Author Archive: Paul Sporer

Starting Pitcher Chart – July 31st

Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Recent Top 150 SP Rankings

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Monday, July 31st Starter Notes
RK PITCHER TM OPP 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB wOBA RK NOTE
1 Corbin Burnes MIL at WSN x x x 127.1 3.46 1.04 17% 18th Just 2 ER in his L3 starts (20 IP, 29 Ks)
2 Tyler Glasnow TBR at NYY x x x 61.2 3.36 1.12 27% 22nd Averaging over 6 IP/start in his 5 July outings: 2.30 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 30% K-BB
3 Nick Pivetta BOS at SEA x x x 81 4.11 1.17 19% 10th Really impressive v. ATL and could get a pair of bulk outings this wk
4 Andrew Abbott CIN at CHC x x x 61.2 1.90 0.96 20% 18th After that 6 ER dud at MIL, he’s reeled off an 0.90 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, 18% K-BB in his L20 IP
5 George Kirby SEA BOS x x x 123.2 3.49 1.08 20% 4th Sometimes ya get barreled up living in the zone like that, but he doesn’t leave the lineup
6 Alex Cobb SFG ARI x x x 106 2.97 1.35 16% 15th Has a 2.86 ERA in his L8 w/dodgeable bombs at CIN & at COL
7 Taijuan Walker PHI at MIA x x x 113 4.06 1.27 11% 24th Great matchup to stay hot
8 Chris Bassitt TOR BAL x x x 126.2 3.91 1.22 14% 27th The HRs (+.5 to 1.4 this yr) make him more volatile start-to-start, but he’s still hitting his marks w/those ratios
9 Marcus Stroman CHC CIN x x 125.2 3.51 1.20 12% 17th We knew the regression was coming on that .235 BABIP and it’s at .375 over his L6
10 J.P. France HOU CLE x x 84.2 2.87 1.22 10% 11th That 4.85 SIERA is staring us in the face and I get it w/the 10% K-BB, but I can’t get him out of the lineup right now
11 Ryne Nelson ARI at SFG x x 112.1 4.97 1.41 9% 29th Has a crazy home/road split where he loves being on the road: 2.67 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 14% K-BB
12 Charlie Morton ATL LAA x 113.1 3.57 1.42 14% 13th If you’re win-chasing, I get it, but otherwise he’s far from a must start here
13 Domingo Germán NYY TBR x 103.2 4.77 1.09 18% 23rd A minor power outage w/the TBR lineup makes this playable if you’re playing catch up
14 Kyle Gibson BAL at TOR x 127 4.68 1.32 12% 12th B2B QS but that usually just means a dud is lurking around the corner… you know the risks
15 Jake Irvin WSN MIL x 74.1 4.96 1.43 9% 19th I know Jirvin’s been swervin a bit lately for deep lgs (4.36 ERA, 1.25, 14% K-BB WHIP in 43 IP), but I’d be careful here
16 Edward Cabrera MIA PHI x 74 4.74 1.42 14% 20th Just can’t be trusted start-to-start so you’re always gambling, regardless of the matchup
17 Griffin Canning LAA at ATL 84.2 4.46 1.24 19% 3rd Great skills over his L7 (4.46 ERA/1.25 WHIP) w/a 25% K-BB; duds v. ARI & at LAD spoil the ERA
18 Seth Lugo SDP at COL 82 3.62 1.20 19% 21st We’re dodging the classic Coors bomb, it’s just not worth the risk
19 Noah Syndergaard CLE at HOU 55.1 7.16 1.45 12% 14th I’m rooting for him!
20 Austin Gomber COL SDP 108 5.83 1.44 9% 15th #NeverGomber… yeah, I saw the last game!
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

 


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1200 – Deadline Deals Begin!

7/28/23

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

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01:20:07

Starting Pitcher Chart – July 28th

Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – July 27th

Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

  • Update: Minutes after posting I saw that Lucas Giolito was traded to the Angels. This could spell trouble for my guy Silseth! Obviously he should still start tomorrow, but I’m a lottt less bullish on his fantasy prospects in the immediate future than I was just 10 minutes ago. If we’re being honest, it should be Tyler Anderson getting removed given his struggles this year. Well… maybe not. He has a 3.99 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, and 18% K-BB in his last 6 outings and of course he brings gifts and a various assortment of veteran presents. Enjoy the Detroit start with Silseth, but stay tuned to the news on whether or not he remains in the rotation afterwards.

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Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – July 26th, 2023

Transcript is below!

1:02

Paul Sporer: Hello everyone, thanks for coming out!

1:02

Guest: is Ty France hurt still/again? he’s barely been a 1 cat contributor (runs) in any format YTD

1:02

Paul Sporer: Yeah he’s been rough. Not sure he’s a must-hold anywhere right now

1:03

Paul Sporer: Sometimes guys play through injury and we don’t learn about it until the end of the year bc they don’t want to make excuses

1:03

Ben: H2H keepers – I know flags fly forever, but would you move three years of minimum priced elly (auction league – $3) for tatis, yordan and gausman? with the increased weekly variance of H2H i’m more hesitant than if it was a roto league.

1:04

Paul Sporer: If you don’t think the upgrades from who you have to Gaus & Yordan (we can call Tatis/Elly even-ish) then I’m OK passing, but it’s the right kind of offer to get someone like Elly

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Starting Pitcher Chart – July 26th

Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – July 25th

Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1199 – Surprising Hitter Rankings

7/24/23

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

3 UP, 3 DOWN

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01:01:22

Starting Pitcher Chart – July 24th

John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1197 – Kelenic v. The Cooler, Yordan Coming Back, and Some 2-Start Recos

7/21/23

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow us on Twitter

PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

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01:02:40