Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat
| 7:31 | 
 : Welcome everyone and a heads up. There most likely will not be a chat next week. I will be at my niece’s graduation.
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| 7:31 | 
 : Here are the bids from the two Tout Wars 15-team mixed leagues.
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| 7:31 | 
 :   
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| 7:31 | 
 : What’re you bidding for Alek Thomas??
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| 7:32 | 
 : 10 to 20%.
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| 7:33 | 
 : Time to drop Justin Turner? Nelson Cruz?
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| 7:33 | 
 : No on Cruz, possibly on Turner depending on the replacements.
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| 7:33 | 
 : Did Trevor Rodgers and Charlie Morton look better today?
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| 7:33 | 
 : No idea, I didn’t watch them throw
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| 7:33 | 
 : Arizona’s offense seems to be better the the week or two. Is this just anecdotal, or should we be more careful streaming pitchers against them?
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| 7:34 | 
 : They either hit a ton of homers or nothing. I’m not worried knowing that any start could get out of hand.
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| 7:35 | 
 : I always appreciate your insights, Jeff.   What percentage FAAB would you spend on George Kirby in a 15 team keeper league?
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| 7:36 | 
 : Kirby’s going for a ton (IMO). In Tout, it was 10% to 20% but I could see teams desperate for pitching go up to 50%.
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| 7:36 | 
 : Yepez up for good?
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| 7:36 | 
 : As long as he hits but might be on the strong side of a DH platoon.
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| 7:37 | 
 : Dane Dunning looked good (again) today . Worth an add , my Paddack seems IL bound.  Deep mixed roto . Thanks .
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| 7:37 | 
 : I’m back in. I like what he’s doing and I have bids on him where he’s available
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| 7:37 | 
 : Quantrill, Strider or Max Meyers
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| 7:37 | 
 : Meyers and it’s not close
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| 7:38 | 
 : Thanks for doing these chats, always useful! Bryan Reynolds was dropped in an OCQualifier. What’s a reasonable Faab bid? 30 percent?
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| 7:38 | 
 : 10-30%.
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| 7:38 | 
 : Who’s your number 1 and 2 pickup for the week?
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| 7:39 | 
 : Well, I wrote an entire WW article at RotoGraphs. Maybe it says something.
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| 7:39 | 
 : Streaming my 2nd catcher spot in 8-team NL-only standard 5×5 league. Lineups set on Tuesday. Looks like AZ has 4 games vs lefties. That makes Cooper Hummel an OK streamer for me, no?
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| 7:39 | 
 : Yes, if he’s qualified at C
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| 7:39 | 
 : 15-team NFBC format. What % FAAB are you dropping on Jhoan Duran & George Kirby?
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| 7:40 | 
 : Duran is a tough call since he was demoted. I could see him go from 3% to 10% for teams needing steals
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| 7:40 | 
 : Kirby I expect in the 10% to 50% range
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| 7:41 | 
 : Kevin Smith–seems like the ingredients are there (good chase rate, good max exit velo), he just hasn’t strung it together. Any hope beyond streaming him for the 9 game week?
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| 7:41 | 
 : Yes, I have several bids in on him
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| 7:41 | 
 : What are you hearing about Oliveras injury today?
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| 7:41 | 
 : day-to-day but there might be more coming with the Royals 2nd game just getting over
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| 7:42 | 
 : Super deep NL only league. Drop Rivas or demiritte for Yepez?
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| 7:42 | 
 : yes
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| 7:42 | 
 : Thanks for doing this Jeff. 14 team Points league. Thinking about swapping Justin Turner and Chris Taylor from following players availble in the waiver wire. Should I swap for any of these players? Santiago Espinal, Yandy Diaz, Brandon Drury, Andres Gimenez, Sheldon Neuse
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| 7:42 | 
 : No for me
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| 7:43 | 
 : Winder or Dunning in a QS league? Drop Cristian Javier for either?
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| 7:43 | 
 : Dunning and no
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| 7:43 | 
 : 5×5 with QS. E Rod, S Gray, Otto or Dunning?
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| 7:43 | 
 : Gray for now, but Dunning is a close 2nd
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| 7:44 | 
 : What are you doing with Olivares now that there is this injury possibility?
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| 7:44 | 
 : I like his potential but I can’t count on him for the upcoming week. I’m fine adding if a person has a bench spot
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| 7:44 | 
 : Melendez or Heim (al obp league)? Thanks!
