible in most formats because he missed so much time with an elbow injury. He is expected to catch some, but will likely reside mostly at DH. After a further deep dive, I am becoming more convinced on his upside. He has great contact skills and the power metrics are way above average. We need to see him show some health, but there is reason to be optimistic that he can take a massive step forward if he is healthy.

Adley Rutschman lost a lot of time last year to injury and really struggled when he was on the field. If healthy, then he is likely to rebound to the levels we saw in 2023 and 2024 at least. There is still upside in the bat from his prospect pedigree and initial call up, but we can no longer project he will automatically get there.

Safe Backstops

Guys that do not have a ton of upside, but arent going to hurt you
Safe Backstops
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
13 Alejandro Kirk TOR C 158 $9
14 Gabriel Moreno ARI C 179 $8

Alejandro Kirk makes a lot of contact and there is some power in the bat, but that makes it a high floor profile rather than one that is super enticing for shallower one catcher formats.

When Gabriel Moreno hit four home runs in the 2023 postseason people got really excited that a massive breakout was coming. That was a mistake, but he is a great defensive catcher with a very good hit tool. He did show a bit more pop with a career-high .433 SLG and 9 HRs, but his .281 AVG points to his high floor as even his career-low .266 from 2023 was tied for 5th-highest at Catcher (min. 350 PA).

Why Is This Position Like This?

Talent with red flags
Why Is This Position Like This?
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
15 Samuel Basallo BAL C/DH 173 $7
16 Francisco Alvarez NYM C 170 $8
17 Austin Wells NYY C 257 $5
18 J.T. Realmuto PHI C 214 $8
19 Ryan Jeffers MIN C/DH 308 $7

Samuel Basallo is a top tier prospect that made his debut in 2025. There is a ton of power in the bat and the question is whether he will make enough contact to unlock at the Major League level. the minor league numbers say he should, but there may be some growing pains, but the upside is tremendous. With the addition of Pete Alonso, he will need to hit to keep his spot, but I believe he will.

Francisco Alvarez has been great when he is on the field, but he has struggled with that since 2023. If he can stay healthy, there is 25-30 homer power. There are few catchers that have his power profile at the position, but he is best served for shallower formats where there is replacement value on the wire.

Austin Wells is built for Yankees Stadium where he can pull the ball in the air to the short porch. He makes better in-zone contact than his average suggests, so there is a chance that he could begin to make gains there, but I wouldn’t project that.

I love J.T. Realmuto, but the skills have been degrading for a while. That being said, ending back in Philly was the best case scenario for him. There is still a safe floor up the ceiling is lowering quickly.

Deep League Intrigue

Most useful for 2-Catcher leagues but have the talent to jump up a tier or two
Deep League Intrigue
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
20 Tyler Stephenson CIN C/DH 282 $1
21 Carter Jensen KC C $1
22 Logan O’Hoppe LAA C 245 $3
23 Carlos Narvaez BOS C 414 -$2
24 Carson Kelly CHC C ▲1 613 -$2
25 Dillion Dingler DET C ▲1 268 $2

If Tyler Stephenson had not missed so much time with injury, his line would have looked a lot more similar to his good 2024 season as opposed to his paltry 2023 one. However, his contact skills took a hit with his swinging strike rate rising and his Z-Contact dropping to its lowest mark of his career. He should bounceback some if healthy, but there are red flags here.

Carter Jensen is a top 50 prospect that debuted in 2025 and looked the part in a very small sample. The problem is playing time. With Sal Perez locked in behind the plate and a number of players that will be rotating at DH in Kansas City, it’s hard to find 400 plate appearance for the rookie. If he can find those plate appearances, then there is some upside for a guy that went 20/10 with a .290/.377/.501 line at AAA last season.

 

Passed Balls

Probably best served for the deepest of leagues.
Passed Balls
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
26 Freddy Fermin SD C/DH ▲1 723 $0
27 Keibert Ruiz WAS C/DH ▲1 732 -$6
28 Edgar Quero CHW C ▲1 512 $1
29 Bo Naylor CLE C ▲1 653 $2
30 Victor Caratini MIN C/1B ▲2 692 -$2
31 Kyle Teel CHW C ▼7 228 $0
32 Sean Murphy ATL C ▲1 743 -$1
33 Patrick Bailey SF C ▲1 746 $0
39 Harry Ford WAS C ▼8 696 -$10

There isn’t a lot of upside in Freddy Fermin’s bat, but he has shown he can be a high floor accumulator when given playing time and now that he has escaped Sal Perez’s shadow and moved onto sunny San Diego, he should just get that.

Injuries derailed Keibert Ruiz’s season in 2025 and now there is competition for the role with Ford being acquired via trade this offseason. There wasn’t a ton of upside before and now there is a lower floor if he cannot accumulate as easily.

Edgar Quero is a former top 100 prospect, but he shares the role with Teel and is not as good of a defender. There isn’t much of a carrying tool for fantasy in the profile so he needs to get a lot of plate appearances in order to accumulate.

I understand why some people love Bo Naylor. While a good pop-good approach-no hit tool profile is not usually a problem in fantasy, but when you are on a team that loves Austin Hedges for his defense so much that you get stuck under 415 plate appearances, then the low ceiling/low floor combo isn’t as enticing.

Victor Caratini signed a deal to be the backup catcher in Minnesota. He will pick up added plate appearances at DH as well making him an interesting deep league third catcher or even a low end C2.

Kyle Teel is going to miss 4-6 weeks with a Grade 2 hamstring strain. Once he returns, he should go back to being the top catcher on the team, but you will have to stash him until then.

Sean Murphy has fallen off since coming to Atlanta and he likely isn’t regaining his pre-Braves form, but maybe if he gets a change of scenery via trade, he could become closer to the guy we saw in Oakland. There is a chance he misses time at the beginning of the season due to offseason hip surgery which is the reason for the drop. If we get a better timeline, he could move further down or back up.

Patrick Bailey is a premium defender behind the plate, but the offensive skills have never caught up to the defense. However, he will accumulate because he does not miss any games.

Harry Ford is a top 50 prospect who debuted in 2025, but was only given eight plate appearances in a small cup of coffee in the Majors. The 22-year-old was fantastic in AAA in 2025, hitting .283/.408/.460 with 16 home runs and seven stolen bases in 458 plate appearances. He was moved this offseason to Washington, but will begin the year in AAA. There is some decent upside, but his power is still developing some.

