Chad Young’s 1B/Util Tiered Rankings for 4×4 Ottoneu

Los Angeles Dodgers Shohei Ohtani tosses his bat after hitting a three run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks in the ninth inning at Chase Field in Phoenix on May 9, 2025.
Credit: Rob Schumacher-Arizona Republic

This one always leads to a bunch of questions, since I typically drop util-only players into the 1B/Util list and those guys fall into three camps. There are the true util-only types. There are guys who we expect to earn eligibility elsewhere sometime soon. And then there is the camp of one: Shohei Ohtani.

(If you want, you can skip the intro and my thoughts on the position, and go right to the rankings. As a reminder, my process and a long FAQ on my rankings can be found in my rankings preview.)

Let’s start with Ohtani: he’s really good at baseball. I suspect this isn’t news to anyone reading here, but it is worth saying again. He’s really good at baseball. And part of that really goodness is that he managed to break traditional fantasy baseball models because he has managed to be a really good hitter and a really good pitcher. And that makes him hard to rank.

So, first, a quick primer on Ohtani in Ottoneu, if you aren’t familiar with how he is used. Ohtani is a single player (because, you know, he is one person) however he can take up two spots in your lineup: Util and a pitcher slot. This may seem counterintuitive (how is he one person in two lineup spots?) but this is exactly how the Dodgers use him. They don’t put him in as a starting pitcher and just get credit for his offense. They don’t have to choose one or the other. On days he starts, they turn in a lineup card that shows Ohtani twice. In Ottoneu, you can do the same. This means that you can have Ohtani in your lineup at Util every single day and capture every one of his starts, without sacrificing offense to do it. It also means that if you want to skip an Ohtani start at Colorado but still get his bat in Coors, or bench his bat against Paul Skenes but still get his pitching stats against the Pirates, you can do those things.

So the price you see for Ohtani below is high. But it accounts for him to be something like a $60 bat (maybe more) and a $20 arm (again, maybe more). He’s alone in that $78-$90 tier and I think you could make a case for him up to $95 or so.

You Aren't a FanGraphs Member
It looks like you aren't yet a FanGraphs Member (or aren't logged in). We aren't mad, just disappointed.
We get it. You want to read this article. But before we let you get back to it, we'd like to point out a few of the good reasons why you should become a Member.
1. Ad Free viewing! We won't bug you with this ad, or any other.
2. Unlimited articles! Non-Members only get to read 10 free articles a month. Members never get cut off.
3. Dark mode and Classic mode!
4. Custom player page dashboards! Choose the player cards you want, in the order you want them.
5. One-click data exports! Export our projections and leaderboards for your personal projects.
6. Remove the photos on the home page! (Honestly, this doesn't sound so great to us, but some people wanted it, and we like to give our Members what they want.)
7. Even more Steamer projections! We have handedness, percentile, and context neutral projections available for Members only.
8. Get FanGraphs Walk-Off, a customized year end review! Find out exactly how you used FanGraphs this year, and how that compares to other Members. Don't be a victim of FOMO.
9. A weekly mailbag column, exclusively for Members.
10. Help support FanGraphs and our entire staff! Our Members provide us with critical resources to improve the site and deliver new features!
We hope you'll consider a Membership today, for yourself or as a gift! And we realize this has been an awfully long sales pitch, so we've also removed all the other ads in this article. We didn't want to overdo it.

As for the other utility guys, you can treat the true-DH’s as they are ranked here. Joc Pederson, Marcell Ozuna, Jesse Winker, Kris Bryant, Anthony Rendon (who is not officially retired, I don’t think), are ranked as utility guys and will be utility guys.

That final camp – the guys we expect to get eligibility – are a little tougher. My notes on Munetaka Murakami and Kazuma Okamoto call out where I think they fall if they end up eligible at third base. For Okamoto, I would happily bid assuming he gets 3B-eligibility. For Murakami? Not so much. It sounds like he is going to camp as a 1B and while third could be in his future, reports are he is closer to being a DH than he is to manning the hot corner. Adding first would boost his value a buck or two, but not a ton.

