Justin Mason’s Baseball Chat – August 18, 2025
Here is today’s chat transcript:
Read the rest of this entry »
Here is today’s chat transcript:
Read the rest of this entry »

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.
| 7:30 |
: Welcome
|
| 7:30 |
: Here are the winning bids in the two 15-team Tout Wars leagues.
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| 7:31 |
:
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| 7:31 |
: yoendrys gomez looked great against detroit. he’s lined up for a two step. thoughts on him?
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| 7:33 |
: I’m not going to start him for the two-step, but I don’t mind adding him in case it goes great.
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| 7:33 |
: Is Ranger Suarez SEA/@WAS worth the start in a 12 team roto league if I could just sub in Weaver or Vest in his place? I have needs for Ws most but don’t want more ratio damage either.
|

Erik Williams-Imagn Images
In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now, while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference, grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters. Read the rest of this entry »

Kiyoshi Mio-Imagn Images
Angels
• Bryce Teodosio (.357/.379/.500 and 3 SB in 30 PA) started in 10 of 11 games.
• Christian Moore has only one start in the last five games.
Astros
• Ramón Urías started in four of the last five games at second base. With Houston, Urias is batting .320/.370/.520 with 1 HR.
Athletics
• Colby Thomas (vs LHP) and Lawrence Butler (vs RHP) are in a centerfield platoon.
Blue Jays
• Ty France started in nine of 12 games since being acquired.
• Andrés Giménez started in both games against righties and sat against a lefty.
Guardians
• Angel Martínez started only three times in the last six games.
Mariners
• No changes.
Orioles
• While batting either fourth or fifth, Ryan Mountcastle started six straight games since coming off the IL.
• The current outfield contains Dylan Carlson, Daniel Johnson, Ryan Noda, Jeremiah Jackson, and Greg Allen. Even the Royals are laughing at that sad ass group.
Rangers
• Jake Burger and Rowdy Tellez split time at first base.
Rays
• Ha-Seong Kim 김하성 (.209/.303/.343, 5 SB) with 11 starts in the last 13 games.
• Catcher Hunter Feduccia (.433 OPS) started in seven of 11 games since being promoted.
Red Sox
• Romy Gonzalez and Abraham Toro are splitting time at first base. It’s not true platoon.
Royals
• Against righties, Mike Yastrzemski leads off.
• Adam Frazier with 13 starts in the last 15 games.
• Nick Loftin and John Rave split time in left field.
Tigers
• Trey Sweeney started four times in the last five games since his promotion.
Twins
• Lots of bodies, but Byron Buxton might be the only fantasy-relevant bat. The only other possible option is Luke Keaschall (155 OPS+, batting in the middle of the lineup).
White Sox
• Colson Montgomery now bats third.
• Curtis Mead (.645 OPS) with eight straight starts.
Yankees
• Ben Rice with eight straight starts.
• Paul Goldschmidt (.629 OPS over the last month) with only five starts in the last 10 games.
Braves
• Marcell Ozuna started in eight of the last nine games.
• Nacho Alvarez Jr. (.570 OPS) with nine third base starts in the last 11 games.
Brewers
• Anthony Seigler (vs RHP) and Caleb Durbin (vs LHP) are in a third base platoon.
• Isaac Collins now bats second.
Cardinals
• Thomas Saggese (.260 AVG, 1 HR, 1 SB in 135 PA) with six straight starts.
Cubs
• Willi Castro with only one start in the last five games.
Diamondbacks
• Steady and here are how the new starters are performing:
Name: OPS
Blaze Alexander: .821
Tyler Locklear: .579
Adrian Del Castillo: .596
Dodgers
• Since being promoted, Alex Freeland (.510 OPS) started in 11 of 13 games.
• Alex Call (.729 OPS) with three starts in the last four games. Call seems to be taking over Michael Conforto’s (.627 OPS) left field job.
Giants
• Drew Gilbert with five starts in the last six games (.118 OPS).
• Casey Schmitt (.737 OPS) with 13 starts in the last 14 games. He hit second and third in the last two games.
Marlins
• Quite a few timeshares are going on
• Heriberto Hernández with five straight starts and 7 HR in 156 PA.
• Jakob Marsee sat against two of the three lefty starters since being promoted.
Mets
• Mark Vientos (.641 OPS) has NOT started in the last four games with Brett Baty (.712 OPS) starting instead.
Nationals
• Paul DeJong with seven starts in the last nine games.
• Daylen Lile (.259/.305/.389, 2 HR, 5 SB) with 17 starts in the last 19 games.
Padres
• Gavin Sheets started in just two of the last 10 games.
• Freddy Fermin (.355/.394/.484 with SD) with seven starts at catcher in the last 10 games.
Phillies
• The outfield is a mess. In a shallow league, I’m not sure if any of them are rosterable, including Nick Castellanos (.178/.204/.289).
• Otto Kemp and Edmundo Sosa are splitting time at third base.
Pirates
• Jared Triolo (.179/.271/.274, 3 HR, 5 SB in 205 PA) with 12 starts in 13 games.
Reds
• Too many healthy regulars with Austin Hays, Gavin Lux, and Matt McLain taking playing time hits.
• Miguel Andujar (.370/.469/.778, 3 HR in 32 PA with the Reds) started six straight games, five as the cleanup hitter, including two games against lefties.
Rockies
• Catcher-qualified Braxton Fulford (.222/.239/.333) started in seven of the last 10 games.

