Shortstop ADP Market Report: 3/24/21
With drafts beginning to ramp up, it is important to monitor where players are being drafted on a regular basis. Throughout draft season, I will be doing that work for you with regular updates on the Average Draft Position on NFBC up until Opening Day. You can find all the pieces in this series here.
Top 100 Players Rising
None
Top 100 Players Falling
None
Top 200 Players Rising
Marcus Semien (+12.4)- Semien is clearly moving up in drafts after signing in Toronto. He is a season removed from a 33/10 with .285 average and will be batting second in a better park with a stacked lineup and will gain second base eligibility in season. With George Springer potentially out for a little bit, he might even lead off for the Jays, which is even nicer. His price is going up, but I am here for it.
Didi Gregorius (+10.47)- DIdi’s rise likely has to do with resigning in Philly which was the best possible landing spot for him. He gets the great home park again which allows his lackluster StatCast data to play up a bit better. He is not going to light up the box scores, but he is solid contributor in every category.
Top 200 Players Falling
None
Top 300 Players Rising
Willi Castro (+13.48)- This is a player that I am starting to turn around on. Castro showed some surprising power in 2020 considering he was supposed to be a guy that was supposed to be kind of an average player in every category except above average speed. The fact he has been crushing it in spring has me starting to buy in that maybe he is something more. He has SS and 3B eligibility which also helps a lot.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (+11.9)- IKF has begun to rise once we knew that his role in Texas was solidified. He isn’t a world beater by any stretch of the imagination, but he isn’t popless and he has some speed. His best value is in Yahoo leagues where he is still catcher eligible.
Wander Franco (+18.86)- Franco’s spring was the reason for the rise. He was pretty impressive before being sent down. Now that he is down, he is likely to drop some, but with the Rays trying to compete for a World Series, I would expect that he won’t be held down quite as long as they normally would hold down a prospect. I think he is DJ LeMahieu light once he is up.
Top 300 Players Falling
Jonathan Villar (-45.8)- See the article in this series on second basemen.
Jake Cronenworth (-23.19)- See the article in this series on first basemen.
Ha-Seong Kim (-44.11)- Kim’s continued drop is directly tied to the lack of playing time that may be coming his way. He has really struggled in spring training, hitting .125/.222/.278 with 12 strikeouts and no home runs or stolen bases. I feel pretty confident that the speed and hit tool will carry over at some point after watching him during the MLB shut down last spring. However, I do have some concerns that the power won’t translate as well and it now seems like he doesn’t have a full path to playing time. The upside is huge, but there is risk considering how stacked this Padres team has become.
