MASH Report (7/3/14) – HURT and PAIN Reports
• I wrote about the currently state of Tommy John surgeries at The Hardball Times on Monday and Tuesday.
The key points for fantasy owners are ..
… no velocity increase after surgery…
Tommy John surgery doesn’t help a pitcher increase velocity. While there was a small increase from Season 1 to Season 3 in our sample, it would not be worth it for a pitcher to miss at a minimum one season to see a 0.1 mph bump that they then will immediately lose. Probably most of the increase is from a decline in production before the injury knocked them out of action, as well as the time spent rehabbing.