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Throwing Heat Week 6

Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports

The season has begun and we are back with Throwing Heat! For those who didn’t read these articles last season, this is a weekly article that focuses on pitchers who are pitching well. When we are further into the season it will be based on a pitcher’s previous three starts but for now, it will just be their most recent starts.

The beauty of this article is how it highlights all types of pitchers from the best in the league to pitchers who are barely rostered. If someone is on a hot streak they will be in this article. I will also tell you if the hot streak is legit or if it appears to be a façade. I hope you enjoy it!

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Yasmani Grandal Will Be Alright

Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

If you drafted Yasmani Grandal based on Steamer’s 2022 pre-season projections, you were likely preparing to play in an OBP league. Grandal was projected to finish the season with the tenth best (tied with Max Muncy) OBP at .373. The 2021 league average OBP was .317. If you were to now head over to our 2022 leaderboards, you would see Grandal is holding a disappointing .279. But, narrow down that leaderboard to only viewing qualified catchers. The first thing that you may notice is that there are only seven catchers on the list and that Grandal is one of them.

You’ll also notice that Grandal’s .279 OBP is third from the bottom, yet his 12.2% BB% ranks first (high), his 18.4% K% ranks second, and his 7.6% SwStr% (low) ranks first. He’s walking and he isn’t striking out. That marks off two of the three true outcomes. Homeruns, being the third true outcome, have not come more than twice for Grandal, and that coupled with a .210 BABIP and a .180 AVG have probably made those rostering Grandal feel a little uneasy. But, if those same fantasy managers are believers in regresión a la media, then they are sitting pretty.

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Roto Riteup: May 24, 2022

You know it is summer when the kids start playing in the sprinklers.

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Big Kid Adds (5/23/22)

While the NFBC Main Event garners most of the attention, there are a handful of leagues with even a larger entry fee ($2.5K to $15K). They get originally named “High Stakes Leagues” and this year there are nine of them. With so much money on the line, these fantasy managers are going to try to gain any advantage. Most of the time, these managers will be a week or two ahead of everyone else on their adds. Here are the players and some information on the ones added in five or more of these leagues.

Nolan Gorman (9): Gorman’s talent has been covered by every possible outlet and managers rostering him should not be a surprise. The one item I’m watching is how pitchers attack him. With the 34% K% in AAA, he had to have some huge holes in his swing. He’s only seen 44 pitches so far, a quarter of them have been changeups (18% SwStr% on changeups; 9% overall). One possible explanation is that he can’t hit lefties. He sat against one on Saturday. In AAA, he had a .655 OPS vs lefties and a 1.254 OPS versus righties. It worked out to a 41% K% against the lefties and 31% against righties. The strikeout danger zone is about 30%, though, so even his mark against righties isn’t exactly good. Also note that minor leaguers can’t be picked up in the NFBC until they appear in the majors unless they were drafted and subsequently cut so even these high stakes leagues go through the standard rookie frenzy we see in the Main Event when someone big is called up.

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Boxscore Bits: May 23rd, 2022

Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports

A few thoughts on the pitchers from the weekend’s games:

FOR STARTERS

Weekend’s Starters
# Name Team IP H R ER HR BB SO TBF ERA WHIP W vFA (pi) vSI (pi) SwStr%
1 Sandy Alcantara MIA 9 6 3 0 0 2 7 35 0.00 0.89 1 97.4 96.8 19%
2 Martín Pérez TEX 9 8 0 0 0 1 5 32 0.00 1.00 1 92.4 92.6 11%
3 Michael Kopech CHW 7 1 0 0 0 2 6 24 0.00 0.43 1 97.1 16%
4 Taijuan Walker NYM 7 5 0 0 0 2 6 27 0.00 1.00 1 93.5 92.2 11%
5 Luis Severino NYY 7 8 0 0 0 0 5 30 0.00 1.14 0 96.1 15%
6 Eric Lauer MIL 7 5 0 0 0 0 5 26 0.00 0.71 1 93 4%
7 Joe Musgrove SDP 7 4 0 0 0 3 4 27 0.00 1.00 1 93.7 93.4 6%
8 Brady Singer KCR 7 4 0 0 0 3 3 26 0.00 1.00 0 93.9 7%
9 Aaron Civale CLE 6.1 3 1 0 0 1 3 23 0.00 0.63 1 92.1 92.7 8%
10 Justin Verlander HOU 6 6 0 0 0 0 8 24 0.00 1.00 1 95 16%
11 Michael Lorenzen LAA 6 3 0 0 0 2 5 23 0.00 0.83 1 95 93.9 10%
12 Johnny Cueto CHW 6 6 0 0 0 2 5 25 0.00 1.33 0 92.5 92.1 6%
13 Hyun Jin Ryu 류현진 TOR 6 6 0 0 0 0 3 23 0.00 1.00 1 89.3 89.6 8%
14 Jeffrey Springs TBR 5.2 1 0 0 0 4 7 21 0.00 0.88 1 91.8 18%
15 Justin Steele CHC 5 1 0 0 0 2 9 18 0.00 0.60 0 92.4 92.3 12%
16 Kyle Wright ATL 5 2 0 0 0 3 6 19 0.00 1.00 1 96.8 95.7 10%
17 Julio Urías LAD 5 2 0 0 0 0 5 17 0.00 0.40 1 91.8 10%
18 Tarik Skubal DET 5 4 0 0 0 0 5 17 0.00 0.80 0 94.9 95.9 8%
19 Jalen Beeks TBR 2 1 0 0 0 1 1 7 0.00 1.00 0 94.9 11%
20 Frankie Montas OAK 1.2 1 0 0 0 0 2 6 0.00 0.60 0 96.7 96 17%
21 Steven Matz STL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0 0%
22 Alek Manoah TOR 8 7 1 1 0 0 4 29 1.13 0.88 1 94 92.4 15%
23 Patrick Sandoval LAA 7.1 4 1 1 0 1 7 27 1.23 0.68 1 92.7 93.3 8%
24 Jameson Taillon NYY 7 5 1 1 0 1 7 27 1.29 0.86 0 94.2 93.6 10%
25 Adam Wainwright STL 7 4 1 1 1 3 3 26 1.29 1.00 1 88.9 88.6 5%
26 José Urquidy HOU 6.2 6 1 1 1 1 10 27 1.35 1.05 1 94.3 20%
27 Cristian Javier HOU 6 3 1 1 1 1 9 21 1.50 0.67 0 93.1 18%
28 Tony Gonsolin LAD 6 3 1 1 1 1 7 20 1.50 0.67 0 93.4 16%
29 MacKenzie Gore SDP 6 3 1 1 0 2 6 22 1.50 0.83 1 96.3 12%
30 Hunter Greene CIN 6 4 1 1 1 2 6 25 1.50 1.00 0 99.7 12%
31 Brandon Woodruff MIL 6 5 1 1 1 0 6 22 1.50 0.83 1 95.8 95.4 9%
32 Joe Ryan MIN 5.2 5 1 1 0 2 6 24 1.59 1.24 1 92 10%
33 Carlos Carrasco NYM 5.1 7 1 1 0 0 4 24 1.69 1.31 1 93.4 92.3 15%
34 Devin Smeltzer MIN 5.1 5 1 1 0 1 0 20 1.69 1.13 1 88.9 7%
35 Elieser Hernandez MIA 5 3 1 1 1 1 5 18 1.80 0.80 0 91.8 92.3 13%
36 Bailey Ober MIN 5 3 1 1 0 1 4 18 1.80 0.80 0 92.8 15%
37 Zach Thompson PIT 5 5 1 1 0 1 2 20 1.80 1.20 0 92.7 92.4 8%
38 Zach Eflin PHI 7 4 2 2 2 2 12 27 2.57 0.86 0 92.9 93.4 18%
39 Shane Bieber CLE 7 6 3 2 0 2 10 28 2.57 1.14 0 90.9 23%
40 Austin Gomber COL 7 7 2 2 0 0 2 26 2.57 1.00 0 91.4 6%
41 Nathan Eovaldi BOS 6.2 4 2 2 1 1 11 25 2.70 0.75 0 96.4 17%
42 Carlos Rodón SFG 6 5 2 2 1 4 6 27 3.00 1.50 0 96.7 13%
43 Luis Castillo CIN 6 7 2 2 0 0 5 25 3.00 1.17 0 96.1 96 6%
44 Cole Irvin OAK 6 8 3 2 1 2 4 28 3.00 1.67 0 91.6 90.3 12%
45 Jon Gray TEX 6 6 2 2 0 2 4 25 3.00 1.33 0 95.9 12%
46 Erick Fedde WSN 5.2 4 2 2 1 3 4 24 3.18 1.24 0 92.5 5%
47 Alex Faedo DET 5.1 6 2 2 1 2 2 22 3.38 1.50 1 92.5 6%
48 Aaron Sanchez WSN 5 7 2 2 1 2 1 21 3.60 1.80 1 91.8 91.3 8%
49 Logan Gilbert SEA 7 5 3 3 2 2 4 28 3.86 1.00 0 96.4 14%
50 Paul Blackburn OAK 4.2 6 2 2 0 2 5 22 3.86 1.71 0 91.7 92.5 12%
51 Michael Wacha BOS 4.2 4 2 2 1 3 3 20 3.86 1.50 0 93.2 93 11%
52 Yusei Kikuchi TOR 4.1 2 2 2 0 3 7 19 4.15 1.15 0 94.2 11%
53 Graham Ashcraft CIN 4.1 4 2 2 0 2 3 21 4.15 1.38 0 97.1 96.9 4%
54 Wade Miley CHC 6 6 3 3 0 2 3 25 4.50 1.33 0 89.4 88.8 6%
55 Jose Quintana PIT 3.2 7 5 2 0 1 4 20 4.91 2.18 0 90.9 91.7 16%
56 Humberto Castellanos ARI 5.1 5 3 3 2 1 5 22 5.06 1.13 1 90.9 91.1 11%
57 Charlie Morton ATL 5.1 7 3 3 1 1 5 24 5.06 1.50 1 95.1 94.3 10%
58 Madison Bumgarner ARI 7 5 4 4 2 0 7 26 5.14 0.71 0 91 10%
59 Brad Keller KCR 7 5 4 4 0 3 4 28 5.14 1.14 0 93.2 92.3 4%
60 Nestor Cortes NYY 5 6 3 3 1 0 7 22 5.40 1.20 1 90.9 10%
61 Merrill Kelly 켈리 ARI 5 5 3 3 0 3 2 23 5.40 1.60 0 91.9 90.8 2%
62 Tyler Wells BAL 4.2 2 3 3 1 2 4 18 5.79 0.86 0 92.9 10%
63 Robbie Ray SEA 6 5 4 4 1 2 8 25 6.00 1.17 0 94.1 20%
64 Germán Márquez COL 6 11 5 4 1 1 7 30 6.00 2.00 0 95.5 95.1 13%
65 Ian Anderson ATL 6 7 4 4 0 2 6 27 6.00 1.50 0 93.1 12%
66 Sean Manaea SDP 6 5 4 4 2 2 5 25 6.00 1.17 0 91.9 17%
67 Jakob Junis SFG 6 7 4 4 1 0 2 24 6.00 1.17 0 91.2 7%
68 Corey Kluber TBR 3 5 2 2 0 2 2 17 6.00 2.33 0 90 88.9 11%
69 Ty Blach COL 3 6 2 2 0 1 0 15 6.00 2.33 0 90.2 2%
70 Chase Silseth LAA 4.1 6 3 3 2 2 6 23 6.23 1.85 0 96.2 94.6 14%
71 Aaron Nola PHI 5.1 5 4 4 2 1 9 22 6.75 1.13 0 93.2 92.7 14%
72 Matthew Liberatore STL 4.2 7 4 4 1 2 3 22 7.71 1.93 0 93.2 92.8 5%
73 Taylor Hearn TEX 4.2 6 4 4 1 2 2 22 7.71 1.71 0 94.4 94.1 9%
74 Kyle Bradish BAL 5.1 5 5 5 2 2 5 22 8.44 1.31 0 11%
75 Patrick Corbin WSN 5 8 5 5 2 1 3 25 9.00 1.80 0 91.3 92.3 11%
76 Trevor Williams NYM 4 3 4 4 2 0 2 16 9.00 0.75 0 90.8 88.9 2%
77 Ranger Suárez PHI 3 5 3 3 0 2 5 15 9.00 2.33 0 93.6 92.9 12%
78 Daniel Lynch KCR 3.2 5 4 4 0 2 2 20 9.82 1.91 0 93.7 6%
79 Trevor Rogers MIA 4 8 5 5 3 2 5 22 11.25 2.50 0 93.8 10%
80 Chris Flexen 플렉센 SEA 4 8 5 5 2 3 2 22 11.25 2.75 0 91.8 9%
81 Mitch White LAD 2.1 3 3 3 1 1 2 11 11.57 1.71 0 94.2 4%
82 Kyle Hendricks CHC 5 8 7 7 4 2 3 24 12.60 2.00 0 87 86.5 10%
83 Dallas Keuchel CHW 4 6 6 6 1 3 0 21 13.50 2.25 0 87.1 5%
84 Alex Wood SFG 3 8 5 5 0 2 4 19 15.00 3.33 0 91.7 8%
85 Garrett Whitlock BOS 3 10 5 5 0 0 3 19 15.00 3.33 0 95.1 6%
86 Freddy Peralta MIL 3 6 5 5 0 1 2 17 15.00 2.33 0 92.1 10%
87 Spenser Watkins BAL 0 3 3 3 0 0 0 3 27.00 3.00 0 91.2 15%
88 Bryse Wilson PIT 1.2 6 7 7 0 2 2 13 37.80 4.80 0 93 92.9 13%
Sorted by ERA

