Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Sorry about no chat last week.

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are the @toutwars mixed league FAAB bids

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Auction

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: GLux: 103
SHilliard: 99
JCave: 64
DanNorris: 55
CMoran: 53
JLuzardo: 51
SCastro: 33
TBeede: 26
SDoolittle: 24
JCueto: 20
RRodriguez: 19
BDrury: 19
AFrazier: 13
WFont: 11
JFraley: 7
DVerHagen: 6
DPeters: 6
RDugger: 6
JZimmermann: 6
ACabrera: 4
SGreene: 3
TLocastro: 1
RCano: 1
JProfar: 1
TFlowers: 0
IKinerFalefa: 0
DAgrazal: 0

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Draft

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: SManaea: 88
CBiggio: 57
NLowe: 23
AKittredge: 17
JBauers: 17
WFlores: 15
JMeans: 11
SBrown: 8
SHilliard: 4
TDArnaud: 4
WHarris: 3
TShaw: 3
AToro: 3
TFlowers: 0
MDubon: 0

7:32
mj: Muncy replacement; NL only, OBP and SLG league:  Beaty, Osuna (Pit), Martinez (STL), Belt or a Sept call up eligible at 1B?  Leaning Beaty.  Thanks.

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: Whoa …. Belt or Beaty. Watch the playing time.

7:32
Mark: Nate Lowe or Joey Votto?

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: I think Votto based on playing time.

7:33
Ross: So I’m in an NL only roto league. Average and runs are razor thin close at the top right now. Just lost Hiura to the IL and I own Matt Beaty, but thinking of dropping him since he’s just a platoon player at this point. Best players available are Miguel Rojas, Edman, Naylor, Kevin Cron, Solano, Caratini, Berti, Jose Osuna, Panik, France, Hilliard. Would you bid on any of those players and drop Beaty?

7:34
Jeff Zimmerman: Edman would be my choice. Watch the MIA situation as Berti could give both

7:35
Jimmy: Setting up playoff roster starting 9/9, need a UTIL and bench bat to rotate in. Shallower OBP / SLG H2H category non-keeper league, limited weekly transactions, daily roster moves. Hosmer and Renfroe (7 games x 2 weeks, 3@COL) the obvious plays despite playing meh lately? Or add someone hot / with upside for bench bat – Solak 5G, Nate Lowe 6G, Seth Brown 7G, Pillar 7G, Desmond 6G@COL, Hanser Alberto 6G, Caratini to platoon Contreras 7G?

7:35
Jeff Zimmerman: Take one of the Padres

7:35
DW: Trust Ray versus Cincinnati?? Also, rank Biggio, Goodwin, Solak and Seth Brown.  Appreciate the help.

7:35
Jeff Zimmerman: Sure on Ray. Biggio, Solak, Brown, Goodwin

7:36
Cito’s Mustache: Prioritizing ERA and WHIP over counting stats, which one would you prefer for the last month in standard roto: Quantrill, Shark, Matz, or Gonsolin.

7:36
Jeff Zimmerman: Gonsolin

7:36
Mark: Favorite 2 Start Starters this week: Folty/Montgomery/M. Kelly/M. Keller?

7:36
Jeff Zimmerman: Kelly and it’s not close

7:36
Gavelin the Javelin: In a 14-team keeper league where rosters lock tomorrow for ROS, are you okay rolling with Scherzer, Sonny Gray, Darvish, Berrios, Bauer, Soroka, McKay, and PabLo? Hesitant to drop Schwarber or JD Davis for Hill, Gonsolin, Woj, Allard.

7:37
Jeff Zimmerman: I have some teams I’d die for half your pitching staff. Hell yes it’s fine.

7:37
Guest: Has Solak done enough to warrant everyday ABs ROS?  What about 2020, is he an everyday player?

7:37
Jeff Zimmerman: ROS, yes.  2020, no idea, none.