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| 7:45 | 
 : Heim but I might be wrong
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| 7:45 | 
 : Hi Jeff, thx for the chat. Looking for relief help in H2H saves and holds….how would you rank Duran, Helsley, King and Munoz?
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| 7:45 | 
 : You have them in order. Don’t igore the guys in Tampa
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| 7:45 | 
 : How would you rank taillon, Dunning, kaprilien, winder for ROS in a redraft league? Thanks so much for doing this every week!
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| 7:46 | 
 : Taillon, Dunning Winder, Kap
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| 7:46 | 
 : Thanks for my favorite weekly chat!
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| 7:46 | 
 : Thanks.
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| 7:46 | 
 : Ryan Helsley only seems to pitch about once every 5 days. Does it really seem like the Cards will make him the closer?
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| 7:47 | 
 : I think he closes if the team can use him that night. He had arm issues last year so he seems to be getting plenty of rest.
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| 7:47 | 
 : How long do you generally wait before the box scores matter more than the back of the baseball cards? At wait point do you come to the realization that it ain’t gonna happen’ for this guy this year? i. e. Trevor Story
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| 7:48 | 
 : I start caring now. For pitchers it’s possibly a cut or to the bench. For hitters I want to see improvements.
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| 7:49 | 
 : I wrote about it at Rotowire because I struggled with it:
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| 7:50 | 
 : Do either Taylor Walls or Neuse overtake Royce Lewis if it’s an obp league? (I worry a little about Walls with Choi back)
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| 7:51 | 
 : Not for the week. Walls has Thor tomorrow and hopefully gets a couple of steals. Neuse has nine games.
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| 7:51 | 
 : Is Josh Rojas worth a look in deeper leagues?
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| 7:51 | 
 : Yes, I comp him to Tony Kemp
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| 7:51 | 
 : Are there any moderately big names you’re cutting bait on after a month?
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| 7:53 | 
 : Besides injured (Sale) or lost playing time (Baddoo), I’m not just yet. Grisham is close.
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| 7:53 | 
 : Schoop
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| 7:53 | 
 : Fernando Tatis was dropped in my 12 team OC. I have to try to acquire him right? Bid with both fists of FAAB dollars?
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| 7:54 | 
 : $100 to $400 bids
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| 7:54 | 
 : Does Moncada still carry the appeal of a 70 prospect?  Do you prefer him or Bohm ROS?
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| 7:54 | 
 : I’d rather have Bohm right now.
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| 7:54 | 
 : What are we doing with Hunter Greene in non-keeper leagues?
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| 7:55 | 
 : Ignoring. I saw him on a couple of my waiver wires and didn’t put in a bid
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| 7:55 | 
 : Robles has been making me crazy. Pitched a clean 7th today (behind 3-2) after yesterday’s failed save. Cut for Rafael Montero or a whip rp? AL only, so saves are scarce.
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| 7:55 | 
 : In an AL only, I’d try to hold both.
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| 7:56 | 
 : Sorry, hit wrong key. 11 team NL only 14/9 roster standard 5×5 $100 FAAB $5 mnimum bid. Bid how much on Yepez?
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| 7:56 | 
 : 30%
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| 7:56 | 
 : Josh Rojas or Olivares in redraft? Thanks!
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| 7:56 | 
 : Olivares unless you need the bat this week.
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| 7:57 | 
 : How would you rank Knebel, Kittredge, Barlow, and J Lopez as RP options in a saves only league?
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| 7:58 | 
 : Knebel, Kittridge (possibly could get Wins), Barlow, Lopez
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| 7:58 | 
 : Are you buying into Yepez as a 25 homer .280 hitter ROS?
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| 7:58 | 
 : I’m more 12 HR, .280 AVG
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| 7:58 | 
 : Do you see Lamonte Wade as a platoon player? Or should he play most of the time versus righties?
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| 7:59 | 
 : He’s likely a platoon. The Giants are about to be a mess with Longoria and LaStella about to return from the IL
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| 7:59 | 
 : How long until Jhoan Duran becomes the definite closer in MIN?
