Starting Pitcher Chart – April 23rd, 2024

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Daily SP Chart archive

Why do they hate Reynaldo López?? They have pushed this man off a potential 2-step for three straight weeks. Maybe they are simply trying to protect their RP-turned-SP, but I’ve yet to get the hint and instead keep getting fooled into thinking this is the week! They moved him back 2 days this time now, so he’s off his every Tuesday pattern from the first three starts. Thankfully, they didn’t push him out of the Miami series, that would’ve just been cruel.

Jared Jones twirled another gem. What a phrase… twirled a gem. Anyway, he was chucking rubies — or is it just a single ruby since it’s twirling “a gem” and not multiple “gems”? — at the Brewers, allowing just 1-run in 6 innings with 7 Ks and 25 swinging strikes!! He had 13 with the heater, 11 with slider, and 1 with the changeup. I know there is excitement for Paul Skenes to come up and join Jones, but let’s appreciate Jones while he is shining and being the true frontliner for the Pirates. I didn’t love the innings-instead-of-pitches approach to limiting him last time out, but I understand that they aren’t just going to turn him loose and not at least try to mitigate damage, even though these types of plans haven’t been shown to tangibly improve pitcher health at all.

I don’t even mind a pitch count limit that much, but it just feels wasteful to take him out after 59 pitches and yes it was made markedly worse by the next pitcher losing the game for the Pirates. No shade to Luis L. Ortiz, everyone has tough games, but Jones should’ve gotten at least another inning so Ortiz would’ve had more time to warm up! At least get him to 75 pitches. Let’s not harp on the past, though, and let’s appreciate that the Pirates blessed the baseball viewing public with 91 pitches from the 22-year-old tonight. I really hope they push him a bit this year, especially if they continue to play .500 or better ball. He’s had 123 and 126 innings the last two seasons, it seems like 160 should be more than workable.

Obviously, they know their pitchers better than I ever could, but a 40-50 inning increase doesn’t seem out of pocket after making 26 starts in both 2022 and 2023. Either way, just enjoy Jones while he’s pitching. You landed on a gem if you drafted him or scooped him off waivers so don’t focus on when it might end or the occasional shortened outing/extra day or two of rest, but instead dial in for his outings every fifth (or so) day and watch an impressive young righty pop off with a brilliant fastball-slider combo as he cultivates the curve and change in hopes of a developing a bankable third offering.

