Starting Pitcher Chart – September 17th, 2024
- Daily SP Chart archive
- Check out the August SP Rankings (newish)
Some tricky spots out there for Tuesday and we’ve already seen some strong bets flop (thanks, Detmers!) so be careful.
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| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK L30/Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blake Snell | SFG at BAL | x | x | x | 92 | 3.52 | 1.12 | 22% | 21st/6th |
| 2 | Zack Wheeler | PHI at MIL | x | x | x | 179 | 2.60 | 0.97 | 21% | 12th/6th |
| 3 | Luis Gil | NYY at SEA | x | x | x | 135 | 3.18 | 1.17 | 15% | 6th/23rd |
| 4 | Cole Ragans | KCR v DET | x | x | x | 173 | 3.32 | 1.15 | 21% | 11th/24th |
| 5 | Bryan Woo | SEA v NYY | x | x | x | 105 | 2.38 | 0.82 | 18% | 25th/1st |
| 6 | Nick Pivetta | BOS at TBR | x | x | x | 129 | 4.24 | 1.14 | 23% | 27th/29th |
| 7 | Albert Suárez | BAL v SFG | x | x | x | 119 | 3.39 | 1.29 | 11% | 28th/24th |
| 8 | Michael King | SDP v HOU | x | x | x | 161 | 3.06 | 1.21 | 19% | 8th/9th |
| 9 | Frankie Montas | MIL v PHI | x | x | x | 138 | 4.49 | 1.34 | 12% | 9th/12th |
| 10 | Brandon Williamson | CIN v ATL | x | x | x | 13 | 2.08 | 0.77 | 16% | 8th/4th |
| 11 | Tylor Megill | NYM v WSN | x | x | x | 62 | 4.48 | 1.32 | 17% | 22nd/17th |
| 12 | Hunter Brown | HOU at SDP | x | x | 158 | 3.59 | 1.29 | 17% | 4th/5th | |
| 13 | Nathan Eovaldi | TEX v TOR | x | x | 152 | 3.67 | 1.08 | 19% | 2nd/13th | |
| 14 | Jordan Wicks | CHC v OAK | x | x | 41 | 5.27 | 1.61 | 11% | 26th/14th | |
| 15 | Shane Baz | TBR v BOS | x | x | 60 | 3.28 | 1.19 | 10% | 16th/3rd | |
| 16 | Davis Martin | CHW at LAA | x | x | 41 | 4.14 | 1.35 | 13% | 29th/27th | |
| 17 | Bailey Falter | PIT at STL | x | x | 128 | 4.20 | 1.27 | 9% | 15th/28th | |
| 18 | Chris Bassitt | TOR at TEX | x | x | 163 | 4.20 | 1.41 | 15% | 21st/26th | |
| 19 | Bobby Miller | LAD at MIA | x | x | 54 | 8.17 | 1.69 | 9% | 7th/25th | |
| 20 | Zebby Matthews | MIN at CLE | x | 25 | 7.11 | 1.66 | 18% | 24th/21st | ||
| 21 | Gavin Williams | CLE v MIN | x | 65 | 5.23 | 1.39 | 14% | 26th/8th | ||
| 22 | Griffin Canning | LAA v CHW | x | 156 | 5.35 | 1.41 | 9% | 30th/30th | ||
| 23 | Casey Mize | DET at KCR | x | 94 | 4.47 | 1.40 | 12% | 20th/11th | ||
| 24 | Grant Holmes | ATL at CIN | x | 54 | 3.79 | 1.24 | 19% | 15th/18th | ||
| 25 | Lance Lynn | STL v PIT | 111 | 3.96 | 1.36 | 13% | 19th/28th | |||
| 26 | Mitchell Parker | WSN at NYM | 142 | 4.24 | 1.27 | 15% | 2nd/5th | |||
| 27 | Mitch Spence | OAK at CHC | 137 | 4.33 | 1.35 | 12% | 3rd/16th | |||
| 28 | Jordan Montgomery | ARI at COL | 108 | 6.25 | 1.64 | 7% | 25th/23rd | |||
| 29 | Ryan Feltner | COL v ARI | 143 | 4.89 | 1.39 | 13% | 1st/2nd | |||
| 30 | Darren McCaughan | MIA v LAD | 29 | 7.06 | 1.81 | 2% | 5th/4th |
The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th) and over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.
I have a choice between 2 starts with Nola (MIL & CHC) or 2 with Brandon Williamson. Nola has looked shaky of late and not as good a 2nd half. Chasing 3 pts in ERA, 1 in whip, 1 in Ks with team ahead of me but I’ll have 3 more starts. I have Wheeler, Snell, Manaea and Nick Martinez as other starters.
That’s rough. Chicago and Milwaukee have both been red hot on offense lately, but Williamson isn’t a guy I’m confident in with his underlying numbers and underwhelming pure stuff. I’d go with Nola. He’s a proven commodity and has still done enough in the second half to get you a QS most starts.
Oh maaannn. I think I’m going with Williamson. Nola has the track record, but like you said, he’s been a bit bumpy down the stretch. It’s really close, but I have a slight B Willy lean
Just doing a double-take seeing Brandon Williamson ranked 10th ahead of Eovaldi…ATL isn’t all scrubs.
Pretty sure it’s just matchup-dependent today. Toronto is a top 10 offense in the second half, top 5 over the past 30 days, and Bassitt is opposite, which means vulturing a cheap win isn’t on the table for Eovaldi, especially with the Rangers being subpar offensively in the 2nd half. Atlanta’s barely outside the bottom 10 in both timeframes, so Cincy is a much closer match to Atlanta and Holmes opposite isn’t threatening.
Don’t really buy that, ATL is good against LHP (8th/4th per chart) so I don’t think its particularly different than the TOR matchup, ERA estimators aren’t buying the 13.0 innings Williamson has of a 2.08 ERA the start is in Cincy so terrible park, Bassitt hasn’t really been particularly good all year.
Holmes has been bad out of the pen lately so that’s the only part I’m with you on.
I have Williamson in a deep dynasty league so I hope he’s going to be good but benching today.
I’m perhaps a bit overzealous on B Willy especially bc I do respect the ATL offense, even the injury-addled version. I like how Williamson closed last year, too, though, so it’s not just the 3 solid starts here. He closed with 9 solid outing —- 3.91 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 16% K-BB in 48.3 IP. He and Megill are probably both more 2-x guys that I’m just open to running anywhere if the situation dictates it. But that’s the same for Brown/Eovaldi so all 4 are pretty close 2-x’s.
Overzealous indeed and 2 lefty-lefty HRs at that!
Didn’t really work out for either guy, tbh. Eovaldi got smacked around like a bobo doll.
No X for Lynn seems harsh.
Yeah, it is. Especially v. PIT. He’s been better than I realized of late. I’m OK running him in 15s and 12s. He can drop a bomb on ya at any moment, but it’s a worthwhile risk today