Week 23 Waiver Wire Projections
If there is a weekend to take off, it’s this one. Kyle Seager and Adam Plutko are the hot commodities. Not good.
The projection guidelines:
- The ownership rates are from CBS since they have some quickdraw waiver wire leagues where players can be picked up at any time.
- The FAAB estimates are based on the 2018 15-team mixed NFBC leagues which used a $1000 FAAB budget. Owners are going to need to convert these values to their own league.
- The ownership values were taken from Saturday and lots can happen in between when they publish and FAAB bids run.
- Only players owned in 50% or fewer of CBS leagues are examined.
Week 23 Batter FAAB Projections
| Name | Previous Ownership% | Current Ownership% | Change% | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Lopes SS | SEA | 0% | 2% | 2% | $3 |
| Abraham Toro-Hernandez 3B | HOU | 2% | 6% | 4% | $4 |
| Jake Fraley RF | SEA | 2% | 6% | 4% | $4 |
| Nick Solak 2B | TEX | 3% | 9% | 6% | $6 |
| Wilmer Flores 1B | ARI | 3% | 9% | 6% | $6 |
| Matt Beaty 1B | LAD | 3% | 6% | 3% | $4 |
| Tom Murphy C | SEA | 4% | 13% | 9% | $10 |
| Tommy Edman SS | STL | 6% | 15% | 9% | $11 |
| Dexter Fowler RF | STL | 7% | 12% | 5% | $6 |
| Delino DeShields CF | TEX | 8% | 14% | 6% | $8 |
| Austin Nola SS | SEA | 9% | 18% | 9% | $12 |
| Harrison Bader CF | STL | 9% | 11% | 2% | $4 |
| Jose Iglesias SS | CIN | 9% | 11% | 2% | $4 |
| Matt Adams 1B | WAS | 10% | 12% | 2% | $5 |
| Raimel Tapia CF | COL | 11% | 14% | 3% | $6 |
| Hanser Alberto SS | BAL | 14% | 19% | 5% | $9 |
| Mark Canha CF | OAK | 15% | 19% | 4% | $8 |
| Tucker Barnhart C | CIN | 20% | 23% | 3% | $9 |
| Albert Pujols 1B | LAA | 25% | 27% | 2% | $11 |
| Evan Longoria 3B | SF | 25% | 27% | 2% | $11 |
| Chris Taylor SS | LAD | 26% | 29% | 3% | $13 |
| Willy Adames SS | TB | 27% | 29% | 2% | $13 |
| Luis Arraez 2B | MIN | 33% | 53% | 20% | $62 |
| Kyle Seager 3B | SEA | 34% | 54% | 20% | $63 |
| Marwin Gonzalez LF | MIN | 36% | 52% | 16% | $51 |
| Freddy Galvis SS | CIN | 36% | 40% | 4% | $22 |
| Kevin Pillar CF | SF | 38% | 53% | 15% | $50 |
| Mike Yastrzemski RF | SF | 39% | 55% | 16% | $55 |
| Francisco Mejia C | SD | 42% | 47% | 5% | $30 |
| Nick Ahmed SS | ARI | 43% | 58% | 15% | $56 |
| Kolten Wong 2B | STL | 43% | 45% | 2% | $26 |
| Kyle Tucker LF | HOU | 44% | 46% | 2% | $27 |
| Randal Grichuk RF | TOR | 48% | 51% | 3% | $33 |
| Asdrubal Cabrera 2B | WAS | 49% | 52% | 3% | $34 |
- Luis Arraez, Marwin Gonzalez, Kevin Pillar, Nick Ahmed, and Kyle Seager: All five have been available most of the season and are in or ending a hot streak. Also, I wonder if these hitters are trending up based on last week’s ownership momentum (Seager, Ahmed, and Pillar) even if the underlying end-of-season projections don’t support it. Also, owners may be looking for a change and with so few sexy options, these regulars are that change.
- Tommy Edman, Jake Fraley, Raimel Tapia, and Tim Lopes: For any team needing stolen base help, these four are a must-add. Besides the steals, they are not complete zeros in power. Lopes is the top target if a team only needs steals.
- Tom Murphy: Catchers have been surprisingly decent this season with owners not having to settle for the .230 AVG and 14 HR guys.
- Austin Nola: He’s been acceptable but his real value comes from leagues where he’s catcher eligible.
