7:30 |
Jeff Zimmerman: First off,so everyone knows, there will be no Waiver Wire Chat or Article next week.
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7:31 |
Jeff Zimmerman: It is my daughter’s high school graduation so I will be spending time with my family.
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7:32 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are this week’s bids from the three 15-team Tout Wars leagues.
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7:32 |
Jeff Zimmerman:
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7:32 |
John: Lee has a possible separated shoulder. Time to drop?
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7:33 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I am, he hasn’t been or was projected to be a difference maker.
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7:33 |
Alek Man oh man!: I’m back right?
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7:33 |
Jeff Zimmerman: From the buffett?
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7:34 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m sure others will rush to add him, but I’m going to need a few starts before thinking about having him near my roster.
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7:34 |
PITCHING ROS: Have 2 spots….keep montas, Richardson woods, or paddack.. need wins and Ks.
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7:34 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Rich Woods and Paddack
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7:35 |
KCBBq: Who would you prefer throwing $1 FAAB at between Flexen and Manoah in a 12 team AL only 5×5 H2H league to replace Javier? I’m thinking Javier is still feeling theeffects of that nerve issue in his neck.
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7:35 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I have no preference, maybe target a safe middle reliever
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7:35 |
Guest: Christopher Sanchez is available in my 10 team NL only 5×5. What % of FAAB would you bid for him?
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7:35 |
Jeff Zimmerman: 10% to 20% in an NL only
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7:36 |
Steve: Schneider or McCormick ROS?
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7:36 |
Jeff Zimmerman: schneider at this point
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7:36 |
Bill: Drop Melendez for L Taveras? 13 team mixed redraft
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7:36 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Sure … I think both can be streamed at this point
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7:37 |
The Batman: Is CES a cut in a 12 teamer 5×5 for a Manzardo or Jon Singleton type? He was bad before the injury and no IL spot is making me lean towards a cut.
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7:37 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m moving on in the two spots I have him. Singleton might be an improvement
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7:37 |
Kut Me: In the new Player Rater (nice tool!) the various ROS projections have have Kutter rated between 80 and 120 – a lot lower than he’s rated for the start of the season. Do you see underlying metrics that justify that drop or that concern you? Is it time to sell high?
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7:38 |
Jeff Zimmerman: The projections now see him as a full-time starter so his ratios got worse. His preseason projection was too ambitious.
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7:38 |
Fake Cronenworth: Deep OBP league…feel like it’s time to move on from Jorge Polanco. Please rank Neto, Julien, Toro, Gorman, Drury, J Ortiz, B Lowe as MI replacements.
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7:39 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d prefer Polonco over all of them. If I squint hard enough, maybe I’d add Neto
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7:40 |
KCBBq: Seriously considering playing for 2025 due to poor roster management and major under performance. 12 team AL only 5×5 H2H keeper league using W+QS and S+1/2H. $260 team salary. Pick 2 to throw $1 at between Hendriks (may be closing in Aug), Felix Bautista, Bieber (FA in 2025), Drew Rasmussen (3rd TJ), Story and Alex Manoah.
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7:41 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Manoah and Rasmussen. With both, you will know this season how they are doing. If horrible, you can then move onto your other choices
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7:41 |
Matt: 12 team league. I have 738 left in FAAB how much would you for Friedl? 8th in runs, 6th in homeruns and stolen bases.
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7:42 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I feel it’s going to take $100 but he didn’t go for that much last week in the NFBC. One sec …
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7:44 |
Jeff Zimmerman:
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7:45 |
Jeff Zimmerman: This are the bids in the 12-team OC leagues on the NFBC
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7:45 |
Jeff Zimmerman: A $40 would have won him in each league. I’m not sure how much those will go up this week
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7:46 |
RAGBRAI: Benson, Frelick, Lipscomb, B. Alexander all seem to be underperforming a bit. How many will pick it up and how many will be back in AAA fairly soon?
