Starting Pitcher Chart – May 12th, 2026

- Daily SP Chart archive
- 2-Start podcast episode
- SP Rankings (updated Monday April 27th!)
Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.
The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.
—
Short slate + no Tigers = early crashout for me. Not that kind of crashout as it’s used today, but I passed out before the SFG-LAD game started. Anyway, let’s get into it.
No one thought Trevor Rogers was a true talent sub-2.00 ERA guy but an immediate return to his uninspiring 2024 levels wasn’t quite the expectation, either. I’m sure he had some detractors who weren’t buying into him but with a Top 40 SP price tag there was real excitement for his follow-up to last year’s rise back to prominence. Three starts in – all Quality Starts – he was looking like a bargain with a 1.89 ERA/1.05 WHIP in 19 IP. The 12% K-BB left something to be desired, but the results were great. Were.
Since then he has three straight losses with results deserving of such a fate (9.73 ERA/2.16 WHIP) and yet his K-BB is up two ticks to 14%. Each start has featured one bad inning doing most of the damage as he’s piled up 3 HR and 5 BB during the 11.3 IP of destruction. The poor run was followed by an IL stint for a wicked flu which he’s returning from today with a remarkably difficult Yankees matchup on tap. Drafted as a set-it-and-forget arm, Rogers now holds a 4.75 ERA/1.45 WHIP through six starts and can reasonably be sat this week, but I still wouldn’t cut him anywhere yet, instead preferring to hold for the at TBR/DET 2-step next week before making any moves. Obviously any success against NYY would be great, but even a Dud against them wouldn’t completely rule out taking a shot on the 2-step.
The rest of the board:
- McClanahan hasn’t allowed a run for 16.7 IP over his L3 after a 5.00 ERA through his first 4 during which he only reached 5 IP once. He’s made it through 5 IP in all 3 of the recent outings, despite averaging fewer pitches per game (76 v. 80 in his F4) and surprisingly being removed after just 69 pitches in 5.7 v. TOR.
- Pérez gets a 2-step this week and if we don’t see some improvements, it’s time to reassess how we’re using him week-to-week. I still have a hard time seeing any cuts barring a truly horrendous week but some strategic sits could be on the docket if he gives us another pair of mediocre outings. On the plus side, he has at least 5 IP and 6 Ks in each of his L4 despite the blah-inducing 4.64 ERA.
- The 2-x board is sketchy as hell today. I don’t love running Springs at home but STL is way better vR and they don’t really take advantage of his biggest weakness – homers. Their 2.5% HR rate is middle of the pack against southpaws, but obviously that park in Sacramento can certainly raise their HR chances.
- I admittedly get nervous every time I recommend Corbin, but he’s putting up the numbers! After 4 ER in his season debut, he’s allowed just 8 ER total in 5 starts since, never topping 2 in any of ’em. Now that comes with just a 10% K-BB so I’d say he’s at best a mid-4.00s true talent arm.
- Maybe Gore isn’t fixed with his move to TEX. He had a 2.76 ERA through 3 starts and even survived a 6-BB outing at ATH (4.7 IP/2 ER) but he’s been horrendous since: 7.58 ERA/1.54 WHIP/9% K-BB in 19 IP.
- Flaherty isn’t fully back in my good graces after his 10 Ks v. BOS, but getting NYM gives him a chance for another big start here so he’s at 2-x today and I could even see a longshot stream in 10s because of his K upside and New York’s awful season so far.
- Kolek-Ober-Sproat-Singer are essentially 1.5 x’s… I’m not totally committed to running them in 12s, but they’re more in that 50-50 realm in those formats.
