For a Starter to Beat His ERA Estimators …
The “ability” of a pitcher to consistently beat his ERA estimators will always be a discussion top. Today, I’m going to put context on who has suppressed their ERA for two straight seasons and how they performed in the third season. I’ve been trying to see if I have missed anything while digging into under and overperforming starts and found that I might have missed the obvious, the starter’s team.
Before getting to the team context, here are the baseline chances for starting pitchers to consistently beat certain ERA benchmarks. Read the rest of this entry »