7:39
Cito’s Mustache: Tampa has a pretty nice schedule this week, vs. the Jays and O’s. Would you start Sogard in a weekly points league over someone like Walker (vs SDP, @ CIN) or K Calhoun (@ OAK, @ CWS)

7:39
Jeff Zimmerman: Probably not. He’s only playing half the time and Tampa promoted more bats

7:39
MikeyN: Magill looking shaky as SEA closer. Who behind him gets a shot at saves?

7:39
Jeff Zimmerman: Ask the Bullpen guys.

7:40
Jeff Zimmerman: They say Bass

7:40
Pat’s Bat: More H2H value is 2020:  Austin Riley or Bryan Reynolds?

7:41
Jeff Zimmerman: They are really close. Upside to Riley, stability to Reynolds

7:41
Dan: What’s Lux’s status? He’s up? Will he play?

7:41
Jeff Zimmerman: He’s up and is supposed to play in Muncy’s spot

7:42
Jeff Zimmerman: MLBTR’s have been all over the promotions.

7:42
YOYO: In a deep league with holds and need a reliever or two.  Rank the following based on ROS # of holds: Pomeranz, Ginkel, Clase, Sewald, Kyle Ryan.

7:43
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m not make anything up here, no idea.

7:43
halp: Encarnacion worth a pickup for ROS?  drop Lorenzo Cain to fit him in?

7:43
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes, if you need power over speed.

7:43
MikeyN: Solak already the 2B to own for TEX? What type of hitter does he profile as? Shown good power and threw in a steal this past week. Thanks Jeff.

7:44
Jeff Zimmerman: He seems very good but blah. Benditendi-ish

7:44
Joey: Joyce worthy of a pickup in a deep league

7:44
Jeff Zimmerman: Compared to who?

7:44
Grenache: What do you think of Ryan Helsleys chance of starting for the Cardinals in 2020?

7:45
Jeff Zimmerman: No idea. 50/50 maybe

7:45
dave in slc: i know this is hard to say but any guess on when we see weaver? in my nl only league i have him at a good price so trying to decide whether to expand someone who is playing now like keller or wait on weaver. if i expand for keller i may lose out on weaver if hes called up soon

7:46
Jeff Zimmerman: I was looking at Weaver reports tonight, and looks like two weeks from now

7:46
Crudelamens: Hilliard, Ford, or Brown for some firepower?

7:46
Jeff Zimmerman: Hillard, Brown, Ford.

7:46
YOYO: Biggio, N. Lowe, or Lux in a 6 x 6 OBP League?

7:46
Jeff Zimmerman: Biggio, he’s for sure playing everyday

7:46
Pat’s Bat: Dump Joey Lucheesy for Alex Young based on rest of season schedule?

7:47
Jeff Zimmerman: Luchessi

7:47
Mark: Rank the following FA pickups for this coming week – Civale, Paddack or Manaea

7:47
Jeff Zimmerman: Civale, Manaea, Paddack

7:48
Cito’s Mustache: Please rank these matchups in a H2H points league playoff week. Bauer vs PHI, Wheeler @ WSH, Webb @ STL, PabLo vs KC, Price vs NYY, Burke @ BAL. I have up to 4 spots for these guys or as few as 2, as I could start Hendriks and Vazquez and hope for saves.

7:49
Jeff Zimmerman: Wheeler, Bauer, Webb, Pablo, Burke

7:49
Crudelamens: Ross Leake or Wood ROS?

7:50
Jeff Zimmerman: This is the correct order.

7:50
DL: Is Brandon Woodruff going to have any value this season or use the DL spot on someone else?

7:50
Jeff Zimmerman: Another guy I dug into (I need pitching bad in my ME league).

7:50
Jeff Zimmerman: Maybe this season. I’d move on

7:50
MikeyN: Would you stream Framber this week? He’s been so shaky but a nice matchup home vs SEA

7:51
Jeff Zimmerman: In every league I can

7:51
swish: Any word why Price only went two innings?

7:51
Jeff Zimmerman: Let me google that

7:52
Jeff Zimmerman: Plan was bullpen game.

7:53
2 start guys: I have a bye in h2h playoffs.  Any 2 start guys you like for streaming the week of the 9th?

