Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Welcome

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: Remember to set your Angels and Red Sox player lineups with the early start tomorrow.

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are the Tout Wars winning bids.

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman:

7:33
Alex: How does “Josh Lowe if he figures out the strikeouts” look on our rosters over the next few months?

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: Not that good if he continues to sit against all lefties. Streamer depending on matchups

7:34
Boston Expatriots: Please rank, ROS, Detmers, Heaney, Tbradley, Miley

7:34
Jeff Zimmerman: You might have it there.

7:35
Jeff Zimmerman: I always ask would I trade Detmers for Bradley right now and I’m not sure I would

7:35
Kevin: Thoughts on Jon Berti with the lineup adjustments? 2-4% FAAB?

7:36
Jeff Zimmerman: More around the 2%. I suspect Wendle will play when he returns.

7:36
Jon: Domingo German is averaging 12.2 Ks/9 with a 17% swinging strike rate. I think I will drop Nick Anderson for him since starters with high K rates are so important

7:36
Jeff Zimmerman: Agree

7:37
Whaleoil: Danny Jansen dropped in my league.  I have Christian Vasquez.  Put a claim in for Jansen or sit tight.

7:38
Jeff Zimmerman: I think it comes down to needs with Jansen giving decent power and Vazquez and few steals. In a vacuum (i.e points leagues), Jansen

7:38
Guest: Would you pick up Pfaadt or Jameson this week for ROS?

7:39
Jeff Zimmerman: It all comes down to team and league depth.

7:39
KCbbq: In a 12 team AL only 5×5 H2H keeper league how much FAAB to bid on Neto, Julien and Rooker? Rookies always tend to come with growing pains. Julien is likely headed back to AAA and the Angles say Neto is here to stay.  Part of me thinks Rooker has the most leash to stick plus isn;t he a former first round pick?

7:39
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are the bids from the AL Tout Wars leagues.

7:40
Jeff Zimmerman:

I didn’t win Zach Neto or Edouard Julien in AL @ToutWars (though my $203 bid on Neto would have won Julien), but I did win Taj Bradley and my sixth hitter choice, Yu Chang:
17 Apr 2023
7:40
Jeff Zimmerman: In AL-only you are probably looking at 20% to 40% with possibly more

7:41
Jeff Zimmerman: As for Rooker, he feels like a 10% guy

7:41
Frank: Do you think it is likely that Taj stays up to replace Springs?

7:41
Jeff Zimmerman: I think he will work his way into the rotation but I’m not sure how

7:42
PJ: Struggling with a Neto % tonight. is 15% worth it in a deep 15 team mix?

7:43
Jeff Zimmerman: I think it may take that much but it’s too much for me.

7:43
Jeff Zimmerman: I just don’t see him as a difference make

7:44
Points H2H: How much to bid on Bryce Harper in a 12 team mixed points H2H league? $1000 FAAB $1 min bid, with about $850-900 left. No IL but quite a few bench spots.

7:45
Jeff Zimmerman: With the current timeline, 20% min, possibly 50%+. First round caliber players just don’t show up on the wire.

7:45
Chipper: Severino is on my wire in a 12-team league. Is he a must-grab?

7:45
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes

7:45
Guest: What percentage on Taj and Neto?

7:47
Jeff Zimmerman: I think 5% is the min with the upside being 50%. I think it’ll be nuts, especially for desperate managers needing SS and SP replacements.

7:47
Tom: how high would you go on Julien in a $1000 budget obp league (14-teams)? Not desperate for middle infield help (Mookie should have 2B soon), but can’t tell if this guy has difference making potential

7:48
Jeff Zimmerman: I can’t go high and Julien at all. He could be back in the minors in 10 days. Polanco is well into his 20-day rehab start and has only played 2B

7:48
Jeff Zimmerman: Correa isn’t moving. Maybe Buxton will go to CF to make room.

7:49
Jeff Zimmerman: Know that Julien could be demoted in 10 days and not play again in the majors for a while.

7:49
Guest: I’m thinking with Gallo back Wednesday and Kirilloff in rehab, Julien gets sent down…..unless they option Gordon, who has been awful this year.

7:50
Jeff Zimmerman: It’s more of a 2B issue, Polanco and Julien have only played it. And yes I know Julien tried some 3B and OF and few years back

7:50
KCbbq: Do you think Burger will stay up once Moncada comes off the IL? He’s hit enough to stay up but where would he play?

