Author Archive: Paul Sporer

Boxscore Bits: April 12th, 2022

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April 12, 2022
Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

A few thoughts on the games from Monday, April 11th.

FOR STARTERS

Monday Starters
Name Team IP H R ER HR BB SO TBF ERA WHIP W vFA (pi) vSI (pi) SwStr%
Taijuan Walker NYM 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 6 0.00 0.00 0 94.1 27%
Dylan Bundy MIN 5 1 0 0 0 1 2 18 0.00 0.40 1 90.5 91.1 9%
Paul Blackburn OAK 5 3 0 0 0 1 7 19 0.00 0.80 1 92.6 92.8 17%
Bruce Zimmermann BAL 4 3 0 0 0 2 4 17 0.00 1.25 0 91.1 6%
Alek Manoah TOR 6 1 0 0 0 4 7 23 0.00 0.83 1 94.5 94 14%
Michael Lorenzen LAA 6 2 1 1 1 0 7 20 1.50 0.33 1 96 94.9 15%
Matt Manning DET 6 1 1 1 1 0 2 19 1.50 0.17 0 94.3 94.4 6%
Josh Rogers WSN 5.1 2 1 1 0 2 3 20 1.69 0.75 1 90.4 89.9 7%
Nick Martinez SDP 5 5 1 1 0 1 6 21 1.80 1.20 0 92.4 15%
Michael Wacha BOS 4.1 2 1 1 0 3 4 18 2.08 1.15 0 93.6 14%
Taylor Hearn TEX 4 8 1 1 0 1 6 21 2.25 2.25 0 95.6 95.4 16%
Jameson Taillon NYY 5 5 2 2 1 0 6 20 3.60 1.00 0 93.7 94.1 17%
Alex Wood SFG 4.1 5 2 2 1 1 6 20 4.15 1.38 0 92.7 93.2 9%
Adrian Houser MIL 3.2 4 2 2 0 3 3 18 4.91 1.91 0 94.7 94 12%
Aaron Civale CLE 3.1 4 4 2 0 3 3 19 5.40 2.10 0 90.5 91.2 10%
Austin Gomber COL 4.2 4 3 3 0 2 4 20 5.79 1.29 0 90.9 12%
Chris Flexen 플렉센 SEA 4.1 5 3 3 0 3 3 20 6.23 1.85 0 92.7 9%
Elieser Hernandez MIA 4.2 5 4 4 2 3 6 21 7.71 1.71 0 91.6 8%
Carlos Hernández KCR 4.1 6 4 4 1 2 1 20 8.31 1.85 0 95.6 13%
Ranger Suárez PHI 2.2 5 3 3 0 1 1 16 10.13 2.25 0 93.6 92.5 8%
Luis Patiño TBR 0.2 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 13.50 1.50 0 95.6 8%
Huascar Ynoa ATL 3 7 5 5 1 2 4 18 15.00 3.00 0 96.5 13%

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Boxscore Bits: April 11th, 2022

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April 11, 2022
Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

A few thoughts on the games from Sunday, April 10th.

