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Roto Riteup: April 15, 2025

Fly like an eagle!

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Starting Pitcher Chart – April 15th, 2025

Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their performance for 2025 (I changed over from 2024 #s on April 15th — a little earlier than last yr), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this changed as of April 14th which is still a pretty small sample, but we can start attacking some cold lineups or be more careful with those performing well so far), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – April 14th, 2025

Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images

Daily SP Chart archive

Welcome back to the Daily SP Chart! I figure the first weekend was pretty straightforward which is why I didn’t fire it up on Thursday. Now that we’re in the swing of things, it’s time to get it going again.

The chart includes their performance for 2024 until we get some actual data for this year (I changed over in late-April last year and will do the same this year), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 14th which is still a pretty small sample, but we can start attacking some cold lineups or being careful with those performing well so far), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

The 2-Start chart is a Monday feature ranking the expected 2-start pitchers. I added the 2025 data to this board despite most guys still being around 3 starts. I’ll make the switch on the Daily SP Chart soon, too. I am a bit riskier early in the season when it comes to 2-start guys. It does put a bit more pressure on the ratios if you eat too many blowups, but we’ve got 5+ months to work on it and ratios can move a lot all year long. Plus, it’s not like I’m just frivolously starting any 2-start arm, just that I’ll take on some tougher starts at one end of the 2-step to get the potential gem against one of the worst teams in the league.

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Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Welcome everyone

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are the results from the two 15-team Tout Wars mixed leagues.

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman:

7:32
Matchingrhino: 12 team daily pts who would you prioritize ROS Mets megill, dollander, Easton Lucas?

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: Megill

7:32
Mike: Gausman dropped in our 12 team league (prior to his gem earlier this week). Mirage or make a big bid? Have $75 FAAB left.  Would drop a MR like Erceg (holds don’t count). Thanks as always!

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FAAB & Waiver Wire Report (Week 3)

In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters. Read the rest of this entry »


Lineup Analysis (4/12/25)

Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images

American League

Angels

Tim Anderson started in the last five games while batting ninth. Read the rest of this entry »


Pitcher Playing Time Changes: April 11, 2025

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Here are the latest pitcher playing time changes since last Friday, when I first took a look at playing time changes for the regular season.

SP % of Team GS Changes Since April 4
Pitcher Team Old % of Team’s Remaining Starts New % of Team’s Remaining Starts PT Change Reason
Kyle Gibson BAL 12% 15% +3% Already pitching in minors, should be up soon
Osvaldo Bido ATH 10% 13% +3% Strong start, stronger hold on SP spot
J.T. Ginn ATH 8% 11% +3% Likely Estes replacement
Justin Steele CHC 18% 15% -3% IL’d with elbow tendonitis
Nestor Cortes MIL 13% 10% -3% IL’d with flexor strain
Spencer Arrighetti HOU 16% 12% -4% IL’d with fractured thumb
Blake Snell LAD 18% 14% -4% IL’d with shoulder inflammation
Joey Estes ATH 12% 7% -5% Got hit around, demoted
Reynaldo López ATL 11% 3% -8% Shoulder cleanup, August return seems like best-case scenario

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Starting Pitcher Chart – April 11th, 2025

Kim Klement Neitzel-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

Welcome back to the Daily SP Chart! I figure the first weekend was pretty straightforward which is why I didn’t fire it up on Thursday. Now that we’re in the swing of things, it’s time to get it going again.

The chart includes their performance for 2024 until we get some actual data for this year (I changed over in late-April last year), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from last year (not a perfect solution as teams change in the offseason, but better than using just a few days of data from this year), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Mining the News (4/10/25)

Bill Streicher-Imagn Images

Note: I read a ton of articles and there was little useful information. During the season, little non-game information becomes public. I’m going to focus on the format I used last week where I examine playing time situations, new starters, and still dive into some useful news. I’ll see how it goes for a few weeks.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – April 10th, 2025

© Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images

Daily SP Chart archive

Welcome back to the Daily SP Chart! I figure the first weekend was pretty straightforward which is why I didn’t fire it up on Thursday. Now that we’re in the swing of things, it’s time to get it going again.

The chart includes their performance for 2024 until we get some actual data for this year (I changed over in late-April last year), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from last year (not a perfect solution as teams change in the offseason, but better than using just a few days of data from this year), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Read the rest of this entry »