Emergency Catchers

Useful in draft and hold formats
Emergency Catchers
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
34 Nick Fortes TBR C ▲1 -$8
35 Jonah Heim ATL C/DH ▲1 -$20
36 Miguel Amaya CHC C ▲1 735 -$7
37 Joey Bart PIT C/DH ▲1 -$9
38 Danny Jansen TEX C ▲1 -$4

Jonah Heim has signed a deal in Atlanta but he isn’t much more than depth until Sean Murphy returns.

Danny Jansen has never lived up to the early career hype, but he will play and can accumulate for deeper formats as long as he’s healthy.

Bullpen Catchers

The Rest
Bullpen Catchers
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
40 Pedro Pages STL C -$7
41 Dalton Rushing LAD C 743 -$13
42 Rafael Marchan PHI C -$17
43 Liam Hicks MIA C/1B 747 -$10
44 Connor Wong BOS C/1B/DH -$11
45 Joe Mack MIA C -$10
46 Mitch Garver SEA C/DH -$20
47 Kyle Higashioka TEX C -$8
48 Henry Davis PIT C 747 -$10
49 Jeferson Quero MIL C -$22
50 Korey Lee CHW C -$16

Dalton Rushing has talent, but he needs a trade more than anyone in baseball and in spite of early offseason rumors that the Dodgers could move him, it appears he will stay in LA for now. If he does get moved, he would shoot up the ranks further.

Joe Mack is a top 50 prospect that has power and is fantastic behind the plate. However, he really struggles with contact. His defense should prevent him from becoming a AAAA player, but there is a chance he spends the entire season in AAA trying to improve his hit tool.

Jeferson Quero is one of the Brewers top prospects and will be ready for the Majors at some point this season, but with Contreras in tow, I don’t know if there will be enough plate appearances to matter in 2026.


Full Rankings Without Tiers

No tiers. Just the rankings.
Full Rankings Without Tiers
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 Cal Raleigh SEA C/DH 18 $30
2 William Contreras MIL C/DH 55 $22
3 Shea Langeliers OAK C 55 $21
4 Ben Rice NYY C/1B/DH 54 $19
5 Hunter Goodman COL C/DH 64 $23
6 Drake Baldwin ATL C 81 $19
7 Agustin Ramirez MIA C 84 $13
8 Salvador Perez KC C/1B/DH 92 $19
9 Yainer Diaz HOU C/1B/DH 111 $14
10 Will Smith LAD C ▲1 98 $13
11 Ivan Herrera STL C/DH ▼1 171 $22
12 Adley Rutschman BAL C/DH 151 $13
13 Alejandro Kirk TOR C 158 $9
14 Gabriel Moreno ARI C 179 $8
15 Samuel Basallo BAL C/DH 173 $7
16 Francisco Alvarez NYM C 170 $8
17 Austin Wells NYY C 257 $5
18 J.T. Realmuto PHI C 214 $8
19 Ryan Jeffers MIN C/DH 308 $7
20 Tyler Stephenson CIN C/DH 282 $1
21 Carter Jensen KC C $1
22 Logan O’Hoppe LAA C 245 $3
23 Carlos Narvaez BOS C 414 -$2
24 Carson Kelly CHC C ▲1 613 -$2
25 Dillion Dingler DET C ▲1 268 $2
26 Freddy Fermin SD C/DH ▲1 723 $0
27 Keibert Ruiz WAS C/DH ▲1 732 -$6
28 Edgar Quero CHW C ▲1 512 $1
29 Bo Naylor CLE C ▲1 653 $2
30 Victor Caratini MIN C/1B ▲2 692 -$2
31 Kyle Teel CHW C ▼7 228 $0
32 Sean Murphy ATL C ▲1 743 -$1
33 Patrick Bailey SF C ▲1 746 $0
34 Nick Fortes TBR C ▲1 -$8
35 Jonah Heim ATL C/DH ▲1 -$20
36 Miguel Amaya CHC C ▲1 735 -$7
37 Joey Bart PIT C/DH ▲1 -$9
38 Danny Jansen TEX C ▲1 -$4
39 Harry Ford WAS C ▼8 696 -$10
40 Pedro Pages STL C -$7
41 Dalton Rushing LAD C 743 -$13
42 Rafael Marchan PHI C -$17
43 Liam Hicks MIA C/1B 747 -$10
44 Connor Wong BOS C/1B/DH -$11
45 Joe Mack MIA C -$10
46 Mitch Garver SEA C/DH -$20
47 Kyle Higashioka TEX C -$8
48 Henry Davis PIT C 747 -$10
49 Jeferson Quero MIL C -$22
50 Korey Lee CHW C -$16

Shortstop 2026 Fantasy Rankings

Sep 24, 2025; West Sacramento, California, USA; Athletics shortstop Jacob Wilson (5) jogs towards the dugout before the start of the game against the Houston Astros at Sutter Health Park. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-Imagn Images

Changelog

  • 12/22/2025 – First Release
  • 1/12/2026 – Projections update
  • 1/26/2026 – Bo Bichette signing
  • 2/1/2026 – Ha-Seong Kim injury, Projections update
  • 2/18/2026 – Willi Castro signing, Injuries to Lindor and Holliday
  • 2/27/2026 – Projections and ADP Update
  • 3/10/2026 – Spring training overreactions and projections update.
  • 3/20/2026 – Ha-Seong Kim injury timeline, projections and ADP update

Ranking Methodology

  • Updated ADP data from NFBC Draft Champions to NFBC Online Championships.
  • $ Values are based on standard 5×5 12-team league using the FanGraphs Depth Charts and these Auction Calculator settings. They default to a player’s most valuable position, so if the first base list includes a catcher, it will show that player’s value at catcher.
  • ADP and $ Values are updated as of the last update date on this post.
  • 5-game eligibility was used for these lists to cast the widest net.

Shortstop Overview

The shortstop position is once again the deepest position in fantasy from top to bottom. There is a great mix of talent from old, reliable vets to young up and comers. However, a lot of the position has eligibility at other spots and there are big drop offs through out.

Today’s Discussion

Added news on Ha-Seong Kim’s injury timeline, moved up the trio of rookies that are trending towards making their team’s Opening Day rosters.

Short(stop) King

The top guy at the position stands alone
Short(stop) King
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 Bobby Witt Jr. KC SS 3 $35

Bobby Witt Jr. was fantastic, but just didn’t hit for quite the power he did in 2024 and 2023. However, some of that can be chalked up to the injuries he played through. In spite of that, he still got to 687 plate appearances and stole 38 bases. If he is back to being full healthy, there is no reason to think that he cannot only be the top SS but challenge for the top player in fantasy not named Shohei.

