Archive for Rankings

Chad Young’s C Tiered Rankings for 4×4 Ottoneu

New York Yankees first baseman Ben Rice hits an RBI single in the sixth inning  against the Toronto Blue Jays during game three of the ALDS round for the 2025 MLB playoffs at Yankee Stadium.
Credit: Wendell Cruz-Imagn Images

As we continue our race against time (gotta get these in before you need to make final cut decisions!), Jake and I will turn our attention to catcher today and tomorrow. Catcher has been a weird position the last few years. Traditionally a weak fantasy position, it has gotten a lot stronger. But every year around this time, I feel like it is deeper than ever and every September, I look back at a slew of disappointments. And yes, it is deeper than it used to be, but that doesn’t mean it is all that great.

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Chad Young’s Ottoneu Tiered OF Rankings Follow Up

Atlanta Braves right fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. celebrates after hitting a solo home run against the Washington Nationals during the ninth inning at Nationals Park.
Credit: Brad Mills-Imagn Images

The rankings beat marches on. Yesterday, you saw my 4×4 rankings for outfield and today I’ll share my FanGraphs Points rankings, as well as thoughts on the other formats.

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Jake Mailhot’s 2026 Tiered Rankings for Ottoneu Points: Outfield

Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

After starting with the second largest position group last week, the Ottoneu rankings push continues with the largest position group this week. You can find all the information about the format and methodology for these rankings in Chad’s introduction.

Jake Mailhot’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for Points Leagues: MI | OF
Chad Young’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for Points Leagues: MI | OF
Chad Young’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for 4×4: MI | OF

Here are few more notes about my process:

  • Projected points. I’ve been building my own homebrewed projections for the past decade plus, ever since I started playing Ottoneu, and they form the basis for the rankings below. They’re nothing overly complicated; essentially just a MARCEL-esque projection using three years of historical data filtered through a rough aging curve and adjusted for the current run environment. I also include a collection of up to five public projection systems (ZiPS, Steamer, OOPSY, THE BAT, and PECOTA) to provide some additional context. That gives each player a wealth of data sources to form their projection. Currently, the projections below only include Steamer and THE BAT projections. I will update the rankings in February once ZiPS, OOPSY, and PECOTA are released.
  • P/G vs P/PA. Points per game played is the gold standard by which you should be evaluating players in Ottoneu. I won’t argue with that. That measure does have some drawbacks, particularly for players who pinch hit, pinch run, or are used as defensive substitutions often. Those limited appearances can skew a player’s P/G lower than what they’re producing when they’re getting three or four plate appearances when they start a game. To provide a little more context for these kinds of players, I’m projecting players using points per plate appearance. That measure should give us a better idea of how a player produces no matter how he’s used by his team.

Just to reiterate a point that Chad makes in his introduction: yes, these rankings are presented ordinally, but the tier a player appears in is much more important than if they’re ranked 16th or 28th. Within tiers, players are generally ranked by their projected Pts/PA but that doesn’t necessarily mean I think one player is significantly more valuable than another in the same tier. I’ve got notes on the top 75-ish players below and I’ll add more notes when I update the rankings next month. Let’s get into it.

