The Schedule Planner: National League
With just under two months left in the season, playing to the schedule is a big factor in fantasy baseball so I ran some numbers to identify the best and worst offenses by handedness and perhaps this can offer some guidance for you down the stretch when selecting starters. I looked at wOBA for the year, last 30 days, and last 14 days, then weighted the three, and ranked the teams.
The recent samples are smaller and thus more volatile, but they also can reflect the changing dynamics of a team via injuries or trades. That said, I still weighted the season mark the most. This is just focused on handedness so be mindful of potential park factors that could also play a role. It’s sorted by division and record and then the scheduled teams are listed in order starting with Wednesday, August 8th. Today we’ve got the Senior Circuit:
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (63-49)
| vL | vR | |
|---|---|---|
| at ARI x2 | 13 | 18 |
| at SD x3 | 18 | 30 |
| BOS x2 | 14 | 2 |
| NYM x5 | 30 | 26 |
| at WAS x3 | 8 | 8 |
| at TOR x3 | 17 | 7 |
| WAS x3 | 8 | 8 |
| CHC x3 | 11 | 5 |
| at MIA x3 | 29 | 28 |
| at NYM x3 | 30 | 26 |
| WAS x3 | 8 | 8 |
| MIA x3 | 29 | 28 |
| NYM x3 | 30 | 26 |
| at ATL x4 | 12 | 20 |
| at COL x4 | 1 | 21 |
| ATL x3 | 12 | 20 |
ATLANTA BRAVES (60-49)
| vL | vR | |
|---|---|---|
| at WAS x2 | 8 | 8 |
| MIL x3 | 15 | 15 |
| MIA x4 | 29 | 28 |
| COL x4 | 1 | 21 |
| at PIT x3 | 16 | 12 |
| at MIA x4 | 29 | 28 |
| TB x2 | 4 | 22 |
| CHC x1 | 11 | 5 |
| PIT x3 | 16 | 12 |
| BOS x3 | 14 | 2 |
| at ARI x4 | 13 | 18 |
| at SF x3 | 20 | 27 |
| WAS x3 | 8 | 8 |
| STL x3 | 6 | 24 |
| PHI x4 | 19 | 17 |
| at NYM x3 | 30 | 26 |
| at PHI x3 | 19 | 17 |
WASHINGTON NATIONALS (58-54)
| vL | vR | |
|---|---|---|
| ATL x2 | 12 | 20 |
| at CHC x3 | 11 | 5 |
| at STL x4 | 6 | 24 |
| MIA x3 | 29 | 28 |
| PHI x3 | 19 | 17 |
| at NYM x3 | 30 | 26 |
| at PHI x3 | 19 | 17 |
| MIL x3 | 15 | 15 |
| STL x3 | 6 | 24 |
| CHC x4 | 11 | 5 |
| at PHI x3 | 19 | 17 |
| at ATL x3 | 12 | 20 |
| at MIA x2 | 29 | 28 |
| NYM x3 | 30 | 26 |
| MIA x3 | 29 | 28 |
| at COL x3 | 1 | 21 |
NEW YORK METS (46-64)
| vL | vR | |
|---|---|---|
| CIN x1 | 9 | 13 |
| at MIA x3 | 29 | 28 |
| at NYY x1 | 2 | 10 |
| at BAL x2 | 22 | 16 |
| at PHI x5 | 19 | 17 |
| SF x4 | 20 | 27 |
| WAS x3 | 8 | 8 |
| at CHC x3 | 11 | 5 |
| at SF x3 | 20 | 27 |
| at LAD x3 | 27 | 3 |
| PHI x3 | 19 | 17 |
| MIA x4 | 29 | 28 |
| at BOS x3 | 14 | 2 |
| at PHI x3 | 19 | 17 |
| at WAS x4 | 8 | 8 |
