Author Archive

A Real Buy Low Team

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May 28, 2019

One of my least favorite things in fantasy baseball is lame buy low recommendations. You know the ones. It’s when everything is damn near picture perfect under the hood, there’s no real reason to be worried about the player, but their batting average is lagging because of a tiny BABIP so cosmetically they look like they’re struggling.

Sure, Marcell Ozuna is hitting .230, but he has 14 HR, 4 SB, a 92.4 mph exit velo, and 16% Barrel rate meaning he’s completely fine. No one is selling him on the cheap. He’s not a buy low just because his .226 BABIP is dragging down his average. These buy lows are truly stinky. We are primarily betting on track record over anything else as most of their numbers through two months are brutal. Let’s take a look:

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 696 – 2nd Chance League Breakdown

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May 27, 2019

5/27/19

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

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NOTABLE TRANSACTIONS, INJURIES, RUMORS 

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Paul Sporer Baseball Chat – May 24th, 2019

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May 24, 2019

Transcript is below!

12:59

Paul Sporer: Welcome, everyone! I’ve got my NFBC 2nd Chance League tonight, let’s talk some baseball!!!
12:59

Corbin Martin: How long is my leash in the rotation after back to back wet-fart starts?
1:00

Paul Sporer: Not too long in 10- and 12-teamers, especially bc HOU may move on
1:00

Ross: Who would you target if trying to trade Stroman in 18-team mixed? Looking for wins, saves, or average.
1:01

Paul Sporer: Let me cut these ones off right from the jump, it’s impossible to really answer bc I could say 3 names and end up with all of them on your own roster. It’s better to suggest names you’re targeting and then I can answer if that’s in the range (even that isn’t perfect, but much more useful)
1:01

Kenny: Is Amed Rosario worth holding on to in a 12 team mixed over some of the prospects being called up like Cavan Biggio?

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The 10: Biggest Fallers in 2nd Chance Leagues

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May 23, 2019

The NFBC kicked off their Memorial Day 2nd Chance leagues last night with three drafts completed and we now have some average draft position (ADP) data to digest. I have my 2CL (is that a cool abbreviation for “2nd Chance League”?) this Friday evening and I’ll be streaming it live on Twitch if you have any interest in watching it. I want to dive in on the biggest fallers here today with some caveats. Or at least one major caveat: my cutoff is the first 15 rounds.

I want to see who is still be taken with some expectation of performance while sustaining a major fall in their cost. The actual biggest droppers without limits are the obvious injury guys. The single biggest fall from the spring Rotowire Online Championship leagues (12-team format to stay consistent with the 2CLs) is Travis Shaw who has the double whammy of injury and severe underperformance. He’s gone from the 95th player chosen on average to the 362nd last night, a colossal 267-pick drop. Miguel Andujar (347th), Jameson Taillon (312th), Luis Severino (280th), and Nathan Eovaldi (390th) are also unsurprisingly amongst the nine players with a 200+ pick dip.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 694 – Talking SMART with Glenn Colton

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May 23, 2019

5/23/19

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 20, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER20!

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**JOIN THE NFBC MEMORIAL DAY 2ND CHANCE LEAGUES**

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Assessing Some SP Stragglers

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May 22, 2019

As we wind down the second month of the season, stat lines are beginning to take shape and we certainly feel like we know more about how the season will unfold. There are definitely some things happening early on that you can put some weight into, but we still have four months left in the season, too, meaning a lot will still change.

Through May last year, Zack Wheeler had a 5.40 ERA, Luis Castillo was at 5.49, Jameson Taillon was at 4.53, and Masahiro Tanaka was at 4.62. German Marquez was at 4.21, but that would balloon to 5.53 five starts later and of course we know that from there, he absolutely went off. Afterthoughts like Mike Minor, Danny Duffy, Mike Fiers, Derek Holland, Lance Lynn and even Alex Cobb all had ERAs north of 5.00 and were left for dead through May before finding extended periods of fantasy relevance throughout the summer. Minor was downright all-formats viable from June on.

Let’s look at some of the biggest strugglers through two months and discuss what the future might have in store for them.

(in descending order by ERA)

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 693 – Rotation Check-Ins: Next 10 Teams (HOU-OAK)

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May 21, 2019

5/21/19

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 20, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER20!

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GET THE SLEEPER & THE BUST T-SHIRT FROM ROTOWEAR!

**JOIN THE NFBC MEMORIAL DAY 2ND CHANCE LEAGUES**

  • Houston (2:05)
  • Kansas City (22:20)
  • LA Angels (26:53)
  • LA Dodgers (40:22)
  • Miami (59:33)

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 692 – FAAB Fallout

by
May 20, 2019

5/20/19

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

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GET THE SLEEPER & THE BUST T-SHIRT FROM ROTOWEAR!

NOTABLE TRANSACTIONS, INJURIES, RUMORS

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 690 – Fireside on Nola & Bauer

by
May 17, 2019

5/17/19

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

Follow us on Twitter

GET THE SLEEPER & THE BUST T-SHIRT FROM ROTOWEAR!

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 689 – Breakout Hitters (ft. Alex Fast)

by
May 17, 2019

5/17/19

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 20, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER20!

Follow us on Twitter

GET THE SLEEPER & THE BUST T-SHIRT FROM ROTOWEAR!

**JOIN THE NFBC MEMORIAL DAY 2ND CHANCE LEAGUES**

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Podcast: Play in new window | Download

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