| 2/24/21-3/24/21 | Player | Team | Position(s) | 10/1/20-10/31/20 | 11/1/20-11/30/20 | 12/1/20-1/19/21 | 1/20/21-2/23/21 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.47 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | SD | SS | 3.5 | 3.26 | 2.7 | 2.41 | -0.06 |
| 7.03 | Trea Turner | WAS | SS | 6.5 | 7.07 | 7.05 | 7.31 | 0.28 |
| 11.99 | Trevor Story | COL | SS | 10.75 | 11.56 | 11.62 | 12.09 | 0.1 |
| 18.79 | Francisco Lindor | CLE | SS | 15.25 | 17.04 | 16.45 | 17.69 | -1.1 |
| 21.41 | Adalberto Mondesi | KC | SS | 31 | 28.59 | 22.68 | 20.47 | -0.94 |
| 23.09 | Bo Bichette | TOR | SS | 18.75 | 19.15 | 23.02 | 24.52 | 1.43 |
| 33.18 | Xander Bogaerts | BOS | SS | 35 | 36.67 | 35.37 | 34.26 | 1.08 |
| 34.74 | Corey Seager | LAD | SS | 32.25 | 28.59 | 35.05 | 37.38 | 2.64 |
| 38.75 | Tim Anderson | CWS | SS | 42.75 | 38.33 | 40.67 | 40.43 | 1.68 |
| 63.94 | Gleyber Torres | NYY | SS | 68.25 | 66.33 | 69.17 | 68.43 | 4.49 |
| 66.03 | Javier Baez | CHC | SS | 74.75 | 73.19 | 71.96 | 68.78 | 2.75 |
| 102.32 | Dansby Swanson | ATL | SS | 116.25 | 103.07 | 103.27 | 100.24 | -2.08 |
| 114.46 | Marcus Semien | OAK | SS | 139.75 | 142.3 | 147.45 | 126.86 | 12.4 |
| 123.13 | Carlos Correa | HOU | SS | 131.25 | 128.56 | 126.88 | 126.21 | 3.08 |
| 129.97 | Tommy Edman | STL | 2B, 3B, SS, OF | 133.75 | 145.04 | 127.66 | 126.12 | -3.85 |
| 154.25 | Didi Gregorius | PHI | SS | 161.5 | 154.78 | 167.41 | 164.72 | 10.47 |
| 155 | Andres Gimenez | NYM | 2B, 3B, SS | 223.75 | 214.78 | 188.35 | 158.45 | 3.45 |
| 210.59 | Jonathan Villar | TOR | 2B, SS | 119.25 | 130.52 | 141.48 | 164.79 | -45.8 |
| 211.16 | Paul DeJong | STL | SS | 233.25 | 216.7 | 222.17 | 208.4 | -2.76 |
| 233.19 | Jake Cronenworth | SD | 1B, 2B, SS | 160.75 | 157.81 | 154.78 | 210 | -23.19 |
| 233.59 | Jorge Polanco | MIN | SS | 206 | 195.63 | 209.87 | 217.69 | -15.9 |
| 236.41 | Chris Taylor | LAD | 2B, SS, OF | 250 | 232 | 217.78 | 222.78 | -13.63 |
| 236.5 | David Fletcher | LAA | 2B, 3B, SS | 221.25 | 219.74 | 217.76 | 230.38 | -6.12 |
| 238.4 | Ha-Seong Kim | FA | SS | 271.25 | 211.3 | 165.62 | 194.29 | -44.11 |
| 239.81 | Willi Castro | DET | 3B, SS | 239 | 245.33 | 230.96 | 253.29 | 13.48 |
| 282.46 | Mauricio Dubon | SF | 2B, SS, OF | 347.5 | 311.37 | 282.57 | 274.88 | -7.58 |
| 284.46 | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | TEX | 3B, SS | 378.25 | 314.78 | 290.32 | 296.36 | 11.9 |
| 296.35 | Wander Franco | TB | SS | 200.25 | 231.11 | 295.18 | 315.21 | 18.86 |
| 301.44 | Amed Rosario | NYM | SS | 350.75 | 358.78 | 332 | 237.59 | -63.85 |
| 303.15 | Elvis Andrus | TEX | SS | 337 | 360.67 | 447.12 | 376.12 | 72.97 |
| 337.03 | Joey Wendle | TB | 2B, 3B, SS | 323.75 | 309.78 | 303.01 | 314.47 | -22.56 |
| 340.84 | Willy Adames | TB | SS | 286.25 | 286.96 | 314.38 | 327.64 | -13.2 |
| 365.16 | Nick Ahmed | ARZ | SS | 353.25 | 386.3 | 378.1 | 349.03 | -16.13 |
| 370.29 | J.P. Crawford | SEA | SS | 426 | 422.26 | 415.1 | 376.34 | 6.05 |
| 386.9 | Miguel Rojas | MIA | SS | 378.75 | 390 | 375.1 | 368.91 | -17.99 |
| 387.75 | Andrelton Simmons | LAA | SS | 472 | 466.81 | 467.1 | 386.33 | -1.42 |
| 395.37 | Nico Hoerner | CHC | 2B, SS | 500 | 461.96 | 425.57 | 411.22 | 15.85 |
| 402.34 | Luis Urias | MLW | 2B, 3B, SS | 394 | 401.96 | 395.85 | 388.36 | -13.98 |
| 420.06 | Jose Iglesias | LAA | SS | 379 | 393.11 | 392.56 | 407.78 | -12.28 |
