Archive for Relief Pitchers

Pitcher Playing Time Changes: April 11, 2025

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Here are the latest pitcher playing time changes since last Friday, when I first took a look at playing time changes for the regular season.

SP % of Team GS Changes Since April 4
Pitcher Team Old % of Team’s Remaining Starts New % of Team’s Remaining Starts PT Change Reason
Kyle Gibson BAL 12% 15% +3% Already pitching in minors, should be up soon
Osvaldo Bido ATH 10% 13% +3% Strong start, stronger hold on SP spot
J.T. Ginn ATH 8% 11% +3% Likely Estes replacement
Justin Steele CHC 18% 15% -3% IL’d with elbow tendonitis
Nestor Cortes MIL 13% 10% -3% IL’d with flexor strain
Spencer Arrighetti HOU 16% 12% -4% IL’d with fractured thumb
Blake Snell LAD 18% 14% -4% IL’d with shoulder inflammation
Joey Estes ATH 12% 7% -5% Got hit around, demoted
Reynaldo López ATL 11% 3% -8% Shoulder cleanup, August return seems like best-case scenario

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Pitcher Playing Time Changes: April 4, 2025

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Welcome to the first Pitcher Playing Time Changes rundown of the regular season! As with position players, the methodology is a little different in the regular season.

For starting pitchers, instead of displaying raw games started projections like I did during Spring Training, I’m switching to percentage of a team’s remaining starts. When looking at this on a weekly basis, pitchers who are closer to coming back from injury will have their percentage go up, since they’re projected to miss less of the remaining season. Pitchers who were injured since the last update will, of course, have their percentage go down.

Relievers are going to be more streamlined, in that I’m not going to actually show projected innings pitched, because the way we project them internally always show as full-season innings, even if there’s only 50% of the season left. For example, a relief pitcher who started with 70 projected innings pitched and had his projections unchanged will still show as 70 innings pitched after 81 games. So, instead, I’ll just be showing percent change for notable relievers and we won’t be focusing on the actual innings they’re projected for when we’re only talking about a week of difference. That allows me to zero in on pitchers who’ve gotten injured or demoted.

Away we go:

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Relief Pitcher 2025 Fantasy Rankings

Ed Szczepanski-Imagn Images

The reliever landscape has faced some of the biggest changes in recent years as many teams have gone away from anointing a single guy to be their closer, instead embracing committees where they trust a number of relievers to close the game out in the 9th. The committee strategy often includes putting their best guy in a fireman role meaning he could come in for any sticky situation from about the 6th inning on. This is undoubtedly a smart way to run a bullpen from a “real life” standpoint, but it can be rough on us fantasy folks where Saves remain a prominent category.

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Pitcher Playing Time Changes: March 19, 2025

Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

Below are the latest playing time changes for pitchers since Monday, with the Patrick Corbin signing further reshuffling projected starts for the Rangers.

SP Projected GS Changes, 3/17 to 3/19
Player Team Old GS New GS GS Change Reason
Patrick Corbin TEX FA 16 3 Will help cover starts, especially in the first half
Stephen Kolek SDP 8 11 3 Darvish injury opens up more starts
Adrian Houser TEX 5 2 -3 Corbin signings eats into PT
Yu Darvish SDP 29 26 -3 Elbow inflammation, hard to see him ready for Opening Day
Jack Leiter TEX 23 19 -4 Corbin signings eats into PT; maybe some RP innings later on?
Cody Bradford TEX 8 3 -5 Corbin signings eats into PT; could relieve when healthy

 

RP Projected IP Changes, 3/17 to 3/19
Player Team Old IP New IP IP Change Reason
Richard Lovelady TOR 26 55 29 Contract selected; not guaranteed to make roster but he’s out of options os he’s got a good shot
Anderson Pilar ATL 8 35 27 Perdomo trade, Farmer reassignment makes bullpen spot more plausible for the R5 pick
Luis Garcia LAD 16 33 17 Contract selected for Tokyo Series, would be odd to DFA him before Opening Day
Nick Hernandez HOU 44 28 -16 Optioned to minors after bad Spring Training
Blake Walston ARI 32 0 -32 Tommy John surgery

Pitcher Playing Time Changes: March 13, 2025

Rick Scuteri-Imagn Images

Below are the notable pitcher playing time changes in the last 48 hours or so. For further detail on the methodology and more recent changes, my first rundown from Tuesday is here.

Starting Pitchers
Pitcher Team 3/11 GS 3/13 GS GS Change Reason
Stephen Kolek SDP 3 8 5 Taking to the rotation very well, might have a leg up on Hart
Zebby Matthews MIN 11 15 4 Could build on brilliant Spring Training and take starts from Paddack or SWR down the line
Landen Roupp SFG 8 11 3 Separating himself from Kyle Harrison for SP5 (keep an eye on Birdsong, too)
Michael McGreevy STL 2 5 3 Pitching great, but when will a spot open up for him?
Kyle Hart 하트 SDP 15 11 -4 Could start in bullpen; rainout knocked him out of his first start after 2 IP and he might not have enough time

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Relief Pitcher Episode w/ Greg Jewett

The Relief Pitcher episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Greg Jewett

Strategy Section

  • Closer Landscape
  • Closer Strategy
    • Should you invest in an elite closer?
    • Is it viable to draft two top-10 closers?
  • Would you rather?
  • Breakout relievers

Closer Situations

  • Free Agents
  • American League
  • National League

Injury Guru’s Trivia of the Week

 

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Pitcher Playing Time Changes: March 11, 2025

Dave Nelson-Imagn Images

Following up on yesterday’s post going over position player playing time changes, we now turn our attention to the pitchers. Unlike hitters, where all playing time is shown in plate appearances, we’re splitting into two tables here. Starters are shown with games started, and relievers are shown with relief innings. When looking at our projections on a player page, you’ll notice that for all relievers, innings and games pitched are the same; that’s just how our projection system works to allocate reliever innings. I’d pay more attention to the innings, since the projected games pitched number will often be higher than the actually-expected number simply to inflate a pitcher’s innings to what we feel is accurate.

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Ottoneu: The Big Name Pitchers Dropped at the Deadline

Kevin Gausman walks off the mound with his head held low.
Credit: Raymond Carlin III-Imagn Images

One Ottoneu manager’s cuts are another Ottoneu manager’s auction bids. But take heed pretend baseball general manager! These pitchers were cut for a reason. Maybe their signature pitch no longer fell out of the zone at the last split second like it used to. Maybe injury has the general public concerned. But, maybe those criticisms will be your opportunities. This article provides some context about the pitchers who were dropped the most at the keeper deadline, using “% of leagues with a cut in the last 7 days” as the starting point.
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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1371 – NL Closer Preview

2/3/25

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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The Impact of Team Win’s on Saves

Denis Poroy-Imagn Images

Tanner Scott signed with the Dodgers earlier this week and you may be wondering, does that make him a top 10 closer going into the 2025 season? Certainly, it must change his pre-trade auction calculator (Steamer) ranking of 14th, right? Roster Resource lists Scott as the Dodger closer for now, but Michael Kopech, Blake Treinen, and maybe even Evan Phillips may cut in on his save counts. And what if the Dodgers score so many runs with their high-powered offense that Scott doesn’t get the opportunity to earn a save often enough? Does being on a really good team limit a team’s save accumulation? Read the rest of this entry »