Archive for SP Chart

Starting Pitcher Chart – July 26th

Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – July 25th

Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – July 24th

John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – July 21st

Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

 

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Latest SP Rankings


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Starting Pitcher Chart – July 20th

Stephen Brashear-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Read the rest of this entry »


Starting Pitcher Chart – July 18th

John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Read the rest of this entry »


Starting Pitcher Chart – July 17th

Nick Wosika-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

I posted my latest set of SP Rankings over the weekend so check them out here if you missed ’em!
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Paul Sporer’s July Starting Pitcher Rankings

Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

It’s been too long without an updated SP ranking. I do the SP Chart Monday-Friday, but I know many of y’all want to see everyone ranked 1-150. I decided to do it in the form of my SP Chart, giving a recommendation for 10-, 12-, and 15-team leagues which is a stand-in for shallow, medium, deep setups. An “x” in the particular category means they are pretty much a no doubt start in that format or at least in the team streamer range meaning I don’t cut them when not starting them. If they don’t have the “x” for a particular league type, they are fringe streamers and I’m unlikely to go for them outside of a nice 2-step or a really spicy 1-start against the right opponent.

I only wrote comments for select guys with most of the skips being on the top and low ends as you don’t really need me to tell you that Cole is awesome or than Lyles isn’t so awesome. If you have further questions about anyone, leave a comment! As for IL guys, I took liberty with some who are on the cusp of returning, but made some arbitrary cutoffs. For example, Max Fried is due back later this month, but his ETA is still about 2 wks from now and a lot can change so he was left off. He’s also an easy one because he’s an auto start once he returns.

Next update will be around mid-August for the stretch run.

OK, without further ado:

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Starting Pitcher Chart – July 14th

Kyle Ross-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

My buddy Nick Pollack suggested a new format for the piece and I think it looks cool, so I’m trying it out. Let me know what you think!