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| 7:59 | 
 : I’m not sure it will happen. He might not throw on back to back days because of his past arm injuries
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| 8:00 | 
 : I think it’s a split role
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| 8:00 | 
 : Someone in my league (14 tm/head2head) cut Jose Berrios, who, admittedly, hasn’t been good this year. My SPs aren’t super strong (Bassitt, Joe Ryan, Josiah Gray, Kopech, P Blackburn). I have top waiver pick — grab Berrios with that pick / hope he clears waivers and grab him then/ or stand pat?
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| 8:00 | 
 : Grab him now
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| 8:00 | 
 : Hi Jeff! 12 team mixed league…I have Bohm at 3B but Luis Urias & Juan Yepez are on the wire. Stand pat or make a move? How would your rank them ROS?
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| 8:00 | 
 : Luis, Bohm, Yepez
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| 8:01 | 
 : who do you prefer ROS between Montas and Urias?
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| 8:01 | 
 : Urias (LAD)
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| 8:01 | 
 : My teams looking good looking for depth Jhoan Duran or Max Myers
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| 8:01 | 
 : Meyers
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| 8:02 | 
 : dropping donaldson  in 12 tem h2h w-ops cat for miranda or yepez
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| 8:02 | 
 : I would not
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| 8:03 | 
 : My league has a wrinkle that if you bid over $10 in faab then that player becomes locked onto your roster for the next year or you have to pay real money to buy them out. With that in mind, NL only standard roto, $100 faab. How much you bid on Yepez?
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| 8:03 | 
 : 20% to 30% and don’t work about paying the over bid. Play to win the league
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| 8:03 | 
 : Cutting Sale? Do you mean based on his recent setback (sounds non injury related)? Or are you just not willing to hold a red suitcase that long?
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| 8:03 | 
 : Both
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| 8:04 | 
 : I don’t hold players who constantly have setbacks
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| 8:04 | 
 : Do you prefer Nico Hoerner or Josh Rojas ROS?
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| 8:04 | 
 : Rojas but close
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| 8:04 | 
 : Can you order Torkelson Juan Yepez and Miranda. Thanks Jeff!
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| 8:05 | 
 : Tork, Miranda, Yepez
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| 8:05 | 
 : AL only, 5×5, keeper. I have 2 weeks to decide whether to activate Kirilloff or cut him. If I activate this week, Kole Calhoun gets cut. Activate now or wait to see if Kirilloff is healthy enough to contribute?
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| 8:05 | 
 : Wait a week to see if he can stay healthy
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| 8:05 | 
 : I agree with your comment on the Giants. Hold Estrada or is he a cut with the PT crunch?
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| 8:06 | 
 : I’m mixed across my various leagues. As general rule, I’m cutting in 12’s and holding in 15’s
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| 8:06 | 
 : some fool in my league dropped C. Morton…who should i drop to scoop him up T. McKenzie or N. Cortes…I’m leaning towards Cortes. thanks!
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| 8:06 | 
 : I’d do McKenzie
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| 8:07 | 
 : Matz and descalfani. Keep or cut?
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| 8:07 | 
 : Depends on the other options.
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| 8:07 | 
 : Thank you so much for your insight Jeff. 16 team OBP league. I should start Garver at C with the 7 games this week over Kirk with 5 right?
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| 8:08 | 
 : Yes and I’d recomend Razzball’s weekly projections: https://razzball.com/membership-account/subscriptions/?pa=mainmenu
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| 8:08 | 
 : 15-team, mixed, cut Schoop for a warm body? Miranda, Yepez available.
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| 8:09 | 
 : Possibly for both. Schoop does have 8 games this week
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| 8:09 | 
 : Who are some starting pitchers you’d try to buy low on?
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| 8:10 | 
 : The two guys out of Toronto, Ryu and Kikuchi. I’m hoping that turn it around
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| 8:10 | 
 : Will Alex Wood ever be allowed to go 6 innings? My league does QS, not wins
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| 8:12 | 
 : It looks like he’s being limited to 85-90 pitches: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/alex-wood/13781/game-log?type=4&gds=…
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| 8:12 | 
 : He’s so inefficient, he can make it 6 IP. The Blake Snell problem.
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| 8:12 | 
 : Saw Pham was your top WW hitter this week, and I have him in my fourth OF spot. Other OF-eligible hitters available in my 12-teamer include: Kiké, Gallo, Grisham, Yaz, Avisail, Grossman, Amed… Who do you like among that group ROS?
