Week 24 FAAB Projections

by
September 1, 2019

No major rookie call ups, but some interesting names for the last month of the season.

The projection guidelines:

  • The ownership rates are from CBS since they have some quickdraw waiver wire leagues where players can be picked up at any time.
  • The FAAB estimates are based on the 2018 15-team mixed NFBC leagues which used a $1000 FAAB budget. Owners are going to need to convert these values to their own league.
  • The ownership values were taken from Saturday and lots can happen in between when they publish and FAAB bids run.
  • Only players owned in 50% or fewer of CBS leagues are examined.

Week 24 Hitter FAAB Projections
Name Previous Ownership% Current Ownership% Change% Cost
Seth Brown 1B | OAK 0% 5% 5% $3
Sam Hilliard LF | COL 1% 9% 8% $6
Jake Cave CF | MIN 1% 6% 5% $3
Mike Ford 1B | NYY 1% 5% 4% $2
Victor Reyes LF | DET 1% 3% 2% $1
Mauricio Dubon SS | SF 3% 5% 2% $1
Abraham Toro-Hernandez 3B | HOU 6% 8% 2% $2
Dylan Carlson RF | STL 7% 9% 2% $2
Victor Caratini C | CHC 8% 11% 3% $3
Jose Osuna 1B | PIT 8% 10% 2% $2
Nick Solak 2B | TEX 9% 16% 7% $7
Jon Berti 2B | MIA 11% 23% 12% $17
Harrison Bader CF | STL 11% 14% 3% $4
Dexter Fowler RF | STL 12% 18% 6% $7
J.P. Crawford SS | SEA 12% 14% 2% $3
Tom Murphy C | SEA 13% 17% 4% $5
Tommy Edman SS | STL 15% 27% 12% $19
Eric Thames RF | MIL 16% 18% 2% $5
Mark Canha CF | OAK 19% 55% 36% $124
Hanser Alberto SS | BAL 19% 25% 6% $10
Colin Moran 3B | PIT 19% 23% 4% $8
Austin Nola SS | SEA 19% 21% 2% $6
Starlin Castro 2B | MIA 24% 29% 5% $12
Josh Phegley C | OAK 24% 26% 2% $9
Enrique Hernandez CF | LAD 25% 27% 2% $9
Josh VanMeter SS | CIN 26% 37% 11% $25
Evan Longoria 3B | SF 26% 33% 7% $16
Howie Kendrick 2B | WAS 27% 30% 3% $12
Kevin Newman SS | PIT 35% 46% 11% $33
Gavin Lux SS | LAD 37% 43% 6% $24
Luis Robert CF | CHW 37% 39% 2% $18
Jorge Alfaro C | MIA 39% 41% 2% $20
Freddy Galvis SS | CIN 40% 45% 5% $25
Corey Dickerson LF | PHI 42% 52% 10% $38
Jonathan Schoop 2B | MIN 45% 47% 2% $26
Jurickson Profar SS | OAK 46% 53% 7% $36
Kyle Tucker LF | HOU 46% 49% 3% $29
  • Mark Canha: His ownership is now jumping from 19% to 55%, which is about two months too late.
  • Jon Berti and Tommy Edman: Both have been hitting at the top of their respective lineups (Marlins and Cardinals) with decent speed (8 SB and 9 SB) and some pop (6 HR and 5 HR). The pair’s ownership should have jumped weeks ago.
  • Nick Solak: I had my doubts the Rangers would sit Roughned Odor for Solak, but Solak has started nine straight games.
  • Seth Brown: Started four of the Athletics last five games. His results have been great and supported by a .556 BABIP.
  • Sam Hillard: He’s been crushing balls for Colorado (.333/.385/.833). He could go for a nice penny in some leagues.
  • Jake Cave: Cave has heated up hitting (.367/.424/.717) this past month.
  • Mike Ford: He’s only playing half time for the Yankees so probably not startable.
  • Josh VanMeter: He’s the right-handed part of a platoon with Phillip Ervin.
  • Gavin Lux: If the rules allow, pickup Lux as soon as possible, especially with Max Muncy lost for the season.
Week 24 Pitcher FAAB Projections
Name Previous Ownership% Current Ownership% Change% Cost
Jose Albertos SP | CHC 0% 1% 1% $1
Tim Melville RP | COL 1% 7% 6% $1
Ross Detwiler RP | CHW 1% 3% 2% $1
Drew VerHagen RP | DET 1% 3% 2% $1
Aaron Brooks RP | BAL 1% 3% 2% $1
Jordan Zimmermann SP | DET 6% 8% 2% $1
Matt Magill RP | SEA 7% 23% 16% $8
Framber Valdez SP | HOU 7% 16% 9% $2
Brock Burke SP | TEX 7% 14% 7% $1
Tony Gonsolin SP | LAD 15% 27% 12% $5
Jacob Waguespack SP | TOR 16% 31% 15% $9
Johnny Cueto SP | SF 18% 20% 2% $1
Trevor Richards SP | TB 19% 25% 6% $1
Danny Duffy SP | KC 22% 23% 1% $1
Sandy Alcantara SP | MIA 27% 41% 14% $9
Kolby Allard RP | TEX 27% 29% 2% $1
Eric Lauer SP | SD 27% 28% 1% $1
Mitch Keller SP | PIT 31% 37% 6% $3
Sean Manaea SP | OAK 32% 43% 11% $7
Pablo Lopez SP | MIA 32% 35% 3% $2
Adam Plutko SP | CLE 33% 49% 16% $14
Adrian Houser RP | MIL 37% 49% 12% $10
Luke Jackson RP | ATL 37% 39% 2% $2
Yusei Kikuchi SP | SEA 38% 40% 2% $2
Homer Bailey SP | OAK 41% 51% 10% $9
Jordan Lyles RP | MIL 41% 47% 6% $5
Jason Vargas SP | PHI 41% 43% 2% $3
Dylan Cease SP | CHW 43% 46% 3% $4
Jake Junis SP | KC 44% 47% 3% $4
Anthony DeSclafani SP | CIN 48% 61% 13% $14
Archie Bradley RP | ARI 49% 53% 4% $6
  • Jacob Waguespack: Two-start week coming up versus Atlanta and Tampa.
  • Sandy Alcantara: Also has a two-start week coming up against Pittsburg and Kansas City
  • Adam Plutko: With a month of games against the AL Central, Plutko is a perfect addition for owners needing Wins.
  • Adrian Houser: His ownership is slowly creeping up since his stats remain decent, especially the 55% GB%.
  • Sean Manaea: The minor league results have been great but his fastball velocity is down at least 1 mph from last season.