7:50
Jeff Zimmerman: No but he should. I suspect Burger will be a one week play

7:50
Vader: Hi Jeff!  Thx as always for all the help.

7:50
Jeff Zimmerman: No problem

7:51
OBP league: Need an OF, OBP league: Rooker, Maton, Dubon, Grossman. Thanks!

7:52
Jeff Zimmerman: That order works. That said, I think Rooker and Maton have short leashes and both could end up in a platoon. If you roster them, check in on their playing time weekly.

7:52
SuperNES: I’m looking for a CI in a 14 team OBP league. How would you rank Myers, Steer, and Jung going forward?

7:52
Jeff Zimmerman: Jung, Steer, Myers

7:53
Chris M: Lost Giancarlo today.. 5×5 12 team obp league.  Meneses, Soler, O Gonzalez or Colas?

7:53
Jeff Zimmerman: Soler

7:53
OBP league: Hi! Need an MI bat, OBP league: Julien, Neto, Massey? Thanks!

7:53
Jeff Zimmerman: Neto, Julien, Massey

7:54
BrandonMcKayDylanWalsh: Is Marsh or Lowe, any of these guys who are currently platooning, worth a roster spot in a 12 team league? Would you roster both & burn a spot on your 5 man bench?

7:54
Jeff Zimmerman: No, I just look for good weeks to add them. The problem is that this week is not one of those weeks for any team

7:54
guest: % bid on j. davis?

7:55
Jeff Zimmerman: I found several 3B on the wire I like. Villar, Castro, Steer, Davis. You might go a little lower and get one of them.

7:56
Jeff Zimmerman: Add Burger to that list

7:56
A.: Neto or Kim ObP mixed 12?

7:57
Jeff Zimmerman: This one is close and I’d go Kim but I’ll put it to a vote.

7:57
Jeff Zimmerman:

Who do you prefer?

Kim (72.5% | 111 votes)
 
Neto (27.4% | 42 votes)
 

Total Votes: 153
7:58
lovethepod: drop S Dominguez?

7:59
Jeff Zimmerman: Someone gets a T-Shirt — contact @robsilver on twitter to claim your prize.

7:59
Keith Hernandez’ cat: Evening, Jeff. Is there a source that shows chase rate for teams, not just individual batters?

7:59
Jeff Zimmerman: FanGraphs should … one sec …

8:01
JB: Thoughts on Brayan Bello for tomorrow vs. the Angels and then going forward?

8:01
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m going to roll with him in a few places. Lots of my pitchers have rough matchups.

8:02
Rosin: Hi Jeff, who do you prefer? Taj or Flaherty? Bell/Wisdom/Walker/Yandy?

8:02
Jeff Zimmerman: Taj and both Walkers then Yandy.

8:03
A.: Is Woodruff droppable in a 12 team mixed with 2IL and 5 bench. Currently have Harper and Ray injured as well.

8:04
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m holding until the news comes out from the Brewers early this week. Woodruff made it sound like it’s at least more than 2 months in a MLBTR article

8:04
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m holding in 15’s but I might need to move on in 12’s

8:04
Jeff Zimmerman: I just want to know more.

8:05
faab %: Does this usually refer to the total (original) FAAB budget or the amount the player has remaining?

8:06
Jeff Zimmerman: I usually mean it for the original FAAB. It just helps differentiate between $1000 and $100 leagues.

8:06
frank: would you drop kopech and/or ed cabrera for oviedo and/or german?

8:07
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d drop E Cabrera for German

8:08
Swayze: Wondering what % on Baty now that he’s getting the call.

8:09
Jeff Zimmerman: I think depending on the league, he’s a min of 10% with some 30%+ bids. He’s the first real difference maker getting promoted besides Bradley.

8:09
Josh: when should we trust early statcast data to evaluate our own guys vs free agents?

8:09
Jeff Zimmerman: Probably two months

8:10
Jeff Zimmerman: I do it early but I regress the hell out of the values and the whole league starts at a 50% grade across the board.

