Third Base ADP Market Report: 12/12/2022

As we hit the beginning of draft season, it is important to monitor where players are being drafted on a regular basis. Throughout draft season, I will be doing that work for you with regular updates on the Average Draft Position on NFBC up until Opening Day. You can read all the Market Reports here.

 

Top 100 Players Rising

Nolan Arenado (+8.29)- I think the safety that Arenado offers has a lot to do with his value and rising ADP. While many expected him to fall off after leaving Colorado, he has proven to be a workhorse that is good for 30 home runs and 100 RBI. I think the average returns back to the .260 area, but that is fine because the floor is so safe. 

Alex Bregman (+7.54)- After a slow start to the season, Bregman was fantastic from August on. He hit .290/.394/.513 with 10 home runs in that time frame, making amazing zone contact and hitting the ball extremely hard to the pull side. He hasn’t put together a full season of great work since 2019, but the ability is clearly still there. 

 

Top 100 Players Falling

None

 

Top 200 Players Rising

Jose Miranda (+18.5)- See the article in this series on first basemen. 

 

Top 200 Players Falling

Josh Rojas (-11.95)- Rojas’ drop has a lot to do with the perceived risk in playing time. Rojas was losing time in the second half before injuries gave him greater opportunities. The Diamondbacks have been rumored to be in on a number of infielders, but it sounds like they are more interested in a shortstop than a third baseman. Rojas has speed upside and I still think that there is more in the bat overall. However, his defensive issues really holds him back and there is a ton of risk here. 

 

Top 300 Players Rising

Josh Jung (+10.4)- Jung is going to be a popular player especially if he has a big spring training. Unlike other prospects, I think he has a legit shot at being an everyday player on Opening Day. There is power which was on display when he hit five home runs in 26 games at the Majors. While he showed more swing and miss, he has shown good contact skills previously in the minors. I am very interested in Jung as a guy that has a clear road to a great role in an improving offense. 

Jordan Walker (+22.39)- It is interesting to see Walker rising so fast. The talent is not really in question, but where is he playing? He clearly is blocked by Arenado at third and while he should be able to transition to the outfield, it is not like the Cardinals are devoid of options there either. He has never played at AAA, so I would expect him to start the year there, but he could force himself up pretty quickly if he dominates there like he has everywhere else. 

Ha-Seong Kim 김하성 (+13.58)- See the article in this series on shortstops.  

 

Top 300 Players Falling

DJ LeMahieu (-28.84)- See the article in this series on first basemen.

Jon Berti (-19.5)- See the article in this series on second basemen. 

 

Others of Note

Justin Turner (-25.28)- Turner is dropping because he is not signed yet and he had a down year in 2022. However, he actually rebounded late in the season, hitting .340/412/.514 with seven home runs and two stolen bases from July 1 on. I still believe he ends up back in Los Angeles with the Dodgers and if he does, he is a pretty good bet to return value at his cost. 

Patrick Wisdom (-49.07)- Wisdom swings. Wisdom swings hard. Wisdom strikes out. Wisdom hits home runs. That is pretty much the scouting report for Patrick Wisdom. Unfortunately for him, with the Cubs adding players (and they could add more) he is likely a bench bat at this point which hurts his value. That being said, there is cheap power and so there is value in draft champions. 

Brian Anderson (+53.99)- Why is Anderson rising when he doesn’t even have a team after being non-tendered? Sometimes things don’t make sense. Even if he does latch on somewhere, I don’t think he has a lot of value unless he has a full time role. 

 

