The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 887 – SP Debates ft. Nick Pollack

by
January 28, 2021

1/28/21

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to Fangraphs! With a standard $20 membership, you help maintain and improve our database of stats and graphs as well as our staff of 8 full-time employees and over 50 contributors. The premium ad-free membership at $50 year supports site growth and also includes faster load speeds and better site performance. You can also support monthly for just $3.

Follow us on Twitter

STARTING PITCHER DEBATES

—

As usual, don’t hesitate to tweet us or comment with fantasy questions.

You Aren't a FanGraphs Member
It looks like you aren't yet a FanGraphs Member (or aren't logged in). We aren't mad, just disappointed. We get it. You want to read this article. But before we let you get back to it, we'd like to point out a few of the good reasons why you should become a Member. 1. Ad Free viewing! We won't bug you with this ad, or any other. 2. Unlimited articles! Non-Members only get to read 10 free articles a month. Members never get cut off. 3. Dark mode and Classic mode! 4. Custom player page dashboards! Choose the player cards you want, in the order you want them. 5. One-click data exports! Export our projections and leaderboards for your personal projects. 6. Remove the photos on the home page! (Honestly, this doesn't sound so great to us, but some people wanted it, and we like to give our Members what they want.) 7. Even more Steamer projections! We have handedness, percentile, and context neutral projections available for Members only. 8. Get FanGraphs Walk-Off, a customized year end review! Find out exactly how you used FanGraphs this year, and how that compares to other Members. Don't be a victim of FOMO. 9. A weekly mailbag column, exclusively for Members. 10. Help support FanGraphs and our entire staff! Our Members provide us with critical resources to improve the site and deliver new features! We hope you'll consider a Membership today, for yourself or as a gift! And we realize this has been an awfully long sales pitch, so we've also removed all the other ads in this article. We didn't want to overdo it. In case you didn't read all that, here's the short version. Membership includes:
✓Ad-free browsing
✓Unlimited FanGraphs & RotoGraphs articles
✓Historical & platoon projections
✓Leaderboard & player-page stat heatmaps
✓One-click data exports
✓Customizable player-page dashboards
✓Dark & Classic site modes
✓Weekly Members-only mailbag
✓FanGraphs Walk-Off, your year in review
✓Optional homepage photo removal
✓Gift articles to non-members

You can subscribe to the podcast on iTunes or via the feed. Please rate & review the show in iTunes letting us know what you think!

Approximately 116 minutes of joyous analysis.

01:55:48

Podcast: Play in new window | Download

Subscribe: RSS





 

Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

3 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
weekendatbidens
5 years ago

Nelson Cruz has a drop in both Max EV and Av EV, an increase of Swstr%, and some decline in Launch Angle are things that changed negatively for Cruz.

This doesn’t mean he won’t be incredible. But it could be the edge of the knife for Cruz. We need more evidence to say how it’s gonna fall, but it isn’t no-risk anymore.

2
dodgerbleu
5 years ago

Doesn’t seem to be mentioned much, but Lopez is really bad against LHP. I know Gausman is the 2-pitch guy, but he doesn’t have the same split issue. I’d be more inclined to only play Lopez against RH heavy lineups.

Gausman aside, any concern about Lopez and LH? And in general, given how we stream based on home/road/opponent, do we underutilize LH/RH performance in those decisions?

0
rustydudeMember since 2021
5 years ago

For what it’s worth, ATC has Framber projected as the 10th best FIP among starters. Meanwhile the 163 IP projection is a big guess. He’s never pitched that many in a season but at the same time the Astros will have lots of incentive in stretching him out in his 27 yr old season. One thing not mentioned in this podcast is that Framber’s GB% has now been shown to be a sustainable skill at around 60%, best in majors. That really elevates his floor, especially in points leagues. Finally, don’t sleep on his 2020 playoff performance which was every bit as good as his regular season performance but against better competition.

0