Starting Pitcher Chart – June 2nd, 2026

- Daily SP Chart archive
- 2-Start podcast episode
- SP Rankings (last update: 4/27 | next: wk of 6/1)
Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.
I’ll have updated SP rankings out this week! Targeting Thursday for that, stay tuned.
- 1 bad IP v. HOU led to Early’s only Dud of the year but maybe it unlocked something for him because he’s been electric since: 1.79 ERA/0.96 WHIP/20% K-BB. The 5% BB stands out because control was an issue through his F7 starts (11% BB), though his ERA has never eclipsed 3.80 so even as he worked through that, he was still delivering value.
- In a season of impressive pitching breakouts, Martin stands out. After shelving his slider and curve to show-me status last year (4-5% usage for both), he’s dialed ’em up nearly 3x to 15% and 12%, respectively, and as a result his K% has surged 10 pts to 27%!! Paired with 13% SwStr, there is some realness to this and I’m running him everywhere confidently right now.
- Elder caught his first Dud of the year and there could be more on the way as it’s still hard to fully buy into his success with just a 13% K-BB, but if you can take the ratio risk there’s plenty of Win upside.
- Vásquez has been a bit wobbly in his L2 (7 ER in 10 IP w/4 HRs and 2:4 K:BB) but this is what I mean when I say we’re not jumping off at the first sign of trouble w/someone. Last year, that would’ve been enough to run from Vásquez given how flimsy his skills were (5% K-BB). His 12% this year isn’t amazing, but much more palatable than a single-digit rate. Let’s check-in after the 2-start this week (NYM on the wknd).
- I debated the 3-x on Soroka given how good he’s been this year but LAD is always tough to go against with any non-ace. Health, not skills, remains the biggest hurdle for Soroka as he hasn’t reached even 90 IP since his 2019 breakout season. I would definitely run him in weekly 10-teamers to get the 2-step even with it being 2 pretty difficult matchups (WSN this wknd).
- Huge 2-step this week for Prielipp. After running out to a 2.88 ERA/0.96 WHIP in his first 5 MLB starts, he’s gotten his socks knocked off in his L2 at BOS and at CHW, allowing 11 ER in 8.3 IP (6 BB definitely a big part of the issue). I’m willing to give him a shot against the Murakami-less White Sox in order to get the KCR start in weekly setups. In daily setups, I can see skipping this in shallow-medium formats.
- Matz has 6 good and 3 bad starts on the year but the latter have smothered the former resulting in a 4.67 ERA/1.24 WHIP through 44.3 IP. Most of my confidence to start him comes from how impossibly bad my favorite team has been lately (casual 4-22 record over their L26, very fun to watch everyday!).
- It was great to see the 11-K game from Roy Reuben Chandler but we knew that wasn’t the end of his control issues (he even walked 3 during the big strikeout game). HOU is down to 12th in wOBA on the year after a really fast start and now they essentially boil down to Yordan Alvarez, Christian Walker, Jeremy Pena, and friends… wherein the friends are essentially free outs. Just don’t let those three get you and they’re very beatable.
- McDonald is yet another interesting arm with a difficult 2-step on tap (at CHC this wknd) but one I’m certainly open to running. A 7 ER Dud v. CHW has inflated the ERA to 4.34 but the 17% K-BB and 2.92 SIERA draw my attention. In fact, as I dive in deeper, I would favor T-Mc over Matz and Chandler for both today and the whole week.
- I’m nervous about all five 1-x guys and wouldn’t bat an eye at sitting any of them. Baz and Abbott at least have decent matchups while Cantillo, Jump, and Cameron are all on the road facing Top 10 offenses. Even still, I’d likely run all three in weekly formats for their 2-steps… at least in 15-teamers.
- Comments sold me on giving Nola, May and even Grayson 1-x. If I could figure out how to half an x, I would’ve given Grayson that, but I’m just nervous from being burnt in the past by him (mostly due to health, in fairness). Edit to add: I guess a slash one way or the other is technically half an “x” so that’s what he gets!
I’ll have more comments in the morning. Got a late start and need to get some rest!