Ottoneu Points OF Tiered Rankings
Tier Rank Player Position Projected Pts Pts/PA Notes
$66-$77 1 Aaron Judge OF 1346.1 2.04 The best hitter in baseball and showing no signs of slowing down.
$55-$65 2 Juan Soto OF 1163.2 1.70 Despite the slow start in his first season in New York, still finished the season as the third most valuable player in Ottoneu.
$45-$54 3 Yordan Alvarez OF 899.5 1.70 Unquestionably productive when healthy, but has never played in more than 150 games in a single season and has averaged just 118 games per season over the last five years.
$45-$54 4 Ronald Acuña Jr. OF 938.9 1.61 Skills all looked intact after he returned from his second major knee injury in late May. Lack of SB shouldn’t be an issue in FGpts.
$36-$44 5 Kyle Tucker OF 882.7 1.49 Should be healthy in 2026 after a finger injury derailed his 2H in ’25. Only question is where he’ll sign — he’ll produce wherever he lands.
$36-$44 6 Kyle Schwarber OF 1016.8 1.49 Even though he re-signed with the Phillies, it’s hard to imagine him repeating his career year from 2025.
$36-$44 7 Corbin Carroll OF 930.0 1.44 Contact quality dramatically improved last year. Could he take another step forward?
$28-$35 8 Fernando Tatis Jr. OF 914.7 1.42 Probably won’t return to the .400 wOBAs he posted early in his career, still very productive with .350 wOBAs.
$28-$35 9 Brent Rooker OF 909.0 1.41 Plate discipline continued to improve in 2025, and contact quality was still excellent, but wOBA still fell by nearly 50 points. I’m looking for a bounce back in ’26.
$28-$35 10 Julio Rodríguez OF 904.9 1.36 Still hits too many groundballs, but improved his strikeout rate in 2025. Batted ball quality is still there, just needs to elevate more.
$21-$27 11 Byron Buxton OF 731.0 1.44 Produces like a top 10 OF by Pts/PA but the question is always how many games will he play. 2025 was the first time he had more than 500 PAs since 2017.
$21-$27 12 George Springer OF 800.6 1.34 How much do you trust his rebound? Significant skill changes drove improvements, but he’s entering his age-36 season.
$21-$27 13 Seiya Suzuki OF 810.1 1.32 Contact quality still excellent despite second half slump. Plus he stayed healthy all season long.
$21-$27 14 Mike Trout OF 675.0 1.32 How the mighty have fallen. Power output significantly dropped but managed to play more than 130 games for the first time since 2019.
$21-$27 15 James Wood OF 793.1 1.32 Despite second half slump (150 wRC+ in 1H, 93 in 2H), ceiling is extremely high.
$21-$27 16 Riley Greene OF 803.5 1.31 Broke out with 36 HR in 2025, but strikeout rate climbed over 30%. Still starts against LHP, but very unproductive.
$21-$27 17 Roman Anthony OF 686.0 1.30 Extremely impressive big league debut cut short by injury. Could have highest ceiling of any player in this tier.
$21-$27 18 Wyatt Langford OF 755.4 1.28 Prospect hype placed too high expectations on him. Slower to develop but still very good player and getting better.
$21-$27 19 Christian Yelich OF 739.6 1.28 Good all around player. Completely healthy season after serious back injury cut 2024 short.
$21-$27 20 Jackson Chourio OF 760.1 1.27 One of the youngest players in baseball with two good seasons to start his career. Still waiting for a big step forward.
$21-$27 21 Jackson Merrill OF 736.2 1.27 Five point increase in strikeout rate led to 20 point drop in wOBA. Contact quality remained solid.
$15-$20 22 Tyler Soderstrom 1B/OF 692.0 1.28 Big breakout wasn’t a Sacramento mirage (-9 point wOBA home/road split). Adding OF eligibility definitely helps his value.
$15-$20 23 Jarren Duran OF 810.1 1.27 Issues against LHP keep his ceiling lower than you’d think. Hard to pay more than $20 for what is essentially a part-time player.
$15-$20 24 Teoscar Hernández OF 740.2 1.25 Barrell rate down. Walk rate down. Feels like 2024 was the outlier between two disappointing seasons.
$15-$20 25 Cody Bellinger OF 773.2 1.25 Could be ranked a tier lower depending on where he signs. Big beneficiary of Yankee Stadium’s short porch (76 point wOBA home/away split)
$10-$14 26 Kyle Stowers OF 653.7 1.28 Breakout season in 2025 cut short by injury. All the underlying metrics look solid, needs to prove it in ’26.
$10-$14 27 Kerry Carpenter OF 569.9 1.28 Crushes RHP. Nearly unplayable against LHP. Probably won’t repeat the highs of 2024.
$10-$14 28 Matt Wallner OF 533.1 1.25 No platoon issues last year despite reputation. BABIP dropped 161 points last year, should be better in ’26.
$10-$14 29 Wilyer Abreu OF 564.0 1.23 Big gains in contact rate while improving barrel rate. Top line results didn’t follow underlying metrics, but could take step forward in ’26.
$10-$14 30 Jo Adell OF 678.8 1.22 Big breakout fueled by big contact quality gains. Plate approach still poor which limits his ceiling.
$10-$14 31 Taylor Ward OF 774.0 1.22 Traded away from home run friendly Angels Stadium to unfriendly Camden Yards. Solid hitter but a little worried about new outlook.
$10-$14 32 Oneil Cruz OF 661.4 1.22 Still having trouble turning raw skills into a complete package. Strikeout issues a huge red flag. Ceiling is still high if he can figure out plate approach.
$10-$14 33 Jurickson Profar OF 699.3 1.20 Carried skills over from 2024 breakout after returning from his PED suspension.
$10-$14 34 Ian Happ OF 780.1 1.20 A useful accumulator with decent skills across the board.
$10-$14 35 Brandon Nimmo OF 762.4 1.20 A useful accumulator with decent skills across the board. Will plate discipline rebound?
$10-$14 36 Ryan O’Hearn 1B/OF 621.2 1.19 Eliminated platoon splits in 2025, though he struggled in San Diego after trade.
$10-$14 37 Alec Burleson 1B/OF 667.1 1.19 Small improvements in plate discipline and contact quality led to big improvements in results.
$10-$14 38 Randy Arozarena OF 790.6 1.19 A useful accumulator with decent skills across the board. Contact quality improved in ’25.
$6-$9 39 Giancarlo Stanton OF 523.1 1.27 Can still crush the ball when healthy. Enjoyed his best offensive season in 2025 since ’17, but only played in 77 games.
$6-$9 40 Tyler O’Neill OF 465.0 1.27 Is he healthy? Can he still hit for power in Camden Yards? Contact quality fell in ’25 but plate discipline bounced back.
$6-$9 41 Ramón Laureano OF 598.2 1.22 Resurrected his career in Baltimore, continued pounding the ball in San Diego. Biggest difference was 4 point improvement in contact rate.
$6-$9 42 Trent Grisham OF 639.3 1.22 Resurrected his career in New York, set career high in HR in 2025. Real change in plate approach from patient to selectively aggressive.
$6-$9 43 Pete Crow-Armstrong OF 707.3 1.22 131 wRC+ in 1H, 72 in 2H. Which is the real Pete? Underlying skills stayed stable throughout the year — maybe 2H slump was just bad luck?
$6-$9 44 Brandon Marsh OF 534.9 1.19 Much more aggressive at the plate in 2025 led to improved contact rate, lower walk rate.
$6-$9 45 Andy Pages OF 682.7 1.18 Crushed the ball at home but couldn’t produce away from Dodger Stadium.
$6-$9 46 Anthony Santander OF 633.7 1.16 Shoulder injury cost him nearly all of 2025. If healthy, could be a steal in this tier, but everything hinges on his shoulder.
$6-$9 47 Lawrence Butler OF 640.7 1.16 2024 showed us his ceiling if everything goes right. 2025 showed us his floor if his plate discipline continues to slide.
$6-$9 48 Heliot Ramos OF 716.2 1.16 Barrel rate way down but contact rate way up. Feels like he tried to trade power for contact but the result was a big step backwards.
$6-$9 49 Bryan Reynolds OF 747.0 1.14 Strikeouts up even though chase rate fell. Contact quality stayed steady. Could bounce back if he can get the K’s back in line.
$6-$9 50 Jasson Domínguez OF 526.4 1.14 Might have path to full-time at-bats without Bellinger in the picture. Projections see a step forward for him in 2026, and he’s still only 23 years old.
