Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat
| 7:30 |
: First off,so everyone knows, there will be no Waiver Wire Chat or Article next week.
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| 7:31 |
: It is my daughter’s high school graduation so I will be spending time with my family.
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| 7:32 |
: Here are this week’s bids from the three 15-team Tout Wars leagues.
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| 7:32 |
:
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| 7:32 |
: Lee has a possible separated shoulder. Time to drop?
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| 7:33 |
: I am, he hasn’t been or was projected to be a difference maker.
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| 7:33 |
: I’m back right?
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| 7:33 |
: From the buffett?
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| 7:34 |
: I’m sure others will rush to add him, but I’m going to need a few starts before thinking about having him near my roster.
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| 7:34 |
: Have 2 spots….keep montas, Richardson woods, or paddack.. need wins and Ks.
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| 7:34 |
: Rich Woods and Paddack
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| 7:35 |
: Who would you prefer throwing $1 FAAB at between Flexen and Manoah in a 12 team AL only 5×5 H2H league to replace Javier? I’m thinking Javier is still feeling theeffects of that nerve issue in his neck.
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| 7:35 |
: I have no preference, maybe target a safe middle reliever
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| 7:35 |
: Christopher Sanchez is available in my 10 team NL only 5×5. What % of FAAB would you bid for him?
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| 7:35 |
: 10% to 20% in an NL only
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| 7:36 |
: Schneider or McCormick ROS?
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| 7:36 |
: schneider at this point
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| 7:36 |
: Drop Melendez for L Taveras? 13 team mixed redraft
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| 7:36 |
: Sure … I think both can be streamed at this point
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| 7:37 |
: Is CES a cut in a 12 teamer 5×5 for a Manzardo or Jon Singleton type? He was bad before the injury and no IL spot is making me lean towards a cut.
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| 7:37 |
: I’m moving on in the two spots I have him. Singleton might be an improvement
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| 7:37 |
: In the new Player Rater (nice tool!) the various ROS projections have have Kutter rated between 80 and 120 – a lot lower than he’s rated for the start of the season. Do you see underlying metrics that justify that drop or that concern you? Is it time to sell high?
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| 7:38 |
: The projections now see him as a full-time starter so his ratios got worse. His preseason projection was too ambitious.
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| 7:38 |
: Deep OBP league…feel like it’s time to move on from Jorge Polanco. Please rank Neto, Julien, Toro, Gorman, Drury, J Ortiz, B Lowe as MI replacements.
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| 7:39 |
: I’d prefer Polonco over all of them. If I squint hard enough, maybe I’d add Neto
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| 7:40 |
: Seriously considering playing for 2025 due to poor roster management and major under performance. 12 team AL only 5×5 H2H keeper league using W+QS and S+1/2H. $260 team salary. Pick 2 to throw $1 at between Hendriks (may be closing in Aug), Felix Bautista, Bieber (FA in 2025), Drew Rasmussen (3rd TJ), Story and Alex Manoah.
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| 7:41 |
: Manoah and Rasmussen. With both, you will know this season how they are doing. If horrible, you can then move onto your other choices
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| 7:41 |
: 12 team league. I have 738 left in FAAB how much would you for Friedl? 8th in runs, 6th in homeruns and stolen bases.
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| 7:42 |
: I feel it’s going to take $100 but he didn’t go for that much last week in the NFBC. One sec …
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| 7:44 |
:
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| 7:45 |
: This are the bids in the 12-team OC leagues on the NFBC
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| 7:45 |
: A $40 would have won him in each league. I’m not sure how much those will go up this week
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| 7:46 |
: Benson, Frelick, Lipscomb, B. Alexander all seem to be underperforming a bit. How many will pick it up and how many will be back in AAA fairly soon?