Edit: early feedback is that it’s a tough read on mobile, good to know

Friday, July 14th Starter Notes
RK PITCHER TM OPP THR 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB OPP L30 wOBA wOBA RK
1 Shohei Ohtani LAA HOU R x x x 100.1 3.32 1.10 22% 0.328 11th
Seems crazy to not start the MLB HR leader, but his SP numbers might fill a bigger need for a team
2 Luis Castillo SEA DET R x x x 107.1 2.85 1.04 21% 0.3 25th
Helluva 1st half for my AL Cy Young pick, he’s firmly in the mix!
3 Tyler Glasnow TBR at KCR R x x x 41.2 4.1 1.22 27% 0.28 27th
Hitting a grove w/just 5 ER in his L3 combined with 31 Ks in 16 IP including the gem v. ATL before the break
4 Brayan Bello BOS at CHC R x x x 80 3.04 1.19 14% 0.319 16th
Has gone 7 in 4 of his L5 and fell just an out shy in the other one
5 Corbin Burnes MIL at CIN R x x x 107.1 3.94 1.14 14% 0.36 2nd
While he hasn’t been Cy Young level Burnes, he’s been good enough to still easily start in this tough matchup
6 Charlie Morton ATL CHW R x x x 97 3.43 1.41 16% 0.306 23rd
WHIP makes it tough to maintain such a nice ERA; still has value as a high-3.00s/low-4.00s guy in a lot formats
7 Sandy Alcantara MIA at BAL R x x x 114.1 4.72 1.25 13% 0.332 10th
Solid close to the 1H: 2.89 ERA/1.26 WHIP/16% K-BB in 19 IP… I’m still starting in most spots every time out
8 Justin Verlander NYM LAD R x x x 70 3.6 1.20 13% 0.341 5th
Obviously not the Cy Young guy we saw last yr, but clearly still a start in most spots, even v. LAD
9 Eduardo Rodriguez DET at SEA L x x x 71.2 2.64 1.00 21% 0.304 23rd
Rough return from the IL v. OAK but he’s a lineup staple; maybe the extra breather will help, too
10 Dean Kremer BAL MIA R x x x 98 4.78 1.37 16% 0.318 17th
Last 2 were gem (at NYY) & dud (v. MIN); matchup & 20% K-BB in L50 IP make him a worthy stream for me
11 Yu Darvish SDP at PHI R x x x 85 4.87 1.27 17% 0.317 19th
Sticking with him despite the bumpy road as I’m not seeing any major concerns in the profile
12 Kenta Maeda MIN at OAK R x x x 33 5.18 1.27 20% 0.274 29th
Excellent in 3 outings since his IL return instilling confidence: 1.59 ERA/0.94 WHIP/25% K-BB
13 Julio Urías LAD at NYM L x x x 64.1 4.76 1.18 18% 0.304 22nd
Closed 1H strong (6 IP/2 ER/8 Ks) getting into his changeup w/season-high 26% usage… very hit & miss (6 60+ Game Scores; 6 Sub-50s)
14 Jon Gray TEX CLE R x x x 93 3.29 1.14 12% 0.322 15th
6 pt. dip in K% from last yr lowers his reliability going forward, but his ERA is down 65 pts
15 Miles Mikolas STL WSN R x x x 112.2 4.23 1.30 11% 0.316 20th
Running a 3.39 ERA over his L16 starts, allowing >3 ER in 4 and 3 were v. CIN, NYM, HOU so they aren’t trash lineups decking him
16 Cristopher Sánchez PHI SDP L x x 25.1 2.84 1.03 18% 0.323 13th
One of my 2H breakout picks: decent sinker, great change, and bat-missing slider
17 Aaron Civale CLE at TEX R x x 52.2 2.56 1.06 13% 0.344 4th
Fully respect TEX so there are some sits here, but he’s been great lately so I’m rolling in many spots
18 Chris Bassitt TOR ARI R x x 109.2 4.19 1.23 14% 0.322 14th
Been very hittable w/41 H & .417 BABIP in L6; sticking w/him in many lgs but I don’t love facing ARI
19 Graham Ashcraft CIN MIL R x x 81.2 6.28 1.59 7% 0.303 24th
Don’t want to overreact to B2B useful starts; using him here and he’ll jump to team streamer w/solid work
20 Carlos Rodón NYY at COL L x x 5.1 3.38 1.13 0.311 18th
I knooooow it’s Coors, but I might take the shot. Generally start studs there but it’s his 2nd start of the season so I get sitting him
21 Paul Blackburn OAK MIN R x x 37 4.86 1.54 17% 0.324 13th
Sub-10% SwStr in 3 of L4 after 12%+ in 3 of first 4; still has a 4.32 FIP & 14% K-BB in those L4
22 Ross Stripling SFG at PIT R x x 41 6.37 1.46 13% 0.272 30th
Hasn’t reached 4 IP in any of his L5 as it seems he’s being limited to no more than 2x thru the lineup… good matchup if you want some decent IP
23 MacKenzie Gore WSN at STL L x 89.2 4.42 1.46 18% 0.327 10th
Hit hard of late against some strong teams incl. StL back on 6/20 (5 ER); perfectly viable team streamer
24 Kyle Hendricks CHC BOS R x 53.1 3.04 1.03 10% 0.334 9th
Feels like a thin margin for error w/the 6% HR/FB helping float his 4.85 SIERA… just be careful
25 J.P. France HOU at LAA R x 66.1 3.26 1.21 10% 0.354 3rd
Generally avoid LAA but he’s handled toughest tests w/aplomb (2.70 ERA/1.27 WHIP/12% K-BB v. >.500+ tms) so I can find some starts here
26 Ryne Nelson ARI at TOR R x 93.2 5.19 1.43 9% 0.308 21st
Unraveled 3-start surge w/7 ER dud v. NYM; 20% K-BB during the run w/a hot changeup, but NYM pounded the heater… keep tabs on him
27 Michael Kopech CHW at ATL R 86 4.08 1.36 13% 0.391 1st
I think we’re at Top 10 status only v. ATL and no shame in skipping them w/damn near anyone
28 Rich Hill PIT SFG L 98 4.78 1.44 12% 0.316 15th
He’ll drop his gems throughout the season (6 starts of 55+ Game Score), but the downside is severe (9 under 50) making it a tough bet
29 Austin Gomber COL NYY L 90 6.4 1.51 8% 0.374 4th
I see him on a bit of a roll: 3.99 ERA/1.03 WHIP/16% K-BB in 29 IP but I’m not sure it’s more than some run-hot and I don’t wanna be around for the crash
30 Alec Marsh KCR TBR R 9 7 1.78 7% 0.327 12th
Keeping tabs on him but nowhere near starting until I see some improvement in the control
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

Starting Pitcher Chart – July 7th

Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Pardon the very late post on today’s SP chart. If it’s not up the night before, it’s usually up by 8am CT, but I had the podcast and a conference call this morning and I just couldn’t get it done last night.

With the All-Star break on the horizon, I’m long overdue for an SP rankings update, so stay tuned for that!