7:53
Jeff Zimmerman: This deep but I have to jump on 2 starts in two weeks and here is my list.

7:53
Jeff Zimmerman: Kelly vs NYM and Cin 3.80
Folty and Fried vs PHI and WAS
Senzatela vs STL and SD 5.48
Ivan Nova vs KC and SEA 4.51
Junis vs CWS and HOU 4.32
E Hernandez vs MIA and STL 4.26
M Perez vs WAS and CLE 4.45
Trevor Williams vs SF and CHC 4.10
Felix Hernandez vs Cin and CWS 3.20
Logan Webb vs PIT and MIA 3.65

7:53
Jeff Zimmerman: ERA is my pERA metric

7:54
Jeff Zimmerman: Webb looks nice

7:54
dave in slc: al only keeper would you throw any money at greaterol as a potential keeper for next yr? im out of it for this yr so only bidding on guys i may want as keepers next yr. Manaea? how much? min bid is 5

7:55
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes on Greaterol. No on Manaea. I’m not a fan at all

7:55
Dugan: Rest of season rank for saves–Leclerc–Jimenez–Kennedy–Melancon

7:56
Jeff Zimmerman: Melancon, Leclerec, Kennedy, Jimenez. You have to go with over chance for the team to win at this point in the season.

7:56
Booth: Do I drop Mike Minor or Matt Boyd for the playoffs?

7:56
Jeff Zimmerman: Boyd, HR are getting to him.

7:56
Todd Gak: Need AVG. and RBIs for the home stretch in an AL only. Of DJ Stewart, Seth Davis, and Brian Goodwin, do any of these guys get enough ABs to help?

7:57
Jeff Zimmerman: Seth Davis?

7:57
Jeff Zimmerman: Maybe DJ Stewart for HR

7:57
Franimal: Have to start 3 of the following at utility this week. Who do I pick? Profar, Vogelbach, Carpenter, Margot, Aguilar, Eaton, Newman.

7:58
Jeff Zimmerman: Newman, Eaton, and …. Volgey. I’d watch lineups to see who starts

7:58
Wayne Threatzky: Your odds of a Luzardo call up, and how confident are you that he cracks next yrs rotation?

7:59
Jeff Zimmerman: 35% and if healthy, he’ll be in the rotation by May

7:59
Jeff Zimmerman: He might just be a bullpen arm this year.

7:59
Booth: I need a 2nd baseman for fantasy playoffs. Do I pickup Ryan McMahon or start Gavin Lux (currently in my NA spot)?

8:00
Jeff Zimmerman: If you play the last week, get McMahon, if not, Lux. COL has whole weeks at home and away

8:00
Dugan: MI for fantasy playoffs.  Have Berti, are any of Ahmed, Profar or Kipnis an upgrade or hold. H2H 5 x 5 cats

8:01
Jeff Zimmerman: Berti may lose time to Rojas so backup needed.

8:01
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d go with Ahmed.

8:01
Jeff Zimmerman: Kipnis may be headed to IL

8:02
Jeff Zimmerman: And Profar’s playing time is sporatic

8:02
Crudelamens: Nooooo Berti is my dude

8:03
Crudelamens: Drop Duval, C Frazier, or Bauers

8:03
Jeff Zimmerman: Bauers or Duval

8:03
Jimmy: Hold out hope that may or stripling will get any starts week of 9/9 playoffs or drop for a 2 start

8:03
Jeff Zimmerman: drop, some sneaky picks this week for two-starts

8:04
Mark: Calhoun/Pollock/Senzel?

8:04
Jeff Zimmerman: Outfielders?

8:04
Jeff Zimmerman: Queue is empty

8:04
Jeff Zimmerman: I give everyone a few minutes to ask away or I’ll shut it down

8:04
thoughts: on Julio Urias ROS?  they going to use him in the rotation?

8:05
Jeff Zimmerman: Doubt it, He’s going to be a bullpen arm

8:05
Mark: Calhoun/Pollock/Senzel for UT?

