Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat
7:30 |
: Welcome.
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7:31 |
: Here are the bids from the two 15-team Tout Wars leagues.
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7:32 |
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7:32 |
: Do you think Kerkering has a good chance to be the Phillies closer?
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7:32 |
: No, I think they will continue to share the role
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7:33 |
: Drop Jose Alvarado or Abner Uribe for Jeff Hoffman or Michael Kopech? Hoffman getting more 9th inning chances and Uribe came in today in the 7th for the heart of the BAL order and struggled.
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7:33 |
: I’d drop Uribe for Kopech
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7:33 |
: Jordan Walker was dropped and I have the #1 ww priority in my 10 teams redraft points league. Should I pull the trigger?
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7:33 |
: Yes, add good players to your team.
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7:33 |
: Better speculative add: Ben Brown or Christian Scott?
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7:34 |
: Both of these two should be great. I’ve been adding Brown when possible because I can get stats now
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7:34 |
: Would you drop V.Scott for Perkins or Jacob Young (or both)?
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7:35 |
: I’d add Young over Scott2. Just know, Young is probably a bad baseball player
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7:35 |
: Need to DROP one (AL OBP league): Noda, Harold Ramirez, Tyler Freeman. Thank you!
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7:36 |
: Ramirez if he’s Util only. Otherwise Freeman
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7:36 |
: Who gets the longer leash, Matz or McKenzie? One gets dropped when Braxton Garrett returns, right?
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7:36 |
: You can drop McKenzie now
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7:36 |
: You rolling with Michael Lorenzen tomorrow at the Tigers in his season debut?
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7:37 |
: God no. There is a reason Lorenzen wasn’t signed until the season started. He sucks. Go with a middle reliever
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7:37 |
: Hi Jeff, in an 18 teamer. Are u holding onto Gavin Williams?, or possibly dropping him for either Y. Rodriguez/Butto/Criswell? Thank you
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7:37 |
: I’d drop for Butto
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7:37 |
: What kind of FAAB is needed to get Holliday and Hamilton in a 12 team AL only 5×5 H2H using W+QS? Have $84 of 100 FAAB. Last week Langford went for 44 and I was the underbidder at 43. Next highest was upper 30s. I was thinking upper 30s for Holliday and 10-13 for Hamilton. Concern for Holliday is his projections don’t show much pop.
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7:39 |
: I’m surprised Langford went for so little. My guess it’ll take more than $44 since people saw it as a benchmark. In an AL only with little to no talent showing up, I’d go $50+
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7:39 |
: Hi Jeff, I’m looking for an upgrade over Tim Anderson at MI on the wire. Blaze Alexander, Bryce Turang, David Hamilton and Ahmed Rosario are available. Like any or have any thoughts on someone else? Thanks!
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7:40 |
: Turang for sure. Then Alexander. The other two seem like a lateral move and just go off the schedule
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7:40 |
: For a team that needs help everywhere, would you rather add Jeff Hoffman or Junior Caminero?
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7:40 |
: Junior
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7:41 |
: cut oliver dunn for jorge polanco obp roto?
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7:41 |
: Yes
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7:41 |
: Thoughts on starting Bassitt vs NYY in an AL only league or sit for middle reliever to protect ratios?
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7:41 |
: I’d role out Bassitt. The is nothing specially about the Yankees lineup.
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7:42 |
: Things picked pretty clean over here. What do you think the odds are that Yates has the closer job in TEX?
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7:42 |
: 70%
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7:42 |
: How much of a leash do you give Byron Buxton in a points league where Ks are -1?
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7:42 |
: Depends on the WW options.
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7:43 |
: Cole is not progressing very fast. Do you think he might come back some time in June?
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7:43 |
: I have no idea about his injury time frame. I have to go with what the teams says
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7:43 |
: Vinnie P going to be okay?
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7:44 |
: Sometime but hitters who come off shoulder surgery struggle.
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7:44 |
: Who’s a hitter who likely went undrafted and is on the waiver wire that is likely to breakout soon?
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7:44 |
: You tell me and I’d pick him.
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7:44 |
: Would you cut ginkel to add yates
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7:45 |
: Yes because you might have Yates for the whole year.
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7:45 |
: Expectations for Busch and Cowser ROS?
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7:46 |
: Tempered, I’m not as excited as the crowd. It feels like people are getting antsy to make some large FAAB bids.
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7:46 |
: Is Triston McKenzie cooked?
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7:46 |
: Likely
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7:47 |
: Which two would you keep of Andrew Abbott, Mackenzie Gore, Mason Miller, Ben Brown and Peter Fairbanks? SP and RP depth/needs are equal.
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7:47 |
: Miller and Brown
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7:47 |
: Thoughts on Butto’s performance today?
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7:47 |
: One to check two items on it.
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7:48 |
: Butto velo is fine. It was down in AAA
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7:49 |
: I can’t find Butto’s Ball%. I was wanting to see if he continued to throw strikes.