$6-$9 51 Michael Harris II OF 628.9 1.13 2H surge salvaged his season (47 wRC+ in 1H, 130 in 2H). Projections still really like him, but I’m weary after ’24 and 1H ’25.
$6-$9 52 Luis Robert Jr. OF 575.7 1.13 Improved his plate discipline significantly in 2025. Power still hasn’t returned and healthy will always be a question.
$6-$9 54 Spencer Steer 1B/OF 651.0 1.12 Slowly worked his way back from shoulder injury (113 wRC+ in Aug/Sept). Still feels like 2023 was his high water mark.
$6-$9 55 Daulton Varsho OF 561.6 1.11 Big power spike after returning from shoulder injury. Too many strikeouts put a cap on his ceiling.
$6-$9 56 Lars Nootbaar OF 573.2 1.10 Contact quality remained excellent but wasn’t pulling the ball as much in 2025. Solid floor thanks to good plate approach.
$3-$5 57 Mickey Moniak OF 542.2 1.22 Made real strides forward in Colorado. Strikeouts down, contact quality up, home park is a nice bonus.
$3-$5 58 Masataka Yoshida OF 350.0 1.17 Does he have a regular spot in Boston’s lineup? Injuries derailed his 2025 season but underlying metrics looked normal-ish.
$3-$5 59 Jorge Soler OF 582.8 1.16 Bat speed and power output fell significantly in 2025. Doesn’t have the plate approach to rebound if power is gone.
$3-$5 60 Daylen Lile OF 537.2 1.15 Huge finish to the season looks like it was BABIP fueled (.380 BABIP in 2H). Excellent contact skills, little power, no walks — reminds me of Steven Kwan.
$3-$5 61 Isaac Collins OF 462.4 1.15 Excellent contact skills, little power, can take walks. I actually like his move to KC with it’s huge BABIP boosting park effects.
$3-$5 62 Jesús Sánchez OF 526.6 1.13 Contact quality took a steep dive after being traded to Houston. If it rebounds, could have a much higher ceiling than this ranking assumes.
$3-$5 63 Colton Cowser OF 546.5 1.13 Strikeout rate jumped through the roof in 2025. Untenable at 35%, could make it work at 30%, but the margin is razor thin.
$3-$5 53 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. OF 524.2 1.12 ACL injury means he’ll miss first few months of 2026 season.
$3-$5 64 Evan Carter OF 402.4 1.11 Injuries have stunted his development and lowered his ceiling. Made real plate discipline changes last year but still isn’t hitting the ball with authority.
$3-$5 65 JJ Bleday OF 451.1 1.11 Big step backwards in 2025. Cincinnati should be a nice place to hit but he’s probably a platoon player in that lineup.
$3-$5 66 Mike Yastrzemski OF 524.0 1.11 Dropped his strikeout rate below 20% in 2025 and still has pretty good contact quality metrics.
$3-$5 67 Trevor Larnach OF 503.8 1.11 Barrel rate dipped in 2025 but maintained plate discipline improvements from ’24. Might be just a platoon player.
$3-$5 68 TJ Friedl OF 623.5 1.09 Solid plate approach gives him a nice floor. Tries to make the most of his pulled contact with weak contact quality.
$3-$5 69 Jakob Marsee OF 546.9 1.09 Exciting debut might have been BABIP fueled. Even if he doesn’t return to those heights, the skills are decent enough to return some value.
$3-$5 70 Jung Hoo Lee 이정후 OF 609.9 1.09 Up-and-down season wound up being just average by the end. Projections see room for growth but I’m not sure from where.
$3-$5 71 Josh Lowe OF 473.3 1.09 Got his strikeout rate under control in 2025 but contact quality cratered. Can he put it all together in ’26? Might be just a platoon player anyway.
$3-$5 72 Steven Kwan OF 692.7 1.08 Even if his BABIP rebounds, it seems like his 2024 power spike was a one-year blip.
$3-$5 73 Brenton Doyle OF 580.5 1.06 Really struggled in 2025 but underlying skills looked intact. Be prepared to sit him on the road.
$3-$5 74 Dylan Crews OF 498.3 1.03 Still waiting for him to acclimate to the big leagues. Ceiling might not be as high as his prospect reports thought.
$1-$2 75 Jahmai Jones OF 196.9 1.32
$1-$2 76 Rob Refsnyder OF 300.3 1.20
$1-$2 77 Luke Raley 1B/OF 347.8 1.15
$1-$2 78 Randal Grichuk OF 320.9 1.12
$1-$2 79 Dominic Canzone OF 395.5 1.10
$1-$2 80 Austin Hays OF 499.3 1.10
$1-$2 81 Dylan Beavers OF 391.4 1.10
$1-$2 82 Emmanuel Rodriguez OF 54.1 1.10
$1-$2 83 Heriberto Hernández OF 351.9 1.10
$1-$2 84 Garrett Mitchell OF 233.4 1.09
$1-$2 85 Jordan Beck OF 561.6 1.08
$1-$2 86 Lane Thomas OF 454.9 1.08
$1-$2 87 Nick Castellanos OF 544.8 1.08
$1-$2 88 Harrison Bader OF 512.0 1.07
$1-$2 89 Cedric Mullins OF 499.1 1.07
$1-$2 90 Sal Frelick OF 559.6 1.06
$1-$2 91 Andrew Benintendi OF 526.7 1.06
$1-$2 92 Troy Johnston 1B/OF 275.6 1.06
$1-$2 93 Adolis García OF 607.6 1.06
$1-$2 94 Jake McCarthy OF 320.5 1.06
$1-$2 95 Chase DeLauter OF 522.2 1.05
$1-$2 96 Nathan Lukes OF 355.0 1.04
$1-$2 97 Victor Robles OF 332.4 1.04
$1-$2 98 Jac Caglianone 1B/OF 454.1 1.04
$1-$2 99 Colby Thomas OF 226.2 1.04
$1-$2 100 Gavin Sheets 1B/OF 537.1 1.03
$1-$2 101 C.J. Kayfus 1B/OF 356.9 1.02
$1-$2 102 Justin Crawford OF 396.2 1.02
$1-$2 103 Walker Jenkins OF 99.4 1.00
$1-$2 104 Cam Smith OF 430.9 0.99
$0-$1 105 Max Clark OF N/A N/A
$0-$1 106 Josue De Paula OF N/A N/A
$0-$1 107 Zyhir Hope OF N/A N/A
$0-$1 108 Lazaro Montes OF N/A N/A
$0-$1 109 Mike Sirota OF N/A N/A
$0-$1 110 Eduardo Quintero OF N/A N/A
$0-$1 111 Starling Marte OF 343.4 1.08
$0-$1 112 Jake Fraley OF 288.5 1.08
$0-$1 113 Mike Tauchman OF 399.5 1.07
$0-$1 114 Jake Bauers 1B/OF 331.4 1.07
$0-$1 115 Will Benson OF 288.3 1.06
$0-$1 116 Matt Vierling OF 391.4 1.06
$0-$1 117 Carlos Cortes OF 146.3 1.05
$0-$1 118 Alex Call OF 287.8 1.04
$0-$1 119 Wenceel Pérez OF 459.3 1.03
$0-$1 120 Luis Matos OF 295.9 1.03
$0-$1 121 Owen Caissie OF 387.4 1.02
$0-$1 122 Austin Martin OF 277.4 1.02
$0-$1 123 James Outman OF 238.1 1.02
$0-$1 124 Jake Meyers OF 442.1 1.02
$0-$1 125 Zac Veen OF 308.8 1.02
$0-$1 126 Tommy Pham OF 428.1 1.01
$0-$1 127 Chandler Simpson OF 391.1 1.01
$0-$1 128 Michael Conforto OF 423.0 1.00
$0-$1 129 Parker Meadows OF 413.9 1.00
$0-$1 130 Jack Suwinski OF 245.1 0.99
$0-$1 131 Christopher Morel OF 384.2 0.99
$0-$1 132 Jordan Walker OF 443.7 0.98
$0-$1 133 Carson Benge OF 419.0 0.97
$0-$1 134 George Valera OF 353.3 0.97
$0-$1 135 Jhostynxon Garcia OF 359.4 0.97
$0-$1 136 Jerar Encarnacion OF 135.8 0.96
$0-$1 137 Jake Mangum OF 372.5 0.96
$0-$1 138 Justyn-Henry Malloy 1B/OF 135.3 0.93
$0-$1 139 Alan Roden OF 175.3 0.93
$0 140 Max Kepler OF 473.6 1.06
$0 141 Andrew McCutchen OF 487.2 1.05
$0 142 LaMonte Wade Jr. 1B/OF 307.9 1.02
$0 143 Mark Canha OF 299.1 1.01
$0 144 Sam Haggerty OF 213.1 1.01
$0 145 Connor Joe OF 354.0 1.00
$0 146 Eli White OF 201.5 1.00
$0 147 Chas McCormick OF 211.8 0.99
$0 148 Jarred Kelenic OF 281.2 0.99
$0 149 Zach Dezenzo OF 90.5 0.97
$0 150 Hunter Renfroe OF 357.2 0.96
$0 151 Zach Cole OF 310.9 0.96
$0 152 MJ Melendez OF 307.8 0.96
$0 153 Will Brennan OF 347.2 0.96
$0 154 Griffin Conine OF 305.9 0.95
$0 155 Eric Wagaman 1B/OF 351.0 0.94
$0 156 Denzel Clarke OF 304.1 0.94
$0 157 Jonny DeLuca OF 248.4 0.92
$0 158 Alek Thomas OF 368.9 0.92
$0 159 Blake Perkins OF 256.0 0.92
$0 160 Dane Myers OF 234.6 0.92
$0 161 Drew Gilbert OF 292.9 0.92
$0 162 Kevin Alcántara OF 124.1 0.91
$0 163 Nolan Jones OF 288.7 0.91
$0 164 Tirso Ornelas OF 118.0 0.91
$0 165 Alex Verdugo OF 350.5 0.91
$0 166 Joey Loperfido OF 149.4 0.91
$0 167 Tyrone Taylor OF 328.5 0.91
$0 168 Jose Siri OF 360.7 0.90
$0 169 Myles Straw OF 230.6 0.89
$0 170 Kyle Isbel OF 367.7 0.87
$0 171 Victor Scott II OF 399.5 0.85
$0 172 John Rave OF 130.8 0.85
$0 173 Kameron Misner OF 137.5 0.84
$0 174 Dylan Carlson OF 183.1 0.83
$0 175 Johan Rojas OF 176.5 0.83
$0 176 Bryce Johnson OF 151.6 0.83
$0 177 Jacob Young OF 310.7 0.83
$0 178 Alejandro Osuna OF 109.4 0.83
$0 179 Tyler Black 1B/OF 35.2 0.82
$0 180 Jhonkensy Noel 1B/OF 119.4 0.82
$0 181 Drew Waters OF 191.0 0.81
$0 182 Robert Hassell III OF 175.5 0.80
$0 183 Heston Kjerstad OF 99.9 0.76
$0 184 Marco Luciano OF 36.6 0.61