| ATL x3 | 12 | 20 |
| MIA x3 | 29 | 28 |
MIAMI MARLINS (47-67)
| vL | vR | |
|---|---|---|
| STL x1 | 6 | 24 |
| NYM x3 | 30 | 26 |
| at ATL x4 | 12 | 20 |
| WAS x3 | 8 | 8 |
| NYY x2 | 2 | 10 |
| ATL x4 | 12 | 20 |
| at BOS x2 | 14 | 2 |
| TOR x3 | 17 | 7 |
| PHI x3 | 19 | 17 |
| at PIT x3 | 16 | 12 |
| at NYM x4 | 30 | 26 |
| at PHI x3 | 19 | 17 |
| WAS x2 | 8 | 8 |
| CIN x4 | 9 | 13 |
| at WAS x3 | 8 | 8 |
| at NYM x3 | 30 | 26 |
CHICAGO CUBS (65-47)
| vL | vR | |
|---|---|---|
| at KC x1 | 26 | 25 |
| WAS x3 | 8 | 8 |
| MIL x2 | 15 | 15 |
| at PIT x4 | 16 | 12 |
| at DET x2 | 21 | 29 |
| CIN x4 | 9 | 13 |
| NYM x3 | 30 | 26 |
| at ATL x1 | 12 | 20 |
| at PHI x3 | 19 | 17 |
| at MIL x3 | 15 | 15 |
| at WAS x4 | 8 | 8 |
| MIL x3 | 15 | 15 |
| CIN x3 | 9 | 13 |
| at ARI x3 | 13 | 18 |
| at CWS x3 | 24 | 19 |
| PIT x4 | 16 | 12 |
| STL x3 | 6 | 24 |
MILWAUKEE BREWERS (65-50)
| vL | vR | |
|---|---|---|
| SD x2 | 18 | 30 |
| at ATL x3 | 12 | 20 |
| at CHC x2 | 11 | 5 |
| at STL x3 | 6 | 24 |
| CIN x3 | 9 | 13 |
| PIT x3 | 16 | 12 |
| at CIN x3 | 9 | 13 |
| at WAS x3 | 8 | 8 |
| CHC x3 | 11 | 5 |
| SF x3 | 20 | 27 |
| at CHC x3 | 11 | 5 |
| PIT x3 | 16 | 12 |
| CIN x3 | 9 | 13 |
| at PIT x3 | 16 | 12 |
| at STL x3 | 6 | 24 |
| DET x3 | 21 | 29 |
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (58-55)
| vL | vR | |
|---|---|---|
| at MIA x1 | 29 | 28 |
| at KC x3 | 26 | 25 |
| WAS x4 | 8 | 8 |
| MIL x3 | 15 | 15 |
| at LAD x3 | 27 | 3 |
| at COL x3 | 1 | 21 |
| PIT x3 | 16 | 12 |
| CIN x3 | 9 | 13 |
| at WAS x3 | 8 | 8 |
| at DET x3 | 21 | 29 |
| PIT x3 | 16 | 12 |
| LAD x4 | 27 | 3 |
| at ATL x3 | 12 | 20 |
| SF x3 | 20 | 27 |
| MIL x3 | 15 | 15 |
| at CHC x3 | 11 | 5 |
PITTSBURGH PIRATES (57-56)
| vL | vR | |
|---|---|---|
| at COL x1 | 1 | 21 |
| at SF x4 | 20 | 27 |
| at MIN x2 | 25 | 9 |
| CHC x4 | 11 | 5 |
| ATL x3 | 12 | 20 |
| at MIL x3 | 15 | 15 |
| at STL x3 | 6 | 24 |
| at ATL x3 | 12 | 20 |
| CIN x3 | 9 | 13 |
| MIA x3 | 29 | 28 |
| at STL x3 | 6 | 24 |
| at MIL x3 | 15 | 15 |
| KC x3 | 26 | 25 |
| MIL x3 | 15 | 15 |
| at CHC x4 | 11 | 5 |
| at CIN x3 | 9 | 13 |
CINCINNATI REDS (49-64)
| vL | vR | |
|---|---|---|
| at NYM x1 | 30 | 26 |
| ARI x3 | 13 | 18 |
| CLE x3 | 3 | 4 |
| SF x3 | 20 | 27 |
| at MIL x3 | 15 | 15 |
| at CHC x4 | 11 | 5 |
| MIL x3 | 15 | 15 |
| at STL x3 | 6 | 24 |
| at PIT x3 | 16 | 12 |
| SD x4 | 18 | 30 |
| LAD x3 | 27 | 3 |
| at CHC x3 | 11 | 5 |
| at MIL x3 | 15 | 15 |
| at MIA x4 | 29 | 28 |
| KC x2 | 26 | 25 |
| PIT x3 | 16 | 12 |
