Stream, Stream, Stream: #2xSP (8.3-8.9)

Hey, sorry for the late posting but I wanted to make sure we got through the trade deadline unscathed, and I’m also amidst moving into a new home over the weekend. As a result, those two things conspired to make this a late submission, but it’s the best I could do.

Here are the totals halfway through week 15 (with updates from previous listing):

22-39 record (1-3)
4.67 ERA (+0.13)
6.6 K/9 (+0.1)
2.2 K/BB (no change)
1.42 WHIP (+0.01)

Here’s a look at this week’s recs, with team wOBA in parentheses. Y! ownership numbers pulled courtesy of twitter pal @davidwiers, whom you should give a follow:

RHP Ervin Santana – 47.3% ESPN/50% Y! – @TOR (.337), @CLE (.310)

Big Erv’s been good in three starts and brutal in a pair over his first five starts with the Twins. Still, he’s the kind of talent that is rarely available in these sorts of things, as he is rarely owned in under 50% of leagues. Having watched all five starts so far, I’m not quite sure what to expect from Santana this week. At times he’s flashed a good penchant for inducing grounders and getting strikeouts, and and at other times he’s struggled to work within the strike zone while relying heavily on fly balls. Santana is a gamble this week — especially in Toronto — but it’s one I’m oddly more comfortable with than most over the course of this rough season.

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RHP Nate Karns – 26.8% ESPN/29% Y! – @CWS (.297), v. NYM (.291)

Six of Karns’ last seven starts have resulted in two or fewer earned runs, though if memory serves his blowup — seven earned runs against the Royals — came in a week where I had recommended him as well. Karns has put together a nice season — 3.37 ERA, 3.74 FIP — and I absolutely love both of these matchups for him. Even though the Mets have improved their offense considerably since the trade deadline, it’s still a team that is dead last in team wOBA. Yoenis Cespedes obviously helps, though.

LHP Patrick Corbin – 32.5% ESPN/25% Y! – @WAS (.309), v. CIN (.315)

Aside from a three home run blowup against the Mets, Corbin has been solid in his five-start run since returning from Tommy John surgery. He’s got more than a strikeout per inning — 29 in 28 frames — with good groundball rates (50.7 percent), and is getting a couple of middle-of-the-road offenses. Cincinnati on the road helped sway me, but if you’re wondering the other names considered this week were Zack Godley, Mike Foltynewicz, Jesse Chavez and Danny Duffy.





In addition to Rotographs, Warne writes about the Minnesota Twins for The Athletic and is a sportswriter for Sportradar U.S. in downtown Minneapolis. Follow him on Twitter @Brandon_Warne, or feel free to email him to do podcasts or for any old reason at brandon.r.warne@gmail-dot-com

12 Comments
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Carl Weathers
11 years ago

I like the other 2 options well enough, but I don’t get the Santana rec. On the road, against the best offense in the league, with David Price as the opposing starter. None of that is at all appealing, and Santana is neither K’ing people like he did last year nor projected to be better. I don’t get it.

Ullu ka Patta
10 years ago
Reply to  Brandon Warne

What about the inexplicably underowned Brett Anderson with his mid 3 FIP and one of his starts against the Phillies? ESPN shows him at 19% for me.

stinky
11 years ago

I’m in 12-16 team leagues, all of these guys are owned, we need to dig deeper i’d say.

FeslenR
11 years ago
Reply to  stinky

why not gamble on Zach Godley? He also goes twice next week, though once against Washington.

Dr. Swanson
11 years ago
Reply to  stinky

The good news is, I think I can help you. I want you to do something for me, stinky. I want you to try and relax. I want you to relax every muscle in your body, beginning with your toes to your fingertips. Now I want you to relax your legs. You’re beginning to feel your eyelids getting heavy as you slip deeper and deeper into a state of complete relaxation. All your cares and concerns are disappearing. Deeper and deeper, way down, your concern about two-start pitchers melts away. Way, way down. Now when I count backwards from three, you’ll be in a state of complete relaxation. your worries, cares and ambitions will be gone. And you will remain in that state until I snap my fingers. Three. Deeper and deeper. Way, way down. Two. Deeper and deeper. Way down. On..On..One…

FeslenR
11 years ago

I’m uncomfortable with Corbin v. Nats and Cin, but I like Karns as well.

Billy
11 years ago

This might be the longest one of your posts has ever been up without some guy saying you’ve ruined his season.

Also, do you know how Santana’s velocity has looked in his first few starts? Is it back to pre-surgery levels?

Bobby
11 years ago

I know its late but in my league these guys are picked up and the best remaining guys are Peralta, Folty, and Desclafani. Any of these guys worth taking a chance on over Cole home against LAD or Wacha at CIN?

Its H2H points where IP= 3 pts, K=.5, ER, H, and BB are all -1, a Win is +7 and a loss is -5.

chri521
11 years ago
Reply to  Bobby

I am also wondering about Wily Peralta? Stream candidate at all vs SD and then vs STL?

Paul C.
11 years ago

Just for tomorrow, Chavez at home against Baltimore or Koehler home against the Mets? I have had bad luck streaming against the Mets, even with their poor offense overall.