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7:46 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I have no faith in any of them
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7:46 |
The Sweetest Swing: Been hit by the injury bug
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7:46 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Aren’t we all
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7:46 |
Mike: Soderstrom, Eddie Rosario or Carlos Santana for my utility spot. 15 team mixed roto. OBP instead of AVG. Thanks
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7:47 |
Jon: How many SP in article would you prefer Weaver or R. Walker over. Just accruing stats over 5-6 IP/week
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7:47 |
Jeff Zimmerman: About the top 8 or so …
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7:47 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Woods Rich and above
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7:48 |
Guest: BAL prospects Holliday and Mayo getting lots of hype. Should Norby be on the list too?
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7:49 |
Jeff Zimmerman: They are all kind of worthless for fantasy unless someone on the MLB roster gets hurt. I think Kjerstad might be the best of the lot and he just wasting away on the MLB bench
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7:49 |
RGM: Congrats and enjoy the graduation next week!
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7:50 |
Jake: I’m looking to add a bench bat. With all else being equal, how would you rank Neto, Pederson, Kirilloff, Garver, W. Abreu, Loperfido?
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7:50 |
Jeff Zimmerman: With these options, you should be looking to stream the best option each week.
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7:51 |
Jeff Zimmerman: With no centext … Neto, Kirilloff, Abreu
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7:51 |
Noman: Any decent choice in a 12 team league between Elder, L Allen, Heaney?
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7:51 |
A: in a league where saves and holds are separate categories, who is the better drop, Schriber or Garrett? Just traded for Fairbanks, so one of them has to go for a bat.
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7:52 |
Mike: Bichette had a good couple of games. Are you giving him a shot over a so-so Arenado or cold Eloy or Mullins?
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7:52 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I would have had him in my lineup the whole time. I every league I play, all four would be starting.
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7:54 |
Luxury in points: C. Sanchez over A. Abbott? M. King over Assad before regression hits? CBS points
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7:54 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Sanchez and Assad
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7:55 |
NL: NL 5×5 – $100 FAB, how much would you spend on Gasser? Prefer Treiner or Beeks?
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7:55 |
Jeff Zimmerman: From the Tout Wars bids, it looks like it’ll take $8 to $12 to win him
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7:56 |
Dfan: Machado has been awful. Drop him for Joey Ortiz?
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7:56 |
Jeff Zimmerman: No … hell no
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7:56 |
Good Morning Walltimore!: Need some help in my infield. Please rank ROS: J. Polanco, Lux, Lipscomb, A. Rosario, E. Suarez
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7:57 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Polanco …. Suarez, Rosario (when playing)…………Lipscomb, Lux
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7:57 |
JG: Add for a a backup for Riley 🙏. Ezequiel Duran, IKF, Jose Miranda, Brendon, Rodgers ? Mixed roto
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7:57 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Miranda, Rodgers, IKF, Duran
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7:57 |
Jon: Believe in Davis Schneider and his eye-popping Baseball Savant page?
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7:57 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I have been but the playing time has held him back.
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7:58 |
jordan walker: Is he worth holding on to?
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7:59 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Depends on the WW options
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7:59 |
Luis Garcia Jr.: What’s your take on me? Solid add if ready to give up on someone like India?
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8:00 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Just a streaming platoon back. Have to check the upcoming schedule
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8:00 |
Tony T: Is goldy a drop in 14 man OBP league or a bench for now?
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8:01 |
Guest: Deep 12tm AL-Only 4×4 roto…which plug-your-nose-and-hope-it-works-out 1B has the better ROS upside: MJ Melendez or Andrew Vaughn?
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8:01 |
RP for Me: Tanner Scott is doing pretty much nothing at this point. Cut for a streaming starter or hold in hopes of he starts providing save value?
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8:01 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Hold if you need those Saves. Might belong on your bench
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8:02 |
ILL 12T: Have a IL logjam with Jung Hoo Lee and Swanson getting hurt this week, is Shane Baz ok to drop? Was excited for him this season but he has been struggling in his first 2 rehab starts and seems like the stuff/command is not there, but could just be rust
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8:02 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Drop Lee, keep Baz
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8:02 |
smuckles: Are we still in Small Sample area for Jo Adell or is the breakout really happening?