- Nick Solak: He’s a nice power addition if he can find full-time at-bats.
Week 23 Pitcher FAAB Projections
| Name | Previous Ownership% | Current Ownership% | Change% | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Magill RP | SEA | 0% | 7% | 7% | $2 |
| Carlos Estevez RP | COL | 0% | 5% | 5% | $1 |
| Brock Burke SP | TEX | 1% | 7% | 6% | $2 |
| Rowan Wick RP | CHC | 1% | 3% | 2% | $0 |
| Matt Albers RP | MIL | 2% | 4% | 2% | $0 |
| Daniel Hudson RP | WAS | 4% | 14% | 10% | $4 |
| Logan Webb SP | SF | 6% | 18% | 12% | $6 |
| Steven Brault RP | PIT | 6% | 10% | 4% | $1 |
| Felix Hernandez SP | SEA | 6% | 8% | 2% | $1 |
| Tony Gonsolin SP | LAD | 8% | 15% | 7% | $3 |
| Dereck Rodriguez SP | SF | 8% | 12% | 4% | $1 |
| Jacob Waguespack SP | TOR | 9% | 16% | 7% | $3 |
| Jalen Beeks RP | TB | 9% | 12% | 3% | $1 |
| Adrian Houser RP | MIL | 12% | 37% | 25% | $26 |
| Nick Anderson RP | TB | 13% | 17% | 4% | $2 |
| Johnny Cueto SP | SF | 14% | 18% | 4% | $2 |
| Mike Montgomery RP | KC | 15% | 37% | 22% | $21 |
| Adam Plutko SP | CLE | 15% | 32% | 17% | $13 |
| Hunter Strickland RP | WAS | 17% | 19% | 2% | $1 |
| Kolby Allard RP | TEX | 19% | 27% | 8% | $4 |
| A.J. Puk SP | OAK | 21% | 27% | 6% | $3 |
| Justus Sheffield RP | SEA | 22% | 30% | 8% | $5 |
| Sandy Alcantara SP | MIA | 24% | 27% | 3% | $3 |
| Dylan Bundy SP | BAL | 26% | 29% | 3% | $3 |
| Michael Wacha SP | STL | 28% | 31% | 3% | $3 |
| Homer Bailey SP | OAK | 30% | 40% | 10% | $8 |
| Joe Jimenez RP | DET | 32% | 34% | 2% | $3 |
| Dillon Peters SP | LAA | 34% | 36% | 2% | $4 |
| Sergio Romo RP | MIN | 39% | 43% | 4% | $6 |
| Joe Ross SP | WAS | 40% | 53% | 13% | $14 |
| Adam Wainwright SP | STL | 40% | 50% | 10% | $11 |
| Mark Melancon RP | ATL | 44% | 57% | 13% | $15 |
| Ivan Nova SP | CHW | 44% | 57% | 13% | $15 |
| Cal Quantrill SP | SD | 48% | 65% | 17% | $22 |
- Adrian Houser, Mike Montgomery, and Joe Ross: Recently, I found all three making positive changes to their arsenals and they deserve the ownership boost.
- Adam Plutko: I don’t hate his two-start week at Detroit and at Tampa.
- Justus Sheffield: He’s had walk problems forever, so it’s not surprising to see he walked more batters than struck out in his 2019 MLB debut. Pay for the talent, not the name.
- Logan Webb: I’m putting him in the must-own bin. Strikeouts, walks, groundballs. Oh, my.
- Brock Burke: He starts today for the White Sox and with no runs allowed in a first start, his stock could increase with a good performance. It’s tough to get a read on his talent because he’s jumped so many levels in the past two seasons. But that rise might be the sign needed to buy-in with the Rangers feeling he has conquered each level.