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS (63-51)
| vL | vR | |
|---|---|---|
| PHI x1 | 19 | 17 |
| at CIN x3 | 9 | 13 |
| at TEX x2 | 5 | 11 |
| at SD x4 | 18 | 30 |
| LAA x2 | 28 | 1 |
| SEA x3 | 23 | 23 |
| at SF x3 | 20 | 27 |
| at LAD x4 | 27 | 3 |
| SD x2 | 18 | 30 |
| ATL x4 | 12 | 20 |
| at COL x4 | 1 | 21 |
| at HOU x3 | 7 | 14 |
| CHC x3 | 11 | 5 |
| COL x3 | 1 | 21 |
| LAD x3 | 27 | 3 |
| at SD x3 | 18 | 30 |
LOS ANGELES DODGERS (62-51)
| vL | vR | |
|---|---|---|
| at OAK x1 | 10 | 6 |
| at COL x4 | 1 | 21 |
| SF x3 | 20 | 27 |
| at SEA x3 | 23 | 23 |
| STL x3 | 6 | 24 |
| SD x3 | 18 | 30 |
| at TEX x2 | 5 | 11 |
| ARI x4 | 13 | 18 |
| NYM x3 | 30 | 26 |
| at COL x3 | 1 | 21 |
| at CIN x3 | 9 | 13 |
| at STL x4 | 6 | 24 |
| COL x3 | 1 | 21 |
| SD x3 | 18 | 30 |
| at ARI x3 | 13 | 18 |
| at SF x3 | 20 | 27 |
COLORADO ROCKIES (60-52)
| vL | vR | |
|---|---|---|
| PIT x1 | 16 | 12 |
| LAD x4 | 27 | 3 |
| at HOU x2 | 7 | 14 |
| at ATL x4 | 12 | 20 |
| SD x3 | 18 | 30 |
| STL x3 | 6 | 24 |
| at LAA x2 | 28 | 1 |
| at SD x4 | 18 | 30 |
| SF x3 | 20 | 27 |
| LAD x3 | 27 | 3 |
| ARI x4 | 13 | 18 |
| at SF x3 | 20 | 27 |
| at LAD x3 | 27 | 3 |
| at ARI x3 | 13 | 18 |
| PHI x4 | 19 | 17 |
| WAS x3 | 8 | 8 |
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (57-57)
| vL | vR | |
|---|---|---|
| PIT x4 | 16 | 12 |
| at LAD x3 | 27 | 3 |
| at CIN x3 | 9 | 13 |
| at NYM x4 | 30 | 26 |
| TEX x3 | 5 | 11 |
| ARI x3 | 13 | 18 |
| NYM x3 | 30 | 26 |
| at COL x3 | 1 | 21 |
| at MIL x3 | 15 | 15 |
| ATL x3 | 12 | 20 |
| COL x3 | 1 | 21 |
| at SD x3 | 18 | 30 |
| at STL x3 | 6 | 24 |
| SD x3 | 18 | 30 |
| LAD x3 | 27 | 3 |
SAN DIEGO PADRES (44-70)
| vL | vR | |
|---|---|---|
| at MIL x2 | 15 | 15 |
| PHI x3 | 19 | 17 |
| LAA x3 | 28 | 1 |
| ARI x4 | 13 | 18 |
| at COL x3 | 1 | 21 |
| at LAD x3 | 27 | 3 |
| SEA x2 | 23 | 23 |
| COL x4 | 1 | 21 |
| at ARI x2 | 13 | 18 |
| at CIN x4 | 9 | 11 |
| at SEA x2 | 23 | 23 |
| TEX x3 | 5 | 11 |
| SF x3 | 20 | 27 |
| at LAD x3 | 27 | 3 |
| at SF x3 | 20 | 27 |
| ARI x3 | 13 | 18 |
Commenter bac640 took it a step further with the following:
@sporer Great FG piece on NL SP Planner! I tried to take your analysis a bit farther by aggregating and color coding to show which teams have best and worst ROS matchups. Let me know if you want me to do same with your AL planner- just takes a sec to do it! pic.twitter.com/sMPTghw3Qd
— Bruce Carlson (@bcarlson640) August 8, 2018
Thanks so much for that, Bruce!!
this is great, thanks!
