Did Any Pitcher Start Using A “New” Pitch?
During the offseason, I posted a list of starters who could use a third pitch or throw one of their barely utilized pitches more. I attempted to track some changes during spring training hoping to find next Robbie Ray or Luis Severino. I’ve failed so far. Now with pitch tracking cameras on every pitcher, I can see if anyone is trying to throw a pitch more. I’ll go down my list from February and see who is stepping up their usage.
Dinelson Lamet (Fastball/Slider): Hurt
Antonio Senzatela (Fastball/Slider): A classification mess starts with the first healthy pitcher. MLB’s classification has him with a change curve at 8% but Pitch Info has him not throwing one. Examining his pitch movement charts shows just two pitch groupings. Verdict: Still a two-pitch pitcher
Luis Perdomo (Sinker/Curve): He threw his splitter/change six times which is in-line with his previous usage pattern. It’s a good groundball pitch (57%) but is below average for swings-and-misses for a splitter (10%).
Rich Hill (Curve/Fastball): Like Hill’s going to throw a third pitch … and he didn’t with his curve getting classified as a slider.
Lance Lynn (Fastball/Cutter): Hasn’t pitched.
Bartolo Colon (Fastball): Oh BIG sexy, where have you gone?
Kyle Hendricks (Fastball/Change): He threw a token curve but in his first start. He’s throwing an 87-mph fastball and just one other pitch. He has zero room for error right now.
Drew Pomeranz (Fastball/Curve): Hurt
Chris Archer (Fastball/Slider): Archer needs to have confidence in his change. In his start, he threw it four times. When he’s thrown it during his career, it’s been productive for him (52% GB%, 13% SwStr%). It’s not as good as his slider but he has to get hitters thinking of a third pitch.
Jose Berrios (Fastball/Curve): He’s used his change around 10% in his start which is near his career rate. It’s not been a good pitch for him. Right now, it’s just a show-me pitch.
Tyler Skaggs (Fastball/Curve): His first game results were great (0 Runs over 6.1 IP) but he threw just five changes. Two of them generated swings-and-misses. It’s been a productive pitch (54% GB%, 13% SwStr%) over his career but he doesn’t throw it much. Maybe he didn’t need to in his last start but there is no reason he can’t throw it more.
Patrick Corbin (Fastball/Slider): Just the two pitches in his first start.
Jose Quintana (Fastball/Curve): He seems to be abandoning his change more and more:
Season: CH%
2014: 13%
2015: 10%
2016: 8%
2017: 9%
2018: 5% (one start)
I’m worried hitters will just be concentrating on his is fastball (down 1.4 mph) and curve and begin to hit him hard.
German Marquez (Fastball/Curve): New pitch alert!!!!! Contact Jason Collette. He used a slider 12% of the time. I went back and watched them all. Calling the slider inconsistent is being nice. It varied from a down-and-away break to just a straight hanging pitch. Here are two sliders on back-to-back pitchers to A.J. Pollock.
Good movement
Bad Movement
It has the potential to be a decent pitch for him. While owning a Rockie starter is a tough proposition, I’d not be against streaming Marquez in his away starts.
Sal Romano (Fastball/Slider): He was still just fastball-slider with a sprinkling of change thrown in.
Ivan Nova: (Fastball/Curve): Nova starts the pitchers who throw a breaking ball 10% or more of the time and that is how much he throws his change. It doesn’t have a good groundball rate but historically, it has generated a 13% SwStr%.
Jameson Taillon (Fastball/Curve): He continued to throw his below average change 10% of the time.
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
See anything resembling Bauer’s new slider?
Lynn pitched yesterday
I got the article to my editor before Lynn threw.
Brooks baseball Taillon – “His change (take this with a grain of salt because he’s only thrown 10 of them in 2018) generates an extremely high number of swings & misses compared to other pitchers’ changeups, is much firmer than usual, results in more flyballs compared to other pitchers’ changeups and has slight cut action. “
Heard the broadcast last night talking about Reynaldo workshopping a slider but PitchF/X only had him throwing two. Is there some overlap with the curve/slider?
I had noticed this too – looks to me like it’s a cutter classification which is weird given that it averaged 85mph on Brooks
Hendricks has been working on that curve since spring training and with the way that his changeup cuts both left and right on command, it is more like two pitches.
Hendricks pitched his way to a career-best 3.19 FIP last year while averaging 86mph. Not calling out you specifically because everyone seems to do it, but why do we say zero room for error when he comes out and is back up to 87 in his first start?
3.19 is this year. He had a 3.88 FIP last year.
I don’t think it’s unjustified to question Hendricks d/t his lack of velo. Among qualified pitchers last year, the only 2 guys who threw softer than him were Jason Vargas and Dickey. Just ahead of him are Tomlin, Colon, Keuchel, and Rich HIll. You can succeed soft-tossing, it’s just a lot more of a tightrope walk. It’s just a simple fact, all things being equal (which they aren’t) you’re better off throwing harder.
Hendricks fell in my lap this year so I’m definitely rooting for him (& I think he’ll be just fine), but he’ll never be among the elite throwing 87.
Woops, first week rust!
Guess the point is, he has always succeeded as a low-velo guy, even last year, and this year his velo is already up and it’s only April.
Aaron Sanchez is throwing a change up. It’s pretty shitty to my eye. But it exists.
Berrios threw a handful of changeups the other day that looked better than just “show me” pitches
RE: Taillon’s change up…
https://twitter.com/pitchingninja/status/980864005110751242?s=21