Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Welcome

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are the bids from one of the Tout Wars mixed leagues.

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: CMorel 180
DFletcher 54
CSchmitt 48
LOrtiz 48
MMoniak 44
BMiller 32
MLorenzen 22
MWacha 22
DPeterson 21
CSilseth 20
GSoto 17
TanScott 17
HBrazoban 15
AIbanez 14
SDominguez 13
WPeralta 11
PSmith 11
FFermin 9
RGrossman 7
JOviedo 7
PDeJong 5
JDiaz 1
CStratton 1
KKiermaier 0

7:34
Jeff Zimmerman: And from the other one:

7:34
Jeff Zimmerman: EPerez 310
CMorel 188
CKimbrel 105
DFloro 69
DFletcher 47
NPratto 45
TTaylor 36
LTaveras 35
LOrtiz 27
GCanning 26
HHarvey 25
MWacha 25
BBelt 25
JPCrawford 24
MCastro 22
CSchmitt 22
RGrossman 18
DPeterson 18
CSilseth 12
MMcLain 8
PBattenfield 4
KFarmer 1
MThaiss 0
GSoto 0
JBauers 0
ERosario 0

7:34
Jeff Zimmerman: Sorry for the change of format. I’m not on my normal computer.

7:34
mm47: Lost Rasmussen in a QS 10 team league. Smyly, Berrios, Wells, Varland in your order of preference please

7:35
Jeff Zimmerman: Berrios, Wells, Varland, Smyly

7:35
Steve: Thanks for taking the time Jeff. ROS  (ATC and BatX) projections pretty close for Chris Taylor,JH Bae, Chris Morel, and Enrique Hernandez.  Hernandez seems to have the most solid PT, im thinking Morel the best upside. Taylor has been hot lately and Bae seems to have cooled and be playing less. Any strong preference for ROS or just stream based on matchups? 12 team nfbc style

7:36
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d take a chance on Morel right now. The others (or similar guys) will be on the wire all year.

7:36
Outfield Desperation: Hi. Desperate for an outfielder in al only (OBP). Anyone worth taking in Taylor Trammel, Josh H. Smith, Nick Maton, Willie Calhoun, Nick Eaton?

7:36
Jeff Zimmerman: Maton and then Trammel

7:36
Rickey: Alex Kirilloff or Matt Mervis in a redraft OBP league?

7:36
Jeff Zimmerman: Kirilloff

7:36
Jeff Zimmerman: brb, I forgot I put a pizza in the oven

7:38
Guest: Would you rather have JJ Bleday or Alex Kirilloff in a dynasty format?

7:38
Jeff Zimmerman: Bleday based on injury history

7:38
Guestie: What order of FAB priority for Floro and M.Castro?

7:40
Jeff Zimmerman: This is a tough one. I think Floro gets the closer’s job 70% of the time, with Castro 30%. That Save today pushed up the chances

7:40
Jeff Zimmerman: I think Castro should be added by teams needing Saves for that 30% chance.

7:40
Jeff: Hi Jeff, any value you see for Tommy Henry, 10-team NL?

7:40
Jeff Zimmerman: Possibly streamed against weaker teams

7:41
Bill: Bidding for Lane Thomas in redraft.  Who would you drop Benintendi, Haniger, or Brian Anderson?  Thanks

7:42
Jeff Zimmerman: Anderson

7:42
E: Lance Lynn…What do i do!?

7:42
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m rolling him out and hope he doesn’t keep getting hit around

7:42
Keith Hernandez’ cat: Thanks for so much timely, actionable info, Jeff. If Yandy Diaz is out for an appreciable time, who benefits more: Isaac Paredes or Luke Raley?

7:43
Jeff Zimmerman: Raley

7:43
Joe: Please rank for ROS in 12 team h2h league; Merrill Kelly, Ober, Varland and Bello. Thanks

7:43
Jeff Zimmerman: That’s the order IMO

7:43
Brash Brothers: I want Matt Brash to be a thing but he is really struggling. HBP and walked in runs today. Have him as a $1 keeper in AL only, but should I cut for a starter/save spec (Houck, Wandy Peralta)?

7:44
Jeff Zimmerman: Add Houck now

7:44
jimmy meatballz: tyler wells or tanner bibee rest of season?

7:45
Jeff Zimmerman: This closer than most will think. Per inning, Bibee. Overall Wells

7:45
Joe: Better rp ROS in h2h with saves and holds and percentage categories Will Smith or Erik Swanson?

