Archive for FAAB

Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:29
Jeff Zimmerman: Here the bids from the two 15-team Tout Wars leagues.

7:29
Jeff Zimmerman: Auction

7:29
Jeff Zimmerman: RMontero: $314
FValdez: $217
CEdwards: $166
KDavis: $136
EHernandez: $128
TButtrey: $128
TAlexander: $92
DMoore: $82
MKemp: $75
KBubic: $72
MStassi: $71
BTaylor: $67
AGimenez: $62
JLester: $52
EGonzalez: $44
JCronenworth: $44
MFord: $44
AWojciechowski: $42
LGarcia: $36
JSoria: $33
MCastro: $33
ZGodley: $30
DCease: $30
AVoth: $28
KAllard: $27
BBielak: $27
JArrieta: $23
TWilliams: $22
JBrubaker: $18
BKeller: $18
FCervelli: $12
TMilone: $11
HRenfroe: $6
ADickerson: $3
JStaumont: $3
CTromp: $2
JWendle: $1

7:29
Jeff Zimmerman: Draft

7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: RMontero: $500
RWick: $254
TMilone: $191
MTauchman: $152
DMoore: $114
ASenzatela: $93
JChoi: $78
MKemp: $57
CEdwards: $57
ACobb: $56
AGimenez: $55
JBruce: $50
DPomeranz: $46
SRomo: $33
BBielak: $21
BGamel: $16
TAlexander: $7
HRobles: $6
ARomine: $3
MStassi: $2
JCronenworth: $2
LWebb: $1
BPhillips: $0
CEstevez: $0
RGrossman: $0
ADuvall: $0
RHelsley: $0

7:30
Guest: All things being equal, Yaz or Aguilar?

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Waiver Wire Targets: Week 3

I don’t know how helpful today’s rankings will be. Many feel like moves that should have happened a week ago. Almost all of them will be off next week’s list (> 40% owned). Maybe with all the roster moves last week, a player or two wasn’t added.

As usual, I’m going to at least cover the players in demand using CBS’s (40% or less initial ownership) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered by my preference grouped by starters, relievers and hitters.
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Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: As usual, waiver wire and FAAB questions will take priority.

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are the bids for the 15-team Tout Wars auction league:

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: CJavier: 257
JPCrawford: 153
TGott: 124
JJeffress: 123
JDiaz: 114
DPeterson: 88
JJones: 83
KFreeland: 80
TRosenthal: 77
CSulser: 75
MHarrison: 68
RRuiz: 65
BZimmer: 64
NHoerner: 64
NGoody: 59
DVarsho: 57
DSolano: 51
BBelt: 42
MGonzalez: 42
WFlores: 32
CEstevez: 32
JReddick: 30
AFrazier: 30
RWick: 27
MAdams: 22
ROHearn: 22
BAbreu: 16
KGausman: 13
DomSmith: 11
TToussaint: 11
JHernandez: 8
TFrazier: 7
DPoncedeleon: 7
ChGonzalez: 2
NWittgren: 1

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: And from the Tout Wars 15-team draft:

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: CJavier: 311
MHarrison: 247
TWalker: 222
JDiaz: 181
CMoran: 161
DPeterson: 104
JKarinchak: 96
TToussaint: 76
JJeffress: 73
CMize: 72
NGoody: 70
JFamilia: 61
TRosenthal: 57
CSulser: 57
BZimmer: 57
MFranco: 51
AMills: 48
DSolano: 47
BGoodwin: 42
ANola: 32
TWilliams: 31
KFreeland: 25
ELongoria: 9
DomSmith: 8
TButtrey: 6
TFrance: 5
JIglesias: 5
THeineman: 1

7:32
Slapshot: Are either Zack Britton or Sergio Romo a likely source of saves for the rest of the season?  My bullpen is hurting (Osuna DL, Diaz struggling, Kennedy stuck in limbo) and it needs a shakeup.

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What’s On Second? (8/10/20-8/16/20)

Sometimes you are all set for the week. That doesn’t mean you shouldn’t start thinking about the future. This article takes a look ahead for the following week to see if maybe there are things to consider or players to stash that may not have as much value right now. Don’t forget to check out the companion article to this one, Who’s On First?

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Who’s On First? (8/3/20-8/9/20)

This article is going to be a weekly planner/FAAB piece. It will come out each Sunday morning for those of you looking for ideas for that night’s pick-up. I encourage you to also read the What’s on Second article which has more players and things to consider for the not too distant future.

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Waiver Wire Targets: Week 1

Some FAAB results are in from last weekend and it seems like everyone has their wallets open. Fantasy managers should not be surprised to see some bids using up 50% of the budget, especially for an everyday difference-maker. There still might be one or two in each league, so expect to pay up for the obvious ones. The following players are in demand based on adds or players I’m targetting.

In the following article, I’m going to at least cover the players in demand using CBS’s (40% or less initial ownership) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered by my preference grouped by starters, relievers and hitters.
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Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: Hello everyone. The focus of this chat is to discuss FAAB and Waiver Wire adds. I answer those first and then go back to answer any others.

7:32
Guest: Can you rank these bench bat OFs for an OC:  Santander (on roster), K Calhoun, Piscotty, or Kyle Lewis.

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: This one is pretty tough. I like Santander with the Red Sox the first week and the Marlins in week2

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: then I’d go Lewis (upside), Calhoun, Piscotty

7:34
Ryan: Houser or Sandy A

7:34
Jeff Zimmerman: Neither right now.

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Dunning-Kreuger and the $1 Player

In my Tout Wars auction held just over a week ago, 72 players were rostered who cost just $1. While I rostered my standard four, one owner got 10 with two others at nine*. I wondered if there is a point that having too many $1 players on a team is a detriment.

First, a little background on the auction. Here is the plot of the auction bids compared to the actual 2019 results.

The 2019 production leader was at $47 (Razzball) and $43 (FanGraphs auction calculator). Six players went at or above the $47 mark and eight over $43. The idea of spending more early on is to grab some $2 to $8 guys in the end game for $1. In this auction, everyone was taking that approach. I used my standard “lesser stars and scrubs” approach.
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When to Breakout the Wallet with FAAB Bids?

While it might be better to focus on FAAB usage right before the season starts, I wanted to have an idea on how to focus my draft resources. Also, FAAB management was one of my major faults after I picked over my 2019 teams. It was an issue and I need to address it. Now is the time. I took the 50 players with the highest average FAAB bids in the 2019 NFBC Main Event ($1000 in FAAB) and found which players were the best and worse deals and did the best deals have similar actionable traits.

Note: One unintended side effect was that the minimum average value was $51, so all players with a bid of over $50.

To rank the player’s usefulness, I pair them up against each other and let my Twitter followers which of the two players were a better deal last year. While not ideal or the only method I could have used (I could create from value to EOS), it was the quickest and the rankings pass the idiot check (me, myself, and I).

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Intersection of Real Estate Investing & Fantasy Baseball

For a while, I’ve been trying to have other people do my research for me with no luck. I figured with all the smart minds in the stock market and other securities, some method would line up. It really didn’t for the fact that everyone could basically buy or sell as much of every available option to everyone. Some hedge funds or Warren Buffett could buy up an entire asset, but basically it was tough for stocks to run out.

I needed to find a limited asset class where one unique asset (house) and several buyers determine its value. That is why I eventually got to looking into real estate. Most of the public literature involves how to get loans and fix up the house. There is surprisingly little on actually determining a property’s value. So far I’ve only gone to the library and the local book stores to find information since most books are completely useless with nothing beyond, buy low, sell high. I’m not wasting my time and effort on ordering a bunch of books.

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