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.
I’ll try to get y’all as many weekend boards as I can down the stretch!

It’s stretch run time, and contenders are continuing to reevaluate who can best help them win now — even involving some players who teams thought might be more win-later than win-now, like Nolan McLean. Here’s what’s changed in the past week.
| Name | Team | Old PT | New PT | PT Change | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan McLean | NYM | 5% | 13% | 8% | Making first MLB start Saturday |
| Victor Mederos | LAA | 1% | 8% | 7% | Taking Kochanowicz’s rotation spot |
| Landen Roupp | SFG | 9% | 16% | 7% | Back from IL on Friday |
| Chris Sale | ATL | 5% | 12% | 7% | Began rehab assignment |
| Yoendrys Gómez | CHW | 1% | 7% | 6% | Took Cannon’s rotation spot |
| Chase Dollander | COL | 10% | 16% | 6% | Back from AAA |
| Joey Estes | ATH | 3% | 8% | 5% | Could take SP5 spot, though Morales is also an option |
| Javier Assad | CHC | 2% | 7% | 5% | Back from IL |
| Ryan Bergert | KCR | 9% | 14% | 5% | Sticking in rotation with Lorenzen back |
| Chase Burns | CIN | 9% | 4% | -5% | Grade 1 flexor strain |
| Logan Henderson | MIL | 6% | 1% | -5% | Elbow inflammation |
| Carson Whisenhunt | SFG | 13% | 7% | -6% | Sent to AAA |
| Michael King | SDP | 17% | 11% | -6% | Knee inflammation |
| Shane McClanahan | TBR | 7% | 0% | -7% | Season-ending nerve surgery |
| Anthony DeSclafani | ARI | 16% | 7% | -9% | Thumb inflammation |
| Jack Kochanowicz | LAA | 15% | 6% | -9% | Sent to AAA |
| Frankie Montas | NYM | 12% | 3% | -9% | Moved to bullpen |
| Zach Eflin | BAL | 11% | 0% | -11% | Season-ending back surgery |
| Bailey Falter | KCR | 16% | 5% | -11% | Moved to bullpen |
| Jonathan Cannon | CHW | 17% | 5% | -12% | Sent to AAA |
| Colton Gordon | HOU | 14% | 2% | -12% | Sent to AAA |
| Carlos Carrasco | ATL | 13% | 0% | -13% | DFA’d |
| Luis Severino | ATH | 19% | 6% | -13% | Strained oblique |
| Name | Team | % Chg in Proj. RP IP | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luinder Avila | KCR | 333% | Recalled from AAA |
| Bailey Horn | DET | 320% | Recalled from AAA |
| Bailey Falter | KCR | 243% | Pitching out of bullpen |
| Logan Evans | SEA | 242% | Bryce Miller nearing return |
| Tylor Megill | NYM | 175% | Bullpen is a possibility when he returns |
| Juan Morillo | ARI | 125% | Has moved up the depth chart |
| Colton Gordon | HOU | 117% | Bullpen is the likeliest place for him if he returns from AAA |
| Robert Gasser | MIL | 113% | Bullpen is the likeliest place for him if he returns this year |
| Hayden Harris | ATL | 100% | Dominating AAA |
| Bobby Miller | LAD | 88% | Pitching well since move to bullpen in AAA |
| Michael Kopech | RP | 71% | Nearing return from IL |
| Cam Booser | RP | 50% | Back from AAA |
| Cristian Javier | RP | -39% | Should stick in rotation |
| Hunter Harvey | RP | -44% | Strained groin |
| Brock Stewart | RP | -45% | Shoulder inflammation |
| Quinn Priester | RP | -46% | Will stick in rotation, surely |
| Josh Hader | RP | -62% | Shoulder strain |
| Zack Littell | RP | -100% | Will stick in rotation |
| Félix Bautista | RP | -100% | Season-ending shoulder injury |

