Holy cow, a ton of starters seem to be in demand. I’ll try to sort the decent ones from the useless glob.
In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters. Read the rest of this entry »
Below you’ll find a roundup of notable moves and roster notes from the past day, as well as future expected moves and a Minor League Report, which includes a list of recent major league debuts and top prospect promotions. For this column, any lineup regulars, starting pitchers, or late-inning relievers are considered “notable,” meaning that middle relievers, long relievers, and bench players are excluded. You can always find a full list of updated transactions here.
Lineup Regulars
Atlanta Braves
•C Sean Murphy (strained oblique) will be placed on 10-Day IL.
Murphy injured himself on a swing in the 7th inning of Friday’s game against the Phillies. He’s never been on the Injured List in his 4+ seasons in the majors. Chadwick Tromp will be promoted to take his spot on the roster. Travis d’Arnaud will be the primary catcher until Murphy returns.
• I watched this game because Patrick Sandoval was one of the few Opening Day starters who might end up on the waiver wire this season. Most teams were throwing early-round aces. It was a mixed bag for him. On the good side, his fastball velocity was up a tick from 93.1 mph to 94.2 mph. Also, his change-up was on producing a 24% SwStr%.
There was plenty of bad with him allowing 5 R (three earned) in 1.2 IP. The defense behind him, especially Anthony Rendon, was atrocious. The main problem was that he could not throw strikes (40% Zone%, 40% Ball%, 11% equiv BB%).
I’d monitor him to see if the start was a one-off and he finds the strike zone or he’ll struggle to find it again this season. Read the rest of this entry »
The chart includes their last season performance until we get some actual data for this year, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from last year (and then I’ll add the last 30 days outlook next month), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them (well, no notes for this first weekend since we’re mostly just going off the preseason analysis, but I will answer as many comments as I can). Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
OK, I swear these will regularly come out the day before but I absolutely fell asleep early again last night! I’ve been burning the candle at both ends this week, so I just crashed. Again, these first few days are pretty easy decisions, but I know that y’all need these the day before to pick up guys on most sites.
Below you’ll find a roundup of notable moves and roster notes from the past day, as well as future expected moves and a Minor League Report, which includes a list of recent major league debuts and top prospect promotions. For this column, any lineup regulars, starting pitchers, or late-inning relievers are considered “notable,” meaning that middle relievers, long relievers, and bench players are excluded. You can always find a full list of updated transactions here.
Lineup Regulars
Colorado Rockies Elehuris Montero started at DH and batted 8th vs RHP.
While Michael Toglia earned the final roster spot over Sean Bouchard, it wasn’t clear how the at-bats would be divided between Montero, Toglia, and Jake Cave. Facing Diamondbacks’ ace Zac Gallen on Opening Day, it was Montero (0-for-3) who got the start while Kris Bryant played 1B and Charlie Blackmon played RF. I’d still expect some sort of committee between Montero, Toglia, and Cave until one of them can separate themselves.
The chart includes their last season performance until we get some actual data for this year, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from last year (and then I’ll add the last 30 days outlook next month), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them (well, no notes for this first weekend since we’re mostly just going off the preseason analysis, but I will answer as many comments as I can). Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
This will come out the night before most days. I had a late night draft last night and just couldn’t stay up to finish it afterwards. But it’s Opening Day so most of the decisions are pretty easy!
Here’s a quick primer on how I determine what is a team’s “Go-To Projected Lineup”.
During the offseason, I look at stats, 1-yr/3-yr/career splits, trends, usage, potential platoon partners, quotes from a manager or GM, etc. and come up with my best guess for a team’s Opening Day lineup. Once the games begin, the adjustments made will mostly be based on trends with the aforementioned factors playing a bigger part immediately after a roster change is announced and before we see an actual lineup that gives us the best indication of what they’ll do moving forward.
Our goal is to build a new RosterResource feature that will show regularly updated lineup projections versus RHP and LHP. It will include current stats (vs RHP/LHP), previous 3-year stats (vs RHP/LHP), and ZIPS projections (vs RHP/LHP) and will have tabs for each team. But the timetable is still to be determined. Until then, this page will be the temporary home. Bookmark if you plan on visiting often.
