Author Archive: Paul Sporer

The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 973 – Returning SPs, Hoskins Done and Hold or Fold

8/27/21

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PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

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01:04:32

Paul Sporer’s Updated SP Rankings

The blue bar represents the START of a new tier.

I generally don’t include IL’d guys. It’s especially precarious this late when guys could just be shutdown if they are on bad teams.

I view these as 2-3 week rankings given the volatility of pitching so I will include at least 1 and probably 2 more updates on the site before season’s end, but I am updating them regularly on our Patreon.

FYI: instead of updating the rankings in September, I started the Daily SP Chart.

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Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – August 26th, 2021

A day late, but still great!

1:05

Paul Sporer: Hello everyone!! Sorry for being a day late, but we’re here!!

1:05

Paul Sporer: I’m also posting my SP rankings here very soon so you can view those & ask questions (live in about 5)

1:05

Guest: Concerned about Ohtani’s recent hitting performance? Lots of strikeouts

1:05

Paul Sporer: No

1:06

Guest: Is it time to give up on Jeff McNeil hopefully recapturing his 2019 output?

1:07

Paul Sporer: Oh for sure, he looks like a clear 2019 rabbit ball product. I think a healthy McNeil is still a .280+ hitter w/low double-digit pop, but I’d be surprised if we saw 23 ever again

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Triston McKenzie’s Transformation

Cleveland has become something of a starting pitcher factory. It really started with the emergence of Corey Kluber and reclamation of Carlos Carrasco in 2014 and has continued through this year despite a bevy of injuries. Their best starters – Shane Bieber and Aaron Civale – have spent months on the IL and derailed Cleveland’s season, but there has been plenty of opportunity for the likes of Triston McKenzie, Cal Quantrill, and Eli Morgan, showing that Cleveland is likely to remain a pitching force for years to come. I want to focus on McKenzie today.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 972 – Stud Starters Working Their Way Back

8/23/21

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PATREON

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00:59:55

The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 970 – Is Gilbert Hitting a Rookie Wall?

8/20/21

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PATREON

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01:07:13

10 Performances You Haven’t Noticed

At this point in the year, full season lines are heavily influenced by how a player started. That first month-to-6 weeks can hold a player down or prop them up for quite a while. Here are 10 players who have surged or fallen from their early season work. And yes, I grant that some of y’all have probably noticed a few of these and if that’s the case, just exclude yourself from the headline and roast the dweebs who aren’t as cool as us.

Yes… that’s right. As cool as us.

PITCHING

Kenta Maeda has a 2.98 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in his last eight starts since July 1st. In that time, he has a 31% K rate and 6% BB rate across 45.3 IP. In his first 12 starts, he had a 5.56 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 21% K, and 8% BB in 56.7 IP.

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Paul Sporer Baseball Chat – August 18th, 2021

Transcript is now available!

1:39

Paul Sporer: Good afternoon, y’all! Let’s talk some baseball!

1:39

Garbel: Which year do you think the Mariners will break their playoff drought?

1:40

Paul Sporer: 2023

1:40

Greg: I’m having a tough time deciding on my 1B and corner IF spots next year. How would you fill those spots out of Andrew Vaughn, Rizzo, Austin Riley and Kiriloff in a league where I can keep them forever?

1:40

Paul Sporer: I’d probably start moving away from Rizzo and while I do love Kirilloff, he is behind Vaughn & Riley right now due to the health

1:40

Jose Alpizar: Should I hold ok Kelenic on a 12 team league? What’s his true upside for 2021?

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 969 – Time to Cut Adolis García?

8/17/21

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

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00:47:25

3 Second Half Starter Turnarounds

We are only a month into the “second half” but we are already seeing some pitchers turn their season around. I put it in quotes because it’s obviously not a pure 81/81 game split, but rather the halves are determined by the All-Star break. I’m sure some players use the time off to dig into their numbers and come up with a gameplan to improve while others likely just relax and enjoy the breather. These three arms have been markedly better since July and I wanted to investigate what changed to bring about these turnarounds.

Marco Gonzales, SEA

1H: 5.88 ERA/1.46 WHIP in 56.7 IP | 2H: 1.67 ERA/0.90 WHIP in 32.3 IP

While few fully believed Gonzales’s 2020 (3.10 ERA/0.95 WHIP) since it was just two months, he was still drafted for useful ratios over a good number of innings. At no point in the first half was his ERA below 5.00 and his 2.4 HR/9 was seeing him hit more waiver wires with each passing week. He opened the second half with a trip to Colorado which was sure to be a disaster given how his season was going to that point… so of course he put up a 5 IP/2 ER outing, notching his second win of the year.

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