Chad Young’s OF Tiered Rankings for 4×4 Ottoneu

Athletics designated hitter Brent Rooker (25) hits a single against the Pittsburgh Pirates during the first inning at PNC Park.
Credit: Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images

After getting started with middle infield last week, this week we move on to outfield. Why start with those two spots? Because they are huge lists and I want to get them done. Rock solid logic, there. Outfield is also an interesting position over the years, as it has varied between feeling deep and feeling shallow. This year, between the emergence of guys like Kyle Stowers, Tyler Soderstrom, Roman Anthony, and James Wood and the re-emergence of guys like George Springer and Cody Bellinger, it feels like it is trending back towards “deep” and that makes it a fun position to think about for auctions.

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Chad Young’s Ottoneu Tiered MI Rankings Follow Up

Rangers shortstop Corey Seager (5) hits a two-run home run during the fourth inning against the Los Angeles Angels at Globe Life Field.
Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

My 4×4 tiered rankings for middle infield came out yesterday, and as promised in my intro article back in December, I am going to follow up each positional ranking with two things: my rankings for FanGraphs Points leagues and notes on how rankings would differ for other formats.

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Jake Mailhot’s 2026 Tiered Rankings for Ottoneu Points: Middle Infield

Credit: Jeff Hanisch-Imagn Images

Chad started off the Ottoneu rankings push with his 4×4 middle infield rankings yesterday and I’m following up with my rankings for Ottoneu points leagues. You can find all the information about the format and methodology for these rankings in Chad’s introduction.

Here are few more notes about my process:

  • Projected points. I’ve been building my own homebrewed projections for the past decade plus, ever since I started playing Ottoneu, and they form the basis for the rankings below. They’re nothing overly complicated; essentially just a MARCEL-esque projection using three years of historical data filtered through a rough aging curve and adjusted for the current run environment. I also include a collection of up to five public projection systems (ZiPS, Steamer, OOPSY, THE BAT, and PECOTA) to provide some additional context. That gives each player a wealth of data sources to form their projection. Currently, the projections below only include Steamer and THE BAT projections. I will update the rankings in February once ZiPS, OOPSY, and PECOTA are released.
  • P/G vs P/PA. Points per game played is the gold standard by which you should be evaluating players in Ottoneu. I won’t argue with that. That measure does have some drawbacks, particularly for players who pinch hit, pinch run, or are used as defensive substitutions often. Those limited appearances can skew a player’s P/G lower than what they’re producing when they’re getting three or four plate appearances when they start a game. To provide a little more context for these kinds of players, I’m projecting players using points per plate appearance. That measure should give us a better idea of how a player produces no matter how he’s used by his team.

Just to reiterate a point that Chad makes in his introduction: yes, these rankings are presented ordinally, but the tier a player appears in is much more important than if they’re ranked 16th or 28th. Within tiers, players are generally ranked by their projected Pts/PA but that doesn’t necessarily mean I think one player is significantly more valuable than another in the same tier. I’ve got notes on the top 50-ish players below and I’ll add more notes when I update the rankings next month. Let’s get into it.