Five Category Wizards

Top tier talent worth reaching for at shortstop.
Five Category Wizards
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
2 Elly De La Cruz CIN SS 9 $28
3 Gunnar Henderson BAL SS 12 $28
4 Zach Neto LAA SS 30 $23

There is an argument that Elly De La Cruz should be in the first tier with Witt, but there is just a bit more risk to his profile. He is making small improvements in the contact skills which is encouraging, but he definitely struggled in the second half, only hitting four home runs and stealing 12 bases. Manager Terry Francona stated that he would likely be giving him more days off after the break next year which could help but would lower his plate appearance upside a little. There upside is immense and at some point he could easily be the top player in fantasy, but the floor keeps him from challenging Witt for now.

Gunnar Henderson started the year on the IL and never really had the hot streak from a power perspective that one would have expected after his 2024 breakout. The more concerning part is the struggles versus lefties that plagued him in his rookie season returned. I do believe the power returns and he is better in 2025, but it may not be back to the 2024 levels and may look more like his 2023 season.

In spite of starting the year on the IL due to offseason injury, Zach Neto still posted a 26/26 season and has made improvements on the underlying contact skills and power metrics. If not for starting the year on the IL and then ending it on the IL with a hand strain, he would have likely had a 30/30 season. The only issue for Neto is the lineup around him as the Angels have traded away Ward and it doesn’t seem like they will add much to support Neto and Trout.

Speed Demons With A Bit Of Power

These guys can change the makeup of your team in multiple categories without making you sacrifice the other ones.
Speed Demons With A Bit Of Power
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
5 Trea Turner PHI SS 26 $22
6 Francisco Lindor NYM SS 26 $21
7 Maikel Garcia KCR 2B/3B/SS/OF 66 $15
10 CJ Abrams WAS SS 65 $16

Trea Turner still is a premium talent, but the power decline has been noticeable as he has had a dip in two straight seasons in homers and fly balls. He has also missed more time than he used to over his last two seasons, but still offers quality production in runs, stolen bases, and average.

Francisco Lindor has gone 31/31 in two of the last three seasons and the one time he didn’t, he missed it by just two stolen bases in 2024. His profile is about as consistent as they come and the only thing that could change his rank is the talk that he could be traded this offseason. Lindor broke hit hamate bone and had surgery. He is expected to be ready by or soon after Opening Day, but his power could be lower early in the season.

Maikel Garcia has elite contact skills, but the addition of some power was the nice surprise. he improved his is barrel rate, his hard hit percentage and his exit velocities. Now, he is never going to be a massive homer or RBI threat, but to go from someone who hurt you in two categories to a contributor in five is massive. If the young offense behind him can continue to grow, Garcia could find himself pushing up into the next tier.

In spite of a terrible approach and questionable defense, CJ Abrams has turned into a pretty good fantasy option as a player who makes enough contact and then uses his speed to rack base hits and stolen bases. He likely won’t take another step forward until he improves his approach, but there isn’t a reason to believe he will until we see or hear something different.

Up The Middle Menaces

Great shortstop options or elite MIs
Up The Middle Menaces
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
8 Mookie Betts LAD SS/OF 59 $20
9 Nico Hoerner CHC 2B/SS 104 $11
11 Corey Seager TEX SS/DH 95 $12
12 Willy Adames SF SS 129 $12
13 Geraldo Perdomo ARI SS 76 $16

Remember when Mookie Betts got sick during the Tokyo Series and lost 20 lbs because he vomited up every time he ate? We have to wonder if that was responsible for a lot of his struggles in the first half of the season. Obviously, it may just be natural regression as he ages into his 30s, but there are reasons to be concerned at this point. This will be the cheapest you will have been able to draft him ever and there isn’t much risk of him completely falling off, but the upside certainly seems limited. I agonized over where to rank him because this does feel low, so he could find himself moving up as the offseason rolls on.

Nico Hoerner was an afterthought in drafts last season due to concerns he could start the year on the IL since he was recovering from offseason surgery. However, he ended up being ready for the start of the actual season (missing the Tokyo Series) and being the guy he has been his entire career which is be a good asset in runs, stolen bases and batting average. He can actively hurt you in home runs and RBI which holds him back from moving up with Turner and Garcia, but he is a safe bet for a 30+ stolen bases and a good average and there is a range of outcomes where he competes for a batting title.

Corey Seager is a stud on a per plate appearance basis, but he struggles to stay on the field. In shallow leagues, that’s fine because of the replacement value at the position, but it becomes harder to roster him the deeper the league gets. The skills are immaculate and there is talk he could be moved this offseason which would likely be a park upgrade, but that is a discussion for a different day.

Willy Adames really struggled in the his first few months with the Giants, but once July hit, he was a different player, hitting .242/.341/.512 with 21 home runs and eight stolen bases in 328 plate appearances. The park and team do not do him many favors and while it’s hard to know for sure how new manager Tony Vitello will approach things, Vitello did not push things on the basepaths in Tennessee in 2025 so a bump in stolen bases may not be on the horizon. He did become the first Giant to hit 30 homers since Barry Bonds left so you should get power and good counting stats at worst.

Death, taxes, and Justin Mason giving up on a player a year before his breakout are the most guaranteed things in this world. Geraldo Perdomo was unreal in 2025, hitting .290/.389/.462 with 20 home runs and 27 stolen bases. The power is likely to regress with his 6.2% barrel rate and a 32% hard hit percentage. However, the stolen bases can definitely stick around and he is a very good in-zone hitter which I always love. The most important thing is the health. This was Perdomo’s first season in which he was able to stay on the field and get over the 500 plate appearance mark. If he can stay on the field, he can accumulate and be very valuable.

