Archive for Featured

Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: Welcome.

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are the winning bids in the two 15-team Tout Wars redraft leagues.

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman:

7:33
fyek276: karros or durbin for 5×5 roto rest of season

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: Durbin

7:33
Another Old Guy: No questions tonight.   Just a thank you for the work you do presenting FAAB data and recommendations, as well as supporting/not supporting underlying metrics.  I know it is a ton of hard work.

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Waiver Wire & FAAB Report (Week 19)


Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

In this article, I cover the players using CBS’s and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now, while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. I start players being added at CBS who started the week on less than 40% of rosters.

The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference, grouped by hitters, starters, and relievers. Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1526 – 2-Start Pitchers for Week 20

7/31/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!

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2-START PITCHERS FOR WK20 (July 31st)

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1:19:52

Prospect Impact: Max Clark & Quinn Matthews


USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect

A couple of “touted” prospects just got promoted, and here is my evaluation on each.

Quinn Matthews: Cardinals Starting Pitcher

I’m optimistic Matthews can eventually be a major league pitcher if he can throw strikes. Let’s start with the good before getting to his command. In each of the past two Triple-A seasons, the 25-year-old lefty has posted strikeout rates around 10.5 K/9. He’s attacking batters with this five-pitch mix (combined stats from ’25 and ’26).

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Dynasty Due Diligence: Late July 2026

New York Yankees left fielder Spencer Jones (78) hits a three-run home run against the Chicago White Sox during the first inning at Rate Field.
Credit: Kamil Krzaczynski-Imagn Images

Series Overview

This series aims to help readers conduct their routine due diligence in their dynasty leagues. It makes use of up-to-date OOPSY Peak projections and my own arbitrary whims to discuss a handful of players, both prospects and major leaguers, who may have seen their perceived value shift recently. Any reference to how a player projects using the FanGraphs auction calculator uses these settings (15-team 5×5 SV 2 C) with OOPSY DC (ROS).

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Prospect Valuation Follow-Up Pt. 2

Credit: USA Today Network via Reuters Connect

Intro

On Tuesday, I followed up my study from last week on how prospect lists translate to fantasy auction value. Last week’s research primarily identified key stratifications in career and peak value based on list placement and whether the player is primarily a pitcher or a hitter. This week, I found that the predictiveness of ranking lists relative to fantasy auction value doesn’t seem to be changing much over time.

But before crossing “prospect lists” off of my dynasty ranking model checklist, I wanted to combine these two analyses to look at how or if the ranking buckets hold when broken into more granular year groupings. This is important to my final rankings because I want whatever bucket groupings I use to be representative enough to capture a reasonable picture of the forward-looking value of a given prospect.

So, how do the buckets shake out? Well, read on.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – July 31st, 2026

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

  • Imanaga is rolling to the point where I’d probably start him against a fully powered Yankees team, but it’s super easy to feel confident in him against the hobbled version of NYY.
  • Could this be Greene’s final start as a Red? They’re getting a lot of heat on him and it wouldn’t be crazy to trade him now that Burns has emerged as the heir apparent ace.
  • Suarez was limited to just 64 pitches off the IL, but dropped 4 scoreless with 6 Ks, 0 BB; should be able to get through 5 if he’s pitching well v. LAD.
  • Leahy has been electric lately so maybe I should’ve given him a 3-x today: 1.70 ERA/0.92 WHIP/19% K-BB over his L7.
  • Young has allowed more than 3 ER just 2x this year and both times it was just 4. The skills don’t scream low-3.00s ERA with just an 11% K-BB and a 1.29 WHIP.
  • I’m fine if you don’t even want to start Peralta in 15s. He’s just been so bad.
  • Peralta/Mize scratched due to trade interest; Yamamoto moved to tomorrow

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Big Kid Adds (Week 18)


Dennis Lee-Imagn Images

While the NFBC Main Event garners most of the attention, there are a handful of leagues with even larger entry fees ($2.5K to $15K). They are named Elite leagues (previously called High Stakes Leagues), and there are nine of them. With so much money on the line, these fantasy managers try to gain every advantage. Most of the time, these managers will be a week or two ahead of everyone else on their adds. Here are the players and some information on the ones added in five or more leagues. Read the rest of this entry »


Starting Pitcher Swap Meet

Credit: David Richard-Imagn Images

With the end of the season in sight, it’s time to kick season-long strategies out of the driver’s seat. Slow and steady may win the race if you’re a tortoise, but in fantasy baseball, it’s either sprint or switch over to football. And who even likes football?

When I say sprint, I mean sprint while throwing any and all things that could weigh you down over your shoulder. Especially in 12-teamers and shallow leagues, this needs to be the mindset. Small sample size holding you back? There’s only a small sample size left! Things are going to be random. It’s getting wiggy. 

Hitters have so many days to frustrate you. Owning Gunnar Henderson this season has been like wading into a pool with a freshly made pizza. Like sure, there’s moments you may enjoy, like the pepperoni-and-pineapple sweet 3-5 game with a bomb. But then your hands get wet, you can barely stand, let alone eat your pizza, and Gunnar is in the midst of a 3-43 stretch. Without a steal. 

You get the picture. 

But today, I’m going to focus on starting pitchers. Relievers are more volatile, and if you’re chasing saves in Roto, best of luck and look to Hogan Harris, I guess? But starting pitchers are truly the kings of the small sample size, especially when the calendar inevitably flips to August. 

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Starting Pitcher Chart – July 30th, 2026

Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings. (Yellow text added in AM)

  • Pérez not only keeps dropping gems, but super gems! He has 4 straight QS, going 7 IP in two of ’em and allowing a total of 5 ER across 26 IP. He has come out of the other end of that injury looking as good as ever.
  • I gave Hancock the full reco at LAD so I’m definitely doing the same for Miller, who has been even better. Hancock was just OK at 5 IP/3 ER/5 Ks with 9 base runners. Miller has been hit in 2 of 3, both of the road, underscoring his gaudy venue-based ERA split: 0.95 at home | 4.02 on the road. He still has a healthy 18% K-BB and 1.14 WHIP on the road so even if we get a baseline QS (6 IP/3 ER), we’d be happy.
  • Burke has had a wonderful season that has hit another level in the summer with an electric K% surge over his L11: 2.49 ERA/1.04 WHIP/24% K-BB, powered by a 33% K rate.
  • I don’t think I’m sitting Gray at ATH as he’s just been so good this year. I’m trying not to let Sandoval’s gem influence me (5 IP/2 ER/7 Ks) and instead leaning on Gray for his merit.
  • Ray is running super hot right now, posting a 1.04 ERA in his L7 despite his WHIP being even higher at 1.18 and a truly poor K-BB of just 9%. That said, SDP doesn’t seem like the team to issue him some regression on those paltry skills so he remains firmly entrenched in the rotation.
  • Sasaki and Weathers seem to be Gem or Dud every time with no rhyme or reason to which is coming when. 
  • Woo in for Miller and his home/road splits are enough to pull outta this entirely for me. 
  • Eovaldi out with Cole Winn opening & Marco Gonzales (yes, that one!) following! 

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