Ottoneu Points MI Tiered Rankings
Tier Rank Player Position Projected Pts Pts/PA Notes
$45-$54 1 Bobby Witt Jr. SS 1023.4 1.54 Clearly the best MI in baseball with just six hitters projected to outproduce him.
$36-$44 2 Ketel Marte 2B 867.5 1.49 The best 2B in baseball, trade rumors shouldn’t affect production.
$36-$44 3 Corey Seager SS 728.0 1.46 Productive when on the field but injury concerns will always be a factor.
$28-$35 4 Gunnar Henderson SS 921.7 1.40 Took a step back in 2025 but the ceiling is still very high.
$28-$35 5 Francisco Lindor SS 928.5 1.36 Consistent production means he’s a little overlooked in favor of flashier MI, but he’s been very good for four years straight.
$28-$35 6 Mookie Betts SS 793.5 1.29 Lost positional flexibility and spring illness negatively affected his entire 2025. Should bounce back in 2026, but how high?
$21-$27 7 Elly De La Cruz SS 862.9 1.31 Quad injury clearly held him back in 2025, but the ceiling is sky high. Considered ranking him a tier higher, but needs to prove it first.
$21-$27 8 Trea Turner SS 798.7 1.31 The power is probably on the downswing, but contact ability is still excellent. Steals are a bonus in FGpts.
$21-$27 9 Geraldo Perdomo SS 767.8 1.27 Big breakout in 2025 and all the underlying metrics look sustainable. Still worried about some power regression.
$21-$27 10 Bo Bichette SS 747.6 1.27 Posted his best offensive season in 2025 after a down year in ’24. Any potential landing spot shouldn’t affect his production too much.
$21-$27 11 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B/3B 708.5 1.27 Huge power explosion in first full season in New York raises his ceiling significantly.
$21-$27 12 Zach Neto SS 726.9 1.25 The ceiling is a 30/30 season. Batted ball metrics all point to significant breakout potential.
$15-$20 13 Jordan Westburg 2B/3B 595.0 1.23 Solid player across the board with no weaknesses, but no standout skills either. Needs to stay healthy.
$15-$20 14 Jose Altuve 2B/OF 766.1 1.22 Approaching the age cliff at 36 years old. Still possesses solid skills, but how long will they last?
$15-$20 15 Jeremy Peña SS 723.1 1.20 Came back down to earth after rib injury (143 wRC+ in 1H, 120 in 2H), but 2025 represented a big step forward for him.
$10-$14 16 Brandon Lowe 2B 627.3 1.20 Move to Pittsburgh shouldn’t hurt too much. 2025 was his first (mostly) healthy season since 2021.
$10-$14 17 Luke Keaschall 2B 515.6 1.20 Looked like a big leaguer in his cup of coffee in 2025. Batted ball peripherals are a bit concerning, but the contact skill is real.
$10-$14 18 Jorge Polanco 2B/3B 580.6 1.19 Swing change allowed him to thrive despite battling nagging injuries. Probably won’t be MI eligible next year.
$10-$14 19 Willy Adames SS 774.3 1.18 The power is real but playing in SF hurt his overall offensive production.
$10-$14 20 Jacob Wilson SS 595.8 1.18 Idealized version of Luis Arraez with a touch more power. Still pretty BABIP dependent which leads to low lows.
$10-$14 21 Brendan Donovan 2B/SS/OF 655.0 1.18 Solid player across the board with no weaknesses. Multi-positional eligibility helps his value.
$10-$14 22 CJ Abrams SS 704.7 1.16 Has developed into a good player, though the promise of a power breakout is probably fleeting unless he makes some serious contact quality gains.
$10-$14 23 Trevor Story SS 647.8 1.15 First healthy year since 2021 led to significant improvements in contact quality. Poor plate discipline holds him back.
$10-$14 24 Carlos Correa SS/3B 604.8 1.15 Has a history of quality production but health will determine if he can reach his previous highs.
$10-$14 25 Gleyber Torres 2B 721.4 1.14 Played through injury during the second half but still put up a solid season in Detroit.
$10-$14 26 Maikel Garcia 2B/SS/3B/OF 713.1 1.13 Huge breakout in 2025 doesn’t look like a mirage. Positional flexibility a big bonus.
$10-$14 27 Brice Turang 2B 701.9 1.13 Another big breakout from 2025 that looks like it’s going to stick. Might have the highest ceiling of any player in this tier.
$10-$14 28 Xander Bogaerts SS 623.2 1.13 Probably won’t reach his previous highs, but still a useful accumulator with decent skills across the board.
$6-$9 29 Ezequiel Tovar SS 645.9 1.12 Extremely streaky hitter who had a big step backwards in 2025. Uncertain future, but Coors effect should be a benefit.
$6-$9 30 Colt Keith 1B/2B/3B 551.7 1.12 Quietly put together a great season in his second year in the big leagues. Projections really like him in 2026.
$6-$9 31 Luis García Jr. 2B 567.2 1.11 Still only 26, he’s improved significantly over the last few years. Added a bit of power in 2024, needs to put it all together to really take step forward.
$6-$9 32 Nico Hoerner 2B 711.7 1.11 All hit, no power profile works when he’s making contact 90% of the time.
$3-$5 33 Romy Gonzalez 1B/2B 391.2 1.20 Significant improvement in contact quality in 2025, but still might only be the short side of a 2B platoon.
$3-$5 34 Kevin McGonigle SS 233.3 1.20 Top prospect who could make his debut sometime in 2026.
$3-$5 35 Colson Montgomery SS/3B 544.8 1.10 A lot of home runs make up for a really poor approach at the plate.
$3-$5 36 Bryson Stott 2B/SS 620.9 1.10 Swing change helped him improve contact quality in 2H. Breakout candidate if the swing change sticks.
$3-$5 37 Dansby Swanson SS 670.9 1.09 Still has some pop but poor plate approach caps his ceiling as an average MI.
$3-$5 38 Luis Arraez 1B/2B 685.2 1.09 Contact rate king, but too much weak contact to make the most of all those balls in play.
$3-$5 39 Jeff McNeil 2B/OF 544.1 1.08 New ballpark in Sacramento should help, but health uncertain after offseason thoracic outlet surgery.
$3-$5 40 Tyler Freeman 2B/OF 412.9 1.07 Claimed full-time at-bat by June but limped through the end of the season (66 wRC+ in 2H)
$3-$5 41 Jake Cronenworth 1B/2B/SS 620.3 1.07 Put together his best season in 2025 since breakout in 2021.
$3-$5 42 Konnor Griffin SS 506.3 1.07 Top prospect who could make his debut sometime in 2026.
$3-$5 43 Ozzie Albies 2B 627.9 1.06 He’s fallen pretty far from his peak but still only 29 years old. The power has completely evaporated and it doesn’t look like it’s coming back.
$3-$5 44 Marcus Semien 2B 658.6 1.05 Another veteran who has fallen far from his peak. Solid 2H gives some hope he’s still got something in the tank.
$3-$5 45 Jackson Holliday 2B/SS 576.7 1.04 Slower development than expected from a former top prospect. Ceiling is still high and only 22 years old.
$3-$5 46 JJ Wetherholt 2B/SS 113.6 1.04 Probably closer to the big leagues than the other two top prospects in this tier but lower ceiling than Griffin and McGonigle.
$1-$2 47 Zach McKinstry SS/3B/OF 462.6 1.07
$1-$2 48 Brett Baty 2B/3B 432.8 1.07
$1-$2 49 Kody Clemens 1B/2B/OF 349.7 1.07
$1-$2 50 Ha-Seong Kim 김하성 2B/SS 500.8 1.06
$1-$2 51 Xavier Edwards 2B/SS 583.4 1.05
$1-$2 52 Ceddanne Rafaela 2B/OF 590.3 1.05
$1-$2 53 Jonathan India 2B/3B/OF 575.0 1.04
$1-$2 54 Caleb Durbin 2B/3B 532.6 1.04
$1-$2 55 Gavin Lux 2B/3B/OF 484.1 1.04
$1-$2 56 Matt McLain 2B 559.2 1.03
$1-$2 57 Leo De Vries SS 62.0 1.03
$1-$2 58 J.P. Crawford SS 592.9 1.02
$1-$2 59 Colt Emerson SS 271.0 1.02
$1-$2 60 Masyn Winn SS 588.6 1.01
$1-$2 61 Marcelo Mayer 2B/SS/3B 388.0 1.00
$1-$2 62 Sebastian Walcott SS 85.0 1.00
$1-$2 63 Jordan Lawlar 2B/SS/3B 382.8 0.99
$1-$2 64 Tommy Edman 2B/3B/OF 445.7 0.99
$1-$2 65 Kristian Campbell 1B/2B/OF 356.2 0.99
$0-$1 66 Jesús Made SS N/A N/A
$0-$1 67 Luis Peña 2B/SS N/A N/A
$0-$1 68 Ethan Holliday Util N/A N/A
$0-$1 69 George Lombard Jr. SS N/A N/A
$0-$1 70 Eli Willits Util N/A N/A
$0-$1 71 Travis Bazzana 2B 172.0 0.95
$0-$1 72 Franklin Arias SS N/A N/A
$0-$1 73 Aidan Miller SS 41.0 1.03
$0-$1 74 Bryce Rainer SS N/A N/A
$0-$1 75 Aiva Arquette SS N/A N/A
$0-$1 76 Angel Genao SS N/A N/A
$0-$1 77 JoJo Parker Util N/A N/A
$0-$1 78 Jett Williams 2B/SS/OF 75.7 1.05
$0-$1 79 Arjun Nimmala SS N/A N/A
$0-$1 80 Kaelen Culpepper SS N/A N/A
$0-$1 81 Edmundo Sosa 2B/SS/3B 270.9 1.11
$0-$1 82 Davis Schneider 2B/OF 370.7 1.05
$0-$1 83 Brooks Baldwin 2B/SS/3B/OF 368.5 1.04
$0-$1 84 Tyler Fitzgerald 2B 327.7 1.03
$0-$1 85 Jace Jung 2B/3B 392.0 1.03
$0-$1 86 Otto Lopez 2B/SS 550.7 1.02
$0-$1 87 Josh Smith 1B/SS/3B/OF 523.6 1.02
$0-$1 88 Casey Schmitt 1B/2B/3B 361.3 1.02
$0-$1 89 David Hamilton 2B/SS 266.6 1.01
$0-$1 90 Willi Castro 2B/3B/OF 534.7 1.01
$0-$1 91 Nick Gonzales 2B/SS 427.5 1.00
$0-$1 92 Weston Wilson 2B/OF 244.3 1.00
$0-$1 93 Edouard Julien 1B/2B 330.8 1.00
$0-$1 94 Adael Amador 2B 398.9 1.00
$0-$1 95 Lenyn Sosa 1B/2B 459.0 1.00
$0-$1 96 Zack Gelof 2B 394.2 0.99
$0-$1 97 José Caballero 2B/SS/3B/OF 372.7 0.99
$0-$1 98 Ernie Clement 1B/2B/SS/3B 536.1 0.99
$0-$1 99 Leo Jiménez 2B 219.6 0.99
$0-$1 100 Jeremiah Jackson SS/3B/OF 215.3 0.99
$0-$1 101 Nolan Gorman 2B/3B 392.4 0.98
$0-$1 102 Jared Triolo 1B/2B/SS/3B 446.4 0.96
$0-$1 103 Carson Williams SS 410.9 0.96
$0-$1 104 Anthony Volpe SS 545.8 0.95
$0-$1 105 Chase Meidroth 2B/SS 496.6 0.93
$0-$1 106 Andrés Giménez 2B/SS 489.8 0.93
$0-$1 107 Christian Moore 2B 378.5 0.93
$0-$1 108 Ronny Mauricio 2B/3B 214.1 0.93
$0-$1 109 Cole Young 2B/SS 344.5 0.89
$0-$1 110 Alex Freeland 2B/SS/3B 134.2 0.89
$0 111 Miguel Rojas 2B/SS/3B 296.6 1.02
$0 112 Dylan Moore 1B/2B/3B/OF 307.5 1.01
$0 113 Ramón Urías 2B/3B 324.9 1.01
$0 114 Brendan Rodgers 2B 327.1 0.99
$0 115 Amed Rosario 2B/3B 309.4 0.97
$0 116 José Tena 2B/3B 287.1 0.95
$0 117 Vaughn Grissom 2B/SS 373.8 0.95
$0 118 Blaze Alexander 2B/3B 376.5 0.94
$0 119 Hyeseong Kim 김혜성 2B/SS/OF 240.3 0.94
$0 120 Max Muncy 2B/SS/3B 325.1 0.94
$0 121 Andy Ibáñez 2B/3B 236.8 0.94
$0 122 Jon Berti 2B/3B 194.4 0.94
$0 123 Michael Massey 2B/OF 316.7 0.92
$0 124 Jose Iglesias 2B/SS/3B 255.9 0.91
$0 125 Joey Ortiz SS 474.9 0.91
$0 126 Nick Yorke 2B/OF 323.2 0.91
$0 127 Darell Hernaiz 2B/SS/3B 312.6 0.91
$0 128 Thairo Estrada 2B 313.0 0.91
$0 129 Brooks Lee 2B/SS/3B 448.5 0.90
$0 130 Paul DeJong 2B/SS/3B 301.0 0.90
$0 131 Luis Rengifo 2B/3B/OF 405.6 0.90
$0 132 Jorge Mateo 2B/SS/OF 192.3 0.90
$0 133 Leo Rivas 2B/SS 217.1 0.90
$0 134 Luis Urías 2B/3B 254.4 0.90
$0 135 Christian Koss 2B/3B 197.1 0.90
$0 136 Daniel Schneemann 2B/SS/3B/OF 307.6 0.89
$0 137 Nick Loftin 2B/3B/OF 225.3 0.89
$0 138 Curtis Mead 1B/2B/3B 250.3 0.89
$0 139 Mauricio Dubón 2B/SS/3B/OF 325.4 0.88
$0 140 Enrique Hernández 1B/2B/3B/OF/RP 291.1 0.88
$0 141 Thomas Saggese 2B/SS/3B 216.3 0.88
$0 142 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2B/SS/3B 359.5 0.88
$0 143 Kyle Farmer 1B/2B/SS/3B 237.4 0.87
$0 144 Nasim Nuñez 2B/SS 305.8 0.87
$0 145 Max Schuemann 2B/SS/3B/OF 271.1 0.87
$0 146 Ezequiel Duran 1B/2B/SS/3B/OF 259.0 0.87
$0 147 José Fermín 2B 63.6 0.86
$0 148 Chris Taylor 2B/OF 211.8 0.86
$0 149 Brayan Rocchio 2B/SS 390.3 0.86
$0 150 Gabriel Arias 2B/SS 361.6 0.86
$0 151 Adam Frazier 2B/OF 326.8 0.85
$0 152 Tim Tawa 1B/2B/OF 251.7 0.85
$0 153 Javier Báez 2B/SS/3B/OF 323.6 0.85
$0 154 Angel Martínez 2B/OF 337.0 0.85
$0 155 Michael Helman SS/OF 206.3 0.84
$0 156 Josh Rojas 2B/3B 273.4 0.84
$0 157 Orlando Arcia 1B/2B/SS/3B 321.0 0.82
$0 158 Taylor Walls SS 289.0 0.82
$0 159 Ildemaro Vargas 1B/2B/3B 194.9 0.81
$0 160 Luisangel Acuña 2B 132.6 0.81
$0 161 Trey Sweeney SS 261.7 0.80
$0 162 Santiago Espinal 2B/3B/OF 238.3 0.78
$0 163 Oswald Peraza 1B/2B/SS/3B 226.7 0.73