Set It and Forget It(ish)

There’s talent here, but it comes with some risk.
Set It and Forget It(ish)
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
14 Matt McLain CIN 2B/SS ▲6 166 $6
15 Jeremy Pena HOU SS ▼1 112 $11
16 Trevor Story BOS SS ▼1 109 $16
17 Dansby Swanson CHC SS ▼1 149 $10
18 Xavier Edwards MIA SS ▼1 186 $6
19 Bo Bichette NYM SS ▼1 95 $17
20 Jacob Wilson OAK SS ▼1 191 $13
21 Jackson Holliday BAL 2B/SS 199 -$1

It’s hard to know what to make of Matt McLain at this point. He broke out of nowhere in 2023, missed all of 2024, and then was extremely uneven in his return to the field in 2025. A lot of the skills we saw in 2023 were still intact in 2025, but he was unable to maintain the high BABIP rate and he lifted the ball too much which caused his line drive rate to drop from 24% (9th best in baseball) to 17% (14th worst in baseball.) The question is whether his 2026 will look more like his 2025 season than his 2023 debut which I tend to believe it will unless we get more of a reason to think otherwise before drafts are in full force. He is having a massive spring which account for his rise in the ranks.

At this point, Jeremy Pena is who he: a very good accumulator on a good team. There likely isn’t another level but when on the field he is a 15/20 threat. The problem with Pena is he fractured his finger which means he will likely miss time at the beginning of the season which lowers his value a tad bit because there will be less time for him to accumulate. However, once he returns, he should go back to being a very stable shortstop with a safe floor.

Prior to 2025, Trevor Story had not been able to stay on the field since arriving in Boston. It all came together in 2025 when he put together his best season since 2019. He is 33 and has a long injury history at this point, so there is a ton of risk that he doesn’t get back to 600 plate appearances, but especially in shallower formats where there is plenty of replacement value, he is well worth the risk.

Bo Bichette has signed a multi-year deal with the Mets to play third base. He is moving to a worse park for his power and will be seeing pitchers he is much less familar with. He could get a boost in stolen bases as the Mets did run much more than the Blue Jays, but this isn’t the best overall fit for him. Picking up third base will be nice, but he does drop a little bit in the ranks.

Jacob Wilson was on pace for a Rookie of the Year caliber season before he broke his forearm and missed a month of the season. Wilson has one of the best hit tools in all of baseball, but there isn’t a lot else in the profile. He did hit 13 home runs which was surprising especially because half of those happened on the road. The problem with one category guys is if they get hurt or slump, they can really make it hard to replace their value on the wire, but the price is fair and if you need average, he will definitely give you plenty.

Jackson Holliday was decent in his first full season in the Majors and while there wasn’t a ton to do backflips over, he just turned 22 and the underlying skills are pretty well set for the future. We know there is good underlying power in Jackson’s bat and when it finally shows, he could be a stud, but it’s hard to know when that will happen. For now, he is a high floor guy that should continue to get better as he matures, but if people start paying for the breakout, that might be premature for 2026. Holliday will now miss Opening Day after getting surgery on his broken hamate bone. Expect him to return soon after Opening Day.

Prospects That Could Make the Team

New tier for prospects that have a real shot at being on the Opening Day roster
Prospects That Could Make the Team
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
22 Kevin McGonigle DET SS ▲6 $4
23 JJ Wetherholt STL SS ▲6 $2
24 Konnor Griffin PIT SS ▲6 $6

Kevin McGonigle doesn’t have a ton of power or speed, but what he does do is rake. His highest strikeout rate at any level was 12.6% and does a bit of everything. He is having a great spring and is projected to lead off for the Tigers to start the season.

With the trade of Brendan Donovan, JJ Wetherholt has a real shot to win a roster spot in St. Louis. The Cardinals top prospect has a great hit tool and approach but he doesn’t have immense power or speed so for him to be a vaulable fantasy player, he needs that playing time to accumulate. He has that chance now and St. Louis is not going to block him off from doing so.

Konnor Griffin is the top prospect in baseball for a reason. Recent reports say the Pirates will give him a shot to break camp camp with the team. I am still dubious that they actually start his clock, but there is amazing upside if they do. He could shoot up this list into the top 20 if it seems like he will be on the Opening Day roster.

Shortstops With Red Flags

These guys have the talent to jump up and be more but also have a red flag or two or three that add on risk
Shortstops With Red Flags
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
25 Ezequiel Tovar COL SS ▼3 208 $12
26 Bryson Stott PHI 2B/SS ▼3 187 $7
27 Brendon Donovan SEA 2B/SS/OF ▼3 271 $1
28 Xander Bogaerts SD 2B/SS ▼3 239 $5
29 Colson Montgomery CHW SS ▼3 244 $2
30 Nasim Nunez WAS 2B/SS ▼3 620 -$11
31 Masyn Winn STL SS 319 $7
32 Ernie Clement TOR 1B/2B/3B/SS 344 $6
33 Otto Lopez MIA 2B/SS 230 $5
34 Joey Ortiz MIL 3B/SS 743 $3
35 Andrew Gimenez TOR 2B/SS 371 $5
36 Carlos Correa HOU SS 283 $1
37 Chase Meidroth CHW 2B/SS 622 -$3
38 Willi Castro COL 2B/3B/SS/OF 259 $1
39 Jose Caballero NYY 2B/3B/SS ▲2 205 -$11
40 Brooks Lee MIN 2B/3B/SS ▼1 520 -$1

Ezequiel Tovar lost over 60 games in 2025 to injuries and when he returned in the second half, he struggled to get going completely. He still has terrible plate discipline and is not a great in-zone hitter and while there is pop and Coors helps, the underlying skills are a problem.

Brendon Donovan is a high floor, low ceiling glue guy that could be a runs/average play in a lot of leagues if he can stay healthy. Unfortunately, he has struggled with that in all, but one of his seasons in the Majors. He is was traded to the Mariners and moving there hurts his offensive upside some, but he should lead off for a good offense which offsets it some.

Colson Montgomery has power and a pretty good approach, but he struggles with consistent contact. That won’t be a problem on a rebuilding team in Chicago, but he could hurt your batting average in a ton of formats. If he can make just a bit more contact, he could jump up a few tiers and at 24 years old, there is still room for skills growth.

Nasim Nunez has speed and is good defensively, but not a ton else in the profile. He does walk some, so if he can make league average contact, there could be some upside here on a guy that is penciled into a regular role right now in Washington.

Ernie Clement had an unreal postseason run, hitting .411/.416/.562. Add that into his fantastic positional eligibility and there is going to be some hype on him heading into drafts. He makes a ton of in-zone contact, which I love but he also struggled with swinging too much outside the zone and his lack of punch paints a mediocre picture. Right now, he has a full time role, but he will need to hit consistently to keep it.

Willi Castro signed a deal to be the everyday third baseman in Colorado. Castro will benefit from the new home park and playing time and has been a 30 stolen base threat in the past and if the Rockies let him run, he could be a nice value on draft day.