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| 8:13 | 
 : Avisail and Grossman
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| 8:13 | 
 : Steven matz. Keep or cut?
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| 8:13 | 
 : I’d hold
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| 8:13 | 
 : Is it okay to drop both Kyle Hendricks and Ranger Suarez or should I wait it out with both of them and hope they turn it around?
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| 8:13 | 
 : Who are you replacing them with?
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| 8:13 | 
 : Caldelario or Yepez (6×6, obp, counts batter ks)
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| 8:13 | 
 : Candelario IMO
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| 8:14 | 
 : Hey Jeff. You’ve talked about Kirby, what about max Meyer? Would you drop gonsolin or Zimmerman for Kirby or Meyer
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| 8:14 | 
 : Hell yes
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| 8:14 | 
 : i scooped up Tellez this week but after reading your waiver wire adds piece it seems as though you see him as streamer…curious why you feel this way. able to provide more detail? thanks appreciate your perspective!
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| 8:15 | 
 : What was Tellez before this week … a streamer. One week doesn’t change that. He’s not going to keep it up.
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| 8:16 | 
 : He’s had similar peaks before and cooled off: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/rowdy-tellez/15679/graphs?statArr=40…
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| 8:17 | 
 : What’s your confidence level MJ Melendez stays us ROS. Would you take him over Keibert Ruiz?
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| 8:17 | 
 : 10%, and I’d hold Ruiz
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| 8:17 | 
 : who’s the better drop (obp, 12) Brendan Rodgers or Ames Rosario?
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| 8:18 | 
 : Rosario. The Rockies have three of their next four series at home.
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| 8:18 | 
 : Ward finally qualified for Advanced stat league leaderboards today because he walked too damn much. Is this all real?
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| 8:19 | 
 : I’m not sure but as long as he’s hitting and playing, he should be continued to be rostered
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| 8:19 | 
 : What’s a reasonable bid for Luis Urias in 12-tm OC
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| 8:19 | 
 : 8% to 15%
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| 8:19 | 
 : In an “average” league for you, how much time “on average” do you spend making your FAAB selections.  Then do you “last minute” make changes, or just stick with initial thought
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| 8:21 | 
 : I have two parts. First I pull in all my info I will use for every league (bullpens, projections, rosters, etc). That might take an hour. Once there, I spend about 5 minutes on my own leagues. I share a few and those take much longer
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| 8:22 | 
 : Would you like Moustakas over Miranda or Yepez?
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| 8:22 | 
 : No
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| 8:22 | 
 : What’s a reasonable bid for Sonny Gray and Mancini in 12 team OC?
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| 8:22 | 
 : 6% to 10%
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| 8:23 | 
 : Thx for these chats.  For you, NFBC, top 50? 75? hitters considered set & forget it, i.e. what’s your streaming cut line?
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| 8:24 | 
 : No, not at all. 4 games vs 2 games is huge. I start with the Razzball projections and go from there.
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| 8:24 | 
 : Bid % on gimenez and drury
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| 8:24 | 
 : 1% to 2%
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| 8:24 | 
 : Dunning over ERod ROS in points?
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| 8:24 | 
 : No, but it’s getting close
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| 8:25 | 
 : 14 team OBP league – whose the better 3B play? Urshela, Miranda, Diaz or Candelario?
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| 8:25 | 
 : Yandy Diaz
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| 8:25 | 
 : Paddack elbow inflammation cut him or hold out for details. Kluber, Gonsolin and blackburn available. 6cat QS league
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| 8:25 | 
 : I’m holding for details
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| 8:25 | 
 : drop Thompson(TB) or Wick for Trivino? sv&hld league. thx
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| 8:26 | 
 : Wick
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| 8:26 | 
 : Story for Giolito, what side would you want?
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| 8:26 | 
 : Giolito
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| 8:28 | 
 : Would you drop Laureano for Alek Thomas?
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| 8:28 | 
 : No
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| 8:28 | 
 : Hold Grayson Rodriguez? Three keeper league (wpild
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| 8:28 | 
 : No, he’s not a top-3 over all player
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| 8:29 | 
 : Cut Adam Duvall for Margot?
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| 8:29 | 
 : Sure
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| 8:30 | 
 : That’s it for the night. I need to go back and recheck my league bids.
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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
Yepez is RH btw, so wouldn’t be a strong side platoon. But I would imagine he gets a decent leash vs both