8:06
Jeff Zimmerman: Willie Calhoun, Senzel, Pollock, Kole Calhoun

8:06
MikeyN: AL only rank these SPs for starts this week (I know not pretty): Marco, Justus, Turnbull, or Kluber aka avoid the ERA/WHIP hit. Start only one.

8:07
Jeff Zimmerman: Turnbull, Marco, Justus

8:07
Frankie: Gurriel Jr or Swanson ROS H2H

8:07
Jeff Zimmerman: Gurriel Jr

8:07
Wayne Threatzky: Keep 2: Bichette, Soto, Castillo, Luzardo

8:07
Jeff Zimmerman: Bichette and Soto, always keep hitters

8:07
Jim: Do you like Merrill Kelly’s 2-start week in 2 weeks over Logan Webb and Anibal Sanchez?

8:08
Jeff Zimmerman: No. I like Webb, then Kelly, than Sanchez

8:08
Cito’s Mustache: 12-team H2H points league, is a 2-start P Sandoval (@ OAK, @ CHW) too big a risk? My other options are 1-starts: Gallen, Burke, C Smith.

8:08
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d go with Sandoval but I’m grinding for W and K’s in most leagues

8:08
Mack: Need 1B replacement for Muncy, standard 5×5 league: Profar, O’Hearn, S. Brown or Desmond of Belt?  Also, is Gonsolin going to keep starting?

8:09
Jeff Zimmerman: Brown or Belt

8:09
Jeff Zimmerman: Gonsolin sounds like a game by game decision.

8:09
Dugan: You expect Gallen to get shut down?   ROS Gallen, Desclafani, Mikolas, Matz, Maeda.  Pick 2 please.  I have Desclafani/Maeda currently.

8:10
Jeff Zimmerman: I like Maeda and Mikolas

8:10
Muckdog: Pts league:  Drop Ohtani for Nate Lowe

8:10
Jeff Zimmerman: They are close. Ohtani seems to be sitting more. I wonder if his arm hurts from bullpens

8:11
Honey: Who is the real Ivan Nova?  Pre ASB or Post ASB?

8:11
Jeff Zimmerman: More of a combo when I examined him a week ago

8:11
Devil Rays: Trevor Richards is potentially scheduled to pitch twice this week – home to Bal and Tor. Decent gamble in AL only?

8:11
Jeff Zimmerman: For sure in AL

8:11
Jeb: Houser 2 start week, points league, yes or no

8:11
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes

8:11
Jim: Thank you!

8:11
Jeff Zimmerman: No problem

8:12
thoughts: on Jordan Lyles 2 start week 9.9?  Merill Kelly better?

8:12
Jeff Zimmerman: Kelly might be better, they are really close.

8:12
Scott: Whose a better play for the week Mercado or Santander?

8:12
Jeff Zimmerman: Santander IMO unless you need SB

8:13
Kev: Drop Kipnis ROS? Wrist issues. With expanded rosters, CLE does not need to use IL, right?

8:13
Jeff Zimmerman: Correct, he’ll not go on the IL

8:13
Cito’s Mustache: What the heck is going on with Bauer? He’s always been a tinkerer so are you confident he’ll right the ship soon?

8:14
Jeff Zimmerman: I dug around and his velo is down, especially on his slider. The slider is not missing as many bats.

8:14
Jeff Zimmerman: Also, I’m no sold on the Reds D

8:14
JB: Eaton or Pollock this week,

8:14
Jeff Zimmerman: Eaton

8:14
Jimmy: (not Jim lol) you interested in that King Felix 9/9 – 2 start based on the pERA you have?

8:14
Jeff Zimmerman: A little. I

8:15
Jeff Zimmerman: ‘m picking him up and seeing how his next start goes.

8:16
Jeff Zimmerman: His other ERA estimators are higher. I have the pERA as a tie breaker when doing players.

8:16
Cole: Comfortable staring Mondesi next week after

8:16
Jeff Zimmerman: Why not?

8:17
MJ: Has Bradley Jr been benched? Hardly played this past week.

8:17
Jeff Zimmerman: He should be, his bat just disappears at times.