Reliever Rankings (Saves focused)
- Mark Melancon
- Joe Jimenez
- Matt Magill
- Sergio Romo
- Carlos Estevez
- Matt Albers
- Daniel Hudson
- Hunter Strickland
- Nick Anderson
- Rowan Wick
2019 Week 22 NFBC Main Event FAAB Results
| Add | Avg Bid | Leagues (38) |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Melancon | $20 | 8 |
| Joe Ross | $17 | 5 |
| Luke Voit | $15 | 5 |
| Carlos Estevez | $11 | 6 |
| Sergio Romo | $9 | 6 |
| Matt Beaty | $9 | 17 |
| Mike Montgomery | $9 | 12 |
| Ivan Nova | $9 | 10 |
| Wade Davis | $9 | 13 |
| Daniel Hudson | $8 | 27 |
| Adam Plutko | $8 | 6 |
| Kolby Allard | $8 | 16 |
| Josh Rojas | $7 | 35 |
| Tommy Edman | $7 | 11 |
| Corban Joseph | $7 | 11 |
| Asdrubal Cabrera | $7 | 5 |
| Evan Longoria | $7 | 10 |
| Jesus Luzardo | $7 | 6 |
| Tony Gonsolin | $6 | 21 |
| Logan Webb | $5 | 25 |
| Sean Manaea | $5 | 7 |
| Jalen Beeks | $5 | 9 |
| Zach Eflin | $5 | 10 |
| Kike Hernandez | $4 | 5 |
| Martin Perez | $4 | 5 |
| Hanser Alberto | $4 | 8 |
| Johnny Cueto | $4 | 8 |
| Joe Palumbo | $4 | 17 |
| Ty France | $4 | 16 |
| Greg Allen | $4 | 22 |
| Zach Davies | $4 | 6 |
| Wilmer Flores | $3 | 20 |
| Tim Lopes | $3 | 7 |
| Jose Iglesias | $3 | 6 |
| Trevor Richards | $3 | 6 |
| Matt Albers | $3 | 13 |
| Dillon Peters | $3 | 6 |
| Brandon Drury | $3 | 11 |
| Welington Castillo | $3 | 12 |
| Steven Brault | $3 | 12 |
| Matt Magill | $2 | 10 |
| Josh Naylor | $2 | 7 |
| Michael Wacha | $2 | 7 |
| Tucker Barnhart | $2 | 5 |
| CC Sabathia | $2 | 6 |
| Dereck Rodriguez | $2 | 8 |
| Brett Phillips | $2 | 7 |
| Rowdy Tellez | $2 | 6 |
| Kyle Freeland | $2 | 5 |
| Hunter Strickland | $2 | 7 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | $2 | 6 |
| Tommy Milone | $1 | 6 |
2018 Week 23 NFBC Main Event FAAB Results
| Add | Avg Bid | Leagues (34) |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Kopech | $85 | 5 |
| Koda Glover | $22 | 16 |
| Touki Toussaint | $17 | 20 |
| Brad Keller | $16 | 6 |
| Trevor Hildenberger | $15 | 15 |
| Robert Gsellman | $14 | 7 |
| Taylor Ward | $14 | 32 |
| Danny Jansen | $13 | 27 |
| Austin Gomber | $12 | 17 |
| Rafael Ortega | $12 | 25 |
| Jake Junis | $11 | 8 |
| Freddy Galvis | $11 | 7 |
| Greg Allen | $10 | 21 |
| Brett Anderson | $10 | 25 |
| Tyler Austin | $9 | 16 |
| Alex Cobb | $9 | 10 |
| Kelvin Herrera | $9 | 9 |
| Welington Castillo | $8 | 20 |
| Matt Wieters | $7 | 5 |
| Wei-Yin Chen | $7 | 6 |
| Daniel Poncedeleon | $7 | 21 |
| Charlie Culberson | $7 | 6 |
| Cedric Mullins | $7 | 14 |
| Adam Plutko | $6 | 14 |
| Nicky Delmonico | $6 | 8 |
| Jalen Beeks | $5 | 10 |
| Lucas Giolito | $5 | 6 |
| Melky Cabrera | $5 | 18 |
| Hunter Strickland | $5 | 5 |
| Austin Jackson | $4 | 8 |
| Neil Walker | $4 | 7 |
| Felix Pena | $3 | 11 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | $3 | 8 |
| Phillip Ervin | $3 | 6 |
| Erasmo Ramirez | $3 | 13 |
| Kevin Plawecki | $3 | 9 |
| Logan Forsythe | $3 | 14 |
| David Fletcher | $3 | 5 |
| Ty Blach | $3 | 6 |
| Joe Mauer | $2 | 5 |
| Kolten Wong | $2 | 6 |
| James Shields | $2 | 11 |
| Jordan Hicks | $2 | 5 |
| Pablo Lopez | $1 | 7 |
| Robbie Erlin | $1 | 6 |
| Jose Bautista | $1 | 6 |