FOR STARTERS

Sunday Starters
Name Team IP H R ER HR BB SO ERA WHIP W vFA (pi) vSI (pi) SwStr%
Corey Kluber TBR 4.2 3 0 0 0 4 5 0.00 1.50 0 90.5 89.8 14%
Zach Eflin PHI 4 2 0 0 0 2 3 0.00 1.00 0 93.2 92.9 10%
Nabil Crismatt SDP 3 1 0 0 0 3 4 0.00 1.33 0 89.9 88.9 15%
Daulton Jefferies OAK 5 2 0 0 0 2 2 0.00 0.80 1 92.5 92.1 6%
Carlos Carrasco NYM 5.2 2 1 1 1 0 5 1.59 0.35 0 93.4 92.7 14%
Marcus Stroman CHC 5 2 1 1 1 3 3 1.80 1.00 0 93.9 92.9 6%
José Urquidy HOU 5 4 1 1 1 0 2 1.80 0.80 1 94.7 6%
Michael Kopech CHW 4 2 1 1 0 2 3 2.25 1.00 0 96.0 7%
Antonio Senzatela COL 3.1 9 4 1 0 1 0 2.70 3.00 0 94.1 3%
Erick Fedde WSN 5 5 2 2 1 2 5 3.60 1.40 0 92.9 14%
Cal Quantrill CLE 5 4 2 2 0 1 2 3.60 1.00 1 93.1 9%
Trevor Rogers MIA 5 6 3 2 0 1 3 3.60 1.40 0 94.8 7%
Jose Suarez LAA 4.1 2 2 2 0 4 2 4.15 1.38 0 92.8 92.4 11%
Anthony DeSclafani SFG 3.2 8 2 2 0 1 5 4.91 2.45 0 92.8 92.7 11%
Hunter Greene CIN 5 4 3 3 2 2 7 5.40 1.20 1 99.9 14%
Freddy Peralta MIL 4 3 3 3 1 4 6 6.75 1.75 0 93.6 13%
Bryse Wilson PIT 4 5 3 3 1 1 2 6.75 1.50 0 92.3 91.7 5%
Bailey Ober MIN 5 4 4 4 1 2 4 7.20 1.20 1 92.2 14%
Jordan Montgomery NYY 3.1 4 3 3 0 1 4 8.10 1.50 0 92.5 92.1 12%
Tanner Houck BOS 3.1 6 3 3 0 3 3 8.10 2.70 0 95.4 94.1 10%
Marco Gonzales SEA 2 6 6 2 3 2 1 9.00 4.00 0 89.1 5%
Tarik Skubal DET 4 7 5 4 0 1 3 9.00 2.00 0 94.2 95.3 10%
Julio Urías LAD 2 6 6 3 1 2 0 13.50 4.00 0 92.3 7%
Hyun Jin Ryu 류현진 TOR 3.1 5 6 6 1 2 4 16.20 2.10 0 90.3 90.4 7%
Ian Anderson ATL 2.2 3 5 5 0 5 1 16.88 3.00 0 93.4 11%
Spencer Howard TEX 3 6 6 6 4 0 5 18.00 2.00 0 95.7 10%
Steven Matz STL 3 9 7 7 1 1 5 21.00 3.33 0 94.7 12%
Tyler Wells BAL 1.2 3 4 4 1 2 2 21.60 3.00 0 95.1 11%
Caleb Smith ARI 1 2 5 4 2 3 2 36.00 5.00 0 91.1 10%
Kris Bubic KCR 0.2 3 5 5 0 2 0 67.50 7.50 0 91.3 0%

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1037 – Opening Day Musings

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April 8, 2022

4/8/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

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01:13:49

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Boxscore Bits – April 8th, 2022

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April 8, 2022

A few thoughts on the games from Opening Day, April 7th.

Added after this went live: I’m going to play with some different formats over the next few days until I land on exactly what I want. I greatly appreciate the feedback already in the comments and would love more especially once you see the different formats that I try out!

MIL 4, CHC 5

  • Corbin Burnes wasn’t terribly sharp (5 IP-4 H-3 ER-1-HR-3 BB-4 K with the cutter just not looking like the 2021 iteration. It has just a 53% strike rate and 6% swinging strike rate, down from 72% and 17% last year.
  • Kyle Hendricks meanwhile was excellent (5.3 IP-5 H-1 ER-0 HR-3 BB-7 K) and his 17 swinging strikes (21%) was higher than anything he did in 2021 and highest of the day by 5 (Ohtani).
  • David Robertson (1 IP-1 H-0 ER-1 K) looked sharp while notching a save as the knuckle curve was in vintage form.
  • Rowan Wick (0.7 IP-2 H-1 ER)
  • Of course, Nico Hoerner hit the 1st homer of the 2022 season, his first since September 21st, 2019 (324 PA).
  • Ian Happ got off to a fast start, going 3-4 with 2 2B and 2 RBI.
  • Seiya Suzuki got on base three times in his MLB debut including a base hit (1-2, 2 BB, R, K).
  • Willy Adames, Andrew McCutchen, and Rowdy Tellez had 2 hits apiece.

