Author Archive

The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1409 – Biggest K and BB Rate Improvers: Hitter Edition

4/29/25

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INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

BB% and K% IMPROVERS

Looking at the biggest K% and BB% improvers as we reach the point where both metrics start to stabilize (60 and 120 PA, respectively)

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Starting Pitcher Chart – April 29th, 2025

Denis Poroy-Imagn Images

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their performance for 2025 (I changed over from 2024 #s on April 15th — a little earlier than last yr), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this changed as of April 14th which is still a pretty small sample, but we can start attacking some cold lineups or be more careful with those performing well so far), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – April 28th, 2025

John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their performance for 2025 (I changed over from 2024 #s on April 15th — a little earlier than last yr), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this changed as of April 14th which is still a pretty small sample, but we can start attacking some cold lineups or be more careful with those performing well so far), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

No commentary on Monday’s board, but happy to answer any questions in the comments below!


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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1407 – 2-Start Pitchers for Week 5

4/25/25

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

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  • Watch the video feed replay on YouTube

2-START PITCHERS FOR WEEK 5

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Starting Pitcher Chart – April 25th, 2025

David Banks-Imagn Images

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their performance for 2025 (I changed over from 2024 #s on April 15th — a little earlier than last yr), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this changed as of April 14th which is still a pretty small sample, but we can start attacking some cold lineups or be more careful with those performing well so far), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1406 – Hot Streak or New Peak

4/24/25

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HOT STREAK OR NEW PEAK

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Starting Pitcher Chart – April 24th, 2025

Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their performance for 2025 (I changed over from 2024 #s on April 15th — a little earlier than last yr), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this changed as of April 14th which is still a pretty small sample, but we can start attacking some cold lineups or be more careful with those performing well so far), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.


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Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – April 23rd, 2025

Transcript is now available, thanks for coming out!

1:03

Paul Sporer: Hello!!!! Thanks for coming out

1:03

Why not Zoidberg?: Has Crews figured it out or is this just a streak? Must roster in even really shallow leagues?

1:04

Paul Sporer: Neither really, just early season volatility. Couldn’t have paid me to cut him before this surge. He’s the kind of guy I give 4-6 wks minimum before thinking of cutting (unless he was sent out or something)

1:04

Jason: Hello sir!  Do you think Mitchell Parker is worth a pickup in a 13 team roto 5×5 (QS+W) league?  Or is he doing to us what he did to us last year?

1:05

Paul Sporer: I def don’t mind rostering him to see if he can improve, but unless he starts missing more bats, it will be tough to sustain any level of success (16% K is brutal)

1:06

Kyle: How expendable is Josh jung in a 12 tm h2h? alternatives would be n. marte, garcia or durbin

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Starting Pitcher Chart – April 23rd, 2025

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Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their performance for 2025 (I changed over from 2024 #s on April 15th — a little earlier than last yr), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this changed as of April 14th which is still a pretty small sample, but we can start attacking some cold lineups or be more careful with those performing well so far), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Pardon me on the commentary-free board tonight, something in my dinner is not sitting well with me so I’m headed to bed super early! I will answer questions/comments in the morning.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1405 – Time to Panic: Hitter Edition

4/22/25

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

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