Chad Young’s MI Tiered Rankings for 4×4 Ottoneu

Kansas City Royals shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. (7) throws to first base for an out against the Athletics during the first inning at Sutter Health Park.
Credit: Dennis Lee-Imagn Images

As we move into the final weeks before the keeper deadline, it’s time to get our Ottoneu rankings out. Over the next three plus weeks, you’ll get regular rankings articles from me and from Jake Mailhot, as discussed in my rankings preview in December. I will post my 4×4 tiered rankings position-by-position, and follow up that day or the next with rankings for FanGraphs Points league. On the 4×4 articles, I’ll give some overall thoughts on the position, while in the FanGraphs Points articles, I’ll offer thoughts on how the position looks different for 5×5 and Head-to-Head leagues. Jake’s FanGraphs points rankings will come out the day after my 4×4 rankings. We’re starting with middle infield.

Read the rest of this entry »


Second Base 2026 Fantasy Rankings

Changelog

  • 1/2/2026 – First Release

Ranking Methodology

  • ADP is based on 30-day rolling NFBC Draft Champions Leagues.
  • $ Values are based on standard 5×5 12-team league using the FanGraphs Depth Charts and these Auction Calculator settings. They default to a player’s most valuable position, so if the first base list includes a catcher, it will show that player’s value at catcher.
  • ADP and $ Values are updated as of the last update date on this post.
  • 5-game eligibility was used for these lists to cast the widest net.

 

The Elite Tier

Clearly above the rest.
The Elite Tier
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 Ketel Marte ARI 2B 38 $18
2 Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY 2B/3B 23 $16

Ketel Marte has been the best second baseman over the past two seasons, and it hasn’t been particularly close either. Since the start of 2024, his 149 wRC+ is 29 points higher than the next second baseman. He leads all qualified players at the position in HRs, runs, RBI, and batting average in that time as well. 2025 also saw him post the best barrel rate (13.5%) and maxEV (119.6) of his career. He gets drafted after Jazz in nearly every room which doesn’t make a ton of sense to me

Jazz Chisholm Jr. had the most complete fantasy season of his career in 2025, reaching the 30-30 plateau for the first time in his career despite missing 32 games. Durability has been a bit of a question in his career, but he has played in 77% of possible games since the start of 2024. His strikeout rate will likely keep the batting average in the .240/.250 range, but you can live with that considering the categorical output and the positional versatility you get.

Not Quite Elite, But Still Foundational Assets

Fantastic options that should be targets for most managers
Not Quite Elite, But Still Foundational Assets
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
3 Brice Turang MIL 2B 65 $8
4 Nico Hoerner CHC 2B/SS 103 $9
5 Jose Altuve HOU 2B/OF 128 $10

Brice Turang made some excellent strides with his power output in 2025. He raised his barrel rate from 2.4% to 7.9%, and his hard hit rate went from 29.7% to 47.4%. Those are massive gains to make over the course of a single season, especially since Turang didn’t sacrifice any of his bat-to-ball skills and still achieved a .288 batting average. He represents a bit of a no-mans land after the first two names and before the next batch by ADP, and it’s justified in my eyes. He is very easily the #3 second baseman heading into 2026.

Nico Hoerner quietly had a fantastic 2025 season, something that didn’t seem guaranteed last offseason after he underwent shoulder surgery. At this point, we have an established baseline expectation of the production Hoerner brings: single-digit HRs with ~ 90 runs, 30 SBs, and a batting average that will be close to .300. He’s a great draft pick as long as you compensate for the lack of power you’ll be getting.

Jose Altuve has his doubters every year, and he always ends up producing anyway. Even at 35 years of age, he managed to hit 26 HRs while providing solid coverage across the other categories. He may not be the super elite target that he once was, but I’m not willing to count him out until we see the bottom really fall out from under, and we didn’t really get any string indications that he will be hitting that cliff in the immediate future. Now, we also get the added benefit of outfield eligibility.

Excellent Fall Back Options

If you miss out on the top two tiers, you should feel more than comfortable with these players starting for your squad
Excellent Fall Back Options
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
6 Maikel Garcia KCR 2B/3B/SS/OF 85 $15
7 Jordan Westburg BAL 2B/3B 136 $10
8 Ozzie Albies ATL 2B 176 $4
9 Jackson Holliday BAL 2B 146 $3

Maikel Garcia had the breakout season in 2025 that many were expecting a year earlier. He was a true five category asset and also cut down on his strikeout rate while improving his launch angle and barrel rate. Those playing on Yahoo or sites with lighter eligibility thresholds will get a goldmine utility player that they can stick just about anywhere in their lineup

Talent has never been the question when it comes to Jordan Westburg, it’s just been a matter of staying on the field. The positive news is that he did finish the season healthy and the Orioles’ lineup looks as good as it ever has in this era of Baltimore baseball. We are projecting him to hit 2nd in the O’s lineup and should that stick, he’ll find himself in a very opportune spot for run production.

Is this ranking of Ozzie Albies an indication that I believe he will bounce back, or is the position simply so bad that even a guy who was arguably droppable last year is entering the year as a Top 10 option? Well, yes on both fronts. We have seen several elite fantasy seasons from Ozzie Albies and I find it very hard to believe that all of the magic is just gone before he even turns 30. The Braves are positioned to be one of the better lineups in baseball (stop me if you’ve heard that one before) and Albies will be afforded the opportunity to play every single day. I’d personally be very surprised if we don’t see him turn things around in a big way in 2026.