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Paul Sporer’s 2022 Bold Predictions

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April 7, 2022
Nick Wosika-USA TODAY Sports

It’s Bold Prediction time. Here are mine!

Akil Baddoo goes for 30 HR and 30 SB

My love for the 23-year-old Rule 5 pick is well known, and I really think he could be this year’s Cedric Mullins in terms of a breakout 30-30 player, though he certainly didn’t come as cheaply as Mullins did a year ago. Baddoo started out hot last year (1.070 OPS after 2 weeks) but with a 44% K and 3% BB rate in April, it felt like a mirage. His improvements were evident over the remainder of the season with a 24% K and 11% BB rate from May 1st on. Upping his competence against lefties will be required (.523 OPS last year) for this to come through, though the AL Central features just three projected lefty starters so he might see a smaller starter/reliever split for his lefty plate appearances (78% v. SPs last year). Lefty SP count in the ALC matters because so many games come against the other four teams in your division.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1036 – Fireside Favorites

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April 6, 2022

4/6/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

  • Join our Patreon for live video feeds of each show

FIRESIDE CHAT

Fireside Favorites
TYPE DESCRIPTION PAUL NICK
ACE Top 20 SP Max Fried Lucas Giolito
BREAKOUT 21-50ish range Trevor Rogers Alek Manoah
BREAKOUT 51-75ish range José Urquidy Alex Cobb & Alex Wood
SLEEPER 76-100ish range Tylor Megill Jesús Luzardo
LOTTERY TICKET Outside Top 100 Reid Detmers Patrick Corbin
DEEEEP SLEEPER Off the Charts Kyle Wright Nick Martínez
PROSPECT In the Minors Max Meyer Grayson Rodriguez

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01:16:02

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Paul Sporer’s Fantasy Baseball Chat – April 6th, 2022

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April 6, 2022

Transcript is available!

1:28

Paul Sporer: Happy Opening Day Eve, y’all!!!
1:30

Jason: First, thank you so much for doing this. Really appreciate you! Secondly, who do you think has a better shot at everyday 1B at bats in KC this year, Pratto or Vinnie?
1:31

Paul Sporer: I really like Vinnie P, but I’d probably lean toward Pratto especially bc he’s on the 40
1:31

Georgia: You’re a Tigers fan, you concerned about Fulmer’s spring velocity?  Should I move on to another save spec quickly before he kills my ratios for a week or two?
1:33

Paul Sporer: Not particularly worried, no. They aren’t limiting him or showing any concern about his health due to it so I think it’s just spring ramp up
1:33

PNW: The Mariners Will Make The Playoffs… 1-10

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1035 – Spring Standouts: Hitters

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April 5, 2022

4/5/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow us on Twitter

PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

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00:43:12

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1033 – Fireside Chat: SP Split Rankings

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April 1, 2022

4/1/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

  • Join our Patreon for live video feeds of each show

FIRESIDE CHAT

Nick Higher:

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01:01:18

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Paul Sporer’s 2022 SP Ranking with Commentary

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March 30, 2022
Syndication Journal Sentinel

Here’s my first run from New Year’s Eve and those of you subscribed to the podcast’s Patreon have had access to mine & Justin’s ever-evolving rankings as the winter wore on (and thank you all so much for the support!). Now it’s time to dive deeper into the SP pool. I won’t have a comment on every single pitcher listed, but please feel free to ask questions in the comments about anyone – even if they have a comment!

ACES

ACES
RK STARTING PITCHER TM Last Rk. Diff.
1 Gerrit Cole NYY 1 0
2 Jacob deGrom NYM 3 1
3 Brandon Woodruff MIL 6 3
4 Walker Buehler LAD 2 -2
5 Corbin Burnes MIL 4 -1
6 Max Scherzer NYM 5 -1
7 Julio Urías LAD 13 6

The best of the best.

I understand the narrative of Cole and the sticky stuff ban because he had a 4.12 ERA from that point forward, but it came with a 3.39 FIP and 32% K rate. Even with a couple September duds mixed in, his FIP was 2.95 in the second half. The skills remain truly elite.

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