Archive for April, 2018

Sporer Report Issue #1

I’ve been trying to find a way to collect a bunch of my thoughts that aren’t quite worth their own article, but often extend beyond a tweet dating back to last year. So this will be a work in progress and I’m open to feedback on what y’all like and don’t as I try out different things here. It’s always going to be more pitching-focused, but it won’t be limited to just the mound. If you’ve followed my writing for a certain amount of time, you’ve no doubt seen me use the “Sporer Report” title for other columns.

It’s not that I think it’s some great name or anything (I’m not that vain); it’s just a general name that doesn’t limit the column’s contents. I originally wanted to call it the “The Week That Was”, but when it inevitably becomes super popular and people start tweeting about it so often that it gets condensed into #TWTW, I’m worried it’ll be lumped in with Hawk Harrelson’s “The Will to Win” nonsense.

Without further ado…

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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 4/3/2018

Here’s today’s chat transcript. Lots of interesting Opening Week concerns to address.

3:51

Brad Johnson: Hi folks, let’s get started in a few moments.

3:51

Brad Johnson: I probably need to stop right at 5:00 today as I have some other work to finish before social sports time.

3:52

Sam: Would you be trying to trade Francisco Mejia in a dynasty in fear that he won’t be catcher-eligible?

3:53

Brad Johnson: At least in my dynasty leagues (20 team, 1 C slot), losing the C eligibility isn’t a bad thing.

3:54

Brad Johnson: Every day players with OF eligibility are more valuable than 450 PA from a C. Usually

3:54

Wes: Thanks for chatting Brad. I lost Salvy to injury. In the meantime should I roll with Tucker Barnhart or Francisco Cervelli? Thanks!

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Did Any Pitcher Start Using A “New” Pitch?

During the offseason, I posted a list of starters who could use a third pitch or throw one of their barely utilized pitches more. I attempted to track some changes during spring training hoping to find next Robbie Ray or Luis Severino. I’ve failed so far. Now with pitch tracking cameras on every pitcher, I can see if anyone is trying to throw a pitch more. I’ll go down my list from February and see who is stepping up their usage.

Dinelson Lamet (Fastball/Slider): Hurt

Antonio Senzatela (Fastball/Slider): A classification mess starts with the first healthy pitcher. MLB’s classification has him with a change curve at 8% but Pitch Info has him not throwing one. Examining his pitch movement charts shows just two pitch groupings. Verdict: Still a two-pitch pitcher

Luis Perdomo (Sinker/Curve): He threw his splitter/change six times which is in-line with his previous usage pattern. It’s a good groundball pitch (57%) but is below average for swings-and-misses for a splitter (10%). Read the rest of this entry »


The Daily Grind: A Deal In The Works

Sometime in the next few days, The Daily Grind Invitational will be replaced with a freeroll. Said freeroll will have a small cash prize for the winner. That’s fine. Whatever. Freerolls are ok. Notably, the performance of the freeroll will be used to determine the proper size and scope for a TDG daily GPP. And, if I get my way, it will be a no rake GPP. So… start stretching or warming up or whatever you need to do to get ready. This is as specific as I can get at this time – nothing has been finalized, but we do seem to have a verbal agreement in place.

AGENDA

  1. TDG Invitational
  2. Weather Reports
  3. Pitchers to Use and Abuse
  4. SaberSim Says…
  5. First Draft, Second Draft
  6. Some Video Highlights

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Bullpen Report: April 3, 2018

While the closer grid might start green it doesn’t take too long for some different colors to emerge.

• The current situation in Anaheim has been interesting to say the least. Blake Parker’s hold on the job was never seen as particularly strong and he hasn’t done himself any favors early on this year, needing to be bailed out by Keynan Middleton as Al Melchior mentioned last night. I’ve changed this situation to yellow and added Middleton to the grid. It might be anyone’s guess who gets the next save opportunity but I’m keeping Parker in the lead for now. If Mike Scioscia wants to go with the hot hand he could turn to Middleton again and there’s also Bedrosian who’s been deployed a setup man thus far as well as Jim Johnson who does have that trademarked closer experience. At some point this situation might settle but for now there are a few guys who are worthy of speculative adds but also not provide any saves. Helpful, I know.

• As far as other colors go, we’re sticking with Baltimore at yellow before moving to a code red. Brad Brach obviously has not looked effective so far but until we see O’Day pitching in a save situation or Buck Showalter address the situation, we’re going to keep Brach in the lead. Darren O’Day did get some action on Monday but he entered in the 8th inning in a 6-1 game. It’s possible he’s was getting some work in as he had only pitched on Thursday so far this season. O’Day did look effective, striking out a pair in a perfect inning. If he’s still on the wire I would definitely look to grab him over Mychal Givens.

• We had Pedro Baez as the next-in-line in LA but it looks like Josh Fields is the man of the eighth for now. Baez looked good getting four perfect outs but he entered the game in the fourth inning. Josh Fields meanwhile took the ball in the eighth and pitched around a hit, striking out two batters. If something were to happen to Kenley Jansen I would keep an eye on Baez, but Fields would be the man to own. Speaking of Jansen, after taking the loss in his first appearance this year he doubled down with a blown save tonight, allowing three earned in the ninth. Jansen’s velocity has been down a few ticks this year and consider me worried. We don’t know if something is going on yet but I would look to grab Fields if I was in need of saves. If one is willing to chase saves in Miami, they should be willing to use a speculative add on Fields. Jansen certainly has a laughably tighter grasp on the role than Brad Ziegler but the payoff on getting the Dodgers closer is much greater than one in Miami. I’m a little hesitant to jump the gun here and make this situation yellow, but better safe than sorry with a big payoff if Jansen is to miss anytime.

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Say Goodbye to Steals and Hello to Fly Balls and Popups

While it’s going to be a while before we have a large enough sample size to properly evaluate hitters, it’s actually not too early to start acknowledging statistical trends on a leaguewide basis. So let’s dive into a series of ratios, comparing where we stand after just four days into the MLB season, with the March/April numbers going back to 2014.

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Roto Riteup: April 3, 2018

This is how feel at work most days:

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 536 – Eaton Some Small Samples

4/2/18

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

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Notable Transactions/Rumors/Articles

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Top 10 Prospects with a Fantasy Twist: The NL East

The NL East features the best minor league system in the game in the Atlanta Braves. And it also has one of the worst with the New York Mets. The remainder of the teams in the division fall somewhere in between — although the Nationals could surprise some people with the depth that’s beginning to develop.

New York Mets

Things drop off really quickly for me after the first two prospects on this list.

2018 Arrivals:
7. Chris Flexen | SP | 2018 Level: AAA
10. Corey Oswalt | SP | 2018 Level: AAA

2019 Arrivals:
1. David Peterson | SP | 2018 Level: A+
2. Peter Alonso | 1B | 2018 Level: AA
5. Justin Dunn | SP | 2018 Level: AA
6. Marcos Molina | SP | 2018 Level: AA

2020 and Beyond:
3. Andres Gimenez | SS | 2018 Level: A+
4. Mark Vientos | 3B | 2018 Level: A
8. Ronny Mauricio | SS | 2018 Level: R
9. Thomas Szapucki | SP | 2018 Level: Injured

Other Names to Know:
Sleeper: Gerson Bautista, RP
Beyond the Top 10 Help in 2018: Tomas Nido, C

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The Daily Grind: A Chance, a Smoak, and an Ohtani Walk Into A Pun

Go get it Chance Sisco!

AGENDA

  1. TDG Invitational
  2. Weather Reports
  3. Pitchers to Use and Abuse
  4. SaberSim Says…
  5. No Smoak Puns

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