Sung Mun Song 송성문 is likely to be eligible for at least one middle infield spot, and may add others, but I don’t think the bat is exciting enough to move the needle regardless. He could be interesting to speculate on, though. Adrian Del Castillo and David Fry are both theoretically catchers on teams that already have two catchers. Fry will for sure play the field, and if he ends up 3B/OF/C again, that combination in a lefty-masher is pretty interesting points leagues, but harder to play in 4×4. The multiple spots – and catcher in particular – would make it work at a low price, though. Del Castillo, I suspect, isn’t going to get catcher time and I am not interested in him as a util-only bat. The last name is Xavier Isaac, who I expect lands gets 1B-eligibility, but that doesn’t really change his valuation, for me.

Beyond that, remember that first base will play a little deeper than this list suggests, because there are plenty of players at other spots that can fill-in at first in a pinch. No, you won’t want Jorge Polanco to be your regular 1B when he can start for you at middle infield, but whatever team has him has a little less need for additional depth at first. That can add up.

 

4×4 1B/Util Rankings for Ottoneu

 

 

Chad Young’s Ottoneu 4×4 1B/Util Tiers
Tier Rank Player Pos Notes
$78-$90 1 Shohei Ohtani Util/SP Just so we are on the same page, this is his tier overall, not for his bat alone. Bat alone, he would be below Judge, simply due to Util-only.
$36-$44 2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B The projections have him pushing back to 2024 levels, which isn’t far-fetched but does mean there is a little risk he ends up at the bottom of this tier, or even top of the next, rather than at the top of this.
$28-$35 3 Nick Kurtz 1B It is going to be tempting to push him to $40 already, but I am not ready for that.
$28-$35 4 Bryce Harper 1B Just because he isn’t elite these days doesn’t mean he isn’t a super-safe $30+ 1B.
$28-$35 5 Pete Alonso 1B I am a little lower on him than the projections, and I think there is some added risk due to the big drop in RH HR park factor in his new park.
$28-$35 6 Matt Olson 1B THE BAT X projection on him comes out to mid-teens price and that seems crazy low, but maybe I should be more worried than I am. The others are all $30+ though.
$28-$35 7 Rafael Devers 1B The bottom half of this tier is three dudes with question marks and you have to decide if you want to bet on Olson’s weird projection, Dever’s new park or Freeman’s age.
$28-$35 8 Freddie Freeman 1B He’s never been a big bat-speed guy, it seems, but it’s still trending down and that’s still not a great trend.
$15-$20 9 Vinnie Pasquantino 1B There is a big gap from the top 8 down to this next tier, and I would feel more comfortable closing that gap by bringing Freeman or Devers down than I would moving Vinnie up.
$15-$20 10 Yandy Díaz 1B Back to the Trop and that probably means back to 15-20 HR instead of 25, but he’ll still give you all the OBP you need.
$15-$20 11 Michael Busch 1B I keep expecting him to get worse and instead he keeps getting better.
$15-$20 12 Willson Contreras 1B The move to Fenway nudged him up from the top of the next tier to the bottom of this one.
$10-$14 13 Spencer Torkelson 1B He’s made changes year over year and I wonder if there is another breakout possible? Regardless, he projects into this tier.
$10-$14 14 Josh Naylor 1B BAT X is oddly low on him, much like Olson, and I don’t see any good reason to read too much into that.
$10-$14 15 Jonathan Aranda 1B His projections are around $12, which might seem low after last year, but I think a .040 point drop in wOBA is probably the right expectation.
$6-$9 16 Munetaka Murakami Util I would boost him up a tier if/when he qualifies for 3B, so if you want to spend $10+ on the assumption that happens, that makes sense. I am probably still the low-man on him, though, and just view him as a high risk prospect with big upside.
$6-$9 17 Kyle Manzardo 1B He has been going below this in mock drafts, and he projects up a tier depending which system you trust, so I think he is likely a good buy.
$3-$5 18 Bryce Eldridge 1B Everything looks good to me, but I have heard enough questions about his bat to be cautious with a 1B-only prospect, who might lose 1B before long.
$3-$5 19 Josh Bell 1B The projections are a little more optimistic than I am, moving him a full tier above this. That was enough to get me to move him up a few spots, at least.
$3-$5 20 Nolan Schanuel 1B He’ll provide OBP but not a ton else.
$3-$5 21 Jake Burger 1B Despite the results, his performance last year was arguably better than his more productive seasons, so a bounce back seems likely.