I am expecting Jackson Holliday to take a big step forward in 2026 now that he’s had close to 900 plate appearances to get acclimated to big league pitching. He’s been mostly disappointing to this point but hasn’t really been overmatched by big league pitching either. He’s has an 8.3 BB% and 24.4 K% with relatively solid plate discipline metrics, especially considering he just turned 22 in early December. He’s expected to lead off for the Orioles, at least against RHPs, and we could see a monster season from Holiday if he is able to lift the ball just a bit more than what we’ve seen to this point.

The Question Marks

The players who have big questions surrounding their value entering the season, but all are very capable of returning Top 100 value if thinhs break right
The Question Marks
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
10 Ceddanne Rafaela BOS 2B/OF 133 $7
11 Brandon Lowe PIT 2B 194 $1
12 Luke Keaschall MIN 2B 149 $3
13 Matt McLain CIN 2B/SS 223 $2
14 Jorge Polanco NYM 2B/3B 240 $4
15 Xavier Edwards MIA 2B/SS 173 $3
16 Marcus Semien NYM 2B 247 $1

Ceddanne Rafaela fits more into the “accumulator” category as opposed to someone who will give you elite per-game production. He is arguably the best defensive center fielder in all of baseball so playing time will never be in jeopardy. However, he has an exceptionally high chase rate and SwStr%, which have been big reasons why his OBP has never exceeded .295. He’ll probably provide something close to a 20-20 season, just be prepared for it to come with a .240 batting average and potentially underwhelming counting stats.

What will Brandon Lowe look like in Pittsburgh? Well, I think fairly similar to what we’ve seen in Tampa. The initial instinct will be to think that Lowe is getting a park upgrade considering that the Rays are going back to Tropicana Field, but PNC park isn’t all that great for left-handed power hitters either. Over the past three years, PNC park ranks 25th in HR factor for LHH, and it was actually dead last in 2025, coming in more than 30% worse than league average. At the end of the day, Lowe is powerful enough to mostly compensate for that, but he may end up losing a few dingers. We also have to worry about his durability, as he’s never played 150 games in a season and the closest he came was 149 way back in 2021.

Many are exciting at the prospect of drafting Luke Keaschall, but I think he may be a bit overpriced in early draft rooms. While I think he can hit for a strong batting average and likely provide ~25 SBs, I worry about the power potential and what his counting stats will look like in a rebuilding Twins’ lineup. He had just a 5.2% barrel rate and 31.2% hard hit rate as a rookie. Combined with his 46% ground ball rate, that translated to just four homers in 49 games. He’s a better target for OBP and point league players than he is for standard categories and roto formats.

2025 was a horrific season for Matt McLain that saw him lose time as the Reds’ everyday second baseman. He still managed 15 HRs and 18 SBs, but it came with just 50 RBI and a .220 batting average over nearly 600 plate appearances. His hard hit metrics plummeted throughout the course of the season and he finished with a 77 wRC+. I still mostly believe in his talent, especially while hitting in that park, but we may have to adjust our expectations down a bit from what we thought he could achieve following his incredible rookie year in 2023. He may be able to reach those heights again, but it would be wiser to expect something in the 20-20 neighborhood and he pleasantly surprised if he is able to surpass that.

Jorge Polanco was terrific in 2025, especially considering he was hitting in one of the worst parks in the league. Across 138 games, he hit 26 HRs with a .265 average and a 132 wRC+. Now he’ll be in New York hitting right behind Juan Soto and should thrive in a better ballpark and RBI spot. He is one of the more mis-priced players on the board in early drafts, he should be going at least 75 picks earlier on average.

Xavier Edwards did just about exactly what we thought he would in 2025. A very marginal power output that was accompanied by 27 steals and a .283 batting average, and that is about what we should expect again. He’s a phenomenal contact hitter and could compete for the batting title in a given year. In a lot of ways, he’s a poor man’s Nico Hoerner. You can expect relatively similar production from Edwards with a lower floor in most categories, but if you miss out on Hoerner and want to shore up your speed/BA categories, Edwards is a solid option in what has become a very interesting offence in Miami.

I’m very intrugued by Marcus Semien as a New York Met. It’s very likely that he will be sandwiched between Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto in that lineup, which would provide Semien with a massive opportunity to provide runs and RBI. While he did miss some time in 2025, Semien has built his career around being a guy who plays 162. Even if he can’t quite play every game in 2026, I can easily see a world where he suits up 150 times, and even with a degrading skillset, ~150 games in that lineup spot could mean he comes close to 100 runs and RBI. He’s priced as a bench piece who could very easily become a cornerstone of your lineup.

Mediocre/Middle Infield targets

The guys who you won’t be terribly excited to draft, but will likely return a small profit by the end of the year
Mediocre/Middle Infield targets
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
17 Gleyber Torres DET 2B 243 $2
18 Bryson Stott PHI 2B 186 $4
19 Luis García Jr. WAS 2B 235 $2
20 Tommy Edman LAD 2B/3B/OF 294 $1
21 Brett Baty NYM 2B/3B 250 -$7
22 Brendan Donovan STL 1B/2B/3B/OF 284 $1
24 Lenyn Sosa CWS 1B/2B 286 -$18

Gleyber Torres is back in Detroit following a very solid first year with the team in 2025. However, it was a tale of two season for Gleyber. He slashed .281/.387/.425 in the first half with a 131 wRC+. In the second half, he slashed .223/.320/.339 with an 88 wRC+. This will probably keep people away and is likely why his ADP has been around 250 all draft season, but I’m not overly concerned about the splits. Torres is still only 29 and he represents a very high floor at a terrible position. He’s a solid fall back option as a starter in deeper leagues, a very good MI candidate, and could function as a bench asset in shallower leagues

While there has been some fluctuation in his year-to-year output, we have a pretty solid baseline when it comes to Bryson Stott. He plays nearly every day in a solid lineup and is a great speed threat if you went power-heavy early in your draft. He goes around pick 200 in most drafts, which is more than reasonable considering what he’s done to this point in his career. It’s also about the lowest he’s gone since he became a household fantasy name in 2023.

Luis Garcia Jr. wasn’t quite what we were hoping for in 2025, but it was necessarily a bad campaign either. He went 16-14 while providing decent counting stats and a .252 batting average, but it does look like he is capable of more than that. He showcased a career high 9% barrel rate and 46% hard hit rate and also cut down on the ground balls for the third consecutive season. He’s a nice option for those looking to punt the position in deeper formats and go bargain bin hunting, as I’d still feel comfortable with him as my starting 2B in a 15 team league.

Playing for the Dodgers can be a huge boon to your fantasy value, and that’s why Tommy Edman comes in as high as he does on this list. In just 97 games, he managed 49 runs and 49 RBI, even with a career worst 81 wRC+. Edman is still just 30 and I’d expect him to start stealing again now that the ankle issues are in the rearview mirror. The upside here is a Top 7-10 option at the position if he is able to stay healthy. That’s a big if with Edman, but he’s priced to buy with an ADP beyond 300.

Brett Baty was surprisingly really good in 2025, but it mostly flew under the radar. He hit 18 HRs with a .254 average and a 111 wRC+, and really thrived in the second half with an .829 OPS and 135 wRC+. He’ll likely enter 2026 as the Mets’ everyday third baseman and will be given the opportunity to play everyday. With an ADP in the 260s and qualifying at two of the worst positions in fantasy, he’s looking like a great late pick

While his 2026 hone is still undetermined with trade rumors flying all around, Brendan Donovan should be counted on as a solid asset wherever he lands. Across four seasons and nearly 500 major league games, Donovan has a 119 wRC+ with a .282/.361/.411 slash line. For fantasy purposes, he’s a great option to throw in when you know he’ll be facing a lot of RHPs, but he is a bit limited overall considering the lack of power and speed. He’s a great batting average asset and you could get away with starting him in your MI spot, but I’d prefer if he wasn’t in the starting 2B spot if possible due to the lack of categorical juice.