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| Rk | PITCHER | Team | Opponent | T | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K% | K-BB | OPP K% | opp wOBA RK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cam Schlittler | NYY | v. CLE | R | x | x | x | 72 | 1.50 | 0.85 | 29% | 25% | 21% | 27 |
| 2 | Kyle Harrison | MIL | v. SFG | L | x | x | x | 51.2 | 1.57 | 1.03 | 30% | 23% | 22% | 20 |
| 3 | Logan Gilbert | SEA | v. NYM | R | x | x | x | 68.1 | 3.69 | 1.11 | 25% | 19% | 21% | 30 |
| 4 | Nathan Eovaldi | TEX | at STL | R | x | x | x | 68.2 | 3.93 | 1.11 | 24% | 18% | 23% | 16 |
| 5 | Kevin Gausman | TOR | at ATL | R | x | x | x | 69 | 3.13 | 1.09 | 24% | 19% | 21% | 2 |
| 6 | Connelly Early | BOS | v. BAL | L | x | x | x | 61 | 2.95 | 1.16 | 22% | 14% | 25% | 22 |
| 7 | Davis Martin | CHW | at MIN | R | x | x | x | 67.2 | 2.00 | 0.99 | 27% | 22% | 24% | 17 |
| 8 | Bryce Elder | ATL | v. TOR | R | x | x | x | 72 | 2.50 | 1.08 | 21% | 13% | 19% | 18 |
| 9 | Randy Vásquez | SDP | at PHI | R | x | x | x | 60.1 | 3.28 | 1.23 | 19% | 12% | 22% | 28 |
| 10 | Michael Soroka | ARI | v. LAD | R | x | x | 61 | 3.25 | 1.20 | 24% | 18% | 20% | 1 | |
| 11 | Connor Prielipp | MIN | v. CHW | L | x | x | 33.1 | 5.13 | 1.35 | 24% | 14% | 24% | 3 | |
| 12 | Steven Matz | TBR | v. DET | L | x | x | 44.1 | 4.67 | 1.24 | 19% | 10% | 23% | 18 | |
| 13 | Bubba Chandler | PIT | at HOU | R | x | x | 52 | 4.85 | 1.52 | 22% | 7% | 22% | 12 | |
| 14 | Trevor McDonald | SFG | at MIL | R | x | x | 29 | 4.34 | 1.07 | 22% | 17% | 21% | 11 | |
| 15 | Shane Baz | BAL | at BOS | R | x | 64.1 | 4.48 | 1.43 | 20% | 11% | 23% | 26 | ||
| 16 | Andrew Abbott | CIN | v. KCR | L | x | 62.2 | 3.88 | 1.42 | 15% | 6% | 20% | 21 | ||
| 17 | Joey Cantillo | CLE | at NYY | L | x | 58 | 3.57 | 1.40 | 21% | 9% | 23% | 1 | ||
| 18 | Gage Jump | ATH | at CHC | L | x | 5 | 7.20 | 2.00 | 20% | 16% | 23% | 10 | ||
| 19 | Noah Cameron | KCR | at CIN | L | x | 52.2 | 4.61 | 1.41 | 21% | 13% | 25% | 7 | ||
| 20 | Jonah Tong | NYM | at SEA | R | 6.2 | 0.00 | 1.20 | 11% | -7% | 23% | 3 | |||
| 21 | Dustin May | STL | v. TEX | R | x | 61 | 4.57 | 1.30 | 20% | 13% | 22% | 13 | ||
| 22 | Aaron Nola | PHI | v. SDP | R | x | 56.2 | 5.72 | 1.45 | 23% | 16% | 23% | 29 | ||
| 23 | Ryan Gusto – Follower | MIA | at WSN | R | 1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33% | 33% | 21% | 10 | |||
| 24 | Jack Flaherty | DET | at TBR | R | 52.2 | 5.81 | 1.61 | 26% | 14% | 19% | 6 | |||
| 25 | Tomoyuki Sugano | COL | at LAA | R | 58.1 | 4.01 | 1.25 | 13% | 6% | 26% | 20 | |||
| 26 | Grayson Rodriguez | LAA | v. COL | R | / | 14.1 | 7.53 | 1.67 | 22% | 9% | 23% | 15 | ||
| 27 | Mike Burrows | HOU | v. PIT | R | 63.1 | 5.40 | 1.45 | 20% | 12% | 22% | 4 | |||
| 28 | Jameson Taillon | CHC | v. ATH | R | 60.1 | 5.37 | 1.28 | 20% | 12% | 21% | 7 | |||
| 29 | Miles Mikolas | WSN | v. MIA | R | 50.1 | 5.72 | 1.39 | 15% | 8% | 21% | 19 | |||
| 30 | Eric Lauer 라우어 | LAD | at ARI | L | 42.1 | 5.95 | 1.39 | 16% | 7% | 17% | 2 |
Intro
The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and recently added opponent’s K% (also v. SP handedness), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.
Color Coding:
- Green – Good Matchup (so lower OPS output by the pitcher’s opponent)
- Yellow – OK
- Red – Bad
Ugh. Just read your David Martin notes. I needed to consolidate in a 12 tm cat league and traded adames (worst hitter) and Martin for gore.
Am I cooked?
Not cooked. I prob would’ve tried to talk you out of it, but it’s not at all a season killer
Hope your trade partner enjoyed Martin’s first start for them.
I’m not as optimistic as Paul. I can’t think of a starter with a wider gap between stuff and performance than Martin (Bailey Ober?). It’s six pitches, but six mid asf pitches, and regression came hard for him today.
You may have traded him at the perfect time, or at least may regret this less than you fear.
Nothing more predictive of K% than SwStr% and him surging to 13% is pretty big. he throws like 6 mph harder than Ober and has never been the soft-tossing HR slop machine Ober is. I’m not ready to anoint Martin an unquestioned stud, but I’m also not off him just bc of today’s result. Only bad start of the year against a team he just cooked last time out. I think there’s more value in 6 mid pitches than we might initially think. Having more looks to give a batter is valuable, even if they aren’t all amazing offerings.
Good piece on him today, too — https://www.mlb.com/news/davis-martin-becoming-an-ace-for-white-sox-2026