Here is today’s chat transcript:

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Lower wall? No Problem!
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• Daily SP Chart archive
• 2-Start podcast episode
• Preseason SP Rankings (update coming soon!)

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart.

Note: 2026 data is now featured in the chart as of April 13th! We’re still dealing with small samples, but I’ve taken out the 2025 data and you will now see the pitcher’s current numbers and the wOBA rank for their opponent this year so far!

The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations, you don’t really need a shiny stat to be convinced on starting guys like that. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment and I’ll get you an answer when I can. I try to do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.

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7:31	Jeff Zimmerman:

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Kyle Ross-Imagn Images

In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now, while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. I start players being added at CBS who started the week on less than 40% of rosters.

The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference, grouped by hitters, starters, and relievers.

Batters

Jordan Walker: Remains a must roster in all formats with the improved Contact% (66% to 70%) and fewer groundballs (48% to 36%).

Cole Young: Playing every game while hitting .265/.333/.469 with 2 HR.

Troy Johnston: Solid bat (.310/.356/.524, 2 HR) who is about to be first base qualified.

TJ Rumfield: The .371 BABIP won’t last, but he’s showing some solid production (.319/.377/.511, 2 HR).

Josh Bell: A solid contributor this season, hitting .289/.400/.578 with 3 HR.

Angel Martínez: Starting regularly while posting a .333 AVG (.385 BABIP), 1 HR, and 3 SB.

Brady House: Solid production (.277/.346/.468, 2 HR), and besides a .367 BABIP, nothing in his profile has changed from last year.

Mauricio Dubón: Added 1 mph to his bat speed and has as many Barrels (4) this season as last season.

Nick Gonzales: A .273 AVG with 1 SB and almost no power (.068 ISO).

Brandon Marsh: Solid start to the season (2 HR, 1 SB, .273 AVG), but on the strong side of an outfield platoon.

Jorge Soler (suspension coming, fighting): Normal high power (4 HR), low batting average (.240 AVG, 37% K%) self.

Max Muncy (ATH): Leaning on a .452 BABIP to keep up his stats while struggling to make contact (66% K%, 35% K%).

Mark Vientos: While he showed early signs of improvement, his Contact% is down from last year (70% to 67%).

Garrett Mitchell: Healthy, for now, and starting against righties. His .533 BABIP is masking a 39% K% (62% Contact%).

Kyle Isbel: Hitting an amazing .353/.405/.559 (.417 BABIP) with 2 HR and 4 SB. Continues to sit against lefties.

Nasim Nuñez: Stolen bases (7 SB) and nothing else (.184 AVG, .000 ISO).

Miguel Andujar: Part-time bat who has a solid .727 OPS on the season.

Javier Sanoja: Part-time everything who is taking advantage of a .433 BABIP (.371/.389/.457)

Juan Brito: Starting, but no steals or home runs in AAA or the majors.

Jonathan India: Two Barrels, two home runs. That’s it for positives. His power metrics (-3.5 mph avgEV, -6% HardHit%) and contact skills (-5.5% Contact%, +6.3% K%) are declining.

Amed Rosario: Short side platoon bat who is hitting for home runs (2 HR), but his underlying power metrics are on the decline.

Joey Loperfido: Strong-side platoon bat posting a .718 OPS with 1 SB (1 CS).

Luisangel Acuña: While stealing bases (4 SB), he’s struggling otherwise (.214/.244/.214).

Hyeseong Kim 김혜성: Part-time shortstop who should provide some steals (combined 27 SB last year).

Dominic Smith: The 31-year-old has a couple of early home runs, but I don’t believe he’s breaking out.

Catchers

Dillon Dingler: Solid option (.270/.386/.459) with 2 HR so far.

Liam Hicks: Worked on pulling flyballs and has 3 HR so far. Only starting against righties.

Gary Sánchez: Getting some starts at first base and DH helps with the volume. He’s hit 3 HR so far.

Nick Fortes: He’s not embarrassing himself by hitting .324/.359/.486 with 1 HR.

Danny Jansen: Strikeouts are up (32% K%), but still productive (.659 OPS)

Dalton Rushing: The 2.367 OPS (3 HR) is impressive, but he’s only had 10 PA so far.

Tyler Heineman: Playing a bit more with Kirk on the IL. I wonder if his demand is from his .353 AVG (.429 BABIP).

Hitting Prospects

Max Clark: In AAA, the 21-year-old outfielder is batting .413/.491/.630 with 0 HR and 6 SB in 57 PA.

Sam Antonacci: In AAA, the 23-year-old outfielder is batting .317/.491/.488 with 2 HR and 4 SB in 56 PA.

James Tibbs III: In AAA, the 23-year-old outfielder is batting .377/.450/.887 with 7 HR and 0 SB in 60 PA.

Charlie Condon: In AAA, the 22-year-old first baseman is batting .286/.405/.571 with 3 HR and 1 SB in 42 PA.

Starting Pitchers: For many of these arms, their talent is from the 3.75 to 4.50 ERA talent range. The key is to try to get the arms on the top end.