Raymond Carlin III-Imagn Images
While the NFBC Main Event garners most of the attention, there are a handful of leagues with even larger entry fees ($2.5K to $15K). They are named “High Stakes Leagues,” and there are eleven of them. With so much money on the line, these fantasy managers try to gain any advantage. Most of the time, these managers will be a week or two ahead of everyone else on their adds. Here are the players and some information on the ones added in five or more leagues.
Kyle Karros (11): The further I got into my FAAB last Sunday, the more I started liking the 23-year-old third baseman. Here are his Steamer600 comps.

If given full-time plate appearances, all the players listed can be 15-team contributors.
Karros’s main trait is putting the ball in play and should post a decent batting average with the possibility of double-digit stolen bases and home runs over a full season. The home runs could even increase if he were to keep the ball off the ground (47% GB%).
C.J. Kayfus (8): Eight starts in 10 games since being promoted, while being a solid hitter (.258/.303/.452, 1 HR, 1 SB). He is struggling to make contact (30% K%), especially with normal four-seam fastballs (16% SwStr%). Of the 555 batters who have seen 25 or more four-seamers this season, it’s the 41st highest value.
JJ Bleday (8): A .588 BABIP since his last callup makes him seem like he’s on fire (.444/.483/.741). The problem is that he started in just six of the last 10 games. He is a 20 HR hitter, while not stealing bases and dragging down a team’s batting average.
Blaze Alexander (7): Playing (14 straight starts), hitting (.264/.362/.462, 4 HR 2 SB in 91 PA), and has seven games this week with four in Colorado.
Romy Gonzalez (6): I was a little surprised to see Gonzalez on the list of adds with no lefties on the schedule. So far this week, he started against two righties, going three for eight (all singles). To be fantasy relevant, he needs to be on the field.
Brooks Baldwin (6): Baldwin is off the IL and playing (10 starts in 11 games). While not hitting for batting average (.222), he does have 7 HR and 4 SB. He makes a nice injury replacement since he’s qualified at outfield, second, third, and short.
Mike Yastrzemski (5): Strong-side platoon bat who faces five righties this week. So far with the Royals, he’s batting .188/.300/.469 with 2 HR.
Gabriel Arias (5): Back to starting with the Guardians (13 straight starts). While a .236 AVG (32% K%) is a bit of a drain, he does have 9 HR and 4 SB in 342 PA. Additionally, he’s qualified at three positions (2B, SS, 3B).
Darell Hernaiz (5): Starting while Jacob Wilson is on the IL (possibly returning next week). While struggling with a .190 BABIP, he does have 2 HR and 1 SB in 56 PA. He’s not overmatched with a 7% K% (5% SwStr%). He might be trading weak contact (52% GB%, 34% HardHit%) for the contact.
Victor Robles (5): Robles is on his way back from the IL (shoulder). My worry with Robles is that he might end up on the short side of a platoon with Dominic Canzone.
Name: Career OPS vs LHP, vs RHP
Robles: .722, .675
Canzone: .495, .732
Additionally, Canzone has been solid with a 125 wRC+ while Robles sported a 76 wRC+ before going on the IL.
Curtis Mead (5): The #9 hitter for the White Sox. With a career 81 wRC+. Who might reach double-digit steals and home runs in a full season? What does he do?
Cade Cavalli (11): Every part of his profile (8.7 K/9, 53% GB%, 3.86 ERA, 3.93 xFIP) looks great except the walks (3.9 BB/9). The walks have him with a 1.50 WHIP, which is doing as much ratio damage in a roto league as a 5.52 ERA. His 38% Ball% is the equivalent of a 4.0 BB/9. He’s always had issues with walks with a 4.4 BB/9 throughout the minors.