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8:03 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I think some of the changes seem real and not BABIP driven.
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8:03 |
Can’t Miss Prospect, Past vs. Present: Manzardo or Singleton? (I know you had Manzardo higher in your WW piece, but asking for OBP league in particular)
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8:04 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d still take a shot on Manzardo and if it’s not working in a week or two.
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8:04 |
Rich: Tork got dropped in our 12 team roto. Where would Tork rank in this week’s article?
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8:05 |
Jeff Zimmerman: At the top.
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8:05 |
Frank: you think Chourio figures it out ROS? He a buy/sell/hold for you in re-draft?
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8:06 |
Jeff Zimmerman: All rookies seem to be struggling (THE BAT was right). The days of every rookie just taking off is on pause.
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8:07 |
KCBBq: So many highly touted rookies who’ve been called up have struggled once brought up. Manzardo is available tonight and he’s not playing everyday plus struggling so far. How much FAAB do I need to bid to get him? We use $100 FAAB and have $31 left. Last week Loperfido went for $9. 12 team AL only keeper league.
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8:07 |
Jeff Zimmerman: If it’s keeper, you need to go $10 to $12 dollars.
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8:08 |
Jeff Zimmerman: It’s your one chance to roster him
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8:08 |
The Sweetest Swing: 12-tm, dynasty, 6×6 (OPS & QS)
Been hit by the injury bug recently. Currently have Woodruff, Strider, Pepiot, and Soler in the 4 IL spots with D. Swanson, Conforto, and Rengifo taking up bench spots. Conforto has to be the first cut if looking to make a move, right?
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8:08 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Conforto is an easy #1. Soler is the next option
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8:09 |
Seth: Edmundo Sosa, worth streaming for a few weeks?
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8:09 |
Jeff Zimmerman: No really
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8:09 |
KCBBq: In a 12 team AL only keeper league if playing for next season would you trade Gausman $25 for either Singer $5 or Taj Bradley $5? $260 team salary and owners appear to be shying away from high priced SPs.
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8:09 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Hold Gausman
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8:09 |
brushback33: Drop one: Tyler Black or Wyatt Langford. Need runs and BA. Is a Chourio demotion possible, and maybe Black comes back up?
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8:10 |
Jim: I need a 1B. I have a couple hurt.. Is Raley an upgrade over Urshela?. Or just wait on Gio… Thank you
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8:10 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Wait on Gio
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8:10 |
Graduations: Congrats on the daughter graduation! Hopefully it goes better than recent prospect graduations…
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8:10 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Same, I’m so happy for her
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8:11 |
Garrett: Jeff – my 12 man lg is notoriously slow on prospects. If you had to stash one right now (equal needs) – James Wood or Coby Mayo?
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8:11 |
Bomo: 10 team Redraft league I was offered Andy Pages and Christian Scott for my Jack Flaherty, I don’t know what to make of Flaherty. He can’t possibly be this good can he? Should I just enjoy the ride?
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8:11 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Take the hitters
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8:11 |
Johnny Ringo: Well played next week Jeff. Tell your daughter Congratulations and thanks for Sunday night chats
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8:12 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Thanks. It’ll be a nice break
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8:12 |
Guest: Drop lorenzen or wacha 15 team mixed?
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8:12 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Lorenzen for sure. As for Wacha, depends on the replacement
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8:12 |
Jhk: What are you doing with Turnbull right now?
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8:14 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Holding. I just consider him to be an injury or prospect stash who had a 1.57 ERA and 9.4 K/9.
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8:14 |
JG: Who to add as a back up for Riley 🙏: Ezequiel Duran,
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8:14 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Allen, Toro, and Ramos
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8:15 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d hold Siri and Jones and let the others go
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8:15 |
Guest: 11 Team Roto, CI p/u Tork, C. Santana or Singleton for this week?
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8:15 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Singleton
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8:15 |
Toolsy: Woo or Chistian Scott, who do you like more ros?