Landen Roupp: A pitcher with a 9.7 K/9, 2.7 BB/9, and 54% GB% is basically Logan Webb or Framber Valdez. Add Roupp in all leagues.

Sean Burke: He’s been elite in three starts so far (9.0 K/9, 1.07 WHIP, 3.60 ERA, 3.21 xFIP).

Lance McCullers Jr.: His results so far (2.57 xFIP) are a ways away from his STUPH models (4.70 botERA). The middle ground of a 3.60 ERA would be solid. Start him while he’s still healthy.

Bryce Elder: Small improvements across the board (strikeouts up, walks down, fastball usage down) have him as at least a bench streamer, and possibly someone who doesn’t leave the rotation.

Adrian Houser: The STUPH models love him (2.40 botERA, 114 Pitching+) and the results have been solid (3.61 xFIP, 56% GB% 2.4 BB/9). The strikeouts could be better (5.6 K/9), but a solid arm.

Eduardo Rodriguez: While he’s not missing any bats (5.5 K/9), he’s been able to generate weak contact (.222 BABIP, 0.5 HR/9) while keeping the ball on the ground (51% GB%).

Carmen Mlodzinski: The walks (3.8 BB/9) and WHIP (1.60 WHIP) are an issue, but otherwise, he looks like a solid breakout.

Janson Junk: Don’t let Junk’s Saturday start (4 ER in 5 IP) deter a person away from rostering him. During the start, he lowered his xFIP from 4.04 to 3.88. Buy the dip.

Steven Matz: His strikeouts jumped by not throwing his fastball as much (59% to 45%) while leaning into his changeup (16% SwStr%) and slider (17% SwStr%).

Keider Montero: He’s been solid so far with an 8.7 K/9, 1.74 ERA (3.52 xFIP), and 0.68 WHIP. A 3.50 ERA talent if he can keep the results up.

Jeffrey Springs: A 0.0 HR/9 and .170 BABIP will lead to great results (1.47 ERA, 0.76 WHIP). I’d value him as a high-3.00 ERA talent. Solid, not great.

Michael McGreevy: He’s been able to generate weak contact (.204 BABIP, 0.5 HR/9) with a fastball that’s lost over 2 mph. I don’t buy a breakout, but he’s still useful. A 4.00 ERA talent.

Colin Rea: Increased his groundball rate from 40% GB% to 53% GB% to push him near a 4.00 ERA talent. Streamer with little upside.

Foster Griffin: His results have been solid (2.70 ERA, 3.17 xFIP, 9.0 K/9, 1.30 WHIP) in 10 IP. He’s throwing seven pitches with the results >>>> than the STUPH models. I’ll value him around a 4.00 ERA talent, but I’m ready to move him up or down based on his next start.

Davis Martin: His strikeouts are up (6.6 K/9 to 7.5 K/9), and his walks are down (3.0 BB/9 to 2.0 BB/9), bringing his ERA estimators in the high 3.00’s. His slider has taken a step forward with a 21% SwStr%. I’m not confident the improvements will stick.

Rhett Lowder: His 3.31 ERA is his only positive trait. All his underlying metrics point to a 4.50 ERA arm. Gamble elsewhere.

Slade Cecconi: Home runs (1.7 HR/9) inflated his 5.74 ERA. Other metrics point to a low-to-mid-4.00 ERA talent.

Jack Kochanowicz: He’s generating groundballs (55% GB%) and walks (5.9 BB/9). With no home runs allowed and a .204 BABIP, his 3.24 ERA and 1.26 WHIP are respectable. One of the toughest guys to rank.

Zack Littell: A 3.60 ERA is covering up some horrible results, including a 1.50 WHIP, which does as much ratio damage as a 5.52 ERA. He’s going to need to start throwing strikes (4.5 BB/9), or he’s unrosterable.

Kyle Freeland: I don’t trust Rockies starters, but Freeland might be streamable on the road. He’s only throwing his fastball 26% of the time and leaning into a knuckle curve (16% SwStr%).

Reid Detmers: Walks remain an issue (3.5 BB/9, 1.28 WHIP) with his velocity down 2 mph. Career 4.89 ERA as a starter and a 4.60 ERA this year. I’m not falling for the trap.

Aaron Civale: A .154 BABIP is the only thing keeping him in the rotation, especially with little control (4.5 BB/9) and a slower fastball (92.2 mph to 91.2 mph).

Luis Gil: He struggled in his debut with more walks than strikeouts while allowing 3 ER over 4 IP. I’ll need to see more before buying in.

Andre Pallante: He has more walks (7) than strikeouts (5), but a 1.80 ERA (0.0 HR) has him on the up. Ignore and roster a talented arm.

Simeon Woods Richardson: There is nothing here to get excited about with his velocity and strikeouts down.

Tomoyuki Sugano: Another Rockies starter who had a 4.64 ERA (4.70 xFIP) last season for the Nationals. I’m not buying in yet.