Starter Notes April 23, 2024
1 Pablo López MIN v CHW x x x 22 3.97 0.97 21% 30th
2 Logan Webb SFG v NYM x x x 30 2.93 1.17 13% 18th
3 Tanner Houck BOS at CLE x x x 26 1.35 0.90 25% 15th Unstoppable force (1.35 ERA/0.90 WHIP) v. immovable object (13-6, 1st in Run Diff. at +52)
4 Logan Gilbert SEA at TEX x x x 27 2.33 0.78 25% 8th
5 Grayson Rodriguez BAL at LAA x x x 24 2.63 1.17 20% 14th
6 Marcus Stroman NYY v OAK x x x 22 2.42 1.16 11% 28th
7 Ryan Pepiot TBR v DET x x x 22 4.37 1.01 22% 27th
8 Michael King SDP at COL x x x 27 3.33 1.22 12% 10th King’s a full-time start for me, but I respect the decision to fade all non-aces in Coors
9 Max Fried ATL v MIA x x x 16 7.71 1.96 4% 29th I’m nowhere near cutting, but this start probably goes a long way toward deciding if I bench the 2-step next wk (at SEA/at LAD)
10 Kevin Gausman TOR at KCR x x x 14 8.16 1.74 16% 11th You’re staying the course, especially after the 5 IP/1 ER/6 K outing v. NYY
11 Cristopher Sánchez PHI at CIN x x 21 2.53 1.31 18% 9th Not a must start in shallower formats, but definitely usable in 10s
12 Luis Severino NYM at SFG x x 21 2.14 1.38 13% 17th Don’t be fooled by the 2.14 ERA, it hasn’t been great (13% K-BB, 1.38 WHIP)… this is exactly where you spot start him, though
13 Michael Wacha KCR v TOR x x 24 3.75 1.04 16% 20th
14 James Paxton LAD at WSN x x 16 2.81 1.50 -6% 28th Don’t usually give negative K-BB rates a 2-x run, but this matchup is really good and I’m willing to chase an ugly W
15 Dane Dunning TEX v SEA x x 23 3.91 1.22 9% 25th Maybe the elevated K% (23%) isn’t worth it if it comes w/2x the BB% (14%) and a 2.0 HR9
16 Andrew Abbott CIN v PHI x 23 2.70 1.07 11% 13th Getting results (2.70 ERA/1.07 WHIP) despite very modest skills (11% K-BB, 6% SwStr); likely to fade here unless it’s a weekly lineup lg w/the 2-step
17 Trevor Rogers MIA at ATL x 20 3.92 1.55 13% 8th He’s not all the way back to 2021 Rogers, so this is plenty risky
18 Griffin Canning LAA v BAL x 19 8.05 1.58 13% 3rd Why do I love Griffin Canning so damn much? You probably shouldn’t start this
19 Erick Fedde 페디 CHW at MIN x 20 3.10 1.33 11% 29th The 2.2 HR9 scares me, but this is a solid matchup
20 Steven Matz STL v ARI x 20 3.60 1.50 7% 2nd
21 Ben Lively 라이블리 CLE v BOS x 5 3.60 0.80 32% 23rd We need more starts to buy this as CLE pitcher magic, but the hobbled Red Sox could be a decent spot even after the PIT sweep
22 Jordan Wicks CHC v HOU 17 5.29 1.76 18% 3rd I remain intrigued by the 18% K-BB, 3.63 SIERA so I’m holding while passing on this start
23 Tobias Myers MIL at PIT #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 13th Fill-in for Wade Miley had a big season at AA last yr at age-24; solid start in AAA, too… our next Mitchell Parker?
24 Ryan Feltner COL v SDP 21 5.06 1.50 19% 9th
25 Kenta Maeda DET at TBR 17 7.64 1.58 6% 21st Velo down 2 mph; K-BB down 14 pts, and just an 8% SwStr; I’ll be ready to jump back if he fixes it, but for now he’s a cut everywhere
26 Logan Allen ARI at STL 26 5.06 1.39 11% 26th Did I absentmindedly rank him as CLE’s version before finally realizing CLE doesn’t have a doubleheader? No… why would you even ASK that???
27 Paul Blackburn OAK at NYY 25 1.08 1.00 10% 7th This is has allll the makings of a Regression Monster game, just no need to take the risk
28 J.P. France HOU at CHC 20 7.08 1.67 8% 12th
29 Bailey Falter PIT v MIL 20 4.05 0.95 6% 23rd
30 Patrick Corbin WSN v LAD 22 8.06 1.97 7% 12th
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them (notes will be more statistical-based once we get some sample to work with). Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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1 month ago

What an awesome recap on Jones! I agree that as a fantasy player you just have to enjoy the ride and that there’s no reason outside of injury that he should hit 160 IP.

In terms of “developing a bankable third offering”, I think the question is how well he can command the CH/CU because in terms of Stuff+, they sit at 139/110 respectively. Location+ on CH/CU are 104/97 so that would suggest he has the ability to sequence in the CH as needed and maybe use CU as freeze pitch. I’m wondering if he just hasn’t needed to really mix in a 3rd pitch due to his success so far.

Everyone talks about him being the new Strider, but that’s aiming too low. I think he’s the closest thing to the next deGrom.

Pitching+ leaderboard 20 IP min from 2023-2024:
(1) deGrom 117
(2) Jones 116
(3) Rasmussen 113
(4) Springs 112
(5) Strider

Jimmy von Albademember
1 month ago
Reply to  Gregg

Obviously hoping Jones stays healthy, but I don’t love that every other pitcher on that list got TJ or an internal brace over that period. Take the elite innings while you can get them, though.