Jose Caballero has a ton of speed and he puts it to good use when he gets playing time. Unless the Yankees bring in someone else, he will get that shot to begin the year with Volpe being on the IL. Even if you get nothing else from him in 2026, he could steal 50-60 bases this year.

Deep League MIs

Shallow leagues are not drafting these guys, but still should keep them on your radar
Deep League MIs
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
41 Mauricio Dubon ATL 2B/3B/SS/OF ▲6 747 -$11
42 Anthony Volpe NYY SS ▼2 634 -$5
43 Ha-Seong Kim ATL SS ▲20 743 -$8
44 Jared Triolo PIT 1B/2B/3B/SS ▼2 735 -$6
45 Brayan Rocchio CLE SS ▼2 -$6
46 Jake Cronenworth SD 1B/2B/SS ▼2 743 -$2
47 J.P. Crawford SEA SS ▼2 747 -$4
48 Nick Gonzales PIT 2B/SS ▼2 -$10

With Kim out for the first half of the season, Mauricio Dubon is expected to get most of plate appearances at shortstop for the Braves. There isnt a ton of upside here but he will get plate appearances.

Anthony Volpe has all the talent in the world, but has struggled over the course of his first few seasons. A lot of people in and out of New York seem ready to give up on him, but he still has power and speed along with a better hit tool than he gets credit for. He is low on these ranks because he is likely to begin the season on the IL and there is a chance the Yankees move on from him, but I am not ready to completely disregard him at 25 years old.

Ha-Seong Kim is now doing infield drills which means he could be back much sooner than the original timeline suggested. There is still some risk he misses a good amount of time at the beginning of the season, but the hope is he can return in early May.

The Rest

Really deep league guys at best
The Rest
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
49 Brooks Baldwin CHW 2B/3B/SS/OF ▼1 747 -$10
50 Josh Smith TEX 3B/SS/DH ▼1 486 -$7
51 Gabriel Arias CLE 2B/3B/SS ▼1 747 -$10
52 Max Muncy OAK 2B/3B/SS ▼1 722 -$10
53 Zach McKinstry DET 2B/3B/SS/OF ▼1 490 -$11
54 Hyeseong Kim LAD 2B/SS/OF ▼1 727 -$24
55 Ryan Ritter COL 2B/SS ▼1 -$18
56 Isiah Kiner-Falefa PIT 2B/3B/SS ▼1 747 -$24
57 Taylor Walls TB 2B/SS ▼1 -$20
58 Ezequiel Duran TEX 1B/2B/3B/SS/OF ▼1 -$19
59 Javier Baéz DET 2B/3B/SS/OF ▼1 743 -$10
62 Oswald Peraza LAA 1B/2B/3B/SS ▼2 -$19
63 David Hamilton MIL 2B/SS ▼2 739 -$20
64 Thomas Saggese STL 2B/3B/SS ▼2 -$24
65 Ronny Mauricio NYM 2B/3B/SS/DH ▼1 -$25

Find someone who loves you as much as the Rays love Taylor Walls. Just don’t draft them or Walls for your fantasy team.

The trade to Milwaukee is a nice change of scenery for David Hamilton, but it doesn’t really improve his chance to be a starter unless Jett Williams struggles.

Thomas Saggese moves up a bit with the trade of Donovan, but it looks like Wetherholt will get the shot before him at second base.

Prospects That Could Debut This Year

The future may be here sooner rather than later for some of these guys.
Prospects That Could Debut This Year
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
60 Colt Emerson SEA SS ▲6 -$18
61 Jett Williams MIL SS ▼2 -$25
66 Carson Williams TB SS ▼1 747 -$9
67 Aidan Miller PHI SS -$31

With the trade of Caleb Durbin to Boston, Jett Williams will be given a chance to make the team as either the starting shortstop or third baseman in Milwaukee. Williams is a former first round pick that has power and speed, but struggles with consistent contact. The Brewer mold is a heavy contact and glove first type which Williams is not, but if he wins a role, he has a lot of upside in the bat. The addition of Luis Rengifo makes it harder for Williams to make the roster which is the reason for his fall.

Carson Williams struggled in his debut in 2025 but, the lack of hit tool is a huge problem. With the Rays shedding salary, he probably will get a good amount of PAs at some point, but he was demoted to the minors recently and will have to earn his way back to the Majors.