Cade Povich: More walks than strikeouts in this season’s debut for a career 5.15 ERA pitcher. Pass.

Javier Assad: In over 300 career innings, Assad has an ERA a point or more lower than his ERA estimators (4.44 FIP, 4.56 xFIP).

Patrick Corbin: Over the last seven seasons (> 900 IP), Corbin has a 5.43 ERA and 1.51 WHIP. There is no reason to roster him.

Patrick Corbin will give you 150 IP each season if you like it or not

— Nate (@jetzzfan.bsky.social) April 10, 2026 at 6:31 PM

Eric Lauer 라우어: Over his last two starts, he has 8 BB in 7 IP. He looks lost and can’t be rostered at this point.

Justin Wrobleski: In over 9 IP, he has more walks (5) than strikeouts (4). I’d buy in, but his playing time is inconsistent, so I’ll observe from afar.

Brandon Williamson: I can’t consider rostering a starting pitcher who walked six batters over 4 IP. A 5.50 ERA talent.

Injured Starters

Joe Boyle [On the IL, will rerank when healthy]: A 39% LOB% puts him with a 5.17 ERA while all other metrics point to high-3.00 ERA talent since he’s dropped his walk rate from 4.9 BB/9 to 3.5 BB/9.

Pitching Prospects

Noah Schultz: In AAA, the 22-year-old lefty has a 1.29 ERA (2.25 xFIP), 0.43 WHIP, and 12.2 K/9 in 14 IP.

Didier Fuentes: In AAA, the 20-year-old righty has a 2.25 ERA (3.49 xFIP), 0.75 WHIP, and 9.0 K/9 in 9 IP.

Spencer Arrighetti: In AAA, the 26-year-old righty has a 1.26 ERA (3.49 xFIP), 0.77 WHIP, and 12.6 K/9 in 14 IP.

Payton Tolle: In AAA, the 23-year-old lefty has a 4.50 ERA (4.45 xFIP), 1.20 WHIP, and 11.7 K/9 in 10 IP.

Closers: Saves-based Ranks

Bryan Baker: Great reliever who is the closer.

Jakob Junis: Below-average reliever who is the closer.

Gregory Soto: Good reliever who is sharing the closing duties.

Bryan King: Good reliever who may be the closer.

Erik Sabrowski: Great reliever who is the backup closer.

Rico Garcia: Average reliever who is next in line for Saves.

Chase Silseth: Good reliever who might be next in line for Saves.

Tony Santillan: Good reliever who is next in line for Saves.

Aaron Ashby: Good reliever who is a couple of steps away from closing.

Graham Ashcraft: Good reliever who is a couple of steps away from closing.

Cole Winn: Average reliever who is a few steps away from closing.

Tyler Alexander: Average reliever who is a few steps away from closing.

Tim Hill: Below-average reliever who is a few steps away from closing.

Brock Burke: Good reliever who is a few steps away from closing.

AJ Blubaugh: Below-average reliever who is a few steps away from closing.

This series aims to help readers do their routine due diligence in their dynasty leagues. It makes use of up-to-date OOPSY Peak projections and my own arbitrary whims to suggest free agent adds and drops as well as trade candidates and targets. Each entry will highlight a handful of players, both prospects and major leaguers, who have seen their perceived value shift recently. For each player I will offer a “verdict,” an open-ended recommendation on how I would value the player moving forward. Forgive me as these suggestions may sometimes enter the realm of “hot takes.” Most of my dynasty leagues are 14 to 20-team 5×5 roto leagues, but this series aims to be broadly relevant for all keeper and dynasty formats. I’m planning to publish one of these every few weeks. Let me know in the comments if there’s anyone in particular you’d like me to weigh in on.

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Ed Szczepanski-Imagn Images

American League

Angels

• Nolan Schanuel (vs RHP) and Jeimer Candelario (vs LHP) form a first base platoon.

• Bryce Teodosio (vs LHP) and Josh Lowe (vs RHP) for an outfield platoon. Read the rest of this entry »

Opening Day started like any other for me in 2018. I was excited and had taken the day off from work so I could settle in on my couch and just watch the games. I had done all my drafts and felt confident that I was going to have a fantastic season.
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• Daily SP Chart archive
• SP Rankings
• 2-Start podcast episode

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart.

The chart includes their performance for 2025 until we get some actual data for this year (I changed over in late-April last year), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from last year (not a perfect solution as teams change in the offseason, but better than using just a few days of data from this year), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations, you don’t really need a shiny stat to be convinced on starting guys like that. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment and I’ll get you an answer when I can. I try to do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.

Read the rest of this entry »

John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images

While the NFBC Main Event garners most of the attention, there are a handful of leagues with even larger entry fees ($2.5K to $15K). They are named Elite leagues (previously called High Stakes Leagues), and there are seven of them. With so much money on the line, these fantasy managers try to gain any advantage. Most of the time, these managers will be a week or two ahead of everyone else on their adds. Here are the players and some information on the ones added in five or more leagues. Read the rest of this entry »