Third Base ADP Market Report: 2/6/2022

As we hit the beginning of draft season, it is important to monitor where players are being drafted on a regular basis. Throughout draft season, I will be doing that work for you with regular updates on the Average Draft Position on NFBC up until Opening Day. You can read all the Market Reports here.

Top 100 Players Rising



Top 100 Players Falling



Top 200 Players Rising

Max Muncy (+18.5)- See the article in this series on second basemen. 


Top 200 Players Falling

Ke’Bryan Hayes (-21.11)- I am a little surprised to see Hayes drop because he has been a darling of the fantasy industry since his initial call up. However, he has struggled to show the power that he did in that initial call up and he has dealt with a number of injuries. While I do not mind the discounted price, I don’t know that we see a big jump in his power because of his five degree launch angle. The speed and contact abilities keep him interesting, but the ceiling isn’t as high as it used to seem. 


Top 300 Players Rising

Justin Turner (+79.25)- Turner has risen a ton since signing in Boston which is a bit surprising, but his ADP had been depressed because of being a free agent for so long. Boston is a pretty nice landing spot for him because he should play every day and most of those games will be at DH which could keep him on the field more than he was last year. After a slow start to his season last year, he hit .318 from August on and while he is no longer a stud, he tends to be overlooked because of his age. 

Yandy Diaz (+37.38)- Diaz is who he is at this point, a guy with a ton of power that he can’t unlock because of his low launch angle. That being said, he hits for a good average and if he ever does raise that launch angle, watch out. 


Top 300 Players Falling

Josh Rojas (-35.85)- See the article in this series on second basemen. 

Josh Jung (-16.63)- I am a little surprised to see Jung drop but I think his strikeout numbers in 2022 are scaring people a little. However, I think people are forgetting that he had a major shoulder injury in spring training that was supposed to end his season before it started, but not only did he play, he hit for the power we love to see. I am not super worried about the approach because it has been so good prior to the injury. I was already in on him and I am loving being able to get him at a discount. 

Anthony Rendon (-22.85)- I get why Rendon is dropping because I don’t even know what he is at this point in his career. It sounds like he is finally healthy for the first time in a few years, but at 32, can we expect him to play a full season and is the power we need from him still there? Too many questions for me to draft him even at a discount. 

Jordan Walker (-12.3)- Walker’s slip in the ADP will be short lived. I think there is a good chance that he makes the Opening Day roster for the Cardinals with the struggles of Carlson to hit, O’Neill to stay healthy, and Yepez to play defense. I had a really interesting podcast with Matt Thompson about it last month. He has been a monster at every step through the minor leagues and could force his way up pretty easily this spring. If he does, he will end up being a top 50-75 pick in short order. 

DJ LeMahieu (-23.71)- See the article in this series on first basemen.

Jon Berti (-33.75)- See the article in this series on second basemen. 

Luis Rengifo- (-33.75)- Rengifo is falling after all of the Angels offseason acquisitions puts his role in question. I think he still has a starting spot unless they add a shortstop, but he will likely hit at the bottom of the order to start the season which is disappointing because he ended last year at the top. I still think he could end up leading off, especially if any one of the Angels star players get hurt which is not out of the question given their injury history. He has eligibility at both 2B and 3B and will add SS pretty quickly. I don’t mind him as a fallback option at MI or CI. 


Others of Note

Jeimer Candelario (+81.05)- Candelario is rising after signing in Washington which is a plus in terms of park and finding a role that is full time. He should get plenty of at bats in the middle of the Nationals lineup, but that’s a really bad lineup in general. He is best for very deep leagues. 

Evan Longoria (+109.81)- Longoria is rising after signing in Arizona, but at this point of his career, he is nothing more than an NL or very deep mixed league viable because of his health and low upside. 

Spencer Steer (+29.78)- Steer is interesting because he appears to have a chance at full time at bats, but he really struggles with high fastballs which will be a problem. He does have pop and a great home park and could close that hole in the same way that Nate Lowe did last season, so he is worth a gamble late in drafts because of the upside and playing time. 


