Starting Pitcher Chart – May 2nd, 2024
Daily SP Chart archive
Not too many difficult choices out there. Bradish and Brown are kinda toss-ups for certain situations, but I’m mostly out on them right now. Cabrera and Rodón are probably more suspect than I’m letting on. I just feel confident enough to start both in all formats, albeit for different reasons. Cabrera’s getting the co-sign almost exclusively because of his core skills in this year’s small sample, while Rodón is getting credit for his longer term track record with a bit of his recent run adding confidence.
| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nathan Eovaldi | TEX v WSN | x | x | x | 36 | 3.00 | 1.22 | 13% | 12th | He certainly deserves better than a 1-2 record given his skills thus far |
| 2 | Edward Cabrera | MIA v COL | x | x | x | 15 | 5.28 | 1.43 | 22% | 16th | Betting on the 22% K-BB and hoping the Rockies spur the regression of his 58% LOB and .385 BABIP |
| 3 | Carlos Rodón | NYY at BAL | x | x | x | 32 | 2.48 | 1.19 | 12% | 3rd | Won’t critique anyone who fades this one, but confidence is up after B2B gems |
| 4 | Kyle Harrison | SFG at BOS | x | x | x | 33 | 4.09 | 1.24 | 19% | 12th | Only truly bad start was his trip to LAD that could’ve easily been skipped |
| 5 | Mitchell Parker | WSN at TEX | x | x | 16 | 1.69 | 0.94 | 19% | 17th | MIA of all teams ran him after 4 IP but he still only allowed 1 ER on 8 base runners; another difficult matchup but definitely streamable | |
| 6 | Kyle Bradish | BAL v NYY | x | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 3rd | Not the softest landing for his season opener an injury, but I’m not completely out | ||
| 7 | Ben Brown | CHC at NYM | x | 23 | 4.30 | 1.17 | 17% | 17th | Firmly on the radar and definitely reserving where I don’t start him, but confidence is middling at this juncture | ||
| 8 | Logan Allen | CLE at HOU | 31 | 5.46 | 1.40 | 11% | 5th | There were warning signs of inconsistency in last yr’s profile; sit here, but I will consider the DET/at CHW 2-step next wk | |||
| 9 | Josh Winckowski | BOS v SFG | 18 | 3.50 | 1.67 | 13% | 18th | ||||
| 10 | Spencer Arrighetti | HOU v CLE | 10 | 10.97 | 2.34 | 14% | 14th | ||||
| 11 | Peter Lambert | COL at MIA | 17 | 4.67 | 1.33 | 13% | 29th | ||||
| 12 | Adrian Houser | NYM v CHC | 23 | 8.37 | 1.90 | -2% | 19th |
The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them (notes will be more statistical-based once we get some sample to work with). Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
Picked up Houser as a spot start over guys like LTA and Spaghetti along with a few others on the list. Understand his form is awful, but it’s a nice matchup at home and he’s pitching for his spot in the rotation. Another bad start and it’s bullpen time for him.
How many meatballs will Spaghetti be throwing tonight with that noodle arm of his? I bet he get lost in the sauce and shelled.
LOOOOOL brilliantly done!!
I think you grabbed the stats for the wrong Logan Allen. The Guardians’ one has an ERA of 5.46, a WHIP of 1.40, and a K-BB% of 11% over 31.1 IP.
Stupid automation!! Sorry about that
I have the Bradish sit/start decision, and I’m leaning towards sit even though it’s a deeper league. I don’t think he goes long enough for a QS right off the IL and that NYY offense presents a serious downside risk
I can totally understand that. I won’t try to talk you out of it, let’s sit and reassess after this one
500 BABIP vs Cabrera today….so unlucky once again
Well, definitely glad I ultimately sat Rodon after debating some (and almost did reinsert him into my lineup just before game time).
He actually didn’t look 1/2-bad most of the time and was more efficient than usual against that tough lineup (w/ ~65% F-Strike% leading to 6 Ks, 0 BBs), but got bit by (solo) HRs (2/3 against arguably unexpected bats), which is also a tad unusual for him (except for last year) despite being a flyball pitcher, before faltering more completely in the 5th. He did also get into trouble loading the bases w/ no outs in the 2nd before bailing himself out w/out anyone scoring…