Full Rankings Without Tiers

No tiers. Just the rankings.
Full Rankings Without Tiers
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 Bobby Witt Jr. KC SS 3 $35
2 Elly De La Cruz CIN SS 9 $28
3 Gunnar Henderson BAL SS 12 $28
4 Zach Neto LAA SS 30 $23
5 Trea Turner PHI SS 26 $22
6 Francisco Lindor NYM SS 26 $21
7 Maikel Garcia KCR 2B/3B/SS/OF 66 $15
8 Mookie Betts LAD SS/OF 59 $20
9 Nico Hoerner CHC 2B/SS 104 $11
10 CJ Abrams WAS SS 65 $16
11 Corey Seager TEX SS/DH 95 $12
12 Willy Adames SF SS 129 $12
13 Geraldo Perdomo ARI SS 76 $16
14 Matt McLain CIN 2B/SS ▲6 166 $6
15 Jeremy Pena HOU SS ▼1 112 $11
16 Trevor Story BOS SS ▼1 109 $16
17 Dansby Swanson CHC SS ▼1 149 $10
18 Xavier Edwards MIA SS ▼1 186 $6
19 Bo Bichette NYM SS ▼1 95 $17
20 Jacob Wilson OAK SS ▼1 191 $13
21 Jackson Holliday BAL 2B/SS 199 -$1
22 Kevin McGonigle DET SS ▲6 $4
23 JJ Wetherholt STL SS ▲6 $2
24 Konnor Griffin PIT SS ▲6 $6
25 Ezequiel Tovar COL SS ▼3 208 $12
26 Bryson Stott PHI 2B/SS ▼3 187 $7
27 Brendon Donovan SEA 2B/SS/OF ▼3 271 $1
28 Xander Bogaerts SD 2B/SS ▼3 239 $5
29 Colson Montgomery CHW SS ▼3 244 $2
30 Nasim Nunez WAS 2B/SS ▼3 620 -$11
31 Masyn Winn STL SS 319 $7
32 Ernie Clement TOR 1B/2B/3B/SS 344 $6
33 Otto Lopez MIA 2B/SS 230 $5
34 Joey Ortiz MIL 3B/SS 743 $3
35 Andrew Gimenez TOR 2B/SS 371 $5
36 Carlos Correa HOU SS 283 $1
37 Chase Meidroth CHW 2B/SS 622 -$3
38 Willi Castro COL 2B/3B/SS/OF 259 $1
39 Jose Caballero NYY 2B/3B/SS ▲2 205 -$11
40 Brooks Lee MIN 2B/3B/SS ▼1 520 -$1
41 Mauricio Dubon ATL 2B/3B/SS/OF ▲6 747 -$11
42 Anthony Volpe NYY SS ▼2 634 -$5
43 Ha-Seong Kim ATL SS ▲20 743 -$8
44 Jared Triolo PIT 1B/2B/3B/SS ▼2 735 -$6
45 Brayan Rocchio CLE SS ▼2 -$6
46 Jake Cronenworth SD 1B/2B/SS ▼2 743 -$2
47 J.P. Crawford SEA SS ▼2 747 -$4
48 Nick Gonzales PIT 2B/SS ▼2 -$10
49 Brooks Baldwin CHW 2B/3B/SS/OF ▼1 747 -$10
50 Josh Smith TEX 3B/SS/DH ▼1 486 -$7
51 Gabriel Arias CLE 2B/3B/SS ▼1 747 -$10
52 Max Muncy OAK 2B/3B/SS ▼1 722 -$10
53 Zach McKinstry DET 2B/3B/SS/OF ▼1 490 -$11
54 Hyeseong Kim LAD 2B/SS/OF ▼1 727 -$24
55 Ryan Ritter COL 2B/SS ▼1 -$18
56 Isiah Kiner-Falefa PIT 2B/3B/SS ▼1 747 -$24
57 Taylor Walls TB 2B/SS ▼1 -$20
58 Ezequiel Duran TEX 1B/2B/3B/SS/OF ▼1 -$19
59 Javier Baéz DET 2B/3B/SS/OF ▼1 743 -$10
60 Colt Emerson SEA SS ▲6 -$18
61 Jett Williams MIL SS ▼2 -$25
62 Oswald Peraza LAA 1B/2B/3B/SS ▼2 -$19
63 David Hamilton MIL 2B/SS ▼2 739 -$20
64 Thomas Saggese STL 2B/3B/SS ▼2 -$24
65 Ronny Mauricio NYM 2B/3B/SS/DH ▼1 -$25
66 Carson Williams TB SS ▼1 747 -$9
67 Aidan Miller PHI SS -$31

Mining the News (3/18/26)


Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

• While this blurb is directly about Seiya Suzuki, it points out that players can cut their IL stint from 10 to seven days if they don’t play in the last three Spring Training games. If a guy is not playing in a regular Spring Training game this upcoming weekend (back fields appearances don’t count), they may be headed to the IL, with a chance to be back in seven rather than 10 games.

The big question for the Cubs right now, in relation to both the WBC and the regular season, is whether Seiya Suzuki’s PCL sprain will prevent him from being available on Opening Day. The Cubs will see how Suzuki feels by the end of this weekend, and then make a decision on whether it’s an Injured List situation or not. The timing there matters, as an IL stint can be backdated by up to three days. In other words, the Cubs will want to know by this weekend whether they want to put Suzuki into the final few Cactus League games to ramp him up, or whether they need to hold him out so that they can backdate the maximum three days (and thus turn his 10-day minimum IL stint, effectively, into a 7-day minimum IL stint). Read the rest of this entry »


Paul Sporer Baseball Chat – March 18th, 2026

Thanks for coming out!

1:03

Paul Sporer: Hey y’all!! Thanks for coming out. Last big draft weekend coming up, I’ll have a sizable SP rankings update coming. Likely tomorrow, no later than Friday AM.

1:03

Bria: Do you have any long term health concerns about Crochet?

1:06

Paul Sporer: Not any more than every SP which is to say yes, I do, it’s just not actionable. Knowing that literally every pitcher can and at some point almost certainly WILL break leaves me focused way more on skills over health. Obviously, guys currently dealing with injuries, freshly back them, or with an extensive history of them carry extra risk, but there is no such thing as a safe pitcher, so gimme the best skills. (This doesn’t mean stacking Rodon, Snell, Cole on a team, but rather not eschewing a more talented but higher injury risk guy for a lesser talented guy and the myth of safety)

1:06

Matt: Joined a league with a FAB this year for the first time – I’m usually in Ottoneu/dynasty world. How do you recommend approaching FA? I’m usually VERY active on the wire, so will try as many $0 bids as possible, but how should I think about allocating my dollars? Is it mostly impact call-ups?

1:07

Paul Sporer: Yeah impact call-ups and injury replacements. Spamming the mid and lower tier bids is usually the better option v. the big budget players. Rarely do the triple-digits really deliver. Doesn’t mean you NEVER go for ’em, but be very smart about when to take that shot.

1:07

Chuck: How high would you go on Palencia in a 6×6 format with saves and holds separate cats?

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Justin Mason’s 2026 Tout Wars Team: The McGonigle Mishap

Detroit Tigers shortstop Kevin McGonigle (85) bats during the third inning against the Toronto Blue Jays at Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium.
Credit: Mike Watters-Imagn Images

Every year many of the best minds in the fantasy industry are invited to leagues that draft in New York City in the middle of March for Tout Wars. I was also invited. 

This year I participated in the Tout Wars Mixed Auction. This is a 5×5 roto league using OBP instead of average. The other wrinkle in Tout Wars is unlimited IL slots, which definitely changes auction strategy compared to NFBC or other formats. 

After pulling a Labadini in my LABR auction, I wanted to go back to my traditional balanced approach to try and take advantage of what is often an over aggressive room. At least a few people expected for me to do something crazy or just go for the Labadini again, so by sticking with my normal strategy, I was hoping it would still throw some people. 

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1486 – 2026 Starting Pitcher Preview Pt. 4 ft. Eric Samulski

3/17/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

2026 STARTER PREVIEW Pt. 4

As usual, don’t hesitate to tweet us or comment below with fantasy questions.

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Approximately 72 minutes of joyous analysis.


Jeff Zimmerman’s Tout Wars Mixed Auction Recap


John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images

This past weekend, I participated in the Tout Wars mixed auction. I’ve been in the league for about a decade and have won the league a couple of times. Previously, when I won the league, I used a value approach, but over the last few years, the league winners have leaned stars and scrubs. After some middling performances, I needed to find a way to get back to the top. I decided to lean into the league’s tendencies and rules to get ahead.