| 429.53 | Niko Goodrum | DET | 2B, SS | 430.5 | 434.22 | 398.28 | 374.78 | -54.75 |
| 432.09 | Freddy Galvis | CIN | 2B, SS | 580 | 583.7 | 599.89 | 421.48 | -10.61 |
| 432.34 | Kevin Newman | PIT | 2B, SS | 503.5 | 505.33 | 521.21 | 453.93 | 21.59 |
| 449.66 | Jazz Chisholm | MIA | 2B, SS | 404 | 419.7 | 439.48 | 448.81 | -0.85 |
| 466.99 | Orlando Arcia | MLW | SS | 505.25 | 513.93 | 502.99 | 438.12 | -28.87 |
| 488.06 | Brandon Crawford | SF | SS | 582 | 515.56 | 532.32 | 491.33 | 3.27 |
| 516.07 | Pat Valaika | BAL | 1B, 2B, SS | 575 | 550.33 | 508.82 | 500.09 | -15.98 |
| 530.94 | Jeter Downs | BOS | SS | 529.25 | 510.41 | 502.29 | 521 | -9.94 |
| 535.59 | Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | SS | 730 | 664.41 | 728.13 | 721.09 | 185.5 |
| 578.94 | Leury Garcia | CWS | SS | 639.5 | 628.96 | 664.61 | 589.81 | 10.87 |
| 585.1 | Erik Gonzalez | PIT | 3B, SS | 697.5 | 636.3 | 596.54 | 548.76 | -36.34 |
| 586.37 | Kyle Farmer | CIN | 2B, SS | NA | 748.78 | 745.27 | 685.9 | 99.53 |
| 592.72 | Anderson Tejeda | TEX | SS | 503.25 | 493.74 | 525.7 | 539.91 | -52.81 |
| 640.57 | Jose Garcia | CIN | SS | 542.75 | 560.19 | 623.98 | 602.02 | -38.55 |
| 707.5 | Tyler Wade | NYY | 2B, SS | 723.25 | 681.19 | 701.07 | 666.1 | -41.4 |
| 724.19 | Joe Panik | TOR | 2B, 3B, SS | 720.25 | 734.3 | 742.28 | 731.69 | 7.5 |
| 726.19 | Oneil Cruz | PIT | SS | 742.5 | 735.74 | 735.24 | 718.26 | -7.93 |
| 727.6 | Eric Sogard | MLW | 2B, 3B, SS | 735.5 | 749.3 | 741.23 | 739.16 | 11.56 |
| 731.06 | Yu Chang | CLE | SS | NA | 750.37 | 740.16 | NA | NA |
| 736.75 | Richie Martin | BAL | SS | NA | NA | 739.68 | 734.66 | -2.09 |
| 737.34 | Ramon Urias | BAL | SS | NA | 747.3 | 730.13 | 740.09 | 2.75 |
| 739.28 | CJ Abrams | SD | SS | 735.25 | 744.93 | 750.62 | 748.71 | 9.43 |
| 743.13 | Tyler Freeman | CLE | SS | 669.75 | 704 | 706.49 | 738.55 | -4.58 |
| 743.91 | Taylor Walls | TB | SS | NA | NA | NA | 734.16 | -9.75 |
| 744.41 | Royce Lewis | MIN | SS | 586.25 | 605.33 | 627.41 | 630.62 | -113.79 |
| 748.66 | Austin Martin | TOR | SS | 686.5 | 725.44 | 737.9 | 746.95 | -1.71 |
| 748.71 | Marco Luciano | SF | SS | NA | 745.93 | 748.98 | 747.48 | -1.23 |
| 749.74 | Santiago Espinal | TOR | SS | NA | NA | 749.37 | 750.72 | 0.98 |
| 749.75 | Owen Miller | CLE | SS | 695.5 | 724.63 | 728.39 | 748.45 | -1.3 |
| 750.99 | Nick Gordon | MIN | SS | NA | 747.15 | 748.39 | 750.86 | -0.13 |
| 750.99 | Ryan Vilade | COL | SS | NA | NA | 749.51 | 750.6 | -0.39 |
| NA | Andrew Velazquez | BAL | SS, OF | NA | NA | NA | 748.09 | NA |
| NA | Ehire Adrianza | MIN | 3B, SS | NA | 750.59 | 745.21 | 749.6 | NA |
Justin is the co-host on The Sleeper and The Bust Podcast and writes for Rotographs covering the Roto Riteup as well as other periodic articles. In addition to his work at Rotographs, Justin is the lead fantasy writer/analyst and co-owner for FriendswithFantasyBenefits.com, and the owner of The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. He is also a certified addiction treatment counselor. Follow Justin on Twitter @JustinMasonFWFB.
I enjoy these write ups! When you get a chance, you may wish to change Semien’s team to TOR on the chart.