| Rk | PITCHER | Tm | Opp | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | opp wOBA RK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Skenes | PIT | v. COL | x | x | x | 42 | 2.36 | 0.71 | 25% | 8 |
| 2 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD | v. SFG | x | x | x | 43.2 | 3.09 | 1.01 | 18% | 29 |
| 3 | Zack Wheeler | PHI | at BOS | x | x | x | 17.1 | 3.12 | 0.98 | 18% | 28 |
| 4 | Will Warren | NYY | at BAL | x | x | x | 41.2 | 3.46 | 1.20 | 24% | 18 |
| 5 | Bryan Woo | SEA | at HOU | x | x | x | 47 | 4.02 | 1.00 | 16% | 3 |
| 6 | Shane McClanahan | TBR | at TOR | x | x | x | 34.2 | 2.60 | 1.07 | 14% | 15 |
| 7 | Freddy Peralta | NYM | v. DET | x | x | x | 43.1 | 3.12 | 1.20 | 14% | 11 |
| 8 | Eury Pérez | MIA | at MIN | x | x | x | 41.1 | 5.01 | 1.43 | 13% | 16 |
| 9 | Jeffrey Springs | ATH | v. STL | x | x | 44 | 3.89 | 1.14 | 15% | 14 | |
| 10 | Patrick Corbin | TOR | v. TBR | x | x | 30 | 3.60 | 1.27 | 10% | 22 | |
| 11 | MacKenzie Gore | TEX | v. ARI | x | x | 40 | 5.18 | 1.40 | 15% | 10 | |
| 12 | Jack Flaherty | DET | at NYM | x | x | 34 | 5.56 | 1.65 | 10% | 30 | |
| 13 | Stephen Kolek | KCR | at CHW | x | x | 6 | 4.50 | 0.67 | 14% | 23 | |
| 14 | Bailey Ober | MIN | v. MIA | x | x | 43 | 4.19 | 1.19 | 9% | 12 | |
| 15 | Brandon Sproat | MIL | v. SDP | x | x | 30.2 | 5.87 | 1.53 | 9% | 26 | |
| 16 | Brady Singer | CIN | v. WSN | x | x | 38.1 | 5.63 | 1.64 | 9% | 21 | |
| 17 | Colin Rea | CHC | at ATL | x | 38 | 4.03 | 1.37 | 14% | 1 | ||
| 18 | Slade Cecconi | CLE | v. LAA | x | 41 | 6.15 | 1.59 | 8% | 20 | ||
| 19 | Trevor Rogers | BAL | v. NYY | x | 30.1 | 4.75 | 1.45 | 13% | 3 | ||
| 20 | Zac Gallen | ARI | at TEX | x | 38.1 | 4.70 | 1.49 | 8% | 15 | ||
| 21 | Grant Holmes | ATL | v. CHC | x | 37.1 | 4.34 | 1.31 | 8% | 7 | ||
| 22 | Walbert Urena | LAA | at CLE | x | 22.1 | 3.22 | 1.57 | 6% | 25 | ||
| 23 | Matt Waldron | SDP | at MIL | 18.2 | 7.71 | 1.55 | 12% | 13 | |||
| 24 | Miles Mikolas | WSN | at CIN | 32.2 | 7.44 | 1.53 | 8% | 22 | |||
| 25 | Erick Fedde 페디 | CHW | v. KCR | 38 | 3.79 | 1.13 | 7% | 14 | |||
| 26 | Michael Lorenzen | COL | at PIT | 39 | 6.92 | 1.90 | 7% | 5 | |||
| 27 | Andre Pallante | STL | at ATH | 37.1 | 4.34 | 1.37 | 8% | 6 | |||
| 28 | Tatsuya Imai | HOU | v. SEA | 8.2 | 7.27 | 2.08 | 5% | 9 | |||
| 29 | Brayan Bello | BOS | v. PHI | 32.2 | 7.44 | 1.93 | 5% | 19 | |||
| 30 | Adrian Houser | SFG | at LAD | 36.1 | 6.19 | 1.54 | 5% | 2 |
Intro
The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.
Wind at 10+:
NYM – out to L at 10
CHW – out to L at a stout 20
MIN – out to R at a stout 19
SAC – out to L center at 10 in a minor league park, warm too, not mid-summer warm but low to mid-80s
Only rain worry is CHW at 41% but dissipating by the end of the game
Wind out at SAC?? Could be some big numbers on the board out there!!
Forecasts are forecasts and obviously subject to change, but probably going to be a good series for hitters. Warm all 3 days and while it’s not supposed to be super windy, what wind there is should be blowing out to left to center field (wind from the S/SW all 3 days)
I’m hoping so – I have 2 Cardinals and 2 Athletics hitters and no pitchers.
I’m feeling better about sitting McGreevy for Gallen this week.
Yuck.