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8:15 |
Lars Wootbaar?: Lars Nootbaar is on the waiver wire. Should I drop any of Chourio, Jarren Duran, or Jacob Young for him, or stand pat with those guys at OF?
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8:16 |
In 4th & Confused: Hi Jeff, thank you for these weeklies. I am in fourth place and have a fall IL squad consisting of Dominguez ($1 keeper), McLain, Baz, Devin Williams ($3 keeper) and Pepiot. I have an opportunity to trade for Austin Riley, Fairbanks or Hader + Jazz. Should I wait it out or should I pull trigger? I also have Caminero in NA just waiting to be called up
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8:17 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Hold to find out the extent of Riley’s injury
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8:17 |
Paul H.: Congrats to your daughter – with the Wesneski to the bullpen news 😬 are you still holding if you picked him up already or dropping?
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8:17 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Just hold. I’m not sure if they rest of the staff can stay healthy
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8:17 |
Dan: When you look at newly released bat tracking data (hooray!) and see that Morel has outstanding bat speed, does it change your perception him as a hitter at all? Or are his swing decisions poor enough that you think he’ll always struggle to live up to his physical tools?
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8:19 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I’ll go on a small rant … 95% of the info on Savant already tracks hard-hit balls and now they have another source to verify if someone is hitting the ball hard. I think the info will be noise and plan on having others figure out if any of it will be useful.
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8:20 |
Aaron: Better 2B pickup ROS in OBP league, Garcia Jr or Schneider?
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8:20 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Schneider
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8:20 |
Guest: Soederstrom PT estimate?
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8:20 |
Jeff Zimmerman: 60% and on some formats, he’s just Util-only
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8:20 |
Jimmy Connors: Drop Detmers for Paddack, QS league
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8:21 |
Brad: Any sense of whether Miguel Vargas will get a shot here? Mashing in AAA (albeit PCL)
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8:21 |
Jeff Zimmerman: There needs to be an opening on the MLB club. The obvious one is SS
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8:21 |
Ashtray: Lost Casas which hurts because the wire options stink (Manzardo, Singleton, Wade, Santana, Nevin). Someone offered me Hoskins for Sale and Reynaldo Lopez. League format favors OPS and devalues starting pitching. Good deal or not?
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8:21 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Just make the trade for one of the pitchers.
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8:22 |
Guest: I know you’ve probably been asked before. But can you set the record straight give me your “great, good, fine, okay, etc” rating structure when it comes to relievers in your FAAB articles (ie is okay better than fine?)? I think I have it right but just want to be sure. Thanks!!
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8:23 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m normal looking at the FG bullpen depth chart and need a way to differentiate the pitchers. This week, everyone ran together with good or great setup men getting added.
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8:23 |
Bomo: Do you look at Statscast X stats as the real performance when deciding to cut or keep a player?
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8:24 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Almost never. The only x stat I use is to see if a hitter’s low BABIP is deserved with xAVG.
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8:24 |
GP: Is Conforto worth a hold in 15 team NFBC? Would look to add an OF like E Rosario or J DeLuca.
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8:25 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Add DeLuca
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8:25 |
Tommy Shanks: Got to drop 1 – Suzuki, Nootbaar, Happ, Springer, Adell, T Ward. 5×5, 23 man, 16 team mixed … thx
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8:25 |
Gasser: He is leading the bids, but might not get more than another start or two, and has had control problems consistently as a pro except for one game in the majors. I don’t get why he is this in demand at this stage of his career. What am I missing? Thanks
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8:26 |
Jeff Zimmerman: In deeper formats, there are no WW options, so people are grasping at everyone.
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8:26 |
Berra8: AL only….Had high hopes for Jose Siri and E. Ruiz, but neither doing much. Hold or fold?
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8:26 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Fold but the options might not be much better
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8:27 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m going to call it tonight. I have Riley in an NFBC league and need to figure out if/how to replace him.
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8:28 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I’ll be back in two weeks.
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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
Thanks for doing these, Jeff!