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| 7:46 |
: I have no faith in any of them
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| 7:46 |
: Been hit by the injury bug
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| 7:46 |
: Aren’t we all
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| 7:46 |
: Soderstrom, Eddie Rosario or Carlos Santana for my utility spot. 15 team mixed roto. OBP instead of AVG. Thanks
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| 7:46 |
: Santana
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| 7:47 |
: How many SP in article would you prefer Weaver or R. Walker over. Just accruing stats over 5-6 IP/week
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| 7:47 |
: About the top 8 or so …
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| 7:47 |
: Woods Rich and above
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| 7:48 |
: BAL prospects Holliday and Mayo getting lots of hype. Should Norby be on the list too?
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| 7:49 |
: They are all kind of worthless for fantasy unless someone on the MLB roster gets hurt. I think Kjerstad might be the best of the lot and he just wasting away on the MLB bench
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| 7:49 |
: Congrats and enjoy the graduation next week!
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| 7:49 |
: Thanks
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| 7:50 |
: I’m looking to add a bench bat. With all else being equal, how would you rank Neto, Pederson, Kirilloff, Garver, W. Abreu, Loperfido?
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| 7:50 |
: With these options, you should be looking to stream the best option each week.
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| 7:51 |
: With no centext … Neto, Kirilloff, Abreu
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| 7:51 |
: Bat speed leaderboard just dropped https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/bat-tracking
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| 7:51 |
: Thanks
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| 7:51 |
: Any decent choice in a 12 team league between Elder, L Allen, Heaney?
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| 7:51 |
: no
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| 7:51 |
: in a league where saves and holds are separate categories, who is the better drop, Schriber or Garrett? Just traded for Fairbanks, so one of them has to go for a bat.
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| 7:51 |
: Schriber
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| 7:52 |
: Bichette had a good couple of games. Are you giving him a shot over a so-so Arenado or cold Eloy or Mullins?
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| 7:52 |
: I would have had him in my lineup the whole time. I every league I play, all four would be starting.
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| 7:54 |
: C. Sanchez over A. Abbott? M. King over Assad before regression hits? CBS points
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| 7:54 |
: Sanchez and Assad
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| 7:55 |
: NL 5×5 – $100 FAB, how much would you spend on Gasser? Prefer Treiner or Beeks?
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| 7:55 |
: From the Tout Wars bids, it looks like it’ll take $8 to $12 to win him
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| 7:56 |
: Machado has been awful. Drop him for Joey Ortiz?
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| 7:56 |
: No … hell no
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| 7:56 |
: Need some help in my infield. Please rank ROS: J. Polanco, Lux, Lipscomb, A. Rosario, E. Suarez
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| 7:57 |
: Polanco …. Suarez, Rosario (when playing)…………Lipscomb, Lux
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| 7:57 |
: Add for a a backup for Riley 🙏. Ezequiel Duran, IKF, Jose Miranda, Brendon, Rodgers ? Mixed roto
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| 7:57 |
: Miranda, Rodgers, IKF, Duran
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| 7:57 |
: Believe in Davis Schneider and his eye-popping Baseball Savant page?
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| 7:57 |
: I have been but the playing time has held him back.
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| 7:58 |
: Is he worth holding on to?
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| 7:59 |
: Depends on the WW options
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| 7:59 |
: What’s your take on me? Solid add if ready to give up on someone like India?
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| 8:00 |
: Just a streaming platoon back. Have to check the upcoming schedule
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| 8:00 |
: Is goldy a drop in 14 man OBP league or a bench for now?
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| 8:00 |
: Bench
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| 8:01 |
: Deep 12tm AL-Only 4×4 roto…which plug-your-nose-and-hope-it-works-out 1B has the better ROS upside: MJ Melendez or Andrew Vaughn?
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| 8:01 |
: Vaughn
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| 8:01 |
: Tanner Scott is doing pretty much nothing at this point. Cut for a streaming starter or hold in hopes of he starts providing save value?
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| 8:01 |
: Hold if you need those Saves. Might belong on your bench
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| 8:02 |
: Have a IL logjam with Jung Hoo Lee and Swanson getting hurt this week, is Shane Baz ok to drop? Was excited for him this season but he has been struggling in his first 2 rehab starts and seems like the stuff/command is not there, but could just be rust
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| 8:02 |
: Drop Lee, keep Baz
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| 8:02 |
: Are we still in Small Sample area for Jo Adell or is the breakout really happening?