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Optimal ADP Clusters: End Game Outfielders

New York Yankees left fielder Jasson Dominguez (24) hits a one run single against the St. Louis Cardinals during the fourth inning at Busch Stadium.
Credit: Jeff Curry-Imagn Images

Don’t it always seem to go, you don’t know what you got ‘til it’s gone.”

Joni Mitchell may not be a roto savant, but even she might agree that the best part of the fantasy baseball season is research-and-draft season. Every day, from February until Opening Day, is so incredibly thrilling – nonstop spring training news, draft rankings adjustments, and player pool deep-dives – there’s always some rabbit hole of research to go down. As we continue studying and gaining confidence in the fresh player pool and a new year’s ADP, more questions arise, and the more work there is to be done.

Whether in NFBC or best ball contests, high-volume early drafters subconsciously form bad habits in draft rooms. We get too comfortable targeting and drafting the same players over and over. Conversely, we avoid players who have burned us in previous seasons and those we have some subjective bias against. Rarely do we deep dive and reassess those players because we’ve already made up our minds. That’s why it’s crucial to explore every nook and cranny of a positional tier. We have all fallen victim to draft room paralysis, where a decision between several similarly ranked shortstops or starting pitchers becomes gut-wrenching when we’re on the clock. This preseason column aims to help with those tough calls. We will explore some of the most confusing ADP clusters, by position, beyond the simple “I need to boost my batting average, so I’m taking this guy.”

Let’s dive into these ADP pockets logically and systematically, reviewing four analytical components of the players within each cluster.

  • Playing Time (and Role)
  • Health/Durability
  • Skills/Categorical Contributions
  • Context of Team Offense

ADP Cluster: Post-300 Outfielders

ADP from 17 NFBC 12-team Online Championships (OC) drafts over the last five days (March 12 – March 16)

These outfielders are drafted in the Rounds 25-26 of OCs, typically as an OF5. For shallower 12-teamers with 23-25 rounds, some of these hitters may be early-season waiver targets. Carson Benge is the only one here without major league experience. Jasson Dominguez is rumored to start the season in the minors. Cam Smith, Matt Wallner, Cedric Mullins and Jung Hoo Lee are projected as everyday starters in their respective lineups. Domínguez, Smith, Wallner, and Mullins were all utilized as part of a platoon for parts of the 2025 season.

Playing Time (and Role)

For Jasson Domínguez, it’s a matter of when, not if. The former heralded prospect and top 150 ADP selection from 2025 has seen his 2026 draft stock fall over the last couple of months with expectations of starting the season in Triple-A. After all, the Yankees re-signed Cody Bellinger and Trent Grisham, Giancarlo Stanton (the DH) is healthy (for now) and the great Aaron Judge mans right field. Manager Aaron Boone wants Domínguez to be playing every day, but that opportunity doesn’t yet present itself in the majors. Boone’s problem though is that Domínguez has been forcing his hand with exceptional production in spring training – .371/.395/.686, 3 HR, 10 RBI, 3 SB, 170 wRC+ in 38 plate appearances. Domínguez had a decent rookie season (.257/.331/.388, 58 R, 23-of-27 SB in 429 PA), but his playing time was reduced down the stretch and he essentially didn’t play in the playoffs.

For the last couple of months, RosterResource projected Cam Smith as a short side platoon outfielder. That designation has been shifted to full-time right fielder batting eighth on Opening Day. His RosterResource batting order projection will certainly influence his market price these next couple of weeks. What is more important for drafters is to solidify whether they’re buying or fading based on his profile, not projected playing time, because the latter could fluctuate all season like it did in his rookie year. Smith hit lefties better (130 wRC+, .191 ISO) than he did righties (75, .098), but the sample is a small one and not predictive. Jake Myers will be play centerfield, and the other two spots will be split between Smith and lefty bats Joey Loperfido (welcome back to Houston!) and Zach Cole. Smith played 132 games in right field last season.

Matt Wallner can absolutely mash and he may earn the opportunity for full-time at-bats in the context of a weaker lineup that needs him. In 97 plate appearances against lefties last season, Wallner actually had a higher wRC+ (118) than he did against righties (113 in 295 PA) as well as a similar ISO (.247 vs. RHP, .267 vs. LHP). So far this spring, he is hitting .294 with two homers, a stolen base, and a 14.6% walk rate, through 41 plate appearances.

Cedric Mullins signed with the Rays in December in what will the first Opening Day in his career that he doesn’t don an Orioles uniform. A left-handed hitter, Mullins has avoided being platooned for most of his career, but experienced a little bit of it the last two seasons. We expect the Rays to include him in their lineup against both lefties and righties, though if he struggles, this outfield room is loaded with alternatives, including recently acquired rookie prospect, Jacob Melton. Mullins is 31 and has never been an elite defender in center,  posting negative UZR’s in all but one season. Mullins dealt with a back flare-up a couple of weeks ago, but appears healthy now. Through his first nine spring games, Mullins has two homers and a swipe.

Carson Benge is the sweet-swinging, lefty-batting, first-round selection of the Mets in the 2024 draft. He is having a strong camp (.367/.406/.433) and is projected to crack the Opening Day roster. Though he will likely begin the year on the strong side of a right field platoon with slick defender, Tyrone Taylor.

Jung Hoo Lee was a KBO star who signed a 6-year ($18.8M AAV) deal with the Giants two years ago, missed most of the 2024 season with injury, and produced mediocre results in 2025. Lee played 147 of 149 games in centerfield last season, but is being moved back to his original position from his KBO days (right field), primarily because of the offseason acquisition of Harrison Bader. Lee was a better hitter against righties (118 wRC+) than lefties (77) last season, though new manager Tony Vitello will likely start him every game. If Lee happens to stumble against lefties around a time when Luis Matos or Jerar Encarnacion heat up, it’s possible for Lee to fall into a platoon, but I wouldn’t bet on it.

Health/Durability

None of the outfielders in this cluster have current injuries to worry about, but most of them have had their fair share of injuries over the years.

Cedric Mullins – The oldest of this group (31), Mullins has had a few lower-body related injury stints over the last few seasons. He missed time with a right hamstring strain last spring and missed over a month with a right groin strain in May of 2023.

Jasson Domínguez – He tore his UCL at the end of the 2023 minor-league season and had Tommy John surgery. He suffered a left oblique strain in the summer of 2024 and missed a couple of games (no IL stint) in June of 2025 with a left thumb contusion.