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7:50 |
: I’m interested where he’s available.
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7:50 |
: whitlock or weathers for the upcoming week?
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7:50 |
: Whitlock. Weathers seems toast
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7:50 |
: Thanks, Jeff,12 Team league with little on the wire…is Hunter Brown worth holding?
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7:51 |
: No, depending on the options.
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7:51 |
: Butto 41% balls today
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7:51 |
: Normally, that points to a 4.7 BB/9. Just know walks could be coming
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7:52 |
: Roster Resource has Brown out of the Cubs’ rotation with Taillon’s return but you think Brown sticks?
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7:52 |
: I want him on my team, even if it’s as a “stash”
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7:52 |
: Hoffman or Fairbamks in s+holds format?
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7:52 |
: Both
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7:53 |
: Hoffman I guess
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7:53 |
: Does Yariel Rodriguez interest you at all? Worth a sizable bid in a 15 tm?
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7:54 |
: I’m ignoring/not interested.
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7:54 |
: Christian Scott or Ben Brown for DL Hall?
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7:54 |
: Yes on both
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7:54 |
: would data back up the idea that age 21-23 seasons (or so) are more likely to be average or worse than the market treats them?
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7:55 |
: I think we only remember the greats who come up and succeed at that age and forget the missed.
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7:55 |
: Nobody in fantasy expert circle honing in on Yariel Rodriguez? Why? Looked great in recent start.
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7:57 |
: Before I pay a ton of FAAB on him, I want to see him go longer 3.2 IP (68 Pitches).
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7:57 |
: 2.1 and 4.0 IP in the minors.
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7:58 |
: Any love for Jesse Winker?
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7:59 |
: Winker is streamable in most formats with other similar guys.
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7:59 |
: Drop Mitch Garver for Luis Campesano? 12 team 5×5 OBP league. Getting nothing from my C slot but can be patient if Garver’s worth holding a bit.
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7:59 |
: I’d stick with Garver
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7:59 |
: JP Sears wasn’t on your (invaluable!) WW list. Is he ahead or behind his teammate Paul Blackburn?
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8:00 |
: Sears in ahead. Roster% was too high for rankings
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8:00 |
: My team is light on homers and RBIs in a 12 team NFBC league, and I could use a more defined OF quintet so I can use Mookie in the middle infield. How deep should I be going on Cowser? There’s just a part of me that feels like he’s early season fool’s gold but I also know heavy is the only play to get him.
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8:01 |
: I’m not going heavy and in my 12’s, there are a ton of Steamable outfielders. Go after the COL guys. they are at home in 3 of the next 4 series and should run wild this week.
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8:01 |
: Hey Jeff, please help me choose 1 of these SP to start this week: Keaton Winn @MIA, Jon Gray @DET & @ATL, Ben Brown @ARI, Eovaldi @ATL. H2H points league that scores 10 pts for a W, no penalty for an L. Thanks.
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8:01 |
: Winn here
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8:02 |
: Salvy or Cal Raleigh, OBP league. Worried about the former’s groin and the latter K-rate.
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8:02 |
: It’s nice to have those options. I’m eyeing Pinto as a Perez replacement in one league
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8:02 |
: Is the Markel Garcia hype train derailed?
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8:03 |
: The hype is over but he’s still a decent option
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8:03 |
: I’m sure he’s going to stop hitting HRs eventually, but Michael Busch…how big of a league are we comfortable starting him at 1B in?
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8:03 |
: Again, who are the other options.
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8:03 |
: Bradford worth a hold with the back injury? 12 team mixed.
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8:04 |
: No, my 12’s had equivalent options on the wire. Now in 15s, you might need to hold.
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8:04 |
: 13 team mixed redraft…what % of FAAB for Cowser? Would be replacing Meadows
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8:05 |
: The hype is insane. I think it’ll take 20% bids.
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8:05 |
: What percent of FAAB would you spend on Skenes if he were called up?
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8:05 |
: 20% to 40%
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8:06 |
: winn at Miami OR Varland 2 step at Balt, vs Det
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8:06 |
: I’m not sure Varland belongs in the majors as a starter. I’m dropping him where I have him and moving on.
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8:07 |
: Winn is my chose here
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8:07 |
: Deep league SP struggles. Blackburn, Perez, Yariel is as good as it gets in FA. Better to just sit on Tiedemann?
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8:07 |
: I’d drop any of them for Tiedermann
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8:07 |
: Hi Jeff! Am I nuts to read Jordan Westburg’s upticks in barrels, FB%, and xslg to suggest a possible power spike?
