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Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – June 11th, 2025

Ended a little early because I have an appointment to get to, but thanks for coming out and the transcript is now available! Also, I’m working on a new SP ranking and the goal is to get that out ahead of next week’s chat and then we can go an hour-plus discussing it on Wednesday the 18th!

1:02

Paul Sporer: Hey y’all, thanks for coming out. Slightly shorter chat today (~40 mins) as I have an appt. I need to get to so let’s roll!!

1:02

Matt: In Ottoneu H2H, you dropping Logan Allen로건 for Yarborough?

1:02

Paul Sporer: Ya I’m good w/that

1:04

Adenolith: Standard H2H league. Good on HRs, middle of the pack on R, RBIs, SB, and last in AVG. Can pick up J. Lowe or CES. What’s your preference?

1:05

Why not Zoidberg: Royce or CES in a standard league?

1:08

Paul Sporer: Interesting debates here w/CES. I think I lean against him in both cases, though, preferring Lowe and Royce. Lowe bc Adenolith is good in CES’s best category and Lowe can be more of a multi-cat piece when he’s rolling and I just think Royce is do for some strong regression back to the mean. Plate skills are excellent, power metrics are in line w/history, and so that leads me to believe the .213 BABIP is the major culprit here. As that regresses toward his career .281 mark (or better), stats will come flowing in — IF he stays healthy, of course

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The Minor League Reset: Did It Work?

May 25, 2025; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Texas Rangers first baseman Jake Burger (21) hits a two-run home run against the Chicago White Sox during the second inning at Rate Field.
Credit: Kamil Krzaczynski-Imagn Images

There are all kinds of reasons big leaguers get demoted to the minor leagues: roster crunches, injury rehab, and, of course, poor performance. Even for a weekly internet blogging fantasy baseball player, all these transactions are difficult to follow. Yet, many expert fantasy players follow them like a hawk follows a mouse running in an open field, and it gives them an edge. If there were a tool that could detect demotions, great performance during the demotion, and improved performance at the major league-level, we’d all have more time to do what we really care about: watch more baseball!

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Position Player Playing Time Changes: June 11, 2025

Matt Marton-Imagn Images

Here are the latest significant changes in projected position player playing time, highlighted by Kyle Teel getting the call to the majors.

Remaining PT% Changes, 6/3 to 6/10
Name Team Positions Old PT New PT PT Change Reason
Dominic Smith SFG 1B 15% 52% 37% Brought in to replace Wade as starting 1B
Kyle Teel CHW C 25% 60% 35% Welcome to The Show!
Braxton Fulford COL C 3% 28% 25% Replaced Stallings as backup C
Max Muncy ATH 3B 10% 29% 19% Has been starting 1B lately
Austin Wynns ATH C 4% 21% 17% Went from third C with Reds to backup with A’s
Christian Encarnacion-Strand CIN 1B, 3B, DH 41% 58% 17% Back from IL and mashing
Tim Elko CHW 1B, DH 26% 43% 17% Back in MLB and heating up
Nick Gonzales PIT 2B, SS 59% 74% 15% Off IL as starting 2B
Ezequiel Tovar COL SS 93% 77% -16% Oblique strain
Ryan Mountcastle BAL 1B, DH 63% 44% -19% Hamstring strain
Jhonkensy Noel CLE RF, DH, 1B 33% 13% -20% Finally optioned to minors
Shea Langeliers ATH C, DH 79% 59% -20% Oblique strain
Korey Lee CHW C 35% 5% -30% Optioned to minors

Starting Pitcher Chart – June 11th, 2025

Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.

I’ve made some edits after changes on Wednesday morning. I didn’t remake the board, so that’s why Woo & Ray are 3-x guys listed out of order. 

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Roto Riteup: June 10, 2025

Play of the year?

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Starting Pitcher Chart – June 10th, 2025

Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.

Getting this one done from the airport… I’ll be home later this morning so the SP Chart should be back to normal the rest of the week!

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Justin Mason’s Baseball Chat – June 9, 2025

Here is today’s chat transcript:

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Starting Pitcher Chart – June 9th, 2025

Credit: Bill Streicher-Imagn Images

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.

Getting this one done from the airport… I’ll be home later this morning so the SP Chart should be back to normal the rest of the week!

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Roto Riteup: June 9, 2025

If you don’t succeed at first, try, try again.

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Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:29
Jeff Zimmerman: Welcome.

7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are the winning bids in the two 15-team Tout Wars leagues.

7:30
Jeff Zimmerman:

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Enjoying a solid pour of Russell’s 10 after a long week.

7:31
Bryan: Kurtz or CES ROS?

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: CES

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