Friday, July 7th Starter Notes
RK PITCHER TM OPP 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB wOBA RK NOTE
1 Zac Gallen ARI PIT x x x 111.1 3.15 1.08 22% 28th 4 ER in each of his last 2 v. TBR and LAA counterbalanced by 16 Ks and a 1.00 WHIP in the 13 IP
2 Luis Castillo SEA at HOU x x x 100.1 3.05 1.07 21% 14th Does have a pretty sharp home/road split but I’m not sitting him in any format
3 Andrew Abbott CIN at MIL x x x 37.1 1.21 0.88 20% 9th 12 Ks in his first 3 starts had some wondeirng where that dominance from the minors was; 30 Ks in 3 starts since then!
4 Zack Wheeler PHI at MIA x x x 98.1 4.03 1.19 22% 21st Like so many aces this yr, he has more than the occasional dud (relative to his established dominance) but it’s not actionable as he’s still an easy auto start
5 Bailey Ober MIN BAL x x x 76.2 2.70 0.95 20% 8th After allowing 5 HR in a 3-start run that saw his HR/FB start to regress, he has B2B HR-free outings w/16 Ks in 13 IP
6 Hunter Brown HOU SEA x x x 91 3.76 1.25 20% 17th The rookie righty is fulfilling the lofty preseason expectations and sits at SP42 coming into this start
7 Justin Verlander NYM at SDP x x x 64 3.66 1.19 15% 4th A 3-run inning in HOU is the only real blemish over his L4: 1.80 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 19% K-BB in 25 IP
8 Yu Darvish SDP NYM x x x 80 4.84 1.23 18% 7th Still holding a Top 30 K-BB despite the near-5.00 ERA… I can’t see myeslf taking him out of the lineup
9 Corbin Burnes MIL CIN x x x 101.1 4.00 1.13 15% 2nd Hasn’t been the mega ace we expected this yr, but he has a 3.42 ERA since those 10 ER in his first 2 starts and I’m still starting him everywhere
10 Dylan Cease CHW STL x x x 96.2 4.10 1.31 17% 6th Had a huge June (2.20 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 28% K-BB) but then a modest outing at OAK (5.3 IP/3 ER) reminds us he’s not fully back to his ’22 self
11 Charlie Morton ATL at TBR x x x 90.2 3.57 1.44 16% 13th The ERA, W, and Ks have him at SP41 so if you can eat the hideous WHIP, he’s a set it and forget type
12 Sandy Alcantara MIA PHI x x x 107.2 4.93 1.25 12% 16th If he can push his 62% LOB rate back toward his 73% career mark, there’s a strong 2H on tap, but there’s no guarantee unless the changeup gets a lot better
13 Jordan Montgomery STL at CHW x x x 98.2 3.28 1.24 16% 22nd Raising his trade profile over the L7 with a 1.66 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and 17% K-BB in 43.3 IP
14 Aaron Civale CLE KCR x x x 45.2 2.96 1.18 10% 30th Just a meager 9% since returning from the IL, but can’t argue w/the 3.00 ERA & 1.24 WHIP in 33 IP… great matchup, too!
15 Carlos Rodón NYY CHC x x #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 21st He’s back! Only reached 58 pitches in his last rehab outing (0 ER in 3.7 IP) so this could be a sub-5 IP outing even if he’s throwing well
16 Ross Stripling SFG COL x x 37.1 6.51 1.50 12% 18th Not sure how stretched out he is with 50 and 24 pitches in his 2 outings off the IL
17 Tyler Glasnow TBR ATL x 36 4.50 1.33 27% 1st A .400+ wOBA for a team over a month period is absurd… no issues w/anyone skipping this spot
18 Griffin Canning LAA at LAD x 71.1 4.29 1.16 17% 11th Rough 2nd inn. spoiled his ARI outing, though he was probably a sit in most spots anyway… I’m a fan, but likely passing at LAD
19 Rich Hill PIT at ARI x 94 4.50 1.38 13% 25th Might be without Corbin Carroll, but still not a matchup I’d risk w/Hill even w/their meager output over the L30
20 Daniel Lynch KCR at CLE x 41.1 4.14 1.23 9% 20th Turning a corner since the 7 ER Cincy dud? 2.00 ERA, 1.00 WHIP in L3 incl. starts v. TBR & LAD, though just a 3% K-BB
21 Tony Gonsolin LAD LAA 61 3.69 1.11 9% 3rd ERA is up nearly 2 runs over his L3 starts (9.42 ERA, 1.70 WHIP, 9% K-BB) and I’m not sure it gets much better even w/Trout out for LAA
22 Cole Irvin BAL at MIN x 31.1 6.32 1.69 10% 28th Nice 3.44 ERA since his return from AAA despite an ugly 1.49 WHIP… be careful
23 Alek Manoah TOR at DET x 58 6.36 1.90 2% 20th It’s a good matchup coming of a 10-K gm in AA, but it’s probably best to wait-and-see… I would pick him up & reserve where available
24 Alex Faedo DET TOR x 26 5.54 0.92 23% 23rd Excellent K-BB in 5 starts before his injury, though the 6 HRs (2.1 HR9) were an issue
25 Jameson Taillon CHC at NYY 63.2 6.93 1.52 14% 29th There are no matchups where I’m comfortable starting Jamo these days
26 Trevor Williams WSN TEX 85 4.34 1.42 10% 10th No thanks
27 Cody Bradford TEX at WSN x 21.2 4.98 1.15 19% 23rd Threw 2.3 perfect IP on Monday so I can’t imagine this is more than a 2-3 IP outing
28 Luis Medina OAK at BOS 53.2 6.37 1.64 7% 15th No thanks
29 Austin Gomber COL at SFG 84 6.64 1.56 8% 12th #NeverGomber
30 Brennan Bernardino BOS OAK 26.2 2.70 1.09 18% 30th The expectation is that this is an opener setup for Brandon Walter (4.74 FIP, 1.62 WHIP at AAA)
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 League