Beat the Shift Podcast – Starting Pitcher Episode (Part I) w/ Paul Sporer

The Starting Pitcher Episode (Part I) of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Paul Sporer

Strategy Section

  • How many pitchers will throw 200 innings in 2021?
  • Pitcher ramp up from the 2020 short season.
  • Pitchers returning from injury (Chris Sale / Noah Syndergaard / Luis Severino)
    • How do you project innings for 2021?
    • How do you assess their fantasy value?
    • What leagues are these players more (or less) valuable?
  • Super Elite Pitchers (Jacob deGrom / Gerrit Cole / Shane Bieber)
    • How far should the trio be pushed up in drafts?
    • Which hitters should be drafted ahead of the super elite starters?
      • Does the format make a difference?
  • Pitching Strategy in 2021 – Snake Drafts vs. Auctions

ATC Player Discussion


  • Does signing with a new team boost player value?
  • The potential busts of the top 12-15 starting pitchers (SP1 busts).


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Ariel is the 2019 FSWA Baseball Writer of the Year. Ariel is also the winner of the 2020 FSWA Baseball Article of the Year award. He is the creator of the ATC (Average Total Cost) Projection System. Ariel was ranked by FantasyPros as the #1 fantasy baseball expert in 2019. His ATC Projections were ranked as the #1 most accurate projection system in 2019. Ariel also writes for CBS Sports, SportsLine, RotoBaller, and is the host of the Beat the Shift Podcast (@Beat_Shift_Pod). Ariel is a member of the inaugural Tout Wars Draft & Hold league, a member of the inaugural Mixed LABR Auction league and plays high stakes contests in the NFBC. Ariel is the 2020 Tout Wars Head to Head League Champion. Ariel Cohen is a fellow of the Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS) and the Society of Actuaries (SOA). He is a Vice President of Risk Management for a large international insurance and reinsurance company. Follow Ariel on Twitter at @ATCNY.

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