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| 8:03 |
: I think some of the changes seem real and not BABIP driven.
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| 8:03 |
: Manzardo or Singleton? (I know you had Manzardo higher in your WW piece, but asking for OBP league in particular)
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| 8:04 |
: I’d still take a shot on Manzardo and if it’s not working in a week or two.
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| 8:04 |
: Tork got dropped in our 12 team roto. Where would Tork rank in this week’s article?
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| 8:05 |
: At the top.
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| 8:05 |
: you think Chourio figures it out ROS? He a buy/sell/hold for you in re-draft?
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| 8:06 |
: All rookies seem to be struggling (THE BAT was right). The days of every rookie just taking off is on pause.
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| 8:07 |
: So many highly touted rookies who’ve been called up have struggled once brought up. Manzardo is available tonight and he’s not playing everyday plus struggling so far. How much FAAB do I need to bid to get him? We use $100 FAAB and have $31 left. Last week Loperfido went for $9. 12 team AL only keeper league.
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| 8:07 |
: If it’s keeper, you need to go $10 to $12 dollars.
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| 8:08 |
: It’s your one chance to roster him
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| 8:08 |
: 12-tm, dynasty, 6×6 (OPS & QS)
Been hit by the injury bug recently. Currently have Woodruff, Strider, Pepiot, and Soler in the 4 IL spots with D. Swanson, Conforto, and Rengifo taking up bench spots. Conforto has to be the first cut if looking to make a move, right? |
| 8:08 |
: Conforto is an easy #1. Soler is the next option
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| 8:09 |
: Edmundo Sosa, worth streaming for a few weeks?
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| 8:09 |
: No really
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| 8:09 |
: In a 12 team AL only keeper league if playing for next season would you trade Gausman $25 for either Singer $5 or Taj Bradley $5? $260 team salary and owners appear to be shying away from high priced SPs.
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| 8:09 |
: Hold Gausman
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| 8:09 |
: Drop one: Tyler Black or Wyatt Langford. Need runs and BA. Is a Chourio demotion possible, and maybe Black comes back up?
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| 8:09 |
: Black
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| 8:10 |
: I need a 1B. I have a couple hurt.. Is Raley an upgrade over Urshela?. Or just wait on Gio… Thank you
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| 8:10 |
: Wait on Gio
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| 8:10 |
: Congrats on the daughter graduation! Hopefully it goes better than recent prospect graduations…
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| 8:10 |
: Same, I’m so happy for her
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| 8:11 |
: Jeff – my 12 man lg is notoriously slow on prospects. If you had to stash one right now (equal needs) – James Wood or Coby Mayo?
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| 8:11 |
: Wood
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| 8:11 |
: 10 team Redraft league I was offered Andy Pages and Christian Scott for my Jack Flaherty, I don’t know what to make of Flaherty. He can’t possibly be this good can he? Should I just enjoy the ride?
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| 8:11 |
: Take the hitters
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| 8:11 |
: Well played next week Jeff. Tell your daughter Congratulations and thanks for Sunday night chats
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| 8:12 |
: Thanks. It’ll be a nice break
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| 8:12 |
: Drop lorenzen or wacha 15 team mixed?
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| 8:12 |
: Lorenzen for sure. As for Wacha, depends on the replacement
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| 8:12 |
: What are you doing with Turnbull right now?
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| 8:14 |
: Holding. I just consider him to be an injury or prospect stash who had a 1.57 ERA and 9.4 K/9.
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| 8:14 |
: Who to add as a back up for Riley 🙏: Ezequiel Duran,
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| 8:14 |
: Allen, Toro, and Ramos
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| 8:15 |
: I’d hold Siri and Jones and let the others go
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| 8:15 |
: 11 Team Roto, CI p/u Tork, C. Santana or Singleton for this week?
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| 8:15 |
: Singleton
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| 8:15 |
: Woo or Chistian Scott, who do you like more ros?