$1-$2 22 Andrew Vaughn 1B That late season surge with the Brewers makes him worth a couple of +1s on auction day, just to see if he unlocked something.
$1-$2 23 Christian Walker 1B I am well below what my valuations say. ($7.50-$10) but it looks like the projection systems expect him to volume his was to that via R and HR, and I am just not into a 1B who hurts your rates.
$1-$2 24 Charlie Condon 1B Looked much better in his second go at High-A, so I am curious to see what kind of adjustments he makes as he gets a second look at Double-A.
$1-$2 25 Kazuma Okamoto Util Projections range from $1 to $10; I have him this low because as a util-only bat, I think the value is very low; I see a $3-$5 tier guy assuming 3B eligibility.
$1-$2 26 Triston Casas 1B Not only does the Contreras trade block Casas (for now) it says at least something about the Red Sox confidence in Casas being able to contribute, at least to start the year.
$0-$1 27 Spencer Horwitz 1B He isn’t really built for roto, as it’s hard to see him putting up big HR or R totals; you end up with somethign like Schanuel.
$0-$1 28 Marcell Ozuna Util At 35 and coming off a down year, his inability to play anywhere in the field might make it hard for him to find a home.
$0-$1 29 Coby Mayo 1B Is he going to get much of a shot? And if he does, are you confident he’ll take it?
$0-$1 30 Ryan Mountcastle 1B Mayo at least his a bit more upside – the floor is higher with Mountcastle but not high enough for the position.
$0-$1 31 Sung Mun Song Util There is always something fun about betting on a new player, but his projections aren’t that rosy and his path to playing time isn’t guaranteed.
$0-$1 32 Nathaniel Lowe 1B Lowe looks primed for a rebound – really, he already rebounded after moving to Boston – but who is going to give him a shot and what will that shot look like? I want more info before buying in.
$0 33 Rhys Hoskins 1B A bit like Lowe, but I am not quite as high on his chances to put up value, even if he gets playing time.
$0 34 David Fry Util I don’t think he’s likely to be more than a lefty-masher, but being fully healthy and having a real off-season should help him be that once again.
$0 35 Joc Pederson Util He projects to have a couple bucks of value, but I am not interested in a util-only bat who won’t get a ton of volume and may not even be a sure-fire starter for me when he is in the lineup.
$0 36 Adrian Del Castillo Util If he remains util only, the bat has to be so strong, and while he has shown potential for that, a 35% MLB K-rate is concerning.
$0 37 Paul Goldschmidt 1B I am not sure what kind of role he can – or should – get.
$0 38 Ralphy Velazquez 1B Are you willing to wait at least another year for a guy whose upside looks to be a high OBP/limited power (for a 1B) prospect?
$0 39 Pavin Smith 1B While the surface level numbers look fine last year, his BABIP is doing a lot of work to cover up for a massive jump in K-rate due to plummeting in-zone contact.
$0 40 Xavier Isaac Util I have no idea how to evaluate the impact of his surgery, but just looking at the statistical profile, I wonder if he’ll hit enough to make the power play?
$0 41 Jonathon Long 1B The numbers are pretty interesting, with some questions if the K-rate will hold up to more impressive pitching.
$0 42 Michael Toglia 1B I know you want to believe in his bat in Coors, but 1000 career PA tell us he simply won’t make enough contact.
$0 43 Jesse Winker Util Another guy who you could maybe imagine being an okay hitter if he gets a regular role, but his path to full-time PA is basically non-existent.
$0 44 Ty France 1B He’s turning into a really useful Immaculate Grid option.
$0 45 Rowdy Tellez 1B The power isn’t enough to make up for the overall offensive flaws.
$0 46 Carlos Santana 1B 2024 looked like a mirage as soon as 2024 ended, but I suspect he’ll somehow end up on a roster somewhere.
$0 47 Tyler Locklear 1B MiLB K-rates aren’t scary, but he looks absolutely lost against big leaguers. And he’s likely to miss a chunk of 2026 with injury, too.
$0 48 Wilmer Flores 1B Hit lefties for most of his career but is now multiple years removed from even that level of success.
$0 49 Kris Bryant Util I am not sure I think he is healthy enough to play baseball, and I kinda wonder if he would retire if there weren’t something like $72MM riding on his sticking out.
$0 50 Anthony Rendon Util Maybe Rendon is the model for Bryant?

 





A long-time fantasy baseball veteran and one of the creators of ottoneu, Chad Young's writes for RotoGraphs and PitcherList, and can be heard on the ottobot podcast. You can follow him on Twitter @chadyoung.

2 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
bmd15Member since 2020
4 hours ago

Where would Burleson slot into this list?