Relievers (Saves focused): Only three closers making ownership jumps. I wonder if teams are set with Saves and are focusing more on starters.

  1. Archie Bradley
  2. Matt Magill
  3. Luke Jackson

 

Week 23 2019 NFBC Main Event FAAB Results
Add Avg Bid Leagues (38)
Dustin May $14 7
Matt Magill $12 25
Pablo Lopez $10 10
Chris Taylor $8 16
Adam Plutko $7 6
Kike Hernandez $6 16
Harrison Bader $6 20
Nick Solak $6 27
Alex Young $6 5
Tom Murphy $6 16
Abraham Toro $6 10
Austin Riley $5 8
Trevor Richards $5 16
Jairo Diaz $5 11
J.P. Crawford $5 5
Brock Burke $5 23
Tim Lopes $5 22
Tony Gonsolin $4 15
Andrelton Simmons $4 16
Framber Valdez $4 28
Jake Cave $4 5
Logan Webb $4 8
Howie Kendrick $4 8
Billy Hamilton $4 8
Eric Lauer $3 5
Jacob Waguespack $3 12
Ryne Stanek $3 9
Colin Poche $3 6
Jake Fraley $3 16
CC Sabathia $3 5
Victor Reyes $3 11
Asdrubal Cabrera $3 7
Tyler Beede $3 6
Derek Fisher $3 5
Alex Dickerson $2 5
Jose Osuna $2 13
Carlos Estevez $2 9
Aledmys Diaz $2 8
Ronny Rodriguez $2 17
Steven Brault $2 9
Willi Castro $2 5
Justus Sheffield $2 10
Derek Law $2 6
Josh Naylor $2 12
Jacob Stallings $2 8
Michael Wacha $2 6
Zach Eflin $2 7
Drew VerHagen $1 10
Harold Castro $1 6
Yan Gomes $1 7
Jose Urena $1 7

 

Week 24 2018 NFBC Main Event FAAB Results
Add Avg Bid Leagues (34)
Shohei Ohtani $25 14
Ramon Laureano $20 11
Luis Urias $11 23
Wei-Yin Chen $10 7
Roman Quinn $9 15
Jace Fry $9 20
Luke Voit $9 17
Wade Miley $9 6
Matt Shoemaker $9 17
Justin Miller $8 9
Josh James $7 15
David Robertson $7 11
Billy McKinney $7 12
Austin Slater $7 11
Franmil Reyes $7 11
Felix Pena $7 9
Sean Doolittle $7 10
Greg Holland $6 5
Framber Valdez $6 16
Touki Toussaint $6 15
Adam Plutko $5 12
Jose Urena $5 7
Matt Davidson $5 6
Jason Vargas $5 6
Jake Cave $5 8
Ryan Yarbrough $5 8
Kike Hernandez $5 5
Omar Narvaez $5 6
Jalen Beeks $4 11
Brandon Lowe $4 8
Hunter Dozier $4 7
Zach Davies $4 16
Mike Montgomery $3 7
Cody Reed $3 20
Manny Pina $3 9
David Fletcher $3 6
Kevin Plawecki $3 6
Yonny Chirinos $3 5
Welington Castillo $3 5
Adam Wainwright $3 7
Hector Neris $2 11
Adam Frazier $2 6
Brian McCann $2 7
Nick Hundley $2 5
Alex Gordon $2 6
Mikie Mahtook $2 5
Chris Stratton $2 6

 





 

Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

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cartermember
4 years ago

VanMeter is a lefty

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