8:18
MikeyN: I know nothing has come out on Kluber status, but are you hanging on?

8:18
Jeff Zimmerman: I dropped everywhere. I need some arms to win

8:18
MJ: Looking ahead to 2020 what kind of numbers are you expecting out of Bichette? Sophmore slump?

8:19
Jeff Zimmerman: I don’t believe in the slump. Regression explains it. I think he could give us Starling Marte type numbers.

8:19
mm43: Wong or Victor Reyes for steals?

8:19
Jeff Zimmerman: Reyes. The tigers can just let him run.

8:20
Wayne Threatzky: You see a Gallen shutdown?

8:20
Jeff Zimmerman: Maybe. Let me look for some news

8:20
Jeff Zimmerman: Nothing out there

8:21
MJ: Does Vogelbach have a job in 2020? He’re really slumped second half. Have him for $1 in 12 team AL only using OBP.

8:21
Jeff Zimmerman: Keep in OBP, he’s gold in that format

8:21
Mack: Is Bauer tipping pitches again? How much playing time will N. Lowe see?

8:21
Jeff Zimmerman: No idea and definitely no idea.

8:22
Tex: Leclerc or Clase more saves ROS?

8:22
Jeff Zimmerman: Leclerc

8:22
Sid: Mondesi or D Santana?

8:22
Jeff Zimmerman: format matters a ton here but I’ll still go Mondesi

8:22
MJ: What to do with a $42 Verlander in a 12 team AL only 5×5 keeper league using W+QS for next year. Inflation runs 35%ish for studs. Sale and Kluber will be available and don’t like either.

8:23
Jeff Zimmerman: Keep at that price

8:23
Tommytoms: Why are you working on a holiday weekend? Take a day off!

8:23
Jeff Zimmerman: No big deal. I just chat between my two FAAB runs

8:23
Lloyd C: Any chance Carrasco might follow an opener?

8:24
Jeff Zimmerman: Less than 10%

8:24
Virgil Caine: Have a bye week in my head to head league should I stash Adrian Houser, Tony Gonsolin, or Framber Valdez for next weeks matchup?

8:25
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d stash on pitchers and deal with hitters next week. Keep the pitchers away from opponents

8:25
Jeff Zimmerman: You can drop and they can’t get them for a week

8:25
Hank: Do you think Eovaldi has a chance to stick in the Boston rotation?

8:25
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes, who else are they going to use

8:25
MJ: You expecting similar #s for Laureano next year? He started out very slow but turned it on the last 2-3 months prior to his injury. Top 25 Ofer?

8:26
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m all in, especially if he’s hot over this last month

8:26
Cito’s Mustache: Costs being equal, who are you keeping for 2020 in 6×6 roto (QS and OBP): Buehler, Giolito, J Bell, K Marte.

8:26
Jeff Zimmerman: Buehler

8:26
Paul: Neuse, Hilliard, Joyce, S Brown

8:27
Jeff Zimmerman: Recently promoted hitters?

8:27
MJ: If/when McKay and Chirinos (the pitcher) return are they starters or Ups?

8:27
Jeff Zimmerman: It’s the Rays, I’ve long given up hope at guessing their actions

8:27
MJ: Who’d you rather have next year in a 12 team AL only 5×5 H2H keeper leauge using OBP…..$1 Vogelbach or $8 Voit?

8:28
Jeff Zimmerman: Voit

8:28
Paul: R RodrigueZ, Beatty, Profar, Shaw please rank

8:28
Jeff Zimmerman: The order they are in

8:28
Paul: Sorry Jeff, I hit return to go to next line and it sends the question.  Please rank Neuse, Hilliard, Joyce, S brown

8:28
Jeff Zimmerman: Hillard, Brown, Neuse, and Joyce. Monitor playing time for all of them

8:29
Jeff Zimmerman: It’s time to call it a night. Off to watch some Peaky Blinders.

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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won three FSWA Awards including on for his MASH series. In his first two seasons in Tout Wars, he's won the H2H league and mixed auction league. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

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