Third Base ADP Market Report: 2/6/2022
12/12/22-2/6/23 Player Team Position(s) 10/1/22-10/31/22 11/1/22-12/11/22 Change
2.97 Jose Ramirez CLE 3B 3.68 3.13 0.16
8.17 Bobby Witt Jr. KC 3B, SS 8.21 7.4 -0.77
15.09 Manny Machado SD 3B 15.79 15.13 0.04
20.21 Rafael Devers BOS 3B 20 19 -1.21
21.92 Austin Riley ATL 3B 22.42 21.8 -0.12
35.45 Nolan Arenado STL 3B 46.16 37.87 2.42
80.05 Alex Bregman HOU 3B 91.21 83.67 3.62
93.52 Gunnar Henderson BAL 3B 96.58 92.33 -1.19
142.17 Max Muncy LAD 2B, 3B 156 156.67 14.5
155.42 Eugenio Suarez SEA 3B 155.95 153 -2.42
155.45 Jose Miranda MIN 1B, 3B 167.37 148.87 -6.58
162.12 Matt Chapman TOR 3B 165.26 160.6 -1.52
176.24 Ke’Bryan Hayes PIT 3B 147.74 155.13 -21.11
185.15 Alec Bohm PHI 3B 175.68 184.2 -0.95
200.39 Brandon Drury LAA 1B, 2B, 3B 181.58 190 -10.39
211.38 Josh Rojas ARZ 2B, 3B 163.58 175.53 -35.85
215 Ryan McMahon COL 3B 208.63 213.07 -1.93
221.23 Josh Jung TEX 3B 215 204.6 -16.63
243.82 Justin Turner BOS 3B 297.79 323.07 79.25
244.36 Luis Urias MLW 2B, 3B, SS 239.47 235 -9.36
246.52 Anthony Rendon LAA 3B 214.89 223.67 -22.85
253.17 Jordan Walker STL 3B 263.26 240.87 -12.3
258.44 DJ LeMahieu NYY 1B, 2B, 3B 205.89 234.73 -23.71
259.95 Ha-Seong Kim SD 3B, SS 274.11 260.53 0.58
267.29 Yandy Diaz TB 3B 329.58 304.67 37.38
281.29 Jon Berti MIA 2B, 3B 215.63 235.13 -46.16
291.35 Luis Rengifo LAA 2B, 3B 262.16 257.6 -33.75
292.15 Yoan Moncada CWS 3B 280.79 286.33 -5.82
307.32 Brendan Donovan STL 2B, 3B, OF 323.42 315 7.68
327.42 Wilmer Flores SF 1B, 2B, 3B 333.26 328.4 0.98
343.67 Isaac Paredes TB 1B, 2B, 3B 339.79 318.2 -25.47
360.68 Eduardo Escobar NYM 3B 328.53 339.07 -21.61
362.71 Rodolfo Castro PIT 2B, 3B 364.37 356.47 -6.24
372.59 Gio Urshela LAA 3B 355.68 346 -26.59
378 Joey Wendle MIA 2B, 3B, SS 417.26 413.2 35.2
381.56 Ramon Urias BAL 2B, 3B 369.84 371.73 -9.83
391.02 Jeimer Candelario WAS 3B 479.74 472.07 81.05
405.42 Spencer Steer CIN 3B 442.63 435.2 29.78
409.35 Josh Donaldson NYY 3B 423.79 413.27 3.92
412.23 J.D. Davis SF 3B 402.63 395.33 -16.9
417.82 Kyle Farmer MIN 3B, SS 394.63 362 -55.82
421.53 Patrick Wisdom CHC 3B 327 376.07 -45.46
439.61 Brett Baty NYM 3B 379.37 391.4 -48.21
465.97 Jace Peterson OAK 3B 586.68 614.07 148.1
492.02 Hunter Dozier KC 1B, 3B, OF 492.53 464.47 -27.55
495.06 Evan Longoria ARZ 3B 643.89 604.87 109.81
496.71 Brian Anderson MLW 3B, OF 577.26 523.27 26.56
507.14 Nicky Lopez KC 2B, 3B, SS 533.84 504.2 -2.94
509.39 David Villar SF 3B 452.84 473.27 -36.12
518.5 Elehuris Montero COL 3B 475.58 477.87 -40.63
538.58 Bobby Dalbec BOS 1B, 3B 541.58 550.6 12.02
542.82 Curtis Mead TB 3B 629.58 585.33 42.51
582.83 Taylor Walls TB 2B, 3B, SS 571.26 549.2 -33.63