Third Base ADP Market Report: 12/12/2022
11/1/22-12/12/22 Player Team Position(s) 10/1/22-10/31/22 Change
3.13 Jose Ramirez CLE 3B 3.68 0.55
7.4 Bobby Witt Jr. KC 3B, SS 8.21 0.81
15.13 Manny Machado SD 3B 15.79 0.66
19 Rafael Devers BOS 3B 20 1
21.8 Austin Riley ATL 3B 22.42 0.62
37.87 Nolan Arenado STL 3B 46.16 8.29
83.67 Alex Bregman HOU 3B 91.21 7.54
92.33 Gunnar Henderson BAL 3B 96.58 4.25
148.87 Jose Miranda MIN 1B, 3B 167.37 18.5
153 Eugenio Suarez SEA 3B 155.95 2.95
155.13 Ke’Bryan Hayes PIT 3B 147.74 -7.39
156.67 Max Muncy LAD 2B, 3B 156 -0.67
160.6 Matt Chapman TOR 3B 165.26 4.66
175.53 Josh Rojas ARZ 2B, 3B 163.58 -11.95
184.2 Alec Bohm PHI 3B 175.68 -8.52
190 Brandon Drury SD 1B, 2B, 3B 181.58 -8.42
204.6 Josh Jung TEX 3B 215 10.4
213.07 Ryan McMahon COL 3B 208.63 -4.44
223.67 Anthony Rendon LAA 3B 214.89 -8.78
234.73 DJ LeMahieu NYY 1B, 2B, 3B 205.89 -28.84
235 Luis Urias MLW 2B, 3B, SS 239.47 4.47
235.13 Jon Berti MIA 2B, 3B 215.63 -19.5
240.87 Jordan Walker STL 3B 263.26 22.39
257.6 Luis Rengifo LAA 2B, 3B 262.16 4.56
260.53 Ha-Seong Kim SD 3B, SS 274.11 13.58
286.33 Yoan Moncada CWS 3B 280.79 -5.54
304.67 Yandy Diaz TB 3B 329.58 24.91
315 Brendan Donovan STL 2B, 3B, OF 323.42 8.42
318.2 Isaac Paredes TB 1B, 2B, 3B 339.79 21.59
323.07 Justin Turner LAD 3B 297.79 -25.28
328.4 Wilmer Flores SF 1B, 2B, 3B 333.26 4.86
339.07 Eduardo Escobar NYM 3B 328.53 -10.54
346 Gio Urshela LAA 3B 355.68 9.68
356.47 Rodolfo Castro PIT 2B, 3B 364.37 7.9
362 Kyle Farmer MIN 3B, SS 394.63 32.63
371.73 Ramon Urias BAL 2B, 3B 369.84 -1.89
376.07 Patrick Wisdom CHC 3B 327 -49.07
391.4 Brett Baty NYM 3B 379.37 -12.03
395.33 J.D. Davis SF 3B 402.63 7.3
413.2 Joey Wendle MIA 2B, 3B, SS 417.26 4.06
413.27 Josh Donaldson NYY 3B 423.79 10.52
435.2 Spencer Steer CIN 3B 442.63 7.43
464.47 Hunter Dozier KC 1B, 3B, OF 492.53 28.06
472.07 Jeimer Candelario WAS 3B 479.74 7.67
473.27 David Villar SF 3B 452.84 -20.43
477.87 Elehuris Montero COL 3B 475.58 -2.29
504.2 Nicky Lopez KC 2B, 3B, SS 533.84 29.64
523.27 Brian Anderson MIA 3B, OF 577.26 53.99
549.2 Taylor Walls TB 2B, 3B, SS 571.26 22.06
550.6 Bobby Dalbec BOS 1B, 3B 541.58 -9.02
577.07 Jordan Groshans MIA 3B 592.05 14.98
578.93 Jake Burger CWS 3B 591.37 12.44
584.4 Zach McKinstry CHC 2B, 3B 515.05 -69.35
585.27 Ezequiel Duran TEX 3B 598.21 12.94
585.33 Curtis Mead TB 3B 629.58 44.25
598.2 Josh Smith TEX 3B, OF 595.26 -2.94
604.87 Evan Longoria SF 3B 643.89 39.02
607.87 Harold Castro DET 1B, 3B 592.95 -14.92
614.07 Jace Peterson OAK 3B 586.68 -27.39
624.07 Mike Moustakas CIN 1B, 3B 636.79 12.72
653.27 Abraham Toro MLW 2B, 3B 644.95 -8.32
659.8 Emmanuel Rivera ARZ 3B 634.11 -25.69
663.13 Gabriel Arias CLE 3B 619.68 -43.45
674.93 Eguy Rosario SD 3B 679.89 4.96
676.13 Edmundo Sosa PHI 3B, SS 660.84 -15.29
678.87 Carter Kieboom WAS 3B 657.37 -21.5
689.93 Josh Harrison CWS 2B, 3B 652.68 -37.25
715.33 Jonathan Villar LAA 2B, 3B 689.74 -25.59
724.13 Jake Alu WAS 3B 748.16 24.03
736.33 Matt Duffy LAA 1B, 3B 750.63 14.3
736.67 Kevin Smith OAK 3B 738.74 2.07
738 Ildemaro Vargas WAS 3B 736.79 -1.21
740.73 Luis Guillorme NYM 2B, 3B 739.21 -1.52
742.07 Tyler Freeman CLE 3B 697.05 -45.02
743.8 Vimael Machin OAK 3B 749.68 5.88
744.07 Kody Clemens DET 3B NA NA
746.67 Colton Welker SF 3B 708.47 -38.2
747.2 Brad Miller TEX 3B, OF 742.37 -4.83
747.53 Mike Brosseau MLW 3B 736.63 -10.9
750.93 Luke Williams LAD 3B, OF 740.79 -10.14
NA A.J. Vukovich FA 3B 745.95 NA
NA Andy Ibanez DET 3B 746.95 NA
NA Deyvison De Los Santos FA 3B 744.95 NA
NA Jason Vosler SF 3B 749.74 NA
NA Jonah Bride OAK 2B, 3B 746.32 NA
NA Sergio Alcantara ARZ 2B, 3B, SS 744.53 NA
NA Sheldon Neuse OAK 2B, 3B 735.84 NA
NA Tyler Nevin BAL 3B 749.21 NA
NA Yonny Hernandez OAK 3B 739.53 NA
SOURCE: https://nfc.shgn.com/adp/baseball
ADP is based on NFBC Draft Champions leagues





Justin is the co-host on The Sleeper and The Bust Podcast and writes for Rotographs covering the Roto Riteup as well as other periodic articles. In addition to his work at Rotographs, Justin is the lead fantasy writer/analyst and co-owner for FriendswithFantasyBenefits.com, and the owner of The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. He is also a certified addiction treatment counselor. Follow Justin on Twitter @JustinMasonFWFB.

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Kevbot034
1 year ago

I really like Jose Miranda; was hoping he’d be more secret in the risings lol