Archive for Featured

Roto Riteup: August 22, 2018

Nothing Wong with this throw.

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Using Game Scores to Identify Inconsistent Pitchers

The term “consistency” is thrown around a lot in fantasy sports, though it lacks a set definition and is often just a nebulous idea rife with recency bias. A few memorable meltdowns? Horribly inconsistent and can’t be trusted! Can’t recall any truly awful starts? So consistent! My impetus for diving into this was a self-check on someone I’ve deemed rather inconsistent this year, Nick Pivetta. Was I just remembering the week-ruining disasters he dropped on my H2H team or is he truly a volatile arm?

I’m looking at starts with a Game Score of 40 or lower as the threshold for inconsistency. The baseline is 50 and there is no way to truly salvage a 40 GS outing. Jon Gray had one with 10 Ks, which is the closest thing to a salvaged 40, but the 6 earned runs and 11 base runners in five and a third all but canceled out the whiffs.

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Roto Riteup: August 21, 2018

If slow-pitch softball has taught me anything, a hit is a hit.

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NL Lineup Analysis

Braves

Brewers

  • Travis Shaw is sitting against lefties with Hernan Perez slotting in. This season, Shaw is posting a .565 OPS against lefties and .890 against righties.
  • Jonathan Schoop has really struggled (.163/.180/.204) since being traded to the Brewers. While he started regularly right after the trade, Orlando Arcia is cutting into his playing time.
  • One outfield slot switches between Eric Thames and Ryan Braun with Thames always sitting against lefties.

Cardinals

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 590 – Ohtani Throws a Pen

8/20/18

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

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Notable Transactions/Rumors/Articles

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Roto Riteup: August 20, 2018

Starting my diet this week, so I had to binge a bit this weekend:

 

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 591 – Broken Ace Fireside Chat

8/19/18

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

Yes, 589 was the last pod posted, but 590 is the Justin & Jason pod that will go live Monday AM! 

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Sunday Evening FAAB & Waiver Wire Chat

7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: I’ll go ahead and get this week’s chat started.

7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are the FAAB bids from Tout Wars 15-team leagues

7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: Auction

7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: TWard: 56
ROrtega: 49
DBote: 33
KGlover: 28
AGomber: 19
JJunis: 17
TAustin: 12
YSanchez: 8
LForsythe: 7
RMcMahon: 6
WMiley: 4
RYarbrough: 4
TBlach: 4
TWilliams: 3
KPlawecki: 3
SGonsalves: 2
BreAnderson: 1
MMoore: 0
HNeris: 0

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Draft

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: TWard: 45
NWalker: 24
MWieters: 24
LForsythe: 16
ELongoria: 15
ADeSclafani: 14
JLucchesi: 10
BBrach: 7
TBlach: 1
RMcMahon: 0

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Week 22 Mixed-League FAAB Estimates

For the past month, I’ve been struggling to estimate the NFBC Main Event FAAB bids with my estimates coming in on the high side. I thought dormant owners or the trade deadline could have been behind the low estimates. After still being about three times too high last week, I dove in and redid my prediction formulas with hopefully better results.

For reference, here were some of the estimates and bids from last week.

The values were so far off, they needed a correction. After testing several methods, I came up with improved results. The biggest change was a larger weekly factor dragging down estimated bids as the season progresses.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 589 – Unexpected Second Half Standouts

8/17/18

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

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