Cavalli is a fine addition in point leagues or for teams that don’t care about their WHIP.
Luis Gil (10): Like Cavalli, Gil struggles with walks (career 4.8 BB/9), and there are no signs of them improving this year (5.2 BB/9, 38% Ball% for equiv 4.0 B/9). If Gil hadn’t run a .237 BABIP last season, he’s likely not on anyone’s radar. In the second half, when he posted just a .262 BABIP, he had an unremarkable 1.42 WHIP and 4.20 ERA. In two starts this year, it’s a 7.27 ERA (4.63 xFIP) and 1.85 WHIP.
Additionally, his results could even get worse if his home runs regress upward. Normally, pitchers with a 35% GB% (career) have a 1.4 HR/9, not the 1.1 HR/9 that Gil has posted.
Hurston Waldrep (10): Finally, a pitcher I can get behind. The 1.54 ERA won’t last (0.0 HR/9, .226 BABIP, 80% LOB%), but so far he looks to be a high-3.00 ERA talent.
He’s got two amazing pitches. A splitter with a 27% SwStr% (STUPH models are off the charts) and a sinker with an 11% SwStr% and 50% GB%.
Shane Smith (6): Without a cupcake schedule, I was surprised to see the Shane Smith love. He’s been fine this year with a 4.01 ERA (4.41 xFIP), 1.28 WHIP, and 8.7 K/9. But just 3 Wins in 21 starts. There are worse options.
Troy Melton (6): Speculation came out late during the weekend that Melton might return to the rotation and start on Wednesday. He did start going 5 IP with 0 ER and 6 K. The only question now is if he’ll stay in the rotation or go back to the bullpen. As a starter this season, he posted a 3.18 ERA (3.04 xFIP), 9.5 K/9, and 0.88 WHIP.
Jason Alexander (6): While a solid starter (2.83 ERA, 4.15 xFIP, 1.19 WHIP, 6.9 K/9), he could be losing his rotation spot with Luis Garcia and Cristian Javier coming off the IL.
Brandon Walter (5): On the IL with an elbow injury. He was great in his nine starts (3.35 ERA, 3.09 xFIP, 0.93 WHIP, and 8.7 K/9)
Justin Topa (7): While Topa isn’t the most talented reliever (3.50 ERA to 3.75 ERA talent), every sign points to him being the Twins closer.
Riley O’Brien (7): The 30-year-old righty was added in the hope JoJo Romero can’t hold the closer’s job. The deal is, Romero and O’Brien have posted similar stats this season.
Name: ERA, xFIP, K%
O’Brien: 1.69, 3.68, 23%
Romero: 2.36, 3.96, 23%
David Bednar (5): Was a good closer, then became a good setup man, and now he’s a good closer again.
| Name | Leagues Added | Max Winning Bid | Min Winning Bid |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cavalli | 11 | 55 | 3 |
| Kyle Karros | 11 | 25 | 1 |
| Luis Gil | 10 | 205 | 38 |
| Hurston Waldrep | 10 | 36 | 2 |
| CJ Kayfus | 8 | 64 | 2 |
| JJ Bleday | 8 | 12 | 1 |
| Blaze Alexander | 7 | 29 | 5 |
| Justin Topa | 7 | 23 | 3 |
| Riley O’Brien | 7 | 17 | 1 |
| Shane Smith | 6 | 18 | 1 |
| Romy Gonzalez | 6 | 14 | 1 |
| Brooks Baldwin | 6 | 14 | 3 |
| Troy Melton | 6 | 7 | 1 |
| Jason Alexander | 6 | 5 | 2 |
| David Bednar | 5 | 145 | 38 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 5 | 35 | 1 |
| Brandon Walter | 5 | 13 | 1 |
| Gabriel Arias | 5 | 11 | 1 |
| Darell Hernaiz | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| Victor Robles | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| Curtis Mead | 5 | 4 | 1 |
| Chris Sale | 4 | 140 | 47 |
| Jordan Walker | 4 | 95 | 1 |
| Phil Maton | 4 | 44 | 16 |
| J.T. Ginn | 4 | 31 | 3 |
| Nick Martinez | 4 | 29 | 3 |
| Miguel Andujar | 4 | 16 | 1 |
| Elvis Alvarado | 4 | 14 | 1 |
| Tylor Megill | 4 | 13 | 1 |
| Tanner Scott | 4 | 12 | 2 |
| Kai-Wei Teng | 4 | 2 | 1 |

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.