Starting Pitcher Chart – September 22nd
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
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Starter Notes September 22, 2023
| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK L30/Season | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corbin Burnes | MIL at MIA | x | x | x | 184 | 3.56 | 1.07 | 17% | 16th/23rd | |
| 2 | Framber Valdez | HOU v KCR | x | x | x | 188 | 3.20 | 1.09 | 18% | 21st/27th | |
| 3 | Pablo López | MIN v LAA | x | x | x | 183 | 3.58 | 1.15 | 23% | 27th/13th | |
| 4 | Sawyer Gipson-Long | DET at OAK | x | x | x | 10 | 2.70 | 0.90 | 33% | 25th/29th | Great matchup for him to stay hot after 16 Ks in his first 2 starts (10 IP) |
| 5 | Chris Sale | BOS v CHW | x | x | x | 92 | 4.66 | 1.17 | 23% | 25th/25th | |
| 6 | Tyler Glasnow | TBR v TOR | x | x | x | 109 | 3.53 | 1.09 | 26% | 8th/12th | A couple bad innings in his L2, but I can’t envision sitting him here |
| 7 | Bryce Miller | SEA at TEX | x | x | x | 123 | 3.88 | 1.11 | 18% | 11th/3rd | Has just 2 decisions over his L8 starts despite a sharp 2.98 ERA |
| 8 | Cole Ragans | KCR at HOU | x | x | x | 83 | 3.33 | 1.14 | 20% | 3rd/2nd | One bad inning v. HOU last time out doesn’t deter me from running it back here |
| 9 | Chris Bassitt | TOR at TBR | x | x | x | 185 | 3.78 | 1.20 | 14% | 14th/4th | He’s put together a 3.20 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, and 14% K-BB in 12 2nd half starts |
| 10 | Dane Dunning | TEX v SEA | x | x | x | 157 | 3.78 | 1.29 | 12% | 6th/16th | |
| 11 | Dean Kremer | BAL at CLE | x | x | 164 | 4.17 | 1.30 | 14% | 22nd/21st | Solid chance at a win and I’d be open to going for it in 10s if I don’t care about my ratios | |
| 12 | Shane Bieber | CLE v BAL | x | x | 117 | 3.77 | 1.25 | 13% | 5th/15th | Threw 64 pitches in his lone rehab start so he should be able to make a full start if he’s doing well | |
| 13 | Andrew Abbott | CIN v PIT | x | x | 102 | 3.68 | 1.27 | 16% | 28th/24th | Sputtering a bit down the stretch (6.33 ERA in his L5) but I’d take a shot in several spots | |
| 14 | Charlie Morton | ATL at WSN | x | x | 162 | 3.66 | 1.42 | 14% | 30th/25th | WHIP protectors should definitely skip this one | |
| 15 | Brandon Pfaadt | ARI at NYY | x | 86 | 5.86 | 1.42 | 14% | 29th/27th | The HR-happy rookie is definitely risky at Yankee Stadium | ||
| 16 | Tylor Megill | NYM at PHI | x | 113 | 4.94 | 1.65 | 7% | 3rd/5th | Don’t get too caught up in his 3.13 ERA over the L6 because it comes w/a 1.57 WHIP and 9% K-BB | ||
| 17 | Taijuan Walker | PHI v NYM | x | 159 | 4.40 | 1.33 | 10% | 12th/17th | |||
| 18 | Jameson Taillon | CHC v COL | 138 | 5.27 | 1.31 | 16% | 21st/19th | Solid matchup, but be veryyyy careful here | |||
| 19 | Gavin Stone | LAD v SFG | 26 | 9.45 | 2.03 | 4% | 13th/20th | I don’t really want to risk it | |||
| 20 | Dakota Hudson | STL at SDP | 70 | 5.12 | 1.45 | 3% | 10th/18th | ||||
| 21 | Ken Waldichuk | OAK v DET | 130 | 5.40 | 1.58 | 9% | 4th/22nd | ||||
| 22 | Patrick Corbin | WSN v ATL | 171 | 5.00 | 1.47 | 9% | 7th/1st | ||||
| 23 | Luis L. Ortiz | PIT at CIN | 78 | 4.85 | 1.73 | 2% | 17th/14th | ||||
| 24 | Luke Weaver | NYY v ARI | 114 | 6.77 | 1.61 | 12% | 18th/11th | ||||
| 25 | Johnny Cueto | MIA v MIL | 47 | 6.32 | 1.30 | 11% | 15th/24th | He threw 2 IP on 9/20 so I’m not 100% sure if he’s going here, but he’s the probable | |||
| 26 | Sean Manaea | SFG at LAD | 104 | 4.82 | 1.30 | 17% | 13th/5th | ||||
| 27 | Matt Waldron | SDP v STL | 29 | 5.16 | 1.31 | 9% | 20th/8th | ||||
| 28 | Touki Toussaint | CHW at BOS | 76 | 5.40 | 1.47 | 8% | 9th/6th | ||||
| 29 | Noah Davis | COL at CHC | 20 | 9.58 | 2.03 | 8% | 26th/10th | ||||
| 30 | Davis Daniel | LAA at MIN | 3 | 0.00 | 1.67 | -15% | 7th/7th |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
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Where’s Yarbrough in this chart if he serves as primary vs. Giants?
Love these. Please do one for the weekend starts if you can, super helpful!
Just want to second this! I have five starts left and need to decide between throwing Waldichuk vs DET today or one of Connor Phillips vs PIT or Quintana @ PHI tomorrow.
We’re in the final week of our playoffs ending Sunday and to the point where you can stream pretty liberally since you can drop pitchers who don’t pitch again until next week, like I have Steele, Eflin and Skubal. And I still can’t stomach any of my options today. I like Corbin as a dart throw (15 QS this year, t28th) but. . . .not against Atlanta. That’s just suicide. The Giants have stretched Manaea back out as a legit starter. . . .but not against the Dodgers. It’s just crappy list of no’s for me today in our league.
Morton vs WSN or Jordan Montgomery vs SEA for a quality start?