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| 8:15 |
: scott
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| 8:15 |
: Lars Nootbaar is on the waiver wire. Should I drop any of Chourio, Jarren Duran, or Jacob Young for him, or stand pat with those guys at OF?
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| 8:15 |
: Stand
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| 8:16 |
: Hi Jeff, thank you for these weeklies. I am in fourth place and have a fall IL squad consisting of Dominguez ($1 keeper), McLain, Baz, Devin Williams ($3 keeper) and Pepiot. I have an opportunity to trade for Austin Riley, Fairbanks or Hader + Jazz. Should I wait it out or should I pull trigger? I also have Caminero in NA just waiting to be called up
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| 8:17 |
: Hold to find out the extent of Riley’s injury
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| 8:17 |
: Congrats to your daughter – with the Wesneski to the bullpen news 😬 are you still holding if you picked him up already or dropping?
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| 8:17 |
: Just hold. I’m not sure if they rest of the staff can stay healthy
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| 8:17 |
: When you look at newly released bat tracking data (hooray!) and see that Morel has outstanding bat speed, does it change your perception him as a hitter at all? Or are his swing decisions poor enough that you think he’ll always struggle to live up to his physical tools?
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| 8:19 |
: I’ll go on a small rant … 95% of the info on Savant already tracks hard-hit balls and now they have another source to verify if someone is hitting the ball hard. I think the info will be noise and plan on having others figure out if any of it will be useful.
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| 8:20 |
: Better 2B pickup ROS in OBP league, Garcia Jr or Schneider?
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| 8:20 |
: Schneider
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| 8:20 |
: Soederstrom PT estimate?
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| 8:20 |
: 60% and on some formats, he’s just Util-only
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| 8:20 |
: Drop Detmers for Paddack, QS league
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| 8:20 |
: yes
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| 8:21 |
: Any sense of whether Miguel Vargas will get a shot here? Mashing in AAA (albeit PCL)
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| 8:21 |
: There needs to be an opening on the MLB club. The obvious one is SS
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| 8:21 |
: Lost Casas which hurts because the wire options stink (Manzardo, Singleton, Wade, Santana, Nevin). Someone offered me Hoskins for Sale and Reynaldo Lopez. League format favors OPS and devalues starting pitching. Good deal or not?
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| 8:21 |
: Just make the trade for one of the pitchers.
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| 8:22 |
: I know you’ve probably been asked before. But can you set the record straight give me your “great, good, fine, okay, etc” rating structure when it comes to relievers in your FAAB articles (ie is okay better than fine?)? I think I have it right but just want to be sure. Thanks!!
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| 8:23 |
: I’m normal looking at the FG bullpen depth chart and need a way to differentiate the pitchers. This week, everyone ran together with good or great setup men getting added.
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| 8:23 |
: Do you look at Statscast X stats as the real performance when deciding to cut or keep a player?
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| 8:24 |
: Almost never. The only x stat I use is to see if a hitter’s low BABIP is deserved with xAVG.
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| 8:24 |
: Is Conforto worth a hold in 15 team NFBC? Would look to add an OF like E Rosario or J DeLuca.
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| 8:25 |
: Add DeLuca
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| 8:25 |
: Got to drop 1 – Suzuki, Nootbaar, Happ, Springer, Adell, T Ward. 5×5, 23 man, 16 team mixed … thx
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| 8:25 |
: Nootbaar
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| 8:25 |
: He is leading the bids, but might not get more than another start or two, and has had control problems consistently as a pro except for one game in the majors. I don’t get why he is this in demand at this stage of his career. What am I missing? Thanks
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| 8:26 |
: In deeper formats, there are no WW options, so people are grasping at everyone.
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| 8:26 |
: AL only….Had high hopes for Jose Siri and E. Ruiz, but neither doing much. Hold or fold?
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| 8:26 |
: Fold but the options might not be much better
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| 8:27 |
: I’m going to call it tonight. I have Riley in an NFBC league and need to figure out if/how to replace him.
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| 8:28 |
: I’ll be back in two weeks.
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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
Thanks for doing these, Jeff!