Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat
7:31 |
: Welcome
|
7:32 |
|
7:32 |
DFletcher 54 CSchmitt 48 LOrtiz 48 MMoniak 44 BMiller 32 MLorenzen 22 MWacha 22 DPeterson 21 CSilseth 20 GSoto 17 TanScott 17 HBrazoban 15 AIbanez 14 SDominguez 13 WPeralta 11 PSmith 11 FFermin 9 RGrossman 7 JOviedo 7 PDeJong 5 JDiaz 1 CStratton 1 KKiermaier 0 |
7:34 |
: And from the other one:
|
7:34 |
CMorel 188 CKimbrel 105 DFloro 69 DFletcher 47 NPratto 45 TTaylor 36 LTaveras 35 LOrtiz 27 GCanning 26 HHarvey 25 MWacha 25 BBelt 25 JPCrawford 24 MCastro 22 CSchmitt 22 RGrossman 18 DPeterson 18 CSilseth 12 MMcLain 8 PBattenfield 4 KFarmer 1 MThaiss 0 GSoto 0 JBauers 0 ERosario 0 |
7:34 |
|
7:34 |
: Lost Rasmussen in a QS 10 team league. Smyly, Berrios, Wells, Varland in your order of preference please
|
7:35 |
: Berrios, Wells, Varland, Smyly
|
7:35 |
: Thanks for taking the time Jeff. ROS (ATC and BatX) projections pretty close for Chris Taylor,JH Bae, Chris Morel, and Enrique Hernandez. Hernandez seems to have the most solid PT, im thinking Morel the best upside. Taylor has been hot lately and Bae seems to have cooled and be playing less. Any strong preference for ROS or just stream based on matchups? 12 team nfbc style
|
7:36 |
: I’d take a chance on Morel right now. The others (or similar guys) will be on the wire all year.
|
7:36 |
|
7:36 |
: Maton and then Trammel
|
7:36 |
: Alex Kirilloff or Matt Mervis in a redraft OBP league?
|
7:36 |
: Kirilloff
|
7:36 |
: brb, I forgot I put a pizza in the oven
|
7:38 |
: Would you rather have JJ Bleday or Alex Kirilloff in a dynasty format?
|
7:38 |
|
7:38 |
: What order of FAB priority for Floro and M.Castro?
|
7:40 |
: This is a tough one. I think Floro gets the closer’s job 70% of the time, with Castro 30%. That Save today pushed up the chances
|
7:40 |
: I think Castro should be added by teams needing Saves for that 30% chance.
|
7:40 |
: Hi Jeff, any value you see for Tommy Henry, 10-team NL?
|
7:40 |
: Possibly streamed against weaker teams
|
7:41 |
|
7:42 |
: Anderson
|
7:42 |
: Lance Lynn…What do i do!?
|
7:42 |
: I’m rolling him out and hope he doesn’t keep getting hit around
|
7:42 |
: Thanks for so much timely, actionable info, Jeff. If Yandy Diaz is out for an appreciable time, who benefits more: Isaac Paredes or Luke Raley?
|
7:43 |
: Raley
|
7:43 |
|
7:43 |
: That’s the order IMO
|
7:43 |
: I want Matt Brash to be a thing but he is really struggling. HBP and walked in runs today. Have him as a $1 keeper in AL only, but should I cut for a starter/save spec (Houck, Wandy Peralta)?
|
7:44 |
: Add Houck now
|
7:44 |
: tyler wells or tanner bibee rest of season?
|
7:45 |
: This closer than most will think. Per inning, Bibee. Overall Wells
|
7:45 |
|
7:45 |
: With it being AND, Swanson
|
7:46 |
: Thanks for the chat! Any strategies for leagues that have a transaction cap for the season?
|
7:48 |
: Try to look at two to three weeks in the future. Ex. the Rockies have three of the next four series at home. Also, you might want to save more moves for the end as players get shut down and needs are obvious.
|
7:49 |
: Interesting to see Moniak get a decent bid. Is he a starter? They’d move Ward to 1st?
|
7:49 |
: I didn’t see it but others might have read or heard something I missed.
|
7:49 |
|
7:50 |
: Morel to see where this goes. Crawford is a sneaky add now that he is leading off
|
7:50 |
: Would you drop Lance Lynn to promote either Bryce Miller or Logan Allen?
|
7:50 |
: Yes but I wouldn’t like it
|
7:50 |
: Keep Rasmussen in redraft?
|
7:50 |
: No, I wouldn’t
|
7:51 |
|
7:51 |
: For now, yes. I’m wondering if Nolan Jones gets the call
|
7:52 |
: AL-Only Roster squeeze (weekly moves) – Jake Burger is back but his replacement Jake Bauers has been solid. Is holding Bauers for this week and trying to trade him getting too cute? Should I just drop him and activate Burger? (Outfield/Third/Corner is full otherwise, except maybe Gavin Sheets).
|
7:52 |
: I would hold Burger of the two.
|
7:52 |
: Is Morel’s playing time in trouble when Nico comes back? Is he worth a big bid?
|
7:53 |
: Yes and I backed off huge bids for him for this reason. I could be wrong.
|
7:53 |
|
7:53 |
: Lorenzen
|
7:54 |
: Will have to drop one with Severino coming back: J. Gray, Cobb or Varland.
|
7:54 |
: Varland. If you can trade, see if someone is interested.
|
7:54 |
: If Lance Lynn is available, is he a better pick than these waiver guys? (Ortiz, E.Perez, Varland, Lorenzen)
|
7:54 |
: I’d add Perez first and then Lynn over the rest
|
7:55 |
: How high would you go for Casey Schmitt in a 12 team nl only?