The Boring Tier

These players all have their uses but aren’t particularly exciting and likely won’t be mainstays in your starting lineup all season.
The Boring Tier
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
23 José Caballero TB 2B/3B/SS 224 -$14
25 Otto Lopez MIA 2B/3B/SS 221 $4
26 Ernie Clement TOR 1B/2B/3B/SS 298 $6
27 Colt Keith DET 2B 310 -$9
28 Luis Arraez SDP 1B/2B 290 $3

We’re Throwing Darts, Folks

The point of a draft where you are simply throwing darts and hoping for the best
We’re Throwing Darts, Folks
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
29 Kody Clemens MIN 1B/2B/OF 369 -$21
30 Chase Meidroth CWS 2B/SS 340 -$1
31 Christian Moore LAA 2B 414 -$13
32 Brooks Lee MIN 2B/3B/SS 317 $1
33 Kristian Campbell BOS 2B/OF 423 -$35
34 Jonathan India KCR 2B 393 -$11
35 Jake Cronenworth SDP 1B/2B/SS 411 -$5
36 Willi Castro MIN 2B/3B/SS/OF 395 -$6
37 Thairo Estrada COL 2B/SS 690 -$22
38 Andrés Giménez TOR 2B 308 $2
39 Gavin Lux CIN 2B 594 -$17
40 Javier Báez DET 2B/3B/SS/OF 471 -$21
41 Jeff McNeil NYM 2B/OF 417 -$4
42 Hyesong Kim LAD 2B/SS/OF 448 -$16
43 Luis Rengifo LAA 2B/3B/SS/OF 425 -$14
44 Brayan Rocchio CLE 2B/SS 421 -$7
45 Zack Gelof ATH 2B 492 -$37
46 Nick Gonzales PIT 2B/SS 487 -$13
47 Gabriel Arias CLE 2B/3B/SS 478 -$13
48 Nolan Gorman STL 1B/2B/3B 490 -$13
49 Adael Amador COL 2B 470 -$16

Full Rankings Without Tiers

No tiers. Just the rankings.
Full Rankings Without Tiers
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 Ketel Marte ARI 2B 38 $18
2 Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY 2B/3B 23 $16
3 Brice Turang MIL 2B 65 $8
4 Nico Hoerner CHC 2B/SS 103 $9
5 Jose Altuve HOU 2B/OF 128 $10
6 Maikel Garcia KCR 2B/3B/SS/OF 85 $15
7 Jordan Westburg BAL 2B/3B 136 $10
8 Ozzie Albies ATL 2B 176 $4
9 Jackson Holliday BAL 2B 146 $3
10 Ceddanne Rafaela BOS 2B/OF 133 $7
11 Brandon Lowe PIT 2B 194 $1
12 Luke Keaschall MIN 2B 149 $3
13 Matt McLain CIN 2B/SS 223 $2
14 Jorge Polanco NYM 2B/3B 240 $4
15 Xavier Edwards MIA 2B/SS 173 $3
16 Marcus Semien NYM 2B 247 $1
17 Gleyber Torres DET 2B 243 $2
18 Bryson Stott PHI 2B 186 $4
19 Luis García Jr. WAS 2B 235 $2
20 Tommy Edman LAD 2B/3B/OF 294 $1
21 Brett Baty NYM 2B/3B 250 -$7
22 Brendan Donovan STL 1B/2B/3B/OF 284 $1
23 José Caballero TB 2B/3B/SS 224 -$14
24 Lenyn Sosa CWS 1B/2B 286 -$18
25 Otto Lopez MIA 2B/3B/SS 221 $4
26 Ernie Clement TOR 1B/2B/3B/SS 298 $6
27 Colt Keith DET 2B 310 -$9
28 Luis Arraez SDP 1B/2B 290 $3
29 Kody Clemens MIN 1B/2B/OF 369 -$21
30 Chase Meidroth CWS 2B/SS 340 -$1
31 Christian Moore LAA 2B 414 -$13
32 Brooks Lee MIN 2B/3B/SS 317 $1
33 Kristian Campbell BOS 2B/OF 423 -$35
34 Jonathan India KCR 2B 393 -$11
35 Jake Cronenworth SDP 1B/2B/SS 411 -$5
36 Willi Castro MIN 2B/3B/SS/OF 395 -$6
37 Thairo Estrada COL 2B/SS 690 -$22
38 Andrés Giménez TOR 2B 308 $2
39 Gavin Lux CIN 2B 594 -$17
40 Javier Báez DET 2B/3B/SS/OF 471 -$21
41 Jeff McNeil NYM 2B/OF 417 -$4
42 Hyesong Kim LAD 2B/SS/OF 448 -$16
43 Luis Rengifo LAA 2B/3B/SS/OF 425 -$14
44 Brayan Rocchio CLE 2B/SS 421 -$7
45 Zack Gelof ATH 2B 492 -$37
46 Nick Gonzales PIT 2B/SS 487 -$13
47 Gabriel Arias CLE 2B/3B/SS 478 -$13
48 Nolan Gorman STL 1B/2B/3B 490 -$13
49 Adael Amador COL 2B 470 -$16

Midseason 3B Rank Assessment

Jul 19, 2025; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Arizona Diamondbacks third base Eugenio Suárez (28) reacts after hitting a solo home run against the St. Louis Cardinals in the third inning at Chase Field.
Credit: Rick Scuteri-Imagn Images

José Ramírez is the only third baseman so far in 2025 to post positive value in each traditional roto category. That’s incredible, and it’s the reason J-Ram is in the mix as the best third baseman in the league every single season. Manny Machado isn’t a base-stealer, but he’s returned positive value in every other category. Junior Caminero, Rafael Devers, Eugenio Suárez, and Isaac Paredes are the third basemen with three positive value categories:

Third Basemen With Highest Positive Category Value Count
Name mAVG mRBI mR mSB mHR Current Dollar Value Positive Category Count
José Ramírez $5.03 $0.45 $1.98 $12.87 $2.50 $37.35 5
Manny Machado $4.66 $2.61 $3.20 -$0.26 $1.78 $26.49 4
Junior Caminero -$3.45 $4.04 $2.39 -$2.13 $6.11 $21.47 3
Rafael Devers -$2.92 $6.91 $2.39 -$4.63 $1.78 $18.03 3
Eugenio Suárez -$3.77 $10.50 $3.60 -$4.63 $11.90 $32.10 3
Isaac Paredes -$2.34 $0.10 $0.77 -$5.26 $3.22 $11.00 3
According to the FanGraphs Auction Calculator

Each of these players had a great first half and has probably made the fantasy managers’ rostering them have great first halves as well. Swap Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in for Isaac Paredes, and you’re looking at the top six third basemen at the half. Which of these, if any, surprises you? In this article, I compare my third base preseason rank predictions with mid-year actuals.

NOTE: data reflects games played through Sunday, July 20th.

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Paul Sporer’s Updated 2025 Starting Pitcher Rankings

Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

I posted a preview of this in today’s SP Chart, but even that Top 75 has since changed so please use this as the reference going forward. Please feel free to post your questions & comments below, I’ll be in there responding all weekend. These aren’t meant o be ironclad through the rest of the season, any rankings update is a 4-6 week outlook for me so I’m not yet concerned about potential workload shutdowns and things of that nature. Additionally, this ranking specifically might have more of a 1-3 week shelf life with the Trade Deadline looming so I will run another update shortly after that if there are substantive changes across the league. I say “if” just because the deadline could be a dud if too many teams think they’re in it and no one really sells, but I don’t expect that as there should be enough true sellers already identified to facilitate some real movement.

Injured guys aren’t ranked outside a couple who are close to returning if I recall correctly. You can ask about someone, but if they’re not due back in the next week or two, I won’t really have much insight as it’ll be dependent on their health & return. There may be a few 6th-starter types ranked here as opposed to making sure I got 5 guys per team in the Top 150 as we don’t really need every Rockie on the list.

Without further ado:

Zebby & Sheehan added Saturday AM (7/19)

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