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8:08 |
: It’s a week but everyone walking around aroused so if you want him, it’s the week to pay up
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8:09 |
: When I’m King I’ll mandate fresh popcorn in all movie theaters, an end to daylight savings time, radio stations can only play music (no talk shows peddling faux outrage and endless bickering) and FAAB bidding will be moved worldwide to Mondays. 🙂
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8:09 |
: Thurdays work better because of the MLB sechedule
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8:10 |
: Is Alvarado a must hold in 12 team 5×5 SV only? He’s my fourth closer (E Diaz, Phillips, Ginkel) and roster is tight / need the spot for SP depth
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8:10 |
: I’d get a starter if decent. In some spots, I’m moving to an extra hitter
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8:10 |
: I have too many marlins pitchers! Who is my weak link? Puk, weather’s, Meyer? I assume puk. Where would he rank On your ww article today?
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8:11 |
: Puk and Weathers can be dropped for middle relievers.
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8:12 |
: When do teams start the changes in roster, looking at Houston and Luperfido up for Abreu
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8:13 |
: Usually two-weeks to a month. I’ve heard that some players are told this time.
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8:13 |
: I added Luperfido in the ToutWars league and could see him come up at center or first.
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8:13 |
: Jeff, all of us out here grinding FAAB tonight appreciate your hard work. Thanks!
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8:13 |
: You’re welcome
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8:14 |
: Had high hopes for a Canning break out, doesn’t look like it. Drop him for Butto?
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8:14 |
: Sure but you might dropping Butto next week
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8:14 |
: Too early to move on from Tanner Scott? The walks are back in a big way.
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8:15 |
: I’d try to maybe upgrade or get another closer.
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8:15 |
: I have one NA spot that I’m currently using for JD Martinez. Would you drop for Hjerstad?
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8:15 |
: No, I’m not sure where Hjerstad will play
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8:16 |
: chris paddock is on the WW in my 15 team high stakes league. would you bid on him? if so, how much would you put down for him?
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8:16 |
: yes and between 1% and 3%
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8:16 |
: Prefer Jose Siri or Brice Turang as a near term SB source?
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8:16 |
: Just SB, Turang
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8:16 |
: Thanks for doing these
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8:17 |
: You benching Gausman until he proves himself?
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8:17 |
: Maybe, some leagues I don’t have the depth
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8:17 |
: Talked myself into Morel as a long term 3B solution with his early CT% improvement but with his 4th 0 for 4 in a row he’s streaky as ever. Would you go for Westburg, Hayes, or Chapman over him?
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8:17 |
: I like Morel over those other options.
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8:18 |
: Drop Rafaela for B.Doyle ? Mix roto
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8:18 |
: Yes, but it might be for just the next 2 weeks
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8:18 |
: Pick up Bryan Woo for free and hold?
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8:18 |
: Sure but depends on your drop.
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8:18 |
: SSS obviously, but Joey Bart — potential second catcher in a 2 catcher 15 team league?
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8:19 |
: Not sure just yet.
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8:19 |
: In Patriots Day week, where rosters lock early are you keeping Salvy in the lineup and taking your chance with him?
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8:19 |
: So far, yes. The main reason is that the options haven’t been great.
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8:20 |
: I have a few more leagues to do after this and I’ll see if the options are better there (I doubt it)
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8:20 |
: Hunter Brown may have had worst start in MLB history vs, HOU the other day. But how can such a highly-touted arm be deemed so droppable based on one bad 1/2 hour?
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8:21 |
: He wasn’t exactly good before that.
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8:21 |
: Expectations for David Hamilton ROS? O/U 100 games
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8:21 |
: Under
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8:22 |
: Hey Jeff, thanks for doing these chats. Speculating on saves in 12-team 5×5 roto, which of the following relievers would you be in on: Brock Stewart, Jason Adam, Jeff Hoffman, or Kirby Yates?
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8:22 |
: Hoffman and Yates
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8:22 |
: What bid % would you put on brown in nl only?
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8:22 |
: 5%
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8:23 |
: Hi Jeff, In a 12 team roto, would you dump Drury for Olivares and would pick up recently dumped Pfaadt over a Pepiot/R. Lopez type?
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8:23 |
: Keep Drury and add Pfaady for Lopez
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8:23 |
: Hey, Jeff–want to replace Gallegos with F. Cruz, Romero, or Kerkering. Who’s your pick in a 15 team roto? (Thanks)
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8:24 |
: I don’t like any of these options. I’d just add another starter
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8:24 |
: drop D Varsho for E Olivares?
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8:24 |
: no
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8:24 |
: How would you rank Shelby Miller, David Robertson, and Jeff Hoffman for general usefulness and the occasional save in a deep standard 5×5 roto league?
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8:24 |
: Hoffman, Miller, Robertson
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8:24 |
: Butto or Turnbull?
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8:24 |
: Turnbull
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8:25 |
: James Wood a viable pick up in NFBC now? Seems like he’s going to force his way up soon
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8:25 |
: If available, add him.
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8:25 |
: OK, I’m going to stop a few minutes early to look over my NFBC leagues before FAAB runs.
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8:25 |
: Good luck.
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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.