8:11
Jeff Zimmerman: Just now, the extreme are getting to 40% and 60%

8:12
Neto: Those are big AL Tout bids for Neto given he hasn’t been on base yet. Is he really staying up? Feels like Moreno trying to screw whoever replaces him…

8:13
Jeff Zimmerman: They ran just before the chat started, so they know he hasn’t hit for a couple games.

8:13
slashers: yo jeff,

8:13
Jeff Zimmerman: yo

8:13
Guest: Do you think Elder stay in the rotation when Soroka becomes healthy? Does Soroka come back as a Starter or Reliever?

8:14
Jeff Zimmerman: I think Elder will lose his job. I’m just hoping Elder gets his scheduled Miami start

8:14
Guest: Who would you prefer moving forward, Larnach or Bae?

8:15
Jeff Zimmerman: Bae, I like the position flexiblity.

8:15
faab-u-lessfaab-u-less: Who do you like most to fill out an AL-only rotation in Tyler Wells, Sears, Turnbull and Wentz?

8:16
Jeff Zimmerman: Right now Wells and it’s not close. Keep an eye on Wentz. His last start was good and may have figured something out. I’d like to see him do it some more.

8:16
DJH: I have Nootbar and Moncada both coming of IL soon. I have to drop two of Outman, Gunnar, Hayes, Myers, Segura, Kim, Steer. Position doesn’t matter.

8:17
Jeff Zimmerman: Myers and Steer

8:17
Jesse: Is Springs droppable with being out at least 2 months at best?

8:17
Jeff Zimmerman: Probably, I could see waiting one more week for more info

8:17
Dylan: NL Only FAAB % on Desclafani?

8:18
Jeff Zimmerman: If still available, 10% probably a lot more.

8:18
Jeff Zimmerman: If he was in my NL only I’d consider 25%

8:19
Elwood Blues: Any of Jones, col ; Velazquez, chi ; or Ramos, sf – worth the min. $5 bid , even though J and V got sent down already? It’s a keeper league and the bid means they must stay on team rest of year (active only when they are up) Thanks!

8:19
Jeff Zimmerman: No.

8:20
Greg: I guess it’s because I’m a deep AL-only guy but I really thought Christian Arroyo was a better sleeper entering the year. Can’t hit a lick now

8:20
Jeff Zimmerman: I had him a late-round option in 15-teamers, but his managers have needed to move on.

8:20
Greg: When Mitch Garver returns (assuming it’s soon) do you think he returns to being a part-timer, or can he earn a lion’s share of ABs. Weird they didn’t play him more, even at DH early on

8:21
Jeff Zimmerman: He is so broke at this point. I think he’ll need to near 100% before they bring him back

8:21
Tim: Bradley or L Garcia (HOU) ROS?

8:22
Jeff Zimmerman: Right now, Bradley. Garcia looks completely lost

8:22
Guest: How do you feel about O. Peraza coming up on the Yankees?

8:23
Jeff Zimmerman: Peraza, I’m worried about his playing time.

8:23
Jeff Zimmerman: I think I’d roster him but not count on him this week

8:24
Jeff Zimmerman: Let me kind Boone’s quote

8:24
Jeff Zimmerman:

Boone also said Oswald Peraza would be an option to play second and short, but “there’s no factoring into the third base mix.”

#Yankees

16 Apr 2023
8:25
Jeff Zimmerman: An option, sounds like a bench bat

8:25
Mets fan: Thanks for these chats…they are great. With Oswald Peraza being called up, I need to drop one.  Conforto, Calas, or Julien. Suggestions??

8:25
Jeff Zimmerman: Peraza

8:25
ArchibaldMeatpants: Thoughts on Ben Joyce joining the Angels sooner rather than later?

8:25
Jeff Zimmerman: Later

8:25
mark: is fulmer worth starting for saves this week? also, Lange or Finnegan?

8:26
Jeff Zimmerman: It all depends on other options, but I’m going to roll out 4 RPs in one league

8:26
SCHLOOP: Scott Barlow looks like crap… he’s droppable given how FIRE Chapman has been, yeah?

8:26
Jeff Zimmerman: I wouldn’t drop but there is no need to be starting him

8:27
Dude: who would you prefer as a 5×5 NL pickup, Matz, Alex Wood or Smyly?

8:27
Jeff Zimmerman: Matz

8:28
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m going to end the chat there and then look over the news and my bids for 30 minutes. Good luck tonight.





Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

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