583.67 Josh Smith TEX 3B, OF 595.26 598.2 14.53
602.21 Ezequiel Duran TEX 3B 598.21 585.27 -16.94
602.59 Jake Burger CWS 3B 591.37 578.93 -23.66
636.77 Abraham Toro MLW 2B, 3B 644.95 653.27 16.5
637.44 Zach McKinstry CHC 2B, 3B 515.05 584.4 -53.04
661.11 Harold Castro DET 1B, 3B 592.95 607.87 -53.24
678.91 Jake Alu WAS 3B 748.16 724.13 45.22
689.62 Brad Miller TEX 3B, OF 742.37 747.2 57.58
691.05 Jordan Groshans MIA 3B 592.05 577.07 -113.98
692.24 Edmundo Sosa PHI 3B, SS 660.84 676.13 -16.11
694.05 Emmanuel Rivera ARZ 3B 634.11 659.8 -34.25
697.3 Josh Harrison PHI 2B, 3B 652.68 689.93 -7.37
714.32 Christian Encarnacion-Strand CIN 3B NA NA NA
718.2 Mike Moustakas CIN 1B, 3B 636.79 624.07 -94.13
718.8 Carter Kieboom WAS 3B 657.37 678.87 -39.93
722.21 Jonathan Villar LAA 2B, 3B 689.74 715.33 -6.88
727.33 Gabriel Arias CLE 3B 619.68 663.13 -64.2
734.61 Eguy Rosario SD 3B 679.89 674.93 -59.68
735.35 Luis Guillorme NYM 2B, 3B 739.21 740.73 5.38
743.32 Tyler Freeman CLE 3B 697.05 742.07 -1.25
746.44 Kevin Smith OAK 3B 738.74 736.67 -9.77
746.52 Casey Schmitt SF 3B NA NA NA
747.06 Ildemaro Vargas WAS 3B 736.79 738 -9.06
748.83 Matt Duffy LAA 1B, 3B 750.63 736.33 -12.5
749.27 Andy Ibanez DET 3B 746.95 NA NA
749.38 Jonah Bride OAK 2B, 3B 746.32 NA NA
749.45 Hanser Alberto LAD 2B, 3B NA NA NA
749.45 Mike Brosseau MLW 3B 736.63 747.53 -1.92
750.56 Kody Clemens PHI 3B NA 744.07 -6.49
750.7 Sheldon Neuse OAK 2B, 3B 735.84 NA NA
NA A.J. Vukovich FA 3B 745.95 NA NA
NA Colton Welker SF 3B 708.47 746.67 NA
NA Deyvison De Los Santos FA 3B 744.95 NA NA
NA Jason Vosler SF 3B 749.74 NA NA
NA Luke Williams LAD 3B, OF 740.79 750.93 NA
NA Sergio Alcantara ARZ 2B, 3B, SS 744.53 NA NA
NA Tyler Nevin BAL 3B 749.21 NA NA
NA Vimael Machin OAK 3B 749.68 743.8 NA
NA Yonny Hernandez LAD 3B 739.53 NA NA

Justin is the co-host on The Sleeper and The Bust Podcast and writes for Rotographs covering the Roto Riteup as well as other periodic articles. In addition to his work at Rotographs, Justin is the lead fantasy writer/analyst and co-owner for, and the owner of The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. He is also a certified addiction treatment counselor. Follow Justin on Twitter @JustinMasonFWFB.

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1 year ago

Hopefully no one writes off a rookie for striking out too much in his first taste of the majors. Second, third and fourth tastes… maybe. But don’t forget about Jung, folks.

1 year ago
Reply to  LightenUpFG

It’s a Jungle out there.

1 year ago
Reply to  LightenUpFG

I’m less optimistic after reading the article about recovering from shoulder surgeries last week.