7:45
Jeff Zimmerman: With it being AND, Swanson

7:46
Bryan: Thanks for the chat! Any strategies for leagues that have a transaction cap for the season?

7:48
Jeff Zimmerman: Try to look at two to three weeks in the future. Ex. the Rockies have three of the next four series at home. Also, you might want to save more moves for the end as players get shut down and needs are obvious.

7:49
Cash Moni: Interesting to see Moniak get a decent bid. Is he a starter? They’d move Ward to 1st?

7:49
Jeff Zimmerman: I didn’t see it but others might have read or heard something I missed.

7:49
kuff6: 5×5 obp. Need an SS with Horner out. Prefer DeJong, Morel, Lu Ortiz, or JP Crawford?  Thanks!

7:50
Jeff Zimmerman: Morel to see where this goes. Crawford is a sneaky add now that he is leading off

7:50
RJS: Would you drop Lance Lynn to promote either Bryce Miller or Logan Allen?

7:50
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes but I wouldn’t like it

7:50
Nolan: Keep Rasmussen in redraft?

7:50
Jeff Zimmerman: No, I wouldn’t

7:51
Charles: With Cron out, is Moustakas the pick up in NL only?

7:51
Jeff Zimmerman: For now, yes. I’m wondering if Nolan Jones gets the call

7:52
Jack: AL-Only Roster squeeze (weekly moves) – Jake Burger is back but his replacement Jake Bauers has been solid. Is  holding Bauers for this week and trying to trade him getting too cute? Should I just drop him and activate Burger? (Outfield/Third/Corner is full otherwise, except maybe Gavin Sheets).

7:52
Jeff Zimmerman: I would hold Burger of the two.

7:52
Greg: Is Morel’s playing time in trouble when Nico comes back? Is he worth a big bid?

7:53
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes and I backed off huge bids for him for this reason. I could be wrong.

7:53
Lorenzen’s Oil: Lorenzen getting picked up. You mentioned he’s cut the walks even without K’s. Him or Bradish?

7:53
Jeff Zimmerman: Lorenzen

7:54
Chip: Will have to drop one with Severino coming back: J. Gray, Cobb or Varland.

7:54
Jeff Zimmerman: Varland. If you can trade, see if someone is interested.

7:54
Jim: If Lance Lynn is available, is he a better pick than these waiver guys? (Ortiz, E.Perez, Varland, Lorenzen)

7:54
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d add Perez first and then Lynn over the rest

7:55
David: How high would you go for Casey Schmitt in a 12 team nl only?

7:55
Jeff Zimmerman: At least $20 and one sec …

7:56
Jeff Zimmerman: … I can’t find a bid for him in NL Tout so he must have been rostered

7:56
kuff6: Looking for saves. Keep Alzolay or go for Floro, M Castro or G Soto? Thanks!

7:56
Getting close: Need saves. Standard 5×5. Please rank RoS: Kimbrel, Alzolay, Finnegan, Z.Jackson, M.Castro, D.Floro.

7:57
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d rank them Jackson, Floro, Finnegan, Kimbel, Soto, Alzolay, Castro

7:58
A.: someone in my league dropped Hunter Greene. I assume he comes in ahead of the other ww pitchers. What percentage would you bid on him?

7:58
Jeff Zimmerman: Some amount people have been bidding on the rookie pitchers (20% to 40%)

7:58
Johnny: Is B Doyle worthy of an NL only 10 team 5×5 roster spot?
And when is it right to jettison Winker and/or W Myers?

7:59
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes, especially with all the games at COL coming up.

7:59
Bims: What kind of topping on that pizza

7:59
Jeff Zimmerman: Trader Joes pepperoni. Easily the best over the counter frozen pizza out there.

7:59
Omar Infante: Hey, Jeff! Michael Lorenzen has looked good his last couple outings. Worthwhile pickup in a 12-team AL only league, given the pitching carnage?

8:00
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes and he might be down to 4 pitches

8:00
Porcho Villa: Best all around upside play for this year or as a keeper: Kirilloff, Suwinski, Wade, Soler, Schmitt (12 team 5×5 OBP)

8:00
Jeff Zimmerman: Soler

8:01
Bruce Live: Bidding on Bello. What %? And who to drop : Pfaadt(was better today) , Ranger Suarez?