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Roto Riteup: May 23, 2022

Prospect Alert!!!

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Bullpen Report: May 23, 2022

The 2022 version of Bullpen Report includes five different sections, as well as the closer chart, which can be found at the bottom of the page.

We will always include a link to the full Closer Depth Chart at the bottom of the Bullpen Report each day. It’s also accessible from the RosterResource drop-down menu and from any RosterResource page. Please let us know what you think.

  1. Notable Workloads: Primary closers or valuable members of a closer committee who have been deemed unavailable or likely unavailable for the current day due to recent workload.
  2. Injury News
  3. Outlier Saves: Explanation for a non-closer earning a save during the previous day.
  4. Committee Clarity: Notes on a closer committee that clarify a pitcher’s standing in the group.
  5. Losing A Grip: Struggling closers who could be on the hot seat.

The “RosterResource” link will take you to the corresponding team’s RosterResource depth chart, which will give you a better picture of the full bullpen and results of the previous six days (pitch count, save, hold, win, loss, blown save).

Click HERE to view the full Closer Depth Chart.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1055 – Rays Corner and Sunday FAAB ft. Eric Samulski

5/22/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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Waiver Wire Report (Week 7)

A few interesting starters to pair with a couple of rookie promotions. Not a ton going on.

In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters. Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1054 – Buy Low or No Go: Pitchers

5/21/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

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