|
7:55 |
: At least $20 and one sec …
|
7:56 |
: … I can’t find a bid for him in NL Tout so he must have been rostered
|
7:56 |
: Looking for saves. Keep Alzolay or go for Floro, M Castro or G Soto? Thanks!
|
7:56 |
: Need saves. Standard 5×5. Please rank RoS: Kimbrel, Alzolay, Finnegan, Z.Jackson, M.Castro, D.Floro.
|
7:57 |
: I’d rank them Jackson, Floro, Finnegan, Kimbel, Soto, Alzolay, Castro
|
7:58 |
: someone in my league dropped Hunter Greene. I assume he comes in ahead of the other ww pitchers. What percentage would you bid on him?
|
7:58 |
: Some amount people have been bidding on the rookie pitchers (20% to 40%)
|
7:58 |
And when is it right to jettison Winker and/or W Myers? |
7:59 |
: Yes, especially with all the games at COL coming up.
|
7:59 |
: What kind of topping on that pizza
|
7:59 |
: Trader Joes pepperoni. Easily the best over the counter frozen pizza out there.
|
7:59 |
: Hey, Jeff! Michael Lorenzen has looked good his last couple outings. Worthwhile pickup in a 12-team AL only league, given the pitching carnage?
|
8:00 |
: Yes and he might be down to 4 pitches
|
8:00 |
: Best all around upside play for this year or as a keeper: Kirilloff, Suwinski, Wade, Soler, Schmitt (12 team 5×5 OBP)
|
8:00 |
: Soler
|
8:01 |
: Bidding on Bello. What %? And who to drop : Pfaadt(was better today) , Ranger Suarez?
|
8:02 |
: I think you are making a lateral move. I’d go for Suarez but just a min bid. I’m fine missing out on Bello to keep Suarez
|
8:02 |
: is Ke’Bryan Hayes droppable in 12 tm NFBC?
|
8:02 |
: It all comes down to his replacement
|
8:02 |
: Based on some of your answers tonight, you’d maybe put Schmitt above morel in an NL only?
|
8:03 |
: No. My issue with both is that they could lose playing time at any point.
|
8:03 |
: Interesting to hear you put in for Houck given mixed results. Houck, Canning or Bradish?
|
8:03 |
: That order
|
8:03 |
: Hi! 10-tm H2H category. Like everyone, can’t find good, consistent SPs … Nola (again, today), Senga, Morton, all can’t be trusted. Was lucky to grab Perez! Need waiver wire help … Ober, Logan Taylor Allen, Heaney, Smiley some names available. Thoughts.
|
8:04 |
: Those options are amazing. If names like that are on the wire, just stream away based on matchups
|
8:05 |
: In case I’m losing my CI/UT (Yandy) Should I hold E. Valdez? Or drop to bid on Morel, Schmidt, or Raley. 3B eligibility is a nice to have, but not a requirement. 5×5 standard roto.
|
8:05 |
: I think you have to assume Diaz will miss the week or at least most of it
|
8:05 |
: Have a replacement ready
|
8:05 |
: Think Soroka will provide any fantasy value this season?
|
8:06 |
: No idea. I’d recommend roster-and-bench. See how his first few starts go then see if he is worth keeping
|
8:08 |
: would you rather roster Casas or K Hayes?
|
8:08 |
: Hayes
|
8:08 |
: Are we believing in Brandon Pfaadt after his solid outing today against the Giants? He got 11 whiffs which is a good sign
|
8:08 |
: I’d hold. I need to dig in to see if anything changed
|
8:09 |
: How would you rank the following OF options for an AL-only, OBP format: Straw, Siri, Laureano?
|
8:09 |
: Laureano, Straw, Siri
|
8:09 |
: Am I a cut or an IL stash?
|
8:10 |
: Stash for a week. Hope for more clarity this week and make a better decision next week.
|
8:10 |
: Bader a 12 team OF ie top 36?
|
8:10 |
: no, but can probably be streamed
|
8:10 |
: How high would you go on Paxton in a 10 team mixed league?
|
8:11 |
: After seeing the other options in a 10-team league, min bid
|
8:11 |
: Follow up. I guess you believe R.Suarez can be a better than avg SP in a deep mixed roto?
|
8:11 |
: Compared to the other options, I would want to see how he does.
|
8:11 |
: Hi Jeff. Could you please rank Alex Wood, Paxton and Lorenzen?
|
8:11 |
: Paxton, Wood, Lorenzen
|
8:12 |
: Bello over Bradish?
|
8:12 |
: easy yes
|
8:12 |
: E Phillips has looked good. Do you think he is it now for LA and out of the committee closer situation?
|
8:13 |
: I think he will continue to get the high leverage situations so maybe 60% to 80% of the Saves
|
8:13 |
: Drop 2: MMervis, LWade, AVaughn, HBader
|
8:13 |
: Mervis and Wade
|
8:13 |
: How much would you bid on Bello in an NFBC 15 where you need starters?
|
8:13 |
: $20 to $40 guy
|
8:14 |
: Is Eury Perez worth a big bid in a H2H points league or with his innings restraints is it better to stream guys that have better chance at wins and QS? Options like France, Ortiz, Kremer, Battenfield, Bielek or Nelson available to stream for cheap?
|
8:15 |
: You can back off some but he should be good for a couple months.
|
8:15 |
: Given 18 and 19% bids for Morel in those 15tm leagues you highlighted, what do you think is a reasonable keep-em-honest-and-maybe-even-win-him-too bid?
|
8:16 |
: No idea. I’m so much lower because I think it might just be 10 days and he’s back down. I’m fine missing out
|
8:16 |
: I’m thinking 5% but it’s going to take way more.
|
8:16 |
: That’s it for this week. I am a bit behind on my own leagues and need to check everything over.
|
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.