Author Archive

Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – February 25th, 2026

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February 25, 2026

Thanks for coming out!

1:03

Paul Sporer: Hello everyone, thanks for coming out!! A freshly updated SP rankings just dropped right in time: https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/starting-pitcher-2026-fantasy-rankings/
1:06

Jason: How are we feeling about Colt Keith this season?  Quality MI/CI in a 15-team OBP league?
1:06

Datt Mamon: In a vacuum, how would you view J. Duran for Sasaki?
1:07

Paul Sporer: Whoops, hit the button too fast. I’ll answer both, but is that Jhoan Duran v. Sasaki in a pitcher v. pitcher comp or Jarren?
1:11

Paul Sporer: As for Colt Keith, I’m in especially for OBP. He took a step forward last year and could take another this year even if it’s not a leap. There is still developing power and if he jumps to the 20-HR plateau, it’ll be a nice season. Great price, too
1:11

Nick: NL-only dynasty league, 10 teams, standard 5×5…

I have Edwin Diaz at $24, Mason Miller at $16 and Abner Uribe at $10… do I keep Uribe, toss him back, try and trade him? Unsure of how the Brewers pen situation unfolds between now and Opening Day

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1478 – 2026 Outfield Preview Pt. 4

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February 20, 2026

2/20/26

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PATREON

2026 OUTFIELD PREVIEW

Group 5

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1477 – 2026 Outfield Preview Pt. 3

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February 20, 2026

2/19/26

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PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

2026 OUTFIELD PREVIEW

Group 4

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Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – February 18th, 2026

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February 18, 2026

Thanks for coming out!!

1:05

Paul Sporer: Hey y’all, thanks for coming out! Just dropped my Re-Draft Prospect article and Top 200 Dynasty Prospect rankings (which are on The BOARD!) – https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/fantasy-update-2026-re-draft-and-dynasty… – Take a look when you get a shot!
1:06

Austin Wells’s middle finger: How does your approach in a draft-and-hold change when going from a 15-team to 12-team format?
1:08

Paul Sporer: Fitting username there as I think you can push a catcher a little more and not get crushed. There’s still a bottom of the barrel and just because it’s higher in 12s doesn’t mean you’re OK taking the last 2 Cs off the board, but I’m less inclined to push my stud C up whereas in 15s, I’ve never been shy about a premium C. You’re going to have richer benches so you can open up the risk profile a bit, but I still wouldn’t limit the prospects and injury specs bc you still can’t add guys.
1:08

Matt: Lindor down right after the Ottoneu drop date. Feeling confident in him being back by the 2nd or 3rd week? Probably don’t need to go crazy with a backup at auction?
1:18

Paul Sporer: Yeah I wouldn’t bend over backwards. Get a boring starter maybe so you’re at least clocking volume if he does miss longer than expected?
1:18

Billy Marlin: So will Sandy return to form this year?

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Fantasy Update: 2026 Re-Draft and Dynasty Prospects to Know

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February 18, 2026
Kevin McGonigle Photo: Junfu Han/USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images
Prospect Week 2026

Prospects have become increasingly important to winning re-draft fantasy leagues. Of course, they have always been major in-season acquisitions, but now they’re making their presence felt at the draft table, too. With more fantasy managers aware of the prospects who are likely to have an impact in a given season, the battle for their services has become much more fevered, leading some managers to stash desirable prospects for a month or two rather than try to pluck them off the wire once they are called up and risk missing out.

These guys aren’t draftable in every format, but I cast a wide net so that the list has utility across many formats and can be revisited when those players who don’t break camp on a big league roster are called up. All of them should be in the majors for a substantial portion of the 2026 season. It is worth familiarizing yourself with them now so that you’re ready to bid on the ones who aren’t draftable in your particular league.

You can find these players ranked on the 2026 Fantasy Rankings tab of The Board, along with my Top 200 Dynasty Rankings! Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1475 – 2026 Outfield Preview Pt. 2

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February 14, 2026

2/13/26

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PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

2026 OUTFIELD PREVIEW

Group 2

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1474 – 2026 Outfield Preview Pt. 1

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February 13, 2026

2/12/26

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PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

2026 OUTFIELD PREVIEW

Tier 1

Start of Tier 2

—

As usual, don’t hesitate to tweet us or comment below with fantasy questions.

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Approximately 51 minutes of joyous analysis.

 

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Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – February 11th, 2026

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February 11, 2026

Thanks for coming out!!

1:10

Paul Sporer: Hey y’all, thanks for coming out!!
1:10

BMK: Howdy!
1:10

Paul Sporer: Hi!!
1:10

T-Bone is the villain: Do we think the Green Monster will completely screw Durbin’s power, or will the increase in doubles and babip, etc make up for the probably HR dip?
1:16

Paul Sporer: Ya I think it will definitely eat up some of his HRs, but the trade off could easily be a substantial AVG boost (10+ pts) as he just peppers the Monster with 1Bs/2Bs
1:16

Troy Melton’s Broken Pathway: What are your thoughts on the Tigers rotation upgrades this week? …and Reese Olson 🙁

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Creating a Rotation with Post-300 ADP Pitchers

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February 10, 2026
Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images

Every year we see throngs of late round arms put up huge fantasy seasons. Injury returners, rising rookies, and out of nowhere gems are just some of the paths we see pitchers take from a post-300 ADP into the top 50 SPs. Last year saw Ranger Suárez, Matthew Boyd, Zach Littell, Ryne Nelson, and Shane Smith deliver a ton of fantasy value from outside the Top 300, among many more who had periods of viability that could’ve been curated into some better numbers than their final season line.

Let’s build a 15-team roto rotation comprised entirely of post-300 picks with seven starters and two relievers. We’re going to look for an ace, some strong frontliners, a few team streamers, a swingman lottery ticket, and then our closers. I’m not just going to take all the 300-310 ADP guys, either. For one, it’s cheap and doesn’t really explore the pool if I stay entirely at the top end, and two, these guys could easily move into the top 300 by peak draft season in March. I’m using NFBC ADP Draft Champions data from January 19th-February 9th, a 20-draft slice.

—

Ace (#1)

Finding a bankable ace this late in the draft is remarkably difficult, so we’re looking for ace material. In this case, I’m looking for a guy who can put up 130+ IP of good ratios (let’s say sub-4.00 ERA/sub-1.20 WHIP), strikeout upside (~22-24%), and some Win potential (definitely not a prerequisite). Only 29 pitchers reached the ratio thresholds in 130 IP last year, though most of the guys in our ADP threshold were on the lower end of the K% band. Shane Smith’s 24% mark was the best of the post-300 group meeting these ratios.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1473 – 2026 Third Base Preview Pt. 2

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February 9, 2026

2/9/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

2026 THIRD BASE PREVIEW

Tier 4 I didn’t get timestamps for Chap-Bohm

Tier 5

  • Munetaka Murakami (discussed at 1B) – Both expressed obv K% concerns but saw the pwr upside
  • Kazuma Okamoto (discussed at 1B) – Justin was intrigued; Paul was unfamiliar so no firm take

Tier 6

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