Archive for FAAB

Who is Being Dropped and Why (Week 5)

A ton of hitters fell into the range of drops I examine. I’m not 100% sure why. Maybe the managers don’t feel they don’t need the extra hitters to cover for entire teams not playing.

For this analysis, I use the NFBC Main Event because of the number of identical leagues. Additionally, the managers stay engaged longer since each spent over $1000 per team. I tried to find that sweet spot between obvious and bizarre and will focus on players dropped in six to nine leagues.
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Waiver Wire Targets: Week 4

Fewer obvious adds are available this week. It seems like the good players with regular playing time are finally all getting rostered. While some rookies (Bohm, Garcia, and Carlson) just got promoted, I like some of the available veterans more. Also, the closer situations have calmed down.

As usual, I’m going to at least cover the players in demand using CBS’s (40% or less initial ownership) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered by my preference grouped by starters, relievers and hitters.
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Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:29
Jeff Zimmerman: Here the bids from the two 15-team Tout Wars leagues.

7:29
Jeff Zimmerman: Auction

7:29
Jeff Zimmerman: RMontero: $314
FValdez: $217
CEdwards: $166
KDavis: $136
EHernandez: $128
TButtrey: $128
TAlexander: $92
DMoore: $82
MKemp: $75
KBubic: $72
MStassi: $71
BTaylor: $67
AGimenez: $62
JLester: $52
EGonzalez: $44
JCronenworth: $44
MFord: $44
AWojciechowski: $42
LGarcia: $36
JSoria: $33
MCastro: $33
ZGodley: $30
DCease: $30
AVoth: $28
KAllard: $27
BBielak: $27
JArrieta: $23
TWilliams: $22
JBrubaker: $18
BKeller: $18
FCervelli: $12
TMilone: $11
HRenfroe: $6
ADickerson: $3
JStaumont: $3
CTromp: $2
JWendle: $1

7:29
Jeff Zimmerman: Draft

7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: RMontero: $500
RWick: $254
TMilone: $191
MTauchman: $152
DMoore: $114
ASenzatela: $93
JChoi: $78
MKemp: $57
CEdwards: $57
ACobb: $56
AGimenez: $55
JBruce: $50
DPomeranz: $46
SRomo: $33
BBielak: $21
BGamel: $16
TAlexander: $7
HRobles: $6
ARomine: $3
MStassi: $2
JCronenworth: $2
LWebb: $1
BPhillips: $0
CEstevez: $0
RGrossman: $0
ADuvall: $0
RHelsley: $0

7:30
Guest: All things being equal, Yaz or Aguilar?

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Waiver Wire Targets: Week 3

I don’t know how helpful today’s rankings will be. Many feel like moves that should have happened a week ago. Almost all of them will be off next week’s list (> 40% owned). Maybe with all the roster moves last week, a player or two wasn’t added.

As usual, I’m going to at least cover the players in demand using CBS’s (40% or less initial ownership) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered by my preference grouped by starters, relievers and hitters.
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Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: As usual, waiver wire and FAAB questions will take priority.

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are the bids for the 15-team Tout Wars auction league:

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: CJavier: 257
JPCrawford: 153
TGott: 124
JJeffress: 123
JDiaz: 114
DPeterson: 88
JJones: 83
KFreeland: 80
TRosenthal: 77
CSulser: 75
MHarrison: 68
RRuiz: 65
BZimmer: 64
NHoerner: 64
NGoody: 59
DVarsho: 57
DSolano: 51
BBelt: 42
MGonzalez: 42
WFlores: 32
CEstevez: 32
JReddick: 30
AFrazier: 30
RWick: 27
MAdams: 22
ROHearn: 22
BAbreu: 16
KGausman: 13
DomSmith: 11
TToussaint: 11
JHernandez: 8
TFrazier: 7
DPoncedeleon: 7
ChGonzalez: 2
NWittgren: 1

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: And from the Tout Wars 15-team draft:

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: CJavier: 311
MHarrison: 247
TWalker: 222
JDiaz: 181
CMoran: 161
DPeterson: 104
JKarinchak: 96
TToussaint: 76
JJeffress: 73
CMize: 72
NGoody: 70
JFamilia: 61
TRosenthal: 57
CSulser: 57
BZimmer: 57
MFranco: 51
AMills: 48
DSolano: 47
BGoodwin: 42
ANola: 32
TWilliams: 31
KFreeland: 25
ELongoria: 9
DomSmith: 8
TButtrey: 6
TFrance: 5
JIglesias: 5
THeineman: 1

7:32
Slapshot: Are either Zack Britton or Sergio Romo a likely source of saves for the rest of the season?  My bullpen is hurting (Osuna DL, Diaz struggling, Kennedy stuck in limbo) and it needs a shakeup.

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What’s On Second? (8/10/20-8/16/20)

Sometimes you are all set for the week. That doesn’t mean you shouldn’t start thinking about the future. This article takes a look ahead for the following week to see if maybe there are things to consider or players to stash that may not have as much value right now. Don’t forget to check out the companion article to this one, Who’s On First?

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Who’s On First? (8/3/20-8/9/20)

This article is going to be a weekly planner/FAAB piece. It will come out each Sunday morning for those of you looking for ideas for that night’s pick-up. I encourage you to also read the What’s on Second article which has more players and things to consider for the not too distant future.

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Waiver Wire Targets: Week 1

Some FAAB results are in from last weekend and it seems like everyone has their wallets open. Fantasy managers should not be surprised to see some bids using up 50% of the budget, especially for an everyday difference-maker. There still might be one or two in each league, so expect to pay up for the obvious ones. The following players are in demand based on adds or players I’m targetting.

In the following article, I’m going to at least cover the players in demand using CBS’s (40% or less initial ownership) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered by my preference grouped by starters, relievers and hitters.
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Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: Hello everyone. The focus of this chat is to discuss FAAB and Waiver Wire adds. I answer those first and then go back to answer any others.

7:32
Guest: Can you rank these bench bat OFs for an OC:  Santander (on roster), K Calhoun, Piscotty, or Kyle Lewis.

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: This one is pretty tough. I like Santander with the Red Sox the first week and the Marlins in week2

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: then I’d go Lewis (upside), Calhoun, Piscotty

7:34
Ryan: Houser or Sandy A

7:34
Jeff Zimmerman: Neither right now.

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Dunning-Kreuger and the $1 Player

In my Tout Wars auction held just over a week ago, 72 players were rostered who cost just $1. While I rostered my standard four, one owner got 10 with two others at nine*. I wondered if there is a point that having too many $1 players on a team is a detriment.

First, a little background on the auction. Here is the plot of the auction bids compared to the actual 2019 results.

The 2019 production leader was at $47 (Razzball) and $43 (FanGraphs auction calculator). Six players went at or above the $47 mark and eight over $43. The idea of spending more early on is to grab some $2 to $8 guys in the end game for $1. In this auction, everyone was taking that approach. I used my standard “lesser stars and scrubs” approach.
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