Jung Hoo Lee – He remained relatively health in his South Korea days, though he broke his ankle and missed half the 2023 season. The following year, his first in the Majors, he dislocated his shoulder crashing into an outfield wall in mid-May and underwent season-ending surgery. He tweaked his ankle in the WBC last week, but it turned out to be a minor issue.

Matt Wallner – He missed five weeks early last season after suffering a left hamstring strain. He also dealt with oblique strains in each of the past two seasons. Not surprising considering the big dude swings hard and carries a big stick.

Carson Benge missed his first season of college at Oklahoma State after an elbow injury caused him to undergo Tommy John surgery. His injury was pitching-related, and the two-way player shifted his focus to hitting and playing the outfield.

Cam Smith does not have an injury history other than minor nicks and bruises.

The two who I’d slightly ding fantasy value for their health and durability are Mullins and Wallner.

Skills/Categorical Contributions

Matt Wallner is in a class of his own here because of his prolific power. Some slight data manipulation here, but Wallner’s 16.1% barrel rate is tied with Mike Trout’s for seventh in the majors among hitters with at least 900 plate appearances since 2023. The guys ahead of him: Aaron Judge (26.2%), Shohei Ohtani (21.5%), Giancarlo Stanton (19.1%), Kyle Schwarber (17.7%), Juan Soto (17%), and Oneil Cruz (16.2%) – elite company, indeed. Wallner hit 22 home runs in 104 games (392 PA) last season, and has 30+ HR upside if he can stay off the IL. His batting average won’t be helpful, but he may throw in a few stolen bases and is one of the rare late-round boons for fantasy squads that might be power deficient.

Cedric Mullins had that magical 30-30 (HR-SB) season in 2021. In his past four seasons, he has swiped at least 30 bags twice, and has averaged 16.5 home runs. He has been a batting average killer though – .228 since 2023. A fair expectation for Mullins in his first season with the Rays would be 12-15 homers, 25 stolen bases, 100-130 R/RBI (combined) and another season with a sub-.240 average.

Jung Hoo Lee has the highest batting average upside of the cluster. He hit .319 in his first 30 games of 2025, went through a rough three-month stretch from May through July (.218), then hit .306 from August 1 until the end of the season. He is capable of hitting .290+ over a full season. His only positive roto category contribution was runs scored (73 in 150 games). He is a solid floor contributor, but you won’t see many projection models bless him with anything more than 10 HR and 10 SB. His allure lies within his potential batting average contributions.

Jasson Domínguez, Cam Smith, and Carson Benge are the three young, upside guys. All would project for double-digit homers and swipes with 500+ plate appearances. Dominguez’s distribution would lie higher on the SBs, though he is capable of 20-plus homers if he earns consistent playing time. Domínguez sported a 49.6% hard-hit rate and stole 23 bases on 28 attempts in 429 plate appearances last season. Smith and Benge have 20-HR, 15-SB potential though neither is likely to get there in 2026. Benge is certainly intriguing as a toolsy prospect with the eventual possibility of being a five-category contributor. Note that he only has 103 plate appearances at Triple-A and he struggled there (.178/.272/.311) after crushing it with a .300+ AVG and .400+ OBP in 92 games at High-A and Double-A.

Context of Team Offense

The best team context here is Domínguez’s with the Yankees, but that is if he is able to earn consistent playing time. Wallner’s team context is sneaky as a middle of the order power hitter, though his counting category contributions hinge on Byron Buxton, Luke Keaschall and Royce Lewis staying healthy, which may be asking a lot. Based on home parks, divisions and other hitters in the lineup, the other four from this cluster have a neutral context.

Verdict (with value grades, A-F)

Jasson Domínguez (A-) may have been overpriced in the 125-150 ADP range last season, but he is being greatly undervalued this draft season, at half the cost, because of lack of role clarity. Dominguez is pushing to crack the Opening Day roster and deserves it, but it would be better if he got the reps in Triple-A. Make the low-cost investment in Dominguez late in your drafts if your roster doesn’t have a bench stash already, and you believe that his everyday role with the Yankees is simply a matter of when.

Jung Hoo Lee (B+) won’t wow us in any category other than potentially batting average. He has a high floor and could easily outproduce his draft cost with another 600+ plate appearances. Perhaps he surprises us with a bit more than what models are projecting.

Matt Wallner (B+) is the ideal power-boost option towards the end of drafts, specifically for folks whose roster construction feel light on power after 20 rounds. I’m less worried about a platoon split than oblique issues or other ailments resurfacing.

Cam Smith (B) and Carson Benge (B-) have the widest range of potential outcomes. Spending a chunk of the season isn’t off the table for either of them, but less so for Smith. Benge rocked a 81% contact rate, and despite last season’s struggles with consistency at the plate in Triple-A, he is less likely than Smith to tank us in the batting average category. Smith could fall into a platoon with Loperfido or Cole, but this is unlikely to happen for a prolonged time period.

Cedric Mullins (C+) may seem like a sneaky and savvy late-round option due to his HR-SB upside, but Tropicana Field is a downgrade from Oriole Park and his projected batting average is a massive detractor to his overall projected value.


Justin Mason’s NFBC Online Championship Auction Livestream

Justin Mason drafts his 2026 NFBC Online Championship Auction live! This is a 5×5 Roto auction with an overall.
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Mining the News (3/16/26)

Eric Canha-Imagn Images

American League

Angels

Alek Manoah is still in the mix to make the rotation, with Jack Kochanowicz and George Klassen also being considered.

Manoah still remains the favorite, but right-hander Jack Kochanowicz has pitched well with a 2.08 ERA with one walk in 8 2/3 innings this spring to make himself a candidate for the fifth starter role, while No. 5 prospect George Klassen has also excelled with a 2.25 ERA and nine strikeouts in eight innings.

“He’s still definitely in the mix,” manager Kurt Suzuki said of Manoah. “We haven’t decided on anything. There’s a lot of guys still going, still pitching.”

Manoah still remains the favorite, but right-hander Jack Kochanowicz has pitched well with a 2.08 ERA with one walk in 8 2/3 innings this spring to make himself a candidate for the fifth starter role, while No. 5 prospect George Klassen has also excelled with a 2.25 ERA and nine strikeouts in eight innings.

“He’s still definitely in the mix,” manager Kurt Suzuki said of Manoah. “We haven’t decided on anything. There’s a lot of guys still going, still pitching.”

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