8:02
Jeff Zimmerman: I think you are making a lateral move. I’d go for Suarez but just a min bid. I’m fine missing out on Bello to keep Suarez

8:02
nfbcoc: is Ke’Bryan Hayes droppable in 12 tm NFBC?

8:02
Jeff Zimmerman: It all comes down to his replacement

8:02
Johnny5Alive: Based on some of your answers tonight, you’d maybe put Schmitt above morel in an NL only?

8:03
Jeff Zimmerman: No. My issue with both is that they could lose playing time at any point.

8:03
Houck: Interesting to hear you put in for Houck given mixed results. Houck, Canning or Bradish?

8:03
Jeff Zimmerman: That order

8:03
Vince: Hi! 10-tm H2H category.  Like everyone, can’t find good, consistent SPs … Nola (again, today), Senga, Morton, all can’t be trusted.  Was lucky to grab Perez! Need waiver wire help … Ober, Logan Taylor Allen, Heaney, Smiley some names available.  Thoughts.

8:04
Jeff Zimmerman: Those options are amazing. If names like that are on the wire, just stream away based on matchups

8:05
HappyFunBall: In case I’m losing my CI/UT (Yandy) Should I hold E. Valdez? Or drop to bid on Morel, Schmidt, or Raley. 3B eligibility is a nice to have, but not a requirement. 5×5 standard roto.

8:05
Jeff Zimmerman: I think you have to assume Diaz will miss the week or at least most of it

8:05
Jeff Zimmerman: Have a replacement ready

8:05
Sam: Think Soroka will provide any fantasy value this season?

8:06
Jeff Zimmerman: No idea. I’d recommend roster-and-bench. See how his first few starts go then see if he is worth keeping

8:08
nfbcoc: would you rather roster Casas or K Hayes?

8:08
Jeff Zimmerman: Hayes

8:08
Jon: Are we believing in Brandon Pfaadt after his solid outing today against the Giants? He got 11 whiffs which is a good sign

8:08
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d hold. I need to dig in to see if anything changed

8:09
Alvin: How would you rank the following OF options for an AL-only, OBP format: Straw, Siri, Laureano?

8:09
Jeff Zimmerman: Laureano, Straw, Siri

8:09
Puk: Am I a cut or an IL stash?

8:10
Jeff Zimmerman: Stash for a week. Hope for more clarity this week and make a better decision next week.

8:10
Mike: Bader a 12 team OF ie top 36?

8:10
Jeff Zimmerman: no, but can probably be streamed

8:10
Chaz: How high would you go on Paxton in a 10 team mixed league?

8:11
Jeff Zimmerman: After seeing the other options in a 10-team league, min bid

8:11
Bruce Live: Follow up.  I guess you believe R.Suarez can be a better than avg SP in a deep mixed roto?

8:11
Jeff Zimmerman: Compared to the other options, I would want to see how he does.

8:11
Spencer: Hi Jeff. Could you please rank Alex Wood, Paxton and Lorenzen?

8:11
Jeff Zimmerman: Paxton, Wood, Lorenzen

8:12
Whaley: Bello over Bradish?

8:12
Jeff Zimmerman: easy yes

8:12
Phillips: E Phillips has looked good. Do you think he is it now for LA and out of the committee closer situation?

8:13
Jeff Zimmerman: I think he will continue to get the high leverage situations so maybe 60% to 80% of the Saves

8:13
Zach: Drop 2: MMervis, LWade, AVaughn, HBader

8:13
Jeff Zimmerman: Mervis and Wade

8:13
Ricardo: How much would you bid on Bello in an NFBC 15 where you need starters?

8:13
Jeff Zimmerman: $20 to $40 guy

8:14
Jon: Is Eury Perez worth a big bid in a H2H points league or with his innings restraints is it better to stream guys that have better chance at wins and QS? Options like France, Ortiz, Kremer, Battenfield, Bielek or Nelson available to stream for cheap?

8:15
Jeff Zimmerman: You can back off some but he should be good for a couple months.

8:15
Morel: Given 18 and 19% bids for Morel in those 15tm leagues you highlighted, what do you think is a reasonable keep-em-honest-and-maybe-even-win-him-too bid?

8:16
Jeff Zimmerman: No idea. I’m so much lower because I think it might just be 10 days and he’s back down. I’m fine missing out

8:16
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m thinking 5% but it’s going to take way more.

8:16
Jeff Zimmerman: That’s it for this week. I am a bit behind on my own leagues and need to check everything over.





Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

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