Daily SP Chart archive

Spicy 2-start week with lots of studs going!

• 2-start chart updated at 1:02 PM CT on Monday

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Daily SP Chart archive

Some recent (last 3 weeks) strong runs you might’ve overlooked because of their season long ERA is obscuring the surge:

• Bailey Ober: 3.33 ERA in L3 wks | 4.42 season ERA – This one is kinda cheating because it’s really just that 8 ER season opening dud that weighed his ERA down. He actually has a 2.55 ERA in the 6 starts since then. Next Start: at TOR this weekend and then at CLE next week… he’s a lineup staple for me, even in shallower formats.
• George Kirby & Max Fried: 1.96 & 1.64 | 4.15 & 4.23 – A couple of fantasy aces who never left anyone’s lineups, but have now assuaged fears after their mega-dud outings early (8 ER for Kirby, 7 ER for Fried). Next Starts: GK gets v. KCR/at BAL next week; MF gets at NYM this weekend/v. SDP next week
• Brandon Pfaadt: 3.33 | 6.48 – I fudged the numbers an extra day to loop Pfaadt’s April 17th start in and this run highlights why it was so hard to cut him even after the 11 ER in 2 starts. He’s a Team Streamer with a limited number of teams on the Sit List. Next Start: v. CIN, an easy start as their offense has severely lacked the punch we feared coming into the season (just 28th in wOBA vR this year).
• Andrew Heaney: 3.38 | 4.50 – He just always scares me w/his HR woes — and he’s still toting a 1.3 HR9 this year — but he has averaged 6 IP over his L4 with solid results. The frustrating part is that his being on Texas would usually make him a decent bet to chase wins and yet he’s 0-4 on the season including 0-2 during this recent run! Next Start: v. LAA, I’m down to stream him.
• Chris Flexen 플렉센: 1.61 | 4.29 – Chris has absolutely been Flexen the opponents! He’s been downright sneaky deece, mixing in an excellent 4-IP relief appearance to spur this run that now includes at least 5 IP in each of his last 3 starts with a combined 3 IP. The skills still don’t jump off the page with a 13% K-BB and of course the W probability is virtually non-existent, but if you’re not chasing wins, there a modicum of deep league appeal. Next Starts: v. WSN/at NYY… ehhh, I don’t think I can get there, so maybe less than a modicum of appeal.
• Emerson Hancock: 3.20 | 5.24 – Ate an 8 ER dud at MIL in his 2nd start of the season but followed it up with 3 straight QS before one bad inning sank him in MIN. He was fortunate to allow just 1 ER (4 UER) v. ATL, though no one should’ve been starting him for that anyway, not even on the heels of those QS. Woo’s return will send him back to Triple-A so we can reassess his streamer potential when he returns. Next Start: in Triple-A
• Alex Wood: 3.05 | 5.30 – I had some interest in Wood coming into the season even took him w/the last pick of a Main Event, but jumped off after the dud v. CLE in the opener because I thought the Guardians weren’t a good lineup. Turns out losing badly to them isn’t so bad and Wood might still be the decent-ish deep league streamer I thought he could be when I drafted him. There are still issues, though: his W probability is tiny, he’s averaging fewer than 5 IP per start (reaching that mark in just 4 of 8 starts), and even the recent run of solid starts come with a 9% K-BB. Next Start: at SEA this week followed by at HOU… maaaybe an AL-only run?

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Daily SP Chart archive

Some really interesting 2-x guys on the board here. I could see running some in 10-teamers in the right situations, too.

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Daily SP Chart archive

Certainly some risk on the board, be careful out there!
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Daily SP Chart archive

Do you ever bust your ass to finish your work super early so you can have a night on the couch watching tv w/your gf and go to bed early only to not hit the publish button and end up posting that piece the following morning?

Yeah, me neither……🤦🏻‍♂️🤦🏻‍♂️🤦🏻‍♂️

Drop any questions you have in the comments. Feels like a pretty straightforward slate outside of the 2-x guys being tough decisions for shallower formats.

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Daily SP Chart archive

The 2-start chart seems to be a hit, so let’s keep it going!

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Daily SP Chart archive

The mainstays are great, but there is some big risk in the streamer tiers.

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Daily SP Chart archive

Not too many difficult choices out there. Bradish and Brown are kinda toss-ups for certain situations, but I’m mostly out on them right now. Cabrera and Rodón are probably more suspect than I’m letting on. I just feel confident enough to start both in all formats, albeit for different reasons. Cabrera’s getting the co-sign almost exclusively because of his core skills in this year’s small sample, while Rodón is getting credit for his longer term track record with a bit of his recent run adding confidence.

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Daily SP Chart archive

Got a super late start on the board tonight so please drop questions or comments down below and I’ll get to them throughout Wednesday morning or you can join my chat around 1pm ET where I’ll be answering questions for an hour or so!

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Daily SP Chart archive

Y’all, why do I keep starting Griffin Canning? Like what is this power he has over me?!

Tuesday morning update:

• Yu Darvish is off the IL and starting for SDP… he is a toss-up for me depending on what other options you have with a slight lean toward getting him back in where you can. I’d say it’s 52/48 to the yes for me. I’ll be putting him back in my lineup after this start almost regardless of how it goes, though.

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