Appreciate the effort – some great info. However, let me be the 1st to say that these charts could really, really, really do without the “st”s, “rd”s and “th”s next to the numbers, just in case you are doing it for the AL as well.
Wait, how come? And I am going to do the AL
It would be a lot easier to scan and make sense of without having to parse 16th from 16.
IMHO
Not trying to be antagonistic, but what’s the difference?
Very, very, VERY minor … but it is easier to internalize just the number. The “th” immediately following slows the understanding by a moment and makes the visual ranking a bit tougher to comprehend on a scan. 1, 22, 31 are numbers and immediately intuitive to place. 1st, 22nd, etc … scan as words. So it’s different. (Maybe only for some of us)
I agree 100% with this.
Forgot to mention: This is great information, Paul. Thank you.
This is for pitchers..? Hitters? (I see that the ranks are for offenses vLHP/vRHP, but I’m not sure how you’ve ranked them overall?)
It’s the very first thing I wrote and I even bolded some of it — With just under two months left in the season, playing to the schedule is a big factor in fantasy baseball so I ran some numbers to identify the best and worst offenses by handedness and perhaps this can offer some guidance for you down the stretch when selecting starters.
Um, okay? So the ones at the top of the list are the best offenses? Or the teams with the best pitching matchups?
I don’t understand what you’re missing. It’s the team’s schedule in order with the opponent’s wOBA v. that handedness, what’s unclear?
Also from the open:
It’s sorted by division and record and then the scheduled teams are listed in order starting with Wednesday, August 8th. Today we’ve got the Senior Circuit.
Read thru it twice more and it makes sense now. Guess I found the wording a bit dense, thought you had said you were ranking the teams by overall RoS opponent strength as well. It did seem strange that you also said they were ordered by division… Excuse me for asking for clarification.
I would have said “sorry if it wasn’t clear, what I meant was…”
Paul, I work in retail, so I deal with a good mix of the general population on a daily basis. It’s great because I meet all kinds of people!
However, experience with that has taught me things do need to be spelled out pretty clearly.
I see some negative comments, which I think kind of boil down to you aren’t telling people exactly what to do with this info. For example, your first sentence says this can be useful when selecting starters.
I know what you mean, but some language like “these are the best offenses against righties and the best against lefties and vice versa. Use a lefty pitcher against this offense, and stack this offense against a right handed pitcher when able” might elimate some confusion.
That was your obvious point to some ppl, but probably was missed by some. Good article sir, and good info. Much appreciated!
Yea, this is awesome research. AND, I could benefit from this being 1-2 steps more actionable. It’s hard to parse through and figure out what I should look out for in my pitcher rostering ROS.
I manipulated the data a bit to try to provide easier insight… here is total # of games for each team and the average wOBA rank for their opponents by handedness. So as an example LAD LH pitchers (e.g., Kershaw, Wood) have worst matchups (12th ranked) while LAD RH (e.g.. Maeda) have among the best (22nd ranked). I’d color coded in Excel so it’d pop but couldn’t figure out how to embed here. Hope this helps.
TM G vL VR
ARI 47 15 17
ATL 52 16 18
CHC 49 15 16
CIN 48 16 16
COL 49 18 17
LAD 48 12 22
MIA 47 16 16
MIL 46 12 16
NYM 51 18 17
PHI 50 17 18
PIT 48 14 17
SD 47 15 16
SF 47 16 18
STL 48 16 14
WAS 48 17 20
Hit me up on Twitter (@sporer) and I’ll add your chart with credit to the piece if you’d like.
Will do. For my home league, which is H2H, I take this to the next level, doing this same analysis for each week of my two week playoff. Also add K%-BB% to that analysis