Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat by Jeff Zimmerman May 8, 2022 7:31 Jeff Zimmerman: Welcome everyone and a heads up. There most likely will not be a chat next week. I will be at my niece’s graduation. 7:31 Jeff Zimmerman: Here are the bids from the two Tout Wars 15-team mixed leagues. 7:31 Jeff Zimmerman: 7:31 Dbax fan: What’re you bidding for Alek Thomas?? 7:32 Jeff Zimmerman: 10 to 20%. 7:33 John: Time to drop Justin Turner? Nelson Cruz? 7:33 Jeff Zimmerman: No on Cruz, possibly on Turner depending on the replacements. 7:33 John: Did Trevor Rodgers and Charlie Morton look better today? 7:33 Jeff Zimmerman: No idea, I didn’t watch them throw 7:33 Kingpin: Arizona’s offense seems to be better the the week or two. Is this just anecdotal, or should we be more careful streaming pitchers against them? 7:34 Jeff Zimmerman: They either hit a ton of homers or nothing. I’m not worried knowing that any start could get out of hand. 7:35 Battered and Old: I always appreciate your insights, Jeff. What percentage FAAB would you spend on George Kirby in a 15 team keeper league? 7:36 Jeff Zimmerman: Kirby’s going for a ton (IMO). In Tout, it was 10% to 20% but I could see teams desperate for pitching go up to 50%. 7:36 Zach: Yepez up for good? 7:36 Jeff Zimmerman: As long as he hits but might be on the strong side of a DH platoon. 7:37 JoeG: Dane Dunning looked good (again) today . Worth an add , my Paddack seems IL bound. Deep mixed roto . Thanks . 7:37 Jeff Zimmerman: I’m back in. I like what he’s doing and I have bids on him where he’s available 7:37 Sho-Time: Quantrill, Strider or Max Meyers 7:37 Jeff Zimmerman: Meyers and it’s not close 7:38 Chris: Thanks for doing these chats, always useful! Bryan Reynolds was dropped in an OCQualifier. What’s a reasonable Faab bid? 30 percent? 7:38 Jeff Zimmerman: 10-30%. 7:38 Adam: Who’s your number 1 and 2 pickup for the week? 7:39 Jeff Zimmerman: Well, I wrote an entire WW article at RotoGraphs. Maybe it says something. 7:39 Kingpin: Streaming my 2nd catcher spot in 8-team NL-only standard 5×5 league. Lineups set on Tuesday. Looks like AZ has 4 games vs lefties. That makes Cooper Hummel an OK streamer for me, no? 7:39 Jeff Zimmerman: Yes, if he’s qualified at C 7:39 Barney: 15-team NFBC format. What % FAAB are you dropping on Jhoan Duran & George Kirby? 7:40 Jeff Zimmerman: Duran is a tough call since he was demoted. I could see him go from 3% to 10% for teams needing steals 7:40 Jeff Zimmerman: Kirby I expect in the 10% to 50% range 7:41 Seth: Kevin Smith–seems like the ingredients are there (good chase rate, good max exit velo), he just hasn’t strung it together. Any hope beyond streaming him for the 9 game week? 7:41 Jeff Zimmerman: Yes, I have several bids in on him 7:41 KC Jones: What are you hearing about Oliveras injury today? 7:41 Jeff Zimmerman: day-to-day but there might be more coming with the Royals 2nd game just getting over 7:42 Johnny5Alive: Super deep NL only league. Drop Rivas or demiritte for Yepez? 7:42 Jeff Zimmerman: yes 7:42 JC: Thanks for doing this Jeff. 14 team Points league. Thinking about swapping Justin Turner and Chris Taylor from following players availble in the waiver wire. Should I swap for any of these players? Santiago Espinal, Yandy Diaz, Brandon Drury, Andres Gimenez, Sheldon Neuse 7:42 Jeff Zimmerman: No for me 7:43 Jake from State Farm: Winder or Dunning in a QS league? Drop Cristian Javier for either? 7:43 Jeff Zimmerman: Dunning and no 7:43 mm46: 5×5 with QS. E Rod, S Gray, Otto or Dunning? 7:43 Jeff Zimmerman: Gray for now, but Dunning is a close 2nd 7:44 Guest: What are you doing with Olivares now that there is this injury possibility? 7:44 Jeff Zimmerman: I like his potential but I can’t count on him for the upcoming week. I’m fine adding if a person has a bench spot 7:44 Catching Fire: Melendez or Heim (al obp league)? Thanks! 7:45 Jeff Zimmerman: Heim but I might be wrong 7:45 Vader: Hi Jeff, thx for the chat. Looking for relief help in H2H saves and holds….how would you rank Duran, Helsley, King and Munoz? 7:45 Jeff Zimmerman: You have them in order. Don’t igore the guys in Tampa 7:45 Frankie Carciazzo: How would you rank taillon, Dunning, kaprilien, winder for ROS in a redraft league? Thanks so much for doing this every week! 7:46 Jeff Zimmerman: Taillon, Dunning Winder, Kap 7:46 Middling Middles: Thanks for my favorite weekly chat! 7:46 Jeff Zimmerman: Thanks. 7:46 Kingpin: Ryan Helsley only seems to pitch about once every 5 days. Does it really seem like the Cards will make him the closer? 7:47 Jeff Zimmerman: I think he closes if the team can use him that night. He had arm issues last year so he seems to be getting plenty of rest. 7:47 Chucky: How long do you generally wait before the box scores matter more than the back of the baseball cards? At wait point do you come to the realization that it ain’t gonna happen’ for this guy this year? i. e. Trevor Story 7:48 Jeff Zimmerman: I start caring now. For pitchers it’s possibly a cut or to the bench. For hitters I want to see improvements. 7:49 Jeff Zimmerman: I wrote about it at Rotowire because I struggled with it: 7:49 Jeff Zimmerman: https://www.rotowire.com/baseball/article.php?id=59794 7:49 Jeff Zimmerman: https://www.rotowire.com/baseball/article.php?id=59426 7:50 Middling Middles: Do either Taylor Walls or Neuse overtake Royce Lewis if it’s an obp league? (I worry a little about Walls with Choi back) 7:51 Jeff Zimmerman: Not for the week. Walls has Thor tomorrow and hopefully gets a couple of steals. Neuse has nine games. 7:51 Fred McGriff: Is Josh Rojas worth a look in deeper leagues? 7:51 Jeff Zimmerman: Yes, I comp him to Tony Kemp 7:51 Scott: Are there any moderately big names you’re cutting bait on after a month? 7:53 Jeff Zimmerman: Besides injured (Sale) or lost playing time (Baddoo), I’m not just yet. Grisham is close. 7:53 Jeff Zimmerman: Schoop 7:53 Uncle_Omar: Fernando Tatis was dropped in my 12 team OC. I have to try to acquire him right? Bid with both fists of FAAB dollars? 7:54 Jeff Zimmerman: $100 to $400 bids 7:54 Bobby Bo: Does Moncada still carry the appeal of a 70 prospect? Do you prefer him or Bohm ROS? 7:54 Jeff Zimmerman: I’d rather have Bohm right now. 7:54 Mac: What are we doing with Hunter Greene in non-keeper leagues? 7:55 Jeff Zimmerman: Ignoring. I saw him on a couple of my waiver wires and didn’t put in a bid 7:55 Unsaved: Robles has been making me crazy. Pitched a clean 7th today (behind 3-2) after yesterday’s failed save. Cut for Rafael Montero or a whip rp? AL only, so saves are scarce. 7:55 Jeff Zimmerman: In an AL only, I’d try to hold both. 7:56 diadem: Sorry, hit wrong key. 11 team NL only 14/9 roster standard 5×5 $100 FAAB $5 mnimum bid. Bid how much on Yepez? 7:56 Jeff Zimmerman: 30% 7:56 Harry Fong: Josh Rojas or Olivares in redraft? Thanks! 7:56 Jeff Zimmerman: Olivares unless you need the bat this week. 7:57 Trey: How would you rank Knebel, Kittredge, Barlow, and J Lopez as RP options in a saves only league? 7:58 Jeff Zimmerman: Knebel, Kittridge (possibly could get Wins), Barlow, Lopez 7:58 Bobby Bo: Are you buying into Yepez as a 25 homer .280 hitter ROS? 7:58 Jeff Zimmerman: I’m more 12 HR, .280 AVG 7:58 Redbull44: Do you see Lamonte Wade as a platoon player? Or should he play most of the time versus righties? 7:59 Jeff Zimmerman: He’s likely a platoon. The Giants are about to be a mess with Longoria and LaStella about to return from the IL 7:59 Leonberger: How long until Jhoan Duran becomes the definite closer in MIN? 7:59 Jeff Zimmerman: I’m not sure it will happen. He might not throw on back to back days because of his past arm injuries 8:00 Jeff Zimmerman: I think it’s a split role 8:00 Panjik! At the Disco: Someone in my league (14 tm/head2head) cut Jose Berrios, who, admittedly, hasn’t been good this year. My SPs aren’t super strong (Bassitt, Joe Ryan, Josiah Gray, Kopech, P Blackburn). I have top waiver pick — grab Berrios with that pick / hope he clears waivers and grab him then/ or stand pat? 8:00 Jeff Zimmerman: Grab him now 8:00 BrendanMcKayDylanWalsh: Hi Jeff! 12 team mixed league…I have Bohm at 3B but Luis Urias & Juan Yepez are on the wire. Stand pat or make a move? How would your rank them ROS? 8:00 Jeff Zimmerman: Luis, Bohm, Yepez 8:01 Jack: who do you prefer ROS between Montas and Urias? 8:01 Jeff Zimmerman: Urias (LAD) 8:01 Johnny Ringo: My teams looking good looking for depth Jhoan Duran or Max Myers 8:01 Jeff Zimmerman: Meyers 8:02 pete: dropping donaldson in 12 tem h2h w-ops cat for miranda or yepez 8:02 Jeff Zimmerman: I would not 8:03 Johnny5Alive: My league has a wrinkle that if you bid over $10 in faab then that player becomes locked onto your roster for the next year or you have to pay real money to buy them out. With that in mind, NL only standard roto, $100 faab. How much you bid on Yepez? 8:03 Jeff Zimmerman: 20% to 30% and don’t work about paying the over bid. Play to win the league 8:03 Owen: Cutting Sale? Do you mean based on his recent setback (sounds non injury related)? Or are you just not willing to hold a red suitcase that long? 8:03 Jeff Zimmerman: Both 8:04 Jeff Zimmerman: I don’t hold players who constantly have setbacks 8:04 Rush: Do you prefer Nico Hoerner or Josh Rojas ROS? 8:04 Jeff Zimmerman: Rojas but close 8:04 Brett Gile: Can you order Torkelson Juan Yepez and Miranda. Thanks Jeff! 8:05 Jeff Zimmerman: Tork, Miranda, Yepez 8:05 Pumpsie Green: AL only, 5×5, keeper. I have 2 weeks to decide whether to activate Kirilloff or cut him. If I activate this week, Kole Calhoun gets cut. Activate now or wait to see if Kirilloff is healthy enough to contribute? 8:05 Jeff Zimmerman: Wait a week to see if he can stay healthy 8:05 Ken Noisewater: I agree with your comment on the Giants. Hold Estrada or is he a cut with the PT crunch? 8:06 Jeff Zimmerman: I’m mixed across my various leagues. As general rule, I’m cutting in 12’s and holding in 15’s 8:06 clown: some fool in my league dropped C. Morton…who should i drop to scoop him up T. McKenzie or N. Cortes…I’m leaning towards Cortes. thanks! 8:06 Jeff Zimmerman: I’d do McKenzie 8:07 Cody Rigsby: Matz and descalfani. Keep or cut? 8:07 Jeff Zimmerman: Depends on the other options. 8:07 Andy C: Thank you so much for your insight Jeff. 16 team OBP league. I should start Garver at C with the 7 games this week over Kirk with 5 right? 8:08 Jeff Zimmerman: Yes and I’d recomend Razzball’s weekly projections: https://razzball.com/membership-account/subscriptions/?pa=mainmenu 8:08 Bobby: 15-team, mixed, cut Schoop for a warm body? Miranda, Yepez available. 8:09 Jeff Zimmerman: Possibly for both. Schoop does have 8 games this week 8:09 Sal Bass: Who are some starting pitchers you’d try to buy low on? 8:10 Jeff Zimmerman: The two guys out of Toronto, Ryu and Kikuchi. I’m hoping that turn it around 8:10 Yeah Well Hiura Towel: Will Alex Wood ever be allowed to go 6 innings? My league does QS, not wins 8:12 Jeff Zimmerman: It looks like he’s being limited to 85-90 pitches: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/alex-wood/13781/game-log?type=4&gds=… 8:12 Jeff Zimmerman: He’s so inefficient, he can make it 6 IP. The Blake Snell problem. 8:12 Dom: Saw Pham was your top WW hitter this week, and I have him in my fourth OF spot. Other OF-eligible hitters available in my 12-teamer include: Kiké, Gallo, Grisham, Yaz, Avisail, Grossman, Amed… Who do you like among that group ROS? 8:13 Jeff Zimmerman: Avisail and Grossman 8:13 Cody Rigsby: Steven matz. Keep or cut? 8:13 Jeff Zimmerman: I’d hold 8:13 Britt: Is it okay to drop both Kyle Hendricks and Ranger Suarez or should I wait it out with both of them and hope they turn it around? 8:13 Jeff Zimmerman: Who are you replacing them with? 8:13 A.: Caldelario or Yepez (6×6, obp, counts batter ks) 8:13 Jeff Zimmerman: Candelario IMO 8:14 John: Hey Jeff. You’ve talked about Kirby, what about max Meyer? Would you drop gonsolin or Zimmerman for Kirby or Meyer 8:14 Jeff Zimmerman: Hell yes 8:14 beefcake: i scooped up Tellez this week but after reading your waiver wire adds piece it seems as though you see him as streamer…curious why you feel this way. able to provide more detail? thanks appreciate your perspective! 8:15 Jeff Zimmerman: What was Tellez before this week … a streamer. One week doesn’t change that. He’s not going to keep it up. 8:16 Jeff Zimmerman: He’s had similar peaks before and cooled off: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/rowdy-tellez/15679/graphs?statArr=40… 8:17 D: What’s your confidence level MJ Melendez stays us ROS. Would you take him over Keibert Ruiz? 8:17 Jeff Zimmerman: 10%, and I’d hold Ruiz 8:17 A.: who’s the better drop (obp, 12) Brendan Rodgers or Ames Rosario? 8:18 Jeff Zimmerman: Rosario. The Rockies have three of their next four series at home. 8:18 Taylor Ward: Ward finally qualified for Advanced stat league leaderboards today because he walked too damn much. Is this all real? 8:19 Jeff Zimmerman: I’m not sure but as long as he’s hitting and playing, he should be continued to be rostered 8:19 Rush: What’s a reasonable bid for Luis Urias in 12-tm OC 8:19 Jeff Zimmerman: 8% to 15% 8:19 Tom: In an “average” league for you, how much time “on average” do you spend making your FAAB selections. Then do you “last minute” make changes, or just stick with initial thought 8:21 Jeff Zimmerman: I have two parts. First I pull in all my info I will use for every league (bullpens, projections, rosters, etc). That might take an hour. Once there, I spend about 5 minutes on my own leagues. I share a few and those take much longer 8:22 Greg: Would you like Moustakas over Miranda or Yepez? 8:22 Jeff Zimmerman: No 8:22 Matt: What’s a reasonable bid for Sonny Gray and Mancini in 12 team OC? 8:22 Jeff Zimmerman: 6% to 10% 8:23 stars and scrubby stars: Thx for these chats. For you, NFBC, top 50? 75? hitters considered set & forget it, i.e. what’s your streaming cut line? 8:24 Jeff Zimmerman: No, not at all. 4 games vs 2 games is huge. I start with the Razzball projections and go from there. 8:24 Frank: Bid % on gimenez and drury 8:24 Jeff Zimmerman: 1% to 2% 8:24 Guest: Dunning over ERod ROS in points? 8:24 Jeff Zimmerman: No, but it’s getting close 8:25 Bryan: 14 team OBP league – whose the better 3B play? Urshela, Miranda, Diaz or Candelario? 8:25 Jeff Zimmerman: Yandy Diaz 8:25 InLastPlace: Paddack elbow inflammation cut him or hold out for details. Kluber, Gonsolin and blackburn available. 6cat QS league 8:25 Jeff Zimmerman: I’m holding for details 8:25 PC: drop Thompson(TB) or Wick for Trivino? sv&hld league. thx 8:26 Jeff Zimmerman: Wick 8:26 G Money: Story for Giolito, what side would you want? 8:26 Jeff Zimmerman: Giolito 8:28 Ron: Would you drop Laureano for Alek Thomas? 8:28 Jeff Zimmerman: No 8:28 Guest: Hold Grayson Rodriguez? Three keeper league (wpild 8:28 Jeff Zimmerman: No, he’s not a top-3 over all player 8:29 Derby winner: Cut Adam Duvall for Margot? 8:29 Jeff Zimmerman: Sure 8:30 Jeff